Midterm Election Project by Mitra Rezvany https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79 CA 39; By Mitra R., Shreya D., And Hadley D. en-us 2018-10-22 17:42:07 UTC 2026-01-24 18:54:06 UTC hello@padlet.com https://padlet-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/icons/Growing.png Gil Cisneros mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/298833145 - Democrat (Former Republican)
- Independent Candidate
       - Refuses Pac contributions
       - Believes that the government should work for the people, not corporate special interests
- Vietnam Veteran
- Concerns (Aligned with most liberal values)
       - Education Advocate
       - Promotes lower Healthcare Costs
- Primary Election
       - Won 43.2 percent of the votes, ending in first place

Cisneros for Congress. cisnerosforcongress.com/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

"California's 39th Congressional District Election, 2018." Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/California%27s_39th_Congressional_District_election,_2016. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.]]> 2018-10-31 04:11:48 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/298833145 Young Kim mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/298833176 - Republican
       - Does not affiliate herself with Donald Trump
- Asian American Immigrant
- Would be first Korean American woman in Congress if she wins
- Not an incumbent, however, she was re-elected to her assembly seat in 2016
- Former Political Office
       - Represented the 65th District of the California State Assembly
- Supports
        - Keeping Immigrant children and their parents together, yet also supports increased border security 
        - Job creation and lowering taxes
        - Helping homeless veterans and domestic violence survivors
- Primary Election:
        - Won 39.8 percent of the votes, ending in first place.


Mai-Duc, Christine. "Meet Young Kim, an Asian American Immigrant Woman Running for Congress under Trump's Republican Party." Los Angeles Times, 5 Oct. 2018, www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-young-kim-39th-district-20181005-story.html. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

Young Kim for Congress. www.kimforcongress2018.com/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

]]> 2018-10-31 04:12:13 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/298833176 Open Seat mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300029954 There is an open seat in the CA 39 Election, as republican representative, Ed. Royce, is not running for re-election after 13 terms in Congress.
Note: Ed. Royce endorses Young Kim’s campaign.]]> 2018-11-03 04:03:17 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300029954 Demographics of CA mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300030260 Race
     - White non-hispanic people make up 38.4% of the population. Hispanics make up 38.1% of the population. African Americans make up 5.9% of the population. Asians make up 13.9% of the population. And those who identify as mixed or other make up 3.8% of the population. Native Americans make up 1.7% of the population.

Gender
     - Women are 50.3% of the population. Men are 49.7% of the population

Education
     - Residents with a high school diploma are 80% of the population. Residents with a college degree are 30.2% of the population

Age
     - Residents younger than 5 make up 6.7% of the population. Residents younger than 18 make up 24.3% of the population. And Residents older than 65 make up 12.1% of the population.


California Secretary of State. www.sos.ca.gov/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

]]> 2018-11-03 04:10:39 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300030260 Demographics of CA 39 mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300030866 Race
     - White non-hispanic people make up 32.3% of the population. Hispanics make up 32.6% of the population. African Americans make up 1.8% of the population. Asians make up 30.6% of the population. And those who identify as mixed or other make up 4.2% of the population. Native Americans make up .4% of the population.

Gender
      - Women are 50.6% of the district. Men are 49.4% of the population.

Education
      - Residents with a high school diploma are 88% of the population. Residents with a college degree are 39% of the population

Age
      - Residents younger than 5 make up 5.5% of the population. Residents younger than 18 make up 22.2% of the population. And Residents older than 65 make up 12.8% of the population.


"California 39th." FiveThirtyEight, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/california/39/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018

]]> 2018-11-03 04:25:04 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300030866 Voter Turnout in Last Election mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300031041 2016 Congressional Primary Election
      - 140,555/718,996 = 19.5% Voter Turnout

2016 Congressional General Election
     - 263,456/718,996 = 36.6% Voter Turnout

]]> 2018-11-03 04:28:48 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300031041 CA Voter Registration mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300031242 Voter Registration Laws
      - US Citizen, residence in california, at least 18 years old, not currently in a state or federal prison or on parole, not found mentally incompetent to vote by a court

Pre-registration
     - When you are 16/17 years old

General election
     - November 6th

Voter registration deadline
     - October 22nd
     - Can register to vote by mail or online
     - Currently, 19 million/25 million of eligible Californians are registered to vote

Early Voting
     - October 8 - November 5

Same day registration
     - yes

No Voter ID laws
     - no voter ID requirement

Poll times
     - 7am - 8pm


"California's 39th Congressional District Election, 2018." Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/California%27s_39th_Congressional_District_election,_2016. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

]]> 2018-11-03 04:33:27 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300031242 Public Opinion and Credibility mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300032080 The New York Times conducted a poll to estimate the results of the midterm election in the 39th district of California.
    - Kim: 46%
    - Cisneros: 47%
    - Margin of Error ±4.6%
    - Undecided 7%
    - 496 people total
    - Possible source of error: small sample size
    - Credibility: Even if the poll got turnout exactly right, the margin of error wouldn’t capture all of the error in their poll. The poll also does not have a perfect random sample of the voting population, as most people who respond to surveys are old, white, educated, and politically active, which does not accurately represent the population of California’s 39th district.

"We Polled Voters in California’s 39th Congressional District." The New York Times, 23 Oct. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ca39-3.html. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.]]> 2018-11-03 04:58:43 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300032080 mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300032320       In the upcoming 2018 Midterm elections, Gil Cisneros and Young Kim are running for an open seat in California’s 39th district. California’s 39th district is a Republican district that includes parts of Los Angeles, Orange, and San Bernardino counties and is a key target for both the Republican and Democratic party. An open seat is a seat up for election that was previously held by an incumbent that decided not to run for reelection. Gil Cisneros is a democratic philanthropist who advocates for low cost health care, protects education funding, and refuses to accept PAC contributions, which are contributions from certain interest groups. Young Kim is a Republican, Korean American immigrant who supports increased border security, job creation, lowering taxes, and wants to help aid for domestic violence survivors and homeless veterans. Gil Cisneros is going to win the election in California’s 39th District in the 2018 Congressional midterms.
      To support this claim, according to a New York Times Midterm Election poll, Cisneros is ahead by 1 percentage point. This poll was a random sample conducted of a sample size of 496 voters, with a margin of error of 4.6%, with data taken between October 18 to October 23. This poll supports the argument that Gil Cisneros will win California’s 2018 Congressional Midterm election in the 39th district because it is a survey of public opinion. This is the distribution of the population's beliefs about politics and policy issues, meaning it represents who the members of the 39th district support. 
       To further support this prediction, Gil Cisneros recently won the lottery, allowing him to facilitate more attention, therefore, increasing his chances of winning the election. According to abc7 news, Cisneros was able to spend more than eight million dollars of his own money on his election campaign, while also using his lottery money to invest in education. In contrast, the Federal Election Commission has reported that Young Kim has spent a little over two million dollars in her campaign. Cisneros’ win in the lottery gives him the opportunity to broaden his campaign to things that might bring attention to it. Therefore, Gil Cisneros will win the election in the 39th district of California, due to larger campaign spending.
     However, the margin of error in the poll is high in relation to the small sample size, which could cause a relinquishing of Gil Cisneros’ lead in the poll. Additionally, Young Kim is being endorsed by the previous incumbent of California’s 39th district, Ed. Royce. This endorsement gives her an advantage that can win her the election, as Incumbents hold more influence and those who supported Royce will most likely favor her to Cisneros in the election. According to MSNBC, Young Kim has the support of Rep. Ed Royce and House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, among others. This support could influence the election so that Kim wins instead of Cisneros.




"Lottery Winner Running for Congress in OC's Tight 39th District Race." Written by Josh Haskell. ABC7, 18 Oct. 2018. ABC7, abc7.com/politics/lottery-winner-running-for-congress-in-oc/4511909/. Accessed 5 Nov. 2018.

"‘30 in 30’: Women Candidates to Watch in 2014 – Young Kim." Written by Anna Brand. Women in Politics, 12 Sept. 2014. MSNBC, www.msnbc.com/msnbc/women-candidates-watch-2014-young-kim. Accessed 5 Nov. 2018.]]> 2018-11-03 05:07:41 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300032320 Gil Cisneros mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300232088
  • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XwWwCwSiuZY

    • ]]>     2018-11-04 19:26:49 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300232088     Young Kim mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300232133 https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/young-kim-here--campaign-2018/2018/06/06/dc394f5e-69de-11e8-a335-c4503d041eaf_video.html]]> 2018-11-04 19:27:06 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300232133 mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300233719 Interest groups and funding:
    Kim
         - Koch Industries, Exxon Mobil

    Cisneros
         - Has pledged to not use any PAC money

    Trump Support in the 2016 Presidential election:
    Young Kim
        - No support or denouncement

    Gil Cisneros
         - No support

    Endorsements
    Young Kim
         - San Bernardino County Republican Party
         - Value in Electing Women PAC
         - California Women’s Leadership Association PAC
    Gil Cisneros
        - Orange County Professional Fire Fighters
        -  National Organization for Women
        - California Teachers Association
    Big Issues
    Young Kim
         - Jobs, National Security, VA, Immigration, Schools

    Gil Cisneros
        - Healthcare, Education

    Campaign Spending

    Young Kim
          Funding
                 - Individual Contributions: $2,071,431.72
                 - Party Committee Contributions: $5,000.00
                 - Total: $2,545,956.86
          Spending
                 - Total: $2,171,920.47

    Gil Cisneros
          Funding
                - Individual Contributions: $1,871,443.26
                - Party Committee Contributions: $1,278.80
                - Total: $11,147,211.14
          Spending
                - Total: $10,515,029.00

    1. "CISNEROS, GILBERT." Federal Election Commission, 17 Oct. 2018, www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H8CA39174/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.
      Gil Cisneros for Congress. YouTube, 25 Sept. 2018, www.youtube.com/watch?v=XwWwCwSiuZY. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018. Advertisement.
    2. "YOUNG KIM FOR CONGRESS." Federal Election Commission, 17 Oct. 2018, www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00665638/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.
    ]]>     2018-11-04 19:37:13 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300233719     mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300305110 "‘30 in 30’: Women Candidates to Watch in 2014 – Young Kim." Written by Anna Brand. Women in Politics, 12 Sept. 2014. MSNBC, www.msnbc.com/msnbc/women-candidates-watch-2014-young-kim. Accessed 5 Nov. 2018.

    "39th Congressional District, California Demographics." Biggest US Cities, 2 July 2018, www.biggestuscities.com/demographics/ca/39th-congressional-district. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    "California 39th." FiveThirtyEight, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/california/39/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    "California's 39th Congressional District Election, 2018." Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/California%27s_39th_Congressional_District_election,_2016. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    California Secretary of State. www.sos.ca.gov/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    Cisneros for Congress. cisnerosforcongress.com/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    "CISNEROS, GILBERT." Federal Election Commission, 17 Oct. 2018, www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H8CA39174/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.
    Gil Cisneros for Congress. YouTube, 25 Sept. 2018, www.youtube.com/watch?v=XwWwCwSiuZY. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018. Advertisement.

    "Lottery Winner Running for Congress in OC's Tight 39th District Race." Written by Josh Haskell. ABC7, 18 Oct. 2018. ABC7, abc7.com/politics/lottery-winner-running-for-congress-in-oc/4511909/. Accessed 5 Nov. 2018.

    Mai-Duc, Christine. "Meet Young Kim, an Asian American Immigrant Woman Running for Congress under Trump's Republican Party." Los Angeles Times, 5 Oct. 2018, www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-young-kim-39th-district-20181005-story.html. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    Sweedler, Maya. "39th District: Young Kim and Gil Cisneros." Los Angeles Times, 25 Oct. 2018, www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-ca-midterms-key-issues-39-20181020-story.html. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    "We Polled Voters in California’s 39th Congressional District." The New York Times, 23 Oct. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ca39-3.html. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    Young Kim for Congress. www.kimforcongress2018.com/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    "YOUNG KIM FOR CONGRESS." Federal Election Commission, 17 Oct. 2018, www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00665638/. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018.

    Young Kim: 'Here' | Campaign 2018. The Washington Post, www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/young-kim-here--campaign-2018/2018/06/06/dc394f5e-69de-11e8-a335-c4503d041eaf_video.html. Accessed 4 Nov. 2018. Advertisement.
    ]]>     2018-11-05 03:51:49 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/300305110     By Mitra Rezvany, Hadley Dixon, and Shreya Deshpande mrezvany_20 https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/304072797 2018-11-13 23:15:09 UTC https://padlet.com/mrezvany_20/ymjg3zaak79/wish/304072797