Minnesota's 8th District by Nathan Haff https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o By Claire, Josh, Abbie, and Nathan en-us 2018-10-23 13:43:42 UTC 2025-05-07 20:12:47 UTC hello@padlet.com https://padlet-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/icons/Balance.png District 8 abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295943551 District eight is in northeastern MN. They have a small population of 662,354 and are 38.47% urban 61.53% rural. In the 2016 election majority of district eight voted for Trump.]]> 2018-10-23 13:52:10 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295943551 Joe Radinovich nathanh22657 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295944115 Joe Radinovich is a 32-year-old former state representative, first elected to the Minnesota House at 26. He was the campaign manager of the current representative. Joe Randinovich is liberal but is not as far to the left in the way that Stauber is far to the right.]]> 2018-10-23 13:52:53 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295944115 Pete Stauber nathanh22657 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295944325 Pete Stauber is a member of the St. Louis County Commission, a retired police lieutenant and a former professional hockey player who played for a Detroit Red Wings minor league affiliate. He is also very conservative based on his platform and opinions on how things should be done.]]> 2018-10-23 13:53:08 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295944325 Ray Sandman nathanh22657 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295944734 He is a former Green Party candidate who turned to the independence party for the 2018 election. Ray Sandman is a moderate but leans more to the liberal side on his views rather than to the right. Because he used to be in the Green Party which is situated on the right we can also see he has more liberal views. Ray Sandman has run in previous elections as a Green Party candidate.]]> 2018-10-23 13:53:37 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295944734 Voter Turnout in Previous Elections sophiep22163 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295947427 In the 2016 Presidential election,  74.70% of Minnesotans voted  In the 2014 Midterm Elections, 50.5% of Minnesotans voted. This election for house will be open seat.]]> 2018-10-23 13:56:52 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295947427 Voter registration laws sophiep22163 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295947846 The voter registration laws for the 8th congressional district in Minnesota are: You must be a U.S citizen, you have to be at least 18 on the day of the election. You can not vote if you have had any of your voting rights denied by the law.]]> 2018-10-23 13:57:27 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295947846 Joe Radinovich Campaign Ad clairek22941 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295952284 2018-10-23 14:03:45 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295952284 Public Opinion Poll in Favor of Pete Stauber abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295952289 The link below is to a public opinion poll made by the New York Times. For their poll they called 19.641 people, but only 507 people actually spoke to them. Additionally, they have a 4.6% percent margin of error, and from their poll they have predicted Pete Stauber as the winner.]]> 2018-10-23 14:03:45 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295952289 Ray "Skip" Sandman Campaign Ad clairek22941 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295956395 2018-10-23 14:09:44 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295956395 Pete Stauber Endorsed by Donald Trump abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295957708 2018-10-23 14:11:39 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/295957708 2016 Presidential Election clairek22941 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296466800 In 2016 the 8th district of Minnesota mostly voted for the democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. Additionally as a whole the state of Minnesota voted for Hillary Clinton. ]]> 2018-10-24 14:29:58 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296466800 Public Opinion Poll Toss Up abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296466955 The link below goes to a poll prediction from Victoria Research that believes that race in the 8th Minnesota district will be close and is a toss up. For the poll live interviewers talked to 400 people in 10-minute interviews(55% cells). Finally their margin of error for the poll was 4.9%.]]> 2018-10-24 14:30:15 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296466955 Ray Sandman's Stances on current issues nathanh22657 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296467939 Ray Sandman, the Independence Party candidate, wants to increase taxes on the wealthy, and use that money to fund college and healthcare for everyone. Ray wants to ban assault rifles in the U.S.. Aligning   with his Green Party beliefs, he also wants to increase environmental law to protect our land. ]]> 2018-10-24 14:31:34 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296467939 Public Opinion Polls Toss Up clairek22941 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296478194 The link below goes to a poll prediction from the New York Times. That believes that the race will be close and is a toss up. For the poll they called 18,682 people but only 504 people spoke to them. Finally their poll margin of error is 4.6%]]> 2018-10-24 14:45:03 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/296478194 Pete Stauber Stances abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297401510 Pete Stauber is committed to protecting the second amendment or the right to bear arms. He is against abortion, and is in favor of putting individuals in charge of acquiring there own health care instead of the government.  Also like Roe Radinovich, Pete Stauber's stances agree with the stances of the Republican party.]]> 2018-10-26 14:12:45 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297401510 Joe Radinovich Stances abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297401868 Joe Radinovich wants to help fix our healthcare system, support the middle class, and protect Social Security and Medicare. He wants transparency in the political process and reduce the corrupt power special interests have over the government elected officials. His stances agree with the stances that the Democratic party as a whole believes in.
​
]]> 2018-10-26 14:13:23 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297401868 Minnesota Interest Groups Supporting Pete Stauber joshuam22045 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297702127 Their are a multitude of interest groups that are supporting Pete Stauber in this election. The interest groups supporting Pete Stauber that are in the state are:  Hubbard broadcasting-$13,500, Rachel Contracting-$11,050, Davisco Foods International-$10,800, Miners Inc-$10,800, Primera Technology-$10,800, Eye of the Tiger PAC-$10,000, Freedom & Security PAC-$10,000, Freedom Club of America-$10,000, Great America Cmte-$10,000. Ice PAC-$10,000. Majority Cmte PAC-$10,000,More Conservatives PAC-$10,000, Prosperity Action-$10,000
Koch Industries-$7,500,
New Pioneers PAC-$7,500,
Support to Ensure Victory, Everywhere PAC-$7,500,
Ames Construction-$7,400,
Cargill Inc-$6,765,
Commodity Specialists Co-$6,000 and Marathon Petroleum-$6,000


]]> 2018-10-28 01:14:24 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297702127 Outside Interest Groups Supporting Pete Stauber joshuam22045 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297703352
The interest groups that are supporting Pete stabber from out of stare are: America First Action-SuperPAC -$1,974,876, Congressional Leadership Fund-SuperPAC-$3,908,655,
National Federation of Independent Business-PAC-$39,296, National Rifle Assn- PAC-$188,012, Supporting Electing American Leaders-PAC-$25,375,


]]> 2018-10-28 01:49:04 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297703352 Minnesota Interest Groups Supporting Joe Radinovich joshuam22045 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297703791 The a a lot of interest groups that are supporting Joe Radinovich in this election. The ones from Minnesota are:  
Heartland Realty Investors-$16,200, Pohlad Companies-$16,200, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers-$10,000, Alumiplate Inc-$5,400, Doran Companies-$5,400, Kaplan, Strangis & Kaplan-$5,400, QBE Insurance Group-$5,400, State of Minnesota-$3,594, University of Minnesota-$3,500, Lockridge Grindal Nauen PLLP-$3,450, Danaher-$3,400, American Mortgage-$2,700, Araz Group-$2,700, Askov Finlayson-$2,700, Capital Strategies-$2,700, Charoen Pokphand Foods-$2,700, dpHUE Inc-$2,700, Hylden Advocacy & Law-$2,700, Jeff Anderson & Assoc-$2,700, North Corp-$2,700, Optum United Health Group-$2,700, Patchwerk Studios-$2,700, Realogy Corp-$2,700, Rice Lake Construction Group-$2,700 and Rothschild North America-$2,700
]]> 2018-10-28 02:00:03 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297703791 Outside Interest groups Supporting Joe Radinovich joshuam22045 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297703908 The interest groups supporting Joe Radinovich from outside the state are: American Federation of State/Cnty/Munic Employees
-501c-$2,426, Democratic Congressional Campaign Cmte
-PAC-$1,265,223, 
bHouse Majority PAC-SuperPAC-$279,676, Duluth for Clean Water-501c-$282, Minnesota Democratic Farmer Labor Party-PAC-$51,000, 
Moveon.org-Carey-$13,970 and Progress Tomorrow-SuperPAC -$150,613, Progressive Turnout Project-PAC-$20,710
]]> 2018-10-28 02:03:12 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/297703908 Citations: abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299017956 “MN08 Poll Memo - Radinovich Campaign Victoria Research.” Scribd, Scribd, www.scribd.com/document/389913133/MN08-Poll-Memo-Radinovich-Campaign-Victoria-Research.

“Midterm Election Poll: Minnesota's 8th District, Stauber vs. Radinovich.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 6 Sept. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-mn08-1.html

Porter, Sara. “Minnesota Voter Guide: Where the 8th District Candidates Stand on the Issues.” Minnesota Public Radio News, 10 Oct. 2018, www.mprnews.org/story/2018/10/10/voter-guide-minnesota-8th-district-candidates-on-issues.

“Get Involved.” Pete Stauber for Congress, petestauberforcongress.com/.

“Joe Radinovich for Congress | Minnesota 8th District.” Joe Radinovich for Congress | Minnesota 8th District, www.joeradinovich.com/.

Smith, Kelly. “Joe Radinovich, Pete Stauber Face off in Lively Debate over Northeastern Minnesota Seat in Congress.” Star Tribune, Star Tribune, 27 Oct. 2018, www.startribune.com/joe-radinovich-pete-stauber-face-off-in-lively-debate-over-northeastern-minnesota-seat-in-congress/498689411/.

“Skip Sandman for U.S. House of Representatives.” Skip Sandman for U.S House, skipsandman.com/.

“Minnesota's 8th Congressional District.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Minnesota%27s_8th_Congressional_District.

“The Voter's Self Defense System.” Vote Smart, votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/140958/joe-radinovich#.W9yCxmhKieE.

Pathé, Simone. “Why Is Trump Headed to Duluth and Who Is Pete Stauber?” Roll Call, 20 June 2018, www.rollcall.com/news/trump-headed-duluth-pete-stauber.

Slater, Brady. “Radinovich Outpaces Stauber in 8th Funding.” Duluth News Tribune, 16 Oct. 2018, www.duluthnewstribune.com/news/government-and-politics/4514296-radinovich-outpaces-stauber-8th-funding.

“Ray ‘Skip’ Sandman.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Ray_%22Skip%22_Sandman. Accessed 5 Nov. 2018.
https://ballotpedia.org/Ray_%22Skip%22_Sandman

]]> 2018-10-31 15:04:28 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299017956 Minnesota District 8 is a open seat joshuam22045 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299420152 Minnesota District 8 is a open seat because the incumbent who held the office, Rick Nolan who's a democrat decided not to run for election.]]> 2018-11-01 15:24:39 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299420152 3 Major Issues Pete Stauber and Joe Radinovich are debating joshuam22045 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299571454 Gun Control: 
Stauber: He believes that the government should be protecting peoples right to the 2nd amendment. But also he says that their should a national data base for people that shouldn't own guns, based on if they have a mental illness or a history of domestic abuse.
Radinovich: He believes that we should raise the minimum age to own a gun, and to have universal background checks, and that we should eliminate bump stocks to help curb gun violence in the U.S.
Health Care: 
Stauber: He believes that we should apply free market principles to health care, and that it should be, "patient-driven and physician guided".
Radinovich: He believes that we should have a single payer, universal health care, because to him it is a human right. Also he said that with our current system too much money goes to middlemen and special interests. 
Immigration: 
Stauber: He believes that we need to secure our border and that their should be walls in some places. Additionally he called the Trump administration's desicon of separating children from parents at the Mexican border, "heartbreaking and an unfortunate consequence of when parents disregard the law".
Radinovich: He believes that the priority should be creating a path to citizenship for those already here illegally. Also he says he does not support president Trump's plan to build a wall at the border. 
Both of the candidates stances on the issues agree with what the party's they belong to stances are on those issues. ]]> 2018-11-01 20:00:38 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299571454 DFL Narrowly Winning District 8 In The Past abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299748909 2018-11-02 12:50:06 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299748909 FRQ Prediction abigailm22298 https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299769299
Based on information found on the eighth district one can determine that the candidate elected into office will be Pete Stauber. 

First, the estimated outcome of the election can be authenticated by public opinion poll results. One of three credible public opinion polls lean in favor of Stauber winning the election. With the other two saying that it will be a toss-up. This supports our estimated outcome because the majority of sources believe that Pete Stauber will win the election correspondingly, because the two that say it is a toss up where taken a lot farther out then the pull that show that Pete Stauber has a family substantial lead over Radinovich. Therefore showing that while it was closer earlier Pete Stauber has pulled ahead of Joe Radinovich. Second, our estimate is backed up by the popularity of Stauber.  Stauber was endorsed by Donald Trump which can increase his popularity in the rural areas and because he was talked about by Donald Trump on his tweets and on television Stauber is a well-known name. Because people know his name and who he is they are more likely to vote for him. Last, Jennifer Carnahan (who is the chairwoman for the Republican party of Minnesota) said, "We're not interested in putting bike lanes in everywhere, trying to do $15 per hour minimum wage that's going to wipe out every small business owner, being so far to the left on health care—that doesn't work anywhere in the 8th Congressional District.” This demonstrates how the common Democratic planks do not work as well in smaller cities. This will be a disadvantage to Radinovich in the election which supports our estimated outcome of the election.   

Some could say that District 8 voted democratic in the 2016 election and therefore would most likely stick to voting democratic but over the years district, eight has moved from a solidly Democratic district to a more mixed district over the years. DFL candidates are winning the eight district by a narrow count in the past few years. This election could be the election that district eight moves to the Republican party.


]]> 2018-11-02 13:30:19 UTC https://padlet.com/nathanh22657/q9qobjl2a1o/wish/299769299