Midterm Election Project - TX Attorney General by Morgan Boerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn By Morgan and Bethany en-us 2018-10-26 02:34:21 UTC 2025-04-28 19:37:52 UTC hello@padlet.com Ken Paxton morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297246425 -Current Texas Attorney General
-Republican
-Incumbent]]> 2018-10-26 02:36:40 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297246425 Background Info. + Info. on Candidate morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297246590 -Uncontested in primary race for Republican candidate
-Part of the House of Representatives from 2002-2010 (TX District 70)
-Part of the Senate from 2013-2015 (TX District 8
-Worked as part of the in-house counsel for J.C. Penney Company
-Headed his own law firm in McKinney, TX, for 14 yrs
-He is under indictment for 3 fraud-related felonies from private business dealings in 2011-2012]]> 2018-10-26 02:37:55 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297246590 Party Platform - Republican morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297249115 -Conservative views on abortion, gun rights, border security, and religious-based rights]]> 2018-10-26 02:57:53 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297249115 Justin Nelson bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297524303 -Candidate for Texas Attorney General
-Democrat
-Running against an incumbent]]> 2018-10-26 18:01:42 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297524303 Party Platform- Democrat bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297525418 -Fighting Corruption by protecting and defending the Texas Ethics Commission
-Liberal views on Public education
-End Gerrymandering

]]> 2018-10-26 18:03:43 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297525418 Background Info. + Info. on Candidate bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297530482  -Uncontested in primary race for Democratic candidate
-First time running
-Lawyer
-Professor at UT Law School
Former law clerk to Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O'Conner
-Founder of the non-profit One Nation One Vote
-Native-born Texan]]> 2018-10-26 18:13:42 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/297530482 Texas Demographic morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298802659 Population: 26,956,435
Race:                             Age:
White: 43.4%                65+: 11.5%
Hispanic: 38.3%          40-64: 30.6%
Black: 11.9%                22-39: 25.6%
Asian: 4.4%                 18-21: 5.86%
Mixed: 1.6%                 0-17: 26.5%
Other: 0.4%]]> 2018-10-31 01:03:05 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298802659 morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298805874 2018-10-31 01:18:31 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298805874 morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298806852 2018-10-31 01:22:59 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298806852 morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298806982 2018-10-31 01:23:31 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298806982 Texas Voter Legislation Laws morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298807457 -Must have some form of ID with you to vote. If one doesn't have an ID, they need to sign a sworn statement and show a birth certificate, bank statement, etc. that is accepted by the government.]]> 2018-10-31 01:25:12 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298807457 Voter turnout in the 2016 election bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298815862 2018-10-31 02:08:45 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298815862 Voter Registration bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298820333 - Must be a citizen of the United States
-Must be a resident of the county in which the application for registration is made 
-Must be at least 17 years and 10 months old (must be 18 to vote) 
-Must not be convicted of felony, and if convicted, must have fully discharged punishment 
-Must have not been declared mentally incompetent by final judgment of a court of law]]> 2018-10-31 02:38:48 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/298820333 Winner of the 2016 Election bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/299911987 Ken Paxton ]]> 2018-11-02 17:32:22 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/299911987 Ken Paxton Endorsement bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/299912710 -Texas conservative leaders (such as Ann Hettinger)
-National conservative leaders (such as Dick Armey)
-Those who support Pro-Life and Family Values (such as Texas Right To Life) 
-Those who support the Second Amendment (such as Gun Owners of America) 
-Elected and State officials (such as Senator Charles Perry) 
-Conservative and Grassroots organizations (such as FreedomWorks)
-Those who support Business and Medical (such as Texas Medical Association) 
-Law Enforcement and First Responders (such as Dallas Police Association) 
-Harris County Leadership endorsements (such as Al Hartman)
-Grassroots leaders and activists (such as Scott Franklin)
-Current and former SREC members (such as Stephen Lee) 
-Over 220 Tyler/Smith County business and community leaders, Republican activists, and current and former elected officials
-Over 100 Tea Party leaders and activists across Texas]]> 2018-11-02 17:33:42 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/299912710 Justin Nelson Endorsement bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/299928963 -MoveOn.org Political Action
-Planned Parenthood Texas Votes
-Sierra Club-Lone Star Chapter 
-Texas AFL-CIO
-United Auto Workers]]> 2018-11-02 18:01:09 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/299928963 morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300015609 2018-11-03 00:11:34 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300015609 Popularity Polls morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300015699 Source: University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
Size: statewide
Sample: 1200 RV
Released/Updated: October 2018
Error Margin: +/- 3.22%
Explanation: Paxton is ahead of Nelson in popularity by 8%,  48-36 percent.]]> 2018-11-03 00:13:15 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300015699 morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300016793 Source: Texas Lyceum Poll
Released: August 2018
Size: statewide
Sample: 441 LV
Error Margin: +/- 3.45%
Explanation: Paxton is ahead of Nelson, 35-25 percent.]]> 2018-11-03 00:30:00 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300016793 morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300017930 Source: Dixie Strategies Poll
Released: September 2018
SIze: statewide
Sample: 519
Error Margin: +/- 4.3%
Explanation: Paxton is 6% ahead of Nelson in popularity, 45-39 percent.]]> 2018-11-03 00:43:55 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300017930 Paxton Campaign Ad morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300018747 2018-11-03 00:54:03 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300018747 Nelson Campaign Ad morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300018777 2018-11-03 00:54:30 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300018777 Paxton Interest Groups morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300023466 -In-State | $7,346,742.66
-Out-Of-State | $433,152.37
--------------------------------
Top Industries:
-Uncoded | $3,301,561.26
-Oil & Gas | $1,270,501.32
-Lawyers & Lobbyists | $508,762.02
--------------------------------
Top Sectors:
Energy & Natural Resources | $1,350,251.32
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate | $915,307.43
General Business | $666,350.00
]]> 2018-11-03 02:13:46 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300023466 Nelson Interest Groups morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300023672 -In-State | $2,189,610.60
-Out-Of-State | $479,824.89
--------------------------------
Top Industries:
-Uncoded | $1,530,832.74
-Candidate Contributions | $500,000.00
-Lawyers & Lobbyists | $490,083.13
--------------------------------
Top Sectors:
-Candidate Contributions | $504,300.00
-Lawyers & Lobbyists | $490,083.13
-Labor | $90,558.00]]> 2018-11-03 02:17:52 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300023672 Major Issues of debate bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300125065  -Ken Paxton’s fraud indictment 
-Illegal Immigration 
-Trafficking ]]> 2018-11-04 00:38:08 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300125065 Why Does Endorsement Matter? bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300125273 Endorsement matters because it shows voters who support different candidates. For example, when President Trump endorses Ted Cruz, that makes him look good to people who agree with and support President Trump.]]> 2018-11-04 00:41:41 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300125273 Fraud Indictment bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300236947 Ken Paxton has been indicted with fraud and could face years of jail time. Justin Nelson is making this the focus of his debate with Paxton. Neither Democrats nor Republicans support fraud indictment so Justin Nelson is falling in line with his party. Ken Paxton is just going against the law. ]]> 2018-11-04 19:56:16 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300236947 Illegal Immigration bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300237454 Ken Paxton is against illegal immigration, which falls in line with the Republican Party. Justin Nelson is, as Ken Paxton claims, “soft on illegal immigration” which falls in line with the Democratic Party. ]]> 2018-11-04 19:59:15 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300237454 Human Trafficking bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300238078 One of Ken Paxton’s main issues is human sex trafficking, which he hasworked  to get rid of in Texas throughout his last term, which falls in line with both parties. Justin Nelson doesn’t focus too much on this issue, which isn’t really the focus of either party. ]]> 2018-11-04 20:03:01 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300238078 My Prediction morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300302449 I believe Ken Paxton will win this midterm election for the Texas Attorney General.]]> 2018-11-05 03:33:02 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300302449 Evidence morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300302600 -Paxton is winning in popularity polls across the state. He's ahead of Nelson by 5-10% in several polls which may seem close, but is still quite the gap. More interest groups are giving him money, as well, showing that citizens and business are leaning more toward him.
-Paxton is an incumbent meaning he's fighting to keep the position he already has. People generally don't like change and don't find the need to fix what isn't inherently broken. He's also Republican and Nelson is Democrat so the odds of Texas, a conservative state, kicking out their conservative attorney general and issuing in a Democrat to take his place is very unlikely.]]> 2018-11-05 03:34:20 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300302600 Alternate Perspective morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300304173 One of Nelson's defining tactics in his campaign is that Paxton has been indicted for fraud. One would think this would be enough for people to want him out of office, right?
Well, no, not necessarily.]]> 2018-11-05 03:45:39 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300304173 Counter morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300304592 Honestly, while it's being looked to be replaced, voting straight ticket is still a voting method many use in Texas and, since this is a state mostly made up of Republicans, odds are Paxton will be included in their vote. People also just don't like change that they don't necessarily see as beneficial. Paxton seems to have been doing okay despite these fraud counts, so more conservatives are likely to see this as a negative that still beats voting someone completely new into office (especially since the other person running isn't conservative). Also, people like me who don't watch much TV haven't seen the ads claiming he's committed fraud. I didn't know until I did this project. SO that alone probably will not cause him to lose the election this year.]]> 2018-11-05 03:48:34 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300304592 My Prediction bethw2319 https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300305215 -I think Ken Paxton will win the election.
-The first reason is because he’s an incumbent. Incumbents usually win elections, especially when their party holds the majority in the state. Texas has usually leaned Republican, and Ken Paxton is a Republican incumbent. 
-The second reason is because he’s winning in the most recent popularity polls. The popularity polls give likely outcomes of elections, and while at times they can be wrong, they are often accurate. I believe the popularity polls for this election. 
-Justin Nelson could win by highlighting Ken Paxton’s fraud indictment. That alone has brought the race fairly close, so Justin Nelson could win by making Ken Paxton look like a criminal. However, I doubt that would happen since many people either don’t take voting seriously and don’t pay attention to what the candidates are saying about each other. Many Texans are Republican so they’ll probably see that Ken Paxton is Republican and vote for him, or they might recognize his name since he’s an incumbent. ]]> 2018-11-05 03:52:24 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300305215 Sources: morganboerner https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300311438 Public Opinion Polls:
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/latest-poll
https://www.texaslyceum.org/resources/Documents/2018PollPressRelease2.pdf
https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/2018-election-polling-texas
Candidates websites:
https://kenpaxton.com/
https://www.nelsonfortexas.com/
Party websites:
https://www.texasgop.org/
https://www.txdemocrats.org/
https://www.gop.com/
https://democrats.org/
Secretary of State website for the state:
https://www.sos.state.tx.us/
]]> 2018-11-05 04:41:21 UTC https://padlet.com/morganboerner/maarklmwlpjn/wish/300311438