Scenario planning and Innovation by Natalia https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu Why is scenario planning important in times of Innovation? en-us 2022-03-26 06:12:24 UTC 2025-10-09 09:27:36 UTC hello@padlet.com churchillnatalia2_1 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114610898 2022-03-26 06:17:16 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114610898 VUCA https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673628 reminds us of the fact that there are things we don't know (challenges the existing mental models). Thus, we think not only about likely events while creating strategies, but also start thinking about other possibilities in order to save ourselves in the future. Monika]]> 2022-03-26 08:51:08 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673628 Because https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673663 the underlying action of scenario planning is learning and understanding about your organization and its context. After knowing the facts and ongoing processes, then change and innovation can be introduced easier.
Monika


]]> 2022-03-26 08:51:12 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673663 Strong positive https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673686 Learning organization which wants to introduce change in any process most likely will use innovative ideas because this organization always seeks for the best, modern, and effective outcomes. They in turn correlate with innovation very much.
Monika]]> 2022-03-26 08:51:14 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673686 Reason u3586759 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673717 Cici: When the organization create the senario, it should consider the organization's current situation, existing problems, future development and so on. And the scenario will  consist of the short-term and long-term goal. This can help the boss know more about the organization and create a vision for better future or increased tension about a bad future. So the employees will think that 'Oh I have to change so that I will get a bright future or avoid a bad development'.]]> 2022-03-26 08:51:18 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673717 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673750 Because it is important to analyze the scenario factors from various aspects that might enhance or slow down the changes in the learning organizations. 
Gabrielle]]> 2022-03-26 08:51:22 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673750 Ann https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673968 When the organisations do the scenario planning, they will know more about the background and real situation of the organisations deeper when they consider how to deal with the various scenario.]]> 2022-03-26 08:51:35 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114673968 Ann https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674121 In a learning organization, only when people or organization accept change, will they have possibility of creating innovation.]]> 2022-03-26 08:51:49 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674121 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674294 Scenario planning enables organisations to prepare for certain situations in advance and to implement innovations better when the context of the scenario is understood.
Rola]]> 2022-03-26 08:52:09 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674294 Why https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674370 Because  organizations need to consider the possible positive or negative consequences and countermeasures of taking a certain action. Like we often say plan B, or even plan C. For example, if a teacher in the school leaves, the academic department needs to plan ahead for another teacher to complete the teaching task. Things don't necessarily go the way we think. Even though we can't predict all situations, we can control most potential things as much as possible.
Fiona]]> 2022-03-26 08:52:17 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674370 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674451 Chen Lu' view：VUCA informs organizations that the environment is changing, that everything is in uncertainty, and that planning different scenarios enhances the organization's ability to cope with change]]> 2022-03-26 08:52:26 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674451 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674924 Change and innovation are interdependent, change requires innovative ideas and innovation requires change to be realised.
Rola]]> 2022-03-26 08:53:06 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674924 July's answer https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674926 Because learning organizations can be used to measure participants' perceptions of learning organization characteristics before and after scenario planning]]> 2022-03-26 08:53:06 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114674926 zhang hang https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675047 VUCA model can help the leaders or managers look into and analyze the changes in the business or industry. And it can remind the leaders or managers to avoid using the old ways of dealing with the changes]]> 2022-03-26 08:53:20 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675047 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675069 Chen Lu' view ：Learning organizations can innovate from one small change to another, and they keep changing, keep innovation]]> 2022-03-26 08:53:22 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675069 u3586759 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675199 Cici: Uncertainty requires organizations to think about possible future developments, for better or worse.]]> 2022-03-26 08:53:40 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675199 u3586759 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675665 Cici: Change can happen easily, but innovation takes time and effort.]]> 2022-03-26 08:54:37 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114675665 Scott https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114676046 Every single decision in learning organization is a choice under a degree of uncertainty; In practice what we end up doing is basing our choices on possible outcomes and best case predictions about where the future is going to go. And scenario planing is a such kind of tools to help learning organization predict the future and make better choices in the short run and long run.]]> 2022-03-26 08:55:26 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114676046 Because scenario planning can help organizations to anticipate possible problems to solve in time and promote the development of the organization. So, it is important for learning organizations. https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114676303 Annphia]]> 2022-03-26 08:55:57 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114676303 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114676574 In a learning organization, innovations are changes that are good for the development of the organization. The innovation diffusion needs the soil of changes in an organization.
Gabrielle]]> 2022-03-26 08:56:33 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114676574 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114677347 I think change happens often, but innovation doesn't. For example, the recruitment and departure of company personnel belong to change, but not to innovation. If there is a new situation in the organizational structure, it may be innovation.
Fiona]]> 2022-03-26 08:58:12 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114677347 July's view https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114677530 Strategies in VUCA must be situationally aware and malleable. Be sure to separate strategy from your vision and align strategy development with the scenarios you create. Sometimes the scenarios are very diverse, develop a strategy that works for everyone, and then keep an eye out for early signs.]]> 2022-03-26 08:58:39 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114677530 Annphia https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114678040 VUCA stands for volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. In order to mitigate the impact of a VUCA environment on complex projects, organizations and project leaders need to know the type and severity of challenges they are dealing with in each unique project. The model can help to 
  1. Anticipate hard to detect issues ("unknown unknowns")
  2. Understand the consequences of issues and actions.
  3. Appreciate the interdependence of variables.
  4. Prepare for alternative realities and challenges.
  5. Interpret and address relevant opportunities.
]]> 2022-03-26 08:59:47 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114678040 https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114678929 It helps the decision makers bear in mind what challenges they can grab to develop them into opportunities. Like, change the complexity into clarity.
Gabrielle]]> 2022-03-26 09:01:46 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114678929 Annphia https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114679583 When an organization faces some challenges and need to change, it will have chance to innovate. And the innovation can foster the organization to change vice versa.]]> 2022-03-26 09:03:03 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114679583 July's view https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114682667 There is a positive relationship between  change and innovation in learning. Innovation and change go hand in hand. Change can foster innovation. Innovation can also foster change.]]> 2022-03-26 09:09:49 UTC https://padlet.com/churchillnatalia2_1/k57thwic5i9nuesu/wish/2114682667