https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6 Parties in Government, Autumn 2017 en-us 2017-10-11 07:32:23 UTC 2017-10-11 09:55:14 UTC hello@padlet.com https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195922730 Case 1: New Zealand, PM John Key 2016, National Party of New Zealand. 

Case 2: Romania, PM Emile Boc, resigned in 2012, National Liberal Party of Romania. 

Case 3: Greece, PM George Papandreou, 2011, Panhellenic Socialist Movement. 

Case 4: Portugal, 2004 Jose Manuel Barroso, Social Democratic Party. 

Case 5: France, Jean-Pierre Raffarin, resigned in 2005, Union for Popular Movement Party. 

Case 6: Iceland, resigned in 2016, Sigurður Ingi Jóhannsson, Progressive Party.

]]> 2017-10-11 08:34:51 UTC https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195922730 https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195923586 - Case 1: France, 2014; Green Party (EELV) defected from the government led by the Socialist Party (PS) after a change in PM; didn't provoke any kind of governmental instability --> still had a majority in Parliament

- Case 2: Denmark, 2014; Socialist People's Party defected from the coalition with the Social-Democrats and the Danish Social-Liberal Party; didn't provoke any kind of governmental instability --> the Socialist People's Party became a support party

- Case 3: Ireland, 2011; the Green Party defected from the coalition with Fianna Fàil, because of intra-party leadership's struggles; provoked governmental instability --> early elections

Commonalities:
- The defecting party was really doing badly in the polls
- Policy disagreements
- The party which defected didn't have a big say in the coalition
- Didn't have any previous governmental experience

Theories:
- The more junior is a partner in a coalition, the more likely it is to defect

- The more there are policy disagreements within the coalition, the more likely it is that a party will defect

- If the government will be stable after the defection, it is more likely that a party will take the risk to defect

- If a party is a junior partner in the coalition and if it is doing badly in the polls, it is more likely to defect from government]]> 2017-10-11 08:37:49 UTC https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195923586 https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195923637 Case 1 : 1973 - Denmark with Labour
Case 1 : 1997 - France with Chirac
Case 3: 1988 - France with Mitterrand
Case 4 : 2017 - North Ireland 
Case 5 : 2015 - Greece
Case 6 : 2007 - Denmark with Liberal 
Case 7 : 2012 - Japan]]> 2017-10-11 08:37:59 UTC https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195923637 https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195923651 Very stable (party and policy remains the same)
Case 2: Liberal Party (Venstre) Lars Løkke Rasmussen replaced Anders Fogh Rasmussen when he was appointed general secretary of NATO.

Case 5: (Social Democrats) Jens-Otto Kragh resigned after the referendum on Denmark joining the EU.

Stable (same party but change in policy)
Case 8: (Conservatives) David Cameron resigns after the Brexit referendum and Theresa May takes over.

Case 9: 1990 (Conservatives) Margaret Thatcher resigns and John Major.

Case 6: (Labour) Gordon Brown replaced Tony Blair in 2007.

Case 7: Kevin Rudd gets challenged by Julia Gillard and resigns and a few years later, Gillard resigns and Rudd gets back in.

Unstable (both party and policy changes)
Case 3: (Social Democrats) Poul Nyrup Rasmussen took over from Schülter (Conservative) because he had to resign after the Tamil scandal.

Case 4: (Social Democrats) Anker Jørgensen resigned after not being able to get a majority for his financial and economic policies. Schlüter took over.

Case 10: Berlusconi resigned after scandals, succeeded by technocrat Mario Monti.]]> 2017-10-11 08:38:00 UTC https://padlet.com/conorlittle/yjx27k4ohez6/wish/195923651