Scenario 1: What might NSW look like under this scenario? by https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89 Exercise 1: Possible changes - try to think of how travel behaviours or transport demand might change in this scenario, relative to a pre-COVID world en-us 2021-02-22 09:59:26 UTC 2021-02-24 02:47:12 UTC hello@padlet.com e.g. Supressed population size and growth due to fewer international students caranolan https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1225654102 2021-02-22 09:59:26 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1225654102 e.g. Increased migration because Australia is more attractive due to better COVID response caranolan https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1225654105 2021-02-22 09:59:26 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1225654105 Ongoing fear of disease - generalised to any disease (not just COVID19) https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229219189 2021-02-23 00:09:46 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229219189 more work from home, and demand for dispersed collaboration hubs and decentralisation of offices. https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229219586 2021-02-23 00:09:59 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229219586 Rise in E-commerce https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220044 Raise in the use of e-commerce changes the demand for freight services - requiring operational flexibility 

]]> 2021-02-23 00:10:15 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220044 Higher migration to regional NSW / Outer metro as people seek lifestyle changes https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220098 2021-02-23 00:10:17 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220098 house prices go through the roof (further) sparking intergenerational clashes between boomers and the unlanded youth https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220443 2021-02-23 00:10:31 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220443 new hybrid scheme combining work from home and office https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220529 2021-02-23 00:10:34 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220529 More online shopping - more white vans delivering goods to households https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220597 2021-02-23 00:10:37 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229220597 shift away from 3 cities direction of recent FT2056 (TfNSW) and Metropolitan of 3 cities (GSC) and more towards localisation. Demand for more cultural, social/ recreational facilities closer to where people live. https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221241 2021-02-23 00:10:57 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221241 cities https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221510 2021-02-23 00:11:06 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221510 new departure start profile aka flattened peaks as people don't need to be at the office at the same time https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221611 2021-02-23 00:11:10 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221611 Increase in local tourism as overseas travel is less accessible https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221733 2021-02-23 00:11:14 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229221733 White collar occupations (professionals/managers) can live further from strategic centres https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229222146 2021-02-23 00:11:30 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229222146 Tertiary Student learning remains at least 50% online https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229222258 2021-02-23 00:11:34 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229222258 long covid turns out to have some sort of horrific long term implication, wiping out 90% of the population over the next decade https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223182 2021-02-23 00:12:09 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223182 People become complacent and do not get their yearly top up shot https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223345 2021-02-23 00:12:14 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223345 increase in micromobility e.g. electric bikes and scooters https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223430 2021-02-23 00:12:18 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223430 teens/young adults don't see it as a risk as it hasn't directly impacted them https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223757 2021-02-23 00:12:31 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223757 On-shoring of manufacturing and its impact on the supply chain and workforce https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223801 2021-02-23 00:12:32 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223801 accommodation/tourism/other services still missing out on customers - until borders re-open. https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223828

]]> 2021-02-23 00:12:34 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229223828 Covid focus means other diseases, surgeries do not get seen to in a timely way and become more chronic or servere https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229224045 2021-02-23 00:12:42 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229224045 parents start having 'covid parties' a la the chicken pox, leading to emergence of new strains that threaten fortress australia https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229224625 2021-02-23 00:13:02 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229224625 Internet connectivity becomes more important to suburbs and regional areas, to support remote working AND living (eg. e-commerce, e-services) https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229224852 2021-02-23 00:13:11 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229224852 small regional lock-downs e.g. last Christmas in Northern Beaches https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229225287 2021-02-23 00:13:28 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229225287 More dispersed population stretches and changes the supply chain https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229225543 2021-02-23 00:13:36 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229225543 collective unease at ongoing uncertainty and failure to resolve pandemic leading to structural decline across all key areas of social endeavour https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229226245 2021-02-23 00:14:01 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229226245 Insurance cover start to change. Tax implications for WFH and possibility of capital gain implications when selling your home https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229226342 2021-02-23 00:14:04 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229226342 rents in the city centre is rather low as people moved out from the centres into the suburbs and there are not as many students as before Covid https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229226683 2021-02-23 00:14:17 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229226683 bosses demand increased office attendning leading to increased conflict and IR disputes b/w businesses and employees https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229227294 2021-02-23 00:14:38 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229227294 change in 'business hours' as everything becomes more remote and demand is more flexible. https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229227665 2021-02-23 00:14:50 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229227665 Changes in shopping habits require a shift in timing of product availability which impacts round the clock delivery https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229228131 2021-02-23 00:15:01 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229228131 tourism continues to take big hit due to lack of overseas https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229228447 2021-02-23 00:15:12 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229228447 regionalism and decentralisation lead to changing poltiical power balances https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229228710 2021-02-23 00:15:22 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229228710 more babies, because... https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229229347 2021-02-23 00:15:45 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229229347 people are less willing to share services https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229234308 2021-02-23 00:18:41 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229234308 communiy distrust - deepening divides by geography, ethnicity, anything that can be seen as a distinguisher for risk. https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229235571 2021-02-23 00:19:25 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229235571 Youth don't develop the social skills from physical interaction with others in work environment https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229238467 2021-02-23 00:21:03 UTC https://padlet.com/caranolan/qb21eg4lhsc5da89/wish/1229238467