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      <title>Koyal Info Group Mag by Samantha Perie</title>
      <link>https://padlet.com/mshuplove/pl1rbmmvl7</link>
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      <language>en-us</language>
      <pubDate>2014-02-02 03:09:38 UTC</pubDate>
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         <title>Koyal Info Group Mag: How to Better Interpret What you hear from Scientists</title>
         <author>mshuplove</author>
         <link>https://padlet.com/mshuplove/pl1rbmmvl7/wish/20333397</link>
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<p>We live in an age shaped by <b><a href="http://zunia.org/post/the-koyal-group-journals-journal-retracts-research-linking-gm-corn-with-cancer-in-rats">scientific
research</a></b>. Medical practice, for example, changes a bit each year
because of new discoveries in the laboratory or in drug trials. We have come to
expect progress in a variety of technical fields, and science often lives up to
our hopes for it.</p>
<p>But science can also falter. One
of the challenges for non-scientists - whom I call “normal people” - must
address is how to interpret <b><a href="http://koyalgroupinfomag.com/blog/">new scientific studies</a></b>. Which
ones contain valuable information that should influence our activities or
government policies? Which can be put on the back burner of our minds, awaiting
further evidence?</p>
<p>The matter is both important and
sometimes quite practical. Scientific studies claim to address many things that
truly matter. Should you be taking a statin drug? Is global climate warming?
What is causing the deaths of so many honeybees? What’s the best way to try to
lose weight?</p>
<p>Recently the prestigious journal
Nature ran a piece about what non-scientists need to know when they hear about
the results of scientific studies. The point isn’t to make everyone into a
scientist, but to sketch some of the basic limits of scientific work so that
the general public can better interpret the results of technical research.</p>
<p>The Nature piece featured 20
concepts to be borne in mind when hearing about the conclusions of scientific
research. I can’t go through all 20 ideas here, but I’ll give you a sampling of
some of those I think most important.</p>
<p>Chance can cause substantial
variation. Scientists spend their days looking for patterns in data and in the
natural world. We scientists are always trying to answer the basic question,
what is the cause of patterns embedded in the world around us? But when we
evaluate data, we must bear in mind that sometimes the world changes more due
to chance than due to some specific cause. This means the general public
sometimes needs to be patient and await confirmation of results from other
studies.</p>
<p>Bigger sample size is generally
better. It may cost more to have a large sample size in a study, but bigger is
usually better in terms of the reliability of results. A drug trail involving
only a dozen people is unlikely to be as valid as one involving 600 people.
This is particularly important in fields like medicine where there are
substantial variations between subjects.</p>
<p>Measurements are not exact. It’s
common in science to report a measurement plus an estimate of the error
involved in making that measurement. Thus, a scientist doesn’t say an object is
8.5 inches wide, but 8.5 inches wide, give-or-take an eighth of an inch. We do
this because if the measurement being reported is a small value, it may be
swamped by the error possible in the measurement. The example the Nature piece
gave for this idea is the kind of report you may hear on the news, something like,
“The economy grew by 0.13 percent last month.” That number is so small and the
error involved in such matters is so substantial, there is a chance the economy
may actually have shrunk.</p>
<p>Identifying two patterns doesn’t
necessary mean one is caused by the other. It’s easy to ascribe meaning to
patterns we see in the world around us. But just because we can see two
patterns, it doesn’t mean one causes the other. It’s possible that both of the
patterns identified in a study are caused by a third factor, sometimes called a
confounding variable.</p>
<p><b><a href="http://koyalgroup1.blogspot.com/">Scientists
are human. Scientists are people</a></b>. We do our
best, but that doesn’t make us perfect. Scientists have several reasons to try
to promote the work that’s been done, quite apart from whatever merit it may
have. Scientists want to have successful careers and that means promoting
results obtained in the lab or field. For some scientists, professional status
really matters, and for most scientists today, further funding is an issue
always kept in mind.</p>
<p>It’s important for the general
public to bear in mind some of the limits of science. Technical research is
still the best way we have of understanding the natural world, an approach that
brings us astonishing advances every few years. But a scientist - and science
itself - is not perfect.</p>
<p>Dr. E. Kirsten Peters, a native
of the rural Northwest, was trained as a geologist at Princeton and Harvard.
This column is a service of the College of Agricultural, Human, and Natural
Resource Sciences at Washington State University.</p>
<p><b><i><a href="http://www.newsdemocrat.com/news/opinion/3463379/How-to-better-interpret-what-you-hear-from-scientists">Read
This Article</a></i></b></p>

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