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      <title>TB04 Economics Project [Mask production in Singapore] Macro analysis by Adelyn Callie Tay</title>
      <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302</link>
      <description>Full names of group members: 
1] Adelyn Callie Tay S10205036B
[2] Peh Yong Qi Celeste S10206097 
[3] Wong Li Yi, Eileen S10205060G 
[4] Tristan Tiong S10205606J
[5] Ho Wenqi S10204818C 
[6] Tabitha Lim Xin Ying S10205430B</description>
      <language>en-us</language>
      <pubDate>2021-01-02 10:41:24 UTC</pubDate>
      <lastBuildDate>2021-01-07 05:26:21 UTC</lastBuildDate>
      <webMaster>hello@padlet.com</webMaster>
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         <title>                                                                                                                                                   STAGE 2</title>
         <author>s102050361</author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721805</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<div>                                                                                                                                                       <strong>MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS</strong></div>]]></description>
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         <pubDate>2021-01-02 10:41:24 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721805</guid>
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      <item>
         <title>Key Info. Source [1]</title>
         <author>s102050361</author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721806</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<h1>Singapore's GDP Contracted by 7.0 Per Cent in the Third Quarter of 2020</h1>]]></description>
         <enclosure url="https://www.mti.gov.sg/Newsroom/Press-Releases/2020/10/Singapore-GDP-Contracted-by-7_0-Per-Cent-in-the-Third-Quarter-of-2020#:~:text=Quarter%20of%202020-,Singapore&#39;s%20GDP%20Contracted%20by%207.0%20Per%20Cent%20in%20the%20Third,contraction%20in%20the%20preceding%20quarter." />
         <pubDate>2021-01-02 10:41:24 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721806</guid>
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         <title>Key Info. Source [2]</title>
         <author></author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721807</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<div>Singapore's inflation Experience (1965-2016)</div>]]></description>
         <enclosure url="https://www.mas.gov.sg/-/media/MAS/Monetary-Policy-and-Economics/Education-and-Research/Education/Explorer/Economics-Explorer-2-Inflation.pdf" />
         <pubDate>2021-01-02 10:41:24 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721807</guid>
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         <title>Key Info. Source [3]</title>
         <author></author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721808</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<h1>Singapore's Q3 resident employment surges by 43,200; MOM now 'cautiously optimistic'</h1><div><br></div>]]></description>
         <enclosure url="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/singapores-q3-resident-employment-surges-by-43200-mom-now-cautiously-optimistic" />
         <pubDate>2021-01-02 10:41:24 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721808</guid>
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         <title>Macroeconomics Prelim Analysis [Based of 5 Key Sources of Information]</title>
         <author>s102050361</author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721809</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<div><strong>1.  Slight increase in overall GDP after the circuit breaker<br></strong>Support from key sources:<strong><br></strong>- On a year-on-year basis, Singapore’s GDP contracted by 7% in the 3rd quarter <br>- On a year-on-year basis, Singapore's GDP contracted by 13.3% in the 2nd quarter<br>- There was an improvement in the 3rd quarter which is due to the end of the circuit breaker<br>- More people could go out and spend money while shops could reopen their business which helped boost the economy. <br>- Manufacturing sector grew by 2% in the 3rd quarter, increasing by 2.8% from the previous quarter</div><div><br><strong>2. Overview of Inflation in Singapore: High economic growth and low inflation</strong><br>Support from key sources:<strong><br></strong>-   CPI-All Items Inflation of 2.7% per annum between 1965-2016<br>-  MAS Core Inflation averaged 1.4% between 1984 and 2016. <br>-  While inflation  in emerging and developing countries is 22.6% per annum and 4.5% per annum in advanced economies since 1969 <br><strong><mark>STAGFLATION- 1973-1974<br></mark></strong><strong>-</strong> first oil crisis hit in late 1973 with a quadrupling of oil prices <br>- Singapore’s imported inflation surged and CPI-All Items Inflation rose to nearly 30% in the first half of 1974 <br>- global economy was headed for a slowdown <strong><mark><br></mark></strong><strong>-SG faced stagflation: high inflation but low growth<br></strong> <strong><mark>Recession and Recovery: 1985–87 <br></mark></strong>-1985: SG faced first post-independence economic recession<br>-Govt implemented  a package of cost and tax-cutting measures to help restore Singapore’s international competitiveness and boost exports. </div><div><strong><mark> Asian Financial Crisis: 1997–98 <br></mark></strong>- precipitated by the sharp devaluation of the Thai baht in July 1997 <br>- Singapore’s real GDP fell by 2.2% in 1998, from an average growth rate of 9.1% in the previous five years, the CPI contracted by 0.3%<br> <strong><mark>Global Electronics Downturn and SARS: 2001–03 <br>-</mark></strong> A sharp downturn in the global electronics cycle caused domestic real GDP to contract by 1.0% in 2001 and CPI-All Items Inflation to fall to −0.4% in 2002. <br>- Singapore economy was subsequently hit by the outbreak of SARS in Q2 2003,  CPI All Items Inflation falling to 0.1% <br> <strong><mark>Demand-led Price Pressures and the Global Financial Crisis: 2007–09 <br>-</mark></strong> Singapore economy entered a phase of robust GDP growth of close to 9% per annum in 2006–2008, alongside a prospering global economy. <br>- , CPI-All Items inflation accelerated in the second half of 2007 to 6.6% in 2008, the highest since the oil price shock in the early 1980s. <br>-Collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 triggered global financial crisis, but inflation was eased in 2009.<br> <strong><mark>Global Disinflation: 2015–16 <br></mark></strong>-due to hesitant and uneven recovery in the global economy following the financial crisis<br>- significantly exacerbated by the sharp declines in global oil prices that took place in late 2014 and 2015 <br>- Singapore’s CPI All Items Inflation was negative for a total of seven consecutive quarters from Q1 2015 to Q3 2016, <br>- MAS Core Inflation remained subdued at an average of 0.7% in 2015–2016. </div><div><br><strong>3.</strong> <strong>Increasing Unemployment Rates in 2020</strong>       <strong><br></strong>Support from key sources:<strong><br></strong>- As of October, the overall and citizen unemployment rates were 3.6% and 4.9% for respectively </div><div>- Resident unemployment has also increased from 4.7% to 4.8%. <br><strong><mark>Cyclical Unemployment<br></mark></strong>- Construction and manufacturing sectors saw the largest contraction in employment in Q3 2020 at 16,700 and 15,000 respectively, caused by a decline in foreign employment<br>- Retrenchments have increased by 9,120 in Q3 2020, as compared to 8,130 in the Q2 2020, exceeding all past recessionary peaks other than that for the 2009 Global Financial Crisis <br><strong><mark>Increasing</mark></strong><mark> </mark><strong><mark>Labour Force </mark></strong></div><div>- Resident unemployment rate grew as the resident employment increased<br>- This reflects retrenched workers actively looking for work<br>- As the economy is improving, the labour market is also improving, and more people would want to come back to the labour force to look for work  <strong><br></strong><strong><mark>Government Measures to Reduce Unemployment</mark></strong><strong><br>- </strong>The Government has put in place measures over four Budgets to support workers and help businesses to retain their employees during the Covid-19 pandemic.<br>-  Under the SGUnited Jobs &amp; Skills Package, the Government aims to create about 100,000 jobs, traineeships and skills training opportunities to help Singaporeans to gain access to more employment opportunities and also acquire job-related skills and capabilities. <br>(Other measures will be included in the report writing)</div><div><br><strong>4. Economic growth</strong></div><div>Support from key sources:<strong><br></strong>-GDP growth rate = -3.47% (Negative growth rates)</div><div>-Recession due to COVID-19</div><div>-V shape recovery</div><div><br><strong>5. Singapore Core Inflation fall into Negative Territory in 2020</strong></div><div>Support from key sources:<strong><br></strong>-Singapore's main price gauge slipped into <strong><mark>deflation </mark></strong>for the first time in more than a decade in February 2020<br>-Prices fell 0.1 per cent from a year earlier, according to a joint release by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI)<br>-Singapore's headline consumer price index rose 0.3 per cent from a year earlier, slightly below poll expectations of 0.35 per cent. <br>-Private transport inflation was lower in February at 2.4 per cent year-on-year from 4.6 per cent in the previous month. This was due to a smaller increase in car and petrol prices. <br>-Food inflation edged down by 0.1 per cent from 1.7 per cent in January as the prices of prepared meals recorded smaller increased while non‐cooked food inflation was broadly unchanged.<br>-The cost of electricity and gas fell at a slower pace to -7.4 per cent year-on-year in February <br>-The cost of retail and other goods fell at a more gradual pace to -1.0 per cent in February from the -1.4 per cent in January<br><br></div><div><br><br></div><div><br><br></div>]]></description>
         <enclosure url="" />
         <pubDate>2021-01-02 10:41:24 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1048721809</guid>
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         <title>Key Info. Source [4]</title>
         <author>s102050361</author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1052060410</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<div>Disposable Face Mask Market Size, Share &amp; Trends Analysis Report By Product</div>]]></description>
         <enclosure url="https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/disposable-face-masks-market" />
         <pubDate>2021-01-04 14:39:49 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1052060410</guid>
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      <item>
         <title>Key Info. Source [5]</title>
         <author>s102050361</author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1052066301</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<div>Singapore core inflation falls into negative territory for the first time in a decade</div>]]></description>
         <enclosure url="https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-inflation-prices-fall-first-time-in-decade-mas-mti-12566938" />
         <pubDate>2021-01-04 14:41:09 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1052066301</guid>
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         <title>Tutor&#39;s Comments:</title>
         <author>nmk</author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1062004797</link>
         <description><![CDATA[<div>Why do you have TWO padlet walls?<br><br>Anyways, my feedback is posted on the other wall.</div>]]></description>
         <enclosure url="" />
         <pubDate>2021-01-07 05:25:33 UTC</pubDate>
         <guid>https://padlet.com/s102050361/ykvd98qwrace7302/wish/1062004797</guid>
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