Midterm Election Analysis by https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44 Texas Senate Race en-us 2018-11-05 00:29:27 UTC 2024-10-15 10:05:54 UTC hello@padlet.com Candidates emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300276155 Ted Cruz - Republican
  • American politician and attorney serving as the junior US senator from Texas since 2013
  • Was a Republican candidate for the the 2016 President election
  • The incumbent senator for Texas at the moment
  • Graduated from Princeton University and went to Harvard Law

Beto O’Rourke - Democrat
  • Previously on the El Paso City Council (2005-2011)
  • Part of the US House Texas 16th Congressional District
  • Worked for a Manhattan web tech company and co-founded Stanton Street Technology and he earned a BA from Columbia University
  • Running as a progressive

Neal Dikeman - Libertarian
  • Founded Jane Capital at 25 and co-founded 7 other technology start-ups
  • Venture capitalist at the parent company YellowPages.com and at Shell Oil
  • Was an active investor and the chairman of the Cleantech.org network and Greenhome.com

]]> 2018-11-05 00:31:53 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300276155 Voter Registration Laws in Texas emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300276674
  • To vote one must be an American citizen, a Texas resident, at least 18 years old, not convicted of a felony or if so, fully discharged of sentence or have been pardoned.
  • To register you must fill out the form and send/deliver it to the County Voter Registrar at least 30 days before election day in order to be eligible to vote.
  • Voters must have an acceptable photo ID with them when they go vote on election day.

    • ]]>     2018-11-05 00:35:13 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300276674     Interest Groups emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300276994 Beto O’Rourke
    • Total: $69,099,704
      • University of Texas - $365,312
      • Alphabet Inc. - $ 227,024
      • J Street - $139,734
    Ted Cruz
    • Total: $40,118,702
      • Woodforest Financial Group - $107,951
      • Senate Conservatives Funds - $95,761
      • NorPAC - $66,050

    ]]>     2018-11-05 00:37:37 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300276994     Major Issues emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300277187 Immigration
    • Ted Cruz
      • Very strong believer in preventing illegal immigration
      • Doesn’t want to give illegal immigrants the right to citizenship
      • Against amnesty and wants to punish those here illegally
    • Beto O’Rourke
      • Wants to pass DREAM to help those that were brought here as undocumented citizens find a permanent home and citizenship in the US
      • Wants to legalize the status of many immigrants and end the militarization of the immigration enforcement system
    Gun Safety/Second Amendment
    • Ted Cruz
      • Wants to allow interstate firearm sales and wants to stop any legislation that would restrict Second Amendment Rights
    • Beto O’Rourke
      • Wants the require background checks and stop selling weapons of mass destruction
      • Support research on gun violence to better understand and address root causes
    Jobs
    • Ted Cruz
      • Wants to repeal Obamacare and fought for Texas jobs by authoring the NASA Transition Authorization Act in March 2017
      • Fought against budget increases that failed to bring meaningful spending reforms
      • Opposed Internet Sales Tax and introduced the American Energy Renaissance Act to open up energy exploration
    • Beto O’Rourke
      • Wants to increase federal spending on infrastructure in order to create new construction and manufacturing jobs
      • Wants to protect the Earned Income Tax Credit and promote the Family and Medical Leave Act
      • Wants to invest in training, certification, and registered apprenticeship programs to keep pace with specialized professions

    ]]>     2018-11-05 00:39:00 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300277187     Candidates Endorsements emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300277568 Ted Cruz
    • Donald Trump
    Beto O’Rourke
    • Dallas Morning News
    • Houston Chronicle
    • Former CIA director - John Brennan

    ]]>     2018-11-05 00:41:54 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300277568     Texas Senate mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300278931 2018-11-05 00:50:57 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300278931 Demographic Makeup mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300279133 The demographic makeup of the state of Texas show that most of the population is white and a large portion of the population has at least a high school education. The large portion of the population in poverty and the equal amount of people over the age of 65 means that many of those will vote Republican.

    Texas
    12.3% of the population lives in poverty
    50.8% of the population is female
    15.6% of the population is over the age of 65]]>     2018-11-05 00:52:17 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300279133     emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300281087 2018-11-05 01:04:33 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300281087 emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300281370 2018-11-05 01:06:28 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300281370 Voter Turnout mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300281989 2016 -- 42.62%
    2012 -- 41.85%
    2008 -- 46.06%

    The average turnout over the past few elections is around 43% but since these number are from years of presidential elections the turnout for a midterm election could be even smaller. ]]>     2018-11-05 01:11:11 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300281989     2016 Election Results mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300283853 Trump won a large portion of the state of Texas and the state has also not voted democrat for the presidential election since Jimmy Carter was elected in 1976.]]> 2018-11-05 01:24:40 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300283853 Campaign Ad - Beto O'Rourke mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284657 "Our Live Ad"]]> 2018-11-05 01:30:59 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284657 Campaign Ad - Ted Cruz mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284749 "Completely Ridiculous"

    ]]>     2018-11-05 01:31:49 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284749     NYT Upshot/Sienna College Poll emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284881 October 8-11, 2018
    Sample Size: 800
    MOE: +/-3.6
    The data suggests that Cruz is leading by a high enough margin that even if all those that were undecided were to vote for O'Rourke he would still lose the election.]]>     2018-11-05 01:32:59 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284881     CBS News by YouGov mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284906 October 2-5
    Margin of Error of +/- 4.2
    Sample Size of 881
    The data suggests that though Cruz is leading if all those undecided decided to vote for O'Rourke then it would be an extremely close race and he might have a chance of winning the election.]]>     2018-11-05 01:33:18 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300284906     CNN by SRSS mgiot8 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300286040 October 9-13
    Margin of Error of +/- 4.5
    Sample Size of 716
    The data suggests that Cruz is leading by a wide margin and even the addition of the undecided voters to O'Rourke would still not win him the election. ]]>     2018-11-05 01:41:21 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300286040     Our Prediction emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300287898 We believe Beto O'Rourke will win the Texas Senate election because the money from his interest groups was higher and he has better endorsers such as, Dallas Morning News and the Houston Chronicle. Although it's shown in the polls that Cruz will win because his percentage is higher, O'Rourke isn't too far behind Cruz, so we believe that with O'Rourke's popularity from his campaigns and endorsers, that he'll win. ]]> 2018-11-05 01:54:36 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300287898 Work Cited emilyhk1801 https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300301475 Albertson, Bethany. “Race for the Senate 2018: Key Issues in Texas.” Brookings, Brookings, 2 Nov. 2018, www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2018/11/01/race-for-the-senate-2018-key-issues-in-texas/.
    “Colin Allred | Issues | Education.” Colin Allred for Congress | TX-32 | U.S. House Candidate, www.colinallred.com/education.
    “Colin Allred | Issues | Energy & Environment.” Colin Allred for Congress | TX-32 | U.S. House Candidate, www.colinallred.com/energyandenvironment.
    “Colin Allred | Issues | Healthcare.” Colin Allred for Congress | TX-32 | U.S. House Candidate, www.colinallred.com/healthcare.
    “Education & Special Education.” Congressman Pete Sessions, sessions.house.gov/issues/education-special-education.
    “Environment/Conservation.” Congressman Pete Sessions, sessions.house.gov/issues/environmentconservation.
    “Gun Safety.” Beto for Senate, betofortexas.com/issue/gun-safety/.
    “Health Care & Disabilities.” Congressman Pete Sessions, sessions.house.gov/issues/health-care-disabilities.
    Human Rights Campaign. “HRC Endorses Colin Allred for U.S. Congress.” Human Rights Campaign, www.hrc.org/blog/hrc-endorses-colin-allred-for-congress.
    “Immigration.” Beto for Senate, betofortexas.com/issue/immigration/.
    “Jobs and Opportunity.” Ted Cruz for Senate, www.tedcruz.org/proven-leader/jobs-and-opportunity/.
    “Jobs.” Beto for Senate, betofortexas.com/issue/jobs/.
    “LCV Action Fund Endorses Colin Allred for Congress.” League of Conservation Voters, origin.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-colin-allred-congress/.
    “Midterm Election Poll: Texas Senate, Cruz vs. O'Rourke.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 8 Oct. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-txsen-2.html.
    “Midterm Election Poll: Texas' 32nd District, Sessions vs. Allred.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 19 Sept. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-tx32-1.html.
    Montanaro, Domenico. “From 'Lyin' Ted' To 'Beautiful': How Trump And Cruz Found Political Love.” NPR, NPR, 23 Oct. 2018, www.npr.org/2018/10/22/659692611/from-lyin-ted-to-beautiful-how-trump-and-cruz-found-political-love.
    Morin, Rebecca, et al. “Cruz Hammers Brennan for Endorsing Beto O'Rourke.” POLITICO, 2 Nov. 2018, www.politico.com/story/2018/11/02/cruz-brennan-endorses-orourke-956855.
    “National Rifle Association Endorses Dallas Rep. Pete Sessions.” Dallas News, 20 Sept. 2018, www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2018/09/20/national-rifle-association-endorses-dallas-rep-pete-sessions.
    “Obama's First Midterm Endorsements Include Democrat Colin Allred for Dallas Congressional Seat .” Dallas News, 1 Aug. 2018, www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2018/08/01/obama-backs-democrat-colin-allred-dallass-congressional-district-32-first-endorsements.
    “Pete Sessions Has Soap Opera Moment after Dallas Mayor Mike Rawlings Backs Colin Allred for Congress.” Dallas News, 24 Oct. 2018, www.dallasnews.com/news/2018-elections/2018/10/24/pete-sessions-soap-opera-moment-after-dallas-mayor-mike-rawlings-backs-colin-allred-congress.
    “Rep. Pete Sessions - Texas District 32.” OpenSecrets, www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/contributors?cid=N00005681&cycle=2018.
    “Second Amendment.” Ted Cruz for Senate, www.tedcruz.org/proven-leader/second-amendment/.
    “Securing the Border.” Ted Cruz for Senate, www.tedcruz.org/proven-leader/securing-the-border/.
    “Senate Races: GOP up in Texas, Tennessee; Dems up in Arizona, New Jersey - CBS News Poll.” CBS News, CBS Interactive, 7 Oct. 2018, www.cbsnews.com/news/senate-races-gop-up-in-texas-tennessee-dems-up-in-arizona-new-jersey-cbs-news-poll/?wpisrc=nl_daily202&wpmm=1.
    Svitek, Patrick. “Trump Endorses Dallas Congressman Pete Sessions for Re-Election.” The Texas Tribune, Texas Tribune, 15 Sept. 2018, www.texastribune.org/2018/09/15/donald-trump-endorses-dallas-congressman-pete-sessions-re-election/.
    “Ted Cruz.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Ted_Cruz.
    “Texas Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates.” Election Hub, www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/texas/.
    “Texas Secretary of State.” Texas Voting, www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/pamphlets/largepamp.shtml.
    “Texas Senate 2018 Race.” OpenSecrets, www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2018&id=TXS2&spec=N.
    “Texas' 32nd Congressional District.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Texas%27_32nd_Congressional_District.
    “Texas' 32nd Congressional District Election, 2018.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Texas%27_32nd_Congressional_District_election,_2018.
    “United States Senate Election in Texas, 2018.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas,_2018.
    “United States Senate Elections in Texas, 2012.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections_in_Texas,_2012.
    “U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Dallas County, Texas; Collin County, Texas; Texas; UNITED STATES.” Census Bureau QuickFacts, www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/dallascountytexas,collincountytexas,tx,US/PST045217.
    “U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: UNITED STATES.” Census Bureau QuickFacts, www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/PST045217.
    “The Voter's Self Defense System.” Vote Smart, votesmart.org/candidate/288/pete-sessions#.W9xcIHpKhAY.
    “We Recommend Beto O'Rourke for U.S. Senate.” Dallas News, 25 Oct. 2018, www.dallasnews.com/opinion/editorials/2018/10/25/recommend-beto-orourke-us-senate.
    Wise, Justin. “Houston Chronicle Endorses Beto O'Rourke in Texas Senate Race.” TheHill, 19 Oct. 2018, thehill.com/homenews/campaign/412284-houston-chronicle-endorses-beto-orourke-in-texas-senate-race.
    ]]>     2018-11-05 03:24:37 UTC https://padlet.com/emilyhk1801/nv5t99nyv44/wish/300301475