AP Gov - Midterm Election Analysis Project by Gurmehr Klair https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx en-us 2018-10-22 17:43:55 UTC 2025-12-19 11:29:56 UTC hello@padlet.com https://padlet-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/icons/Growing.png jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300246097 2018-11-04 20:52:24 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300246097 jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300246171 2018-11-04 20:52:53 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300246171 About jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300250745 Jeff Denham is the 51-year-old Republican candidate running in California’s District 10. He is an incumbent seeking his 4th term in office.

After graduating from California Polytechnic San Luis Obispo, he worked in the agriculture industry as an almond rancher and businessman. Then, he served in the United States Air Force for 16 years. Following this, he served as a California State Senator from 2002 to 2010.

Denham just celebrated his 25th anniversary with his wife, Sonia; together they have two children.]]> 2018-11-04 21:24:43 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300250745 About jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300252187 Josh Harder is the 31-year-old Democrat candidate running in California’s District 10.

He is a fifth generation resident of the Central Valley; he grew up in Turlock, CA . He attended Stanford University, majoring in Political Science and Economics. Afterwards, he worked at Boston Consulting Group then organized small farmers in Kenya and Uganda. Then, he went to Harvard and worked as a venture capitalist. Now, he teaches business at Modesto Junior College.

In August, he married Pamela Sud.]]> 2018-11-04 21:35:56 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300252187 Position jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300254857 Jeff Denham, a right conservative, is mainly focused on finding a solution to water storage in the Central Valley. Although he is key target for Democrats, his involvement in water issues has proven him tough to beat since water is essential to the agriculture there. Trump recently signed legislation giving Denham federal funding to build water storage. This is exciting for the district but also seen as political strategy since it occurred right before the midterm elections. Even though Trump signed this legislation, he is staying away from the area because he is not popular in the district. This could bring Denham down due to party affiliation, but Denham’s strong stance on local issues makes him a tough candidate to beat.

Unlike Harder, Denham is pro-life when it comes to abortion. 

Another issue Denham focuses on is immigration, especially since his father-in-law is a Mexican immigrant who became a citizen, and immigrants make up a significant part of the farming labor in the district. He has also stood up to party leaders to reform immigration policy. In office, Denham attempted to get signatures on a “discharge position” that could have forced a vote on immigration reform, but he abandoned it when he was a few signatures short. Denham has worked hard on immigration reform and said this on the topic: “I introduced the bills. I stood up to party leadership and forced a vote on our own bill... including making sure we have a guest worker program... I took a lot of criticism in the primary. Took a lot of criticism from my own party. At the end of the day, I’m going to do what’s right.” 

Another group he fights for is veterans. This is descriptive representation, as he is a veteran as well. Under Obama, he was granted money for veterans, demonstrating how he can work with both Democrats and Republicans. 

While in office he voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act, which he strongly opposes. 

In addition, he helped pass the Federal Asset Sale Transfer Act to save taxpayers billions of dollars and improve management of federal property.

As an incumbent, he says he has solved problems in the past such as getting people social security checks, passports, and visas. ]]> 2018-11-04 21:53:28 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300254857 Position jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300254872 Josh Harder, District 10’s moderate democratic candidate, wants to bring more well-paying jobs and investments to the Central Valley. In addition, he wants to increase access to health care, expedite the process on immigration reform, and build water infrastructure. Harder is pro-choice on abortion and hopes to reduce federal debt.

He claims he will work with all parties to help local farms and businesses thrive. He plans to do this by investing in education and infrastructure to create more well-paying jobs.

He also commits to standing up to President Trump and fight his agenda when it threatens the residents of the Central Valley and their values.

Harder’s top priority is health care, as California’s 10th District has a high number of people with pre-existing conditions and a large low-income population that is dependent on Medi-Cal. He will push to make sure that insurers cannot reject someone because of their pre-existing conditions. He also supports the Affordable Care Act, which Denham voted to repeal. Harder wants to ensure that those in District 10 have access to care.

Furthermore, Harder insists he will support water storage like Denham, but Denham has the advantage here since he has a history as an incumbent of doing so.

Harder believes that in order to make change in immigration policy and help decrease poverty levels, leadership in Washington needs to be changed. ]]> 2018-11-04 21:53:37 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300254872 jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300256276 The primary in California’s 10th District is a blanket primary, meaning Harder and Denham have already run against each other in order to be candidates in the general election.

Denham received 35,100 votes, accounting for 37.8% of the vote, while Harder received 15,532 votes, equaling 16.7% of the vote.

Six Democrats and two Republicans ran. Combined, the Republicans got 52.2% of the vote in the primaries.

However, it is important to note that primaries generally have less turnout than general elections, so these numbers are nor necessarily indicative of the results of the general election.]]> 2018-11-04 22:03:53 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300256276 Campaign jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300256995 This election has been very heated, from the debates to advertisements.

Denham attempts to paint Harder as an outsider, calling him “Bay Area Harder”. In one of their debates, Denham mentioned the Bay Area more than thirteen times. He accused this region of causing climate change and threatening the water in the Central Valley.

Denham has also condemned Harder’s pro-choice view, even on late-term abortion, and called it “absolutely disgusting”

In addition, Denham’s campaign and supporters released voting records showing that Harder illegally voted in two locations in the 2016 election. However, he actually only voted in San Francisco not Stanislaus County. They also made it public knowledge that Harder only voted in 17 out of 20 elections.

The two candidates have also fought over their slogans, which are quite similar. Denham’s is “From the Valley. For the Valley”, and Harder’s is “Of the Valley. For the Valley.”]]> 2018-11-04 22:08:46 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300256995 Campaign jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300257010 Both Denham and Harder have worked endlessly during this race to sully the name of the other and paint themselves as the better candidate.

Harder called Denham a pawn of national Republicans who has failed to represent his constituents. Denham has voted with Trump and Republicans 97.8% of the time, despite the district being split between the parties (only .8% more Republican). 57% of voters disapprove of Trump, yet Denham has sided with him on the majority of issues, thus failing to represent half his constituents.

In debates Denham has shouted at and interrupted Harder, who has responded by shrugging in disbelief and smirking. Harder has called Denham “do nothing Denham” and “disappointing Denham” in tweets.

Despite this brawl, the candidates remain civil outside the election, for Denham congratulated Harder on his marriage and Harder congratulated Denham on his 25th wedding anniversary.  ]]> 2018-11-04 22:08:53 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300257010 sfujii_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300258909 2018-11-04 22:22:24 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300258909 Demographic Makeup sfujii_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300258958 Gender
Male: 50.3%
Female: 49.7%

Race
White: 41%
Hispanic: 44%
Asian: 7%
Black: 3%
Islander: 1%
Other: 3%]]> 2018-11-04 22:22:43 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300258958 Information About District 10 sfujii_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300260642
  • In 2016, Hillary won the district, making this a target for Democrats in 2018 midterms.
  • 57% of voters disapprove of Trump.
  • There is only a 0.8% difference between the number of Republicans and Democrats.
  • District 10 is an agricultural district, mainly producing nuts and fruits.
  • Water and its storage is a popular issue for constituents due to the frequent droughts in California and their reliance on agriculture.
    • ]]>     2018-11-04 22:35:24 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300260642     2016 Election sfujii_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300263835 The 2016 election candidates were Jeff Denham, the Republican incumbent, and Michael Eggman, the Democratic candidate.

    In the primaries, Denham and Eggman received 47.7% and 27.6% of the vote respectively. They beat Democrat Michael Barkley, who received 14.5% of the vote, and Republican Robert Hodges, who received 10.2% of votes. 

    In the general election, Jeff Denham won by receiving 51.7% of the votes, while Michael Eggman received 48.3%.]]>     2018-11-04 22:58:43 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300263835     Voter Registration sfujii_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300265286 There is no requirement for ID at polling offices, unless they are a first time voter. CA Driver's license, ID Number, or Social Security number are acceptable forms of identification.

    Requirements For Voters:
    • US Citizen
    • California Resident
    • 18+ on Election Day
    • Not currently in prison or on parole for felony conviction

    Online Registration:
    • CA driver's license or ID number
    • Social Security
    • Birthdate

    Mail Registration:
    • CA Driver's license or ID number or Social Security Number
    • Must apply to vote by mail

    Voting Early
    • California voters can vote before Election Day.
    • The early voting period runs from Monday, October 8 to Monday, November 5.
    ]]>     2018-11-04 23:09:45 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300265286     Work Cited sfujii_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300265955 “California's 10th Congressional District.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/California's_10th_Congressional_District.

    “California Election Results: 10th House District.” The New York Times, The New York Times, www.nytimes.com/elections/results/california-house-district-10-primary-election.

    “Census Profile: Congressional District 10, CA.” Census Reporter, censusreporter.org/profiles/50000US0610-congressional-district-10-ca/.

    “Voter Registration in California.” DMV.ORG, www.dmv.org/ca-california/voter-registration.php.
    ]]>     2018-11-04 23:15:06 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300265955     jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276609 2018-11-05 00:34:43 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276609 jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276725 2018-11-05 00:35:31 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276725 jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276748 2018-11-05 00:35:43 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276748 jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276874 2018-11-05 00:36:46 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300276874 jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300277078  ]]> 2018-11-05 00:38:13 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300277078 Jeff Denham ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288132 According to FiveThirtyEight, Jeff Denham has a 22.7% chance of winning the elections. His forecasted vote share is 47.6%.]]> 2018-11-05 01:56:10 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288132 Josh Harder ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288433 According to FiveThirtyEight, Josh Harder has a 77.3% chance of winning the elections. His forecasted vote share is 52.4%.]]> 2018-11-05 01:58:12 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288433 Poll Evaluation ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288471 Sample Size
    • The sample size for this poll is not clear since FiveThirtyEight uses a culmination of multiple polls.
    • However, this increases the credibility of the poll since they took into account various poll results and adjusted their weight according to larger sample sizes and higher-quality polling agencies.

    Margin of Error
    • The margin of error for the forecasted vote share is     +/- 4.2%
    • Considering the difference between the two candidates' forecasted vote share is less than the cumulative margin of error, it is not guaranteed that Harder will win the election.
    • Although the results seem to be in Harder's favor, it is still possible for Denham to take the lead by approximately almost 3.6%.

    Source Credibility
    • FiveThirtyEight's poll can be regarded to be credible since it is a respected, high-quality poll by ABC News.
    • The evaluation above supports the credibility of the poll.

    ]]>     2018-11-05 01:58:30 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288471     Jeff Denham ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288732
  • Denham received $2,346,594 from PACs.
  • Denham has raised a total of $4,421,275.
    • ]]>     2018-11-05 02:00:32 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288732     Works Cited jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288887 Almukhtar, Sarah, et al. “California Primary Election Results.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 5 June 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/06/05/us/elections/results-california-primary-elections.html.]]> 2018-11-05 02:01:21 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300288887 Works Cited jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300289314 “About Jeff Denham | Congressman Jeff Denham | Learn More.” Jeff Denham for Congress, jeffdenham.com/about/.

    Bollag, Sophia, and MICHAEL R. BLOOD Associated Press. “House Democrats Look for Win in California Farm Belt.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/state/article220881895.html.

    Bycoffe. “Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump.” FiveThirtyEight, 10 Oct. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/jeff-denham/.

    “California Election Results: 10th House District.” The New York Times, The New York Times, www.nytimes.com/elections/results/california-house-district-10-primary-election.

    “California's 10th Congressional District.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/California%27s_10th_Congressional_District.

    “Central Valley Water Is Worth the Fight.” U.S. Representative Jeff Denham / Proudly Serving California's 10th Congressional District, denham.house.gov/.

    Irby, Kate. “How the GOP Tries to Combat Anti-Trump Sentiment in a Tossup District.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/article220794795.html.

    Irby, Kate. “Republican Outsiders Pour Millions into Saving Denham.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/article220098570.html.

    The New York Times. “2018 Election Calendar and Results.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 23 Jan. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/us/elections/calendar-primary-results.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “Denham, Harder Address Array of Issues in First Face-to-Face Meeting.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article218568320.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “Gloves Come off at Second Denham-Harder Debate as Candidates Trade Verbal Blows.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article218866140.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “Harder and Denham - a Fight to the Finish.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article220637860.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “What Have National Outlets Been Saying about Denham-Harder Battle? Here's a Look.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article220169415.html.

    VoteMatch - Candidate Political Map -, www.ontheissues.org/VoteMatch/candidate_map.asp?a1=5&a2=2&a3=5&a4=3&a9=5&a16=1&a10=1&a5=1&a7=2&a8=1&a14=5&a15=3&a17=2&a19=3&a18=1&a6=1&a20=5&a11=5&a12=1&a13=5&i1=1&i2=1&i3=1&i4=1&p=23&e=85&t=5.

    ]]>     2018-11-05 02:03:58 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300289314     Works Cited jdavied_19 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300289394 “About Josh.” Josh Harder for Congress, www.harderforcongress.com/.

    Bollag, Sophia, and MICHAEL R. BLOOD Associated Press. “House Democrats Look for Win in California Farm Belt.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/state/article220881895.html.

    Cadei, Emily. “Who's Writing Checks to Democrats in Central Valley House Races? Bay Area Liberals.” Sacbee, The Sacramento Bee, www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article216894890.html.

    “California Election Results: 10th House District.” The New York Times, The New York Times, www.nytimes.com/elections/results/california-house-district-10-primary-election.

    “California's 10th Congressional District.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/California%27s_10th_Congressional_District.
    Irby, Kate. “How the GOP Tries to Combat Anti-Trump Sentiment in a Tossup District.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/article220794795.html.

    Irby, Kate. “Republican Outsiders Pour Millions into Saving Denham.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/article220098570.html.

    The New York Times. “2018 Election Calendar and Results.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 23 Jan. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/us/elections/calendar-primary-results.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “Denham, Harder Address Array of Issues in First Face-to-Face Meeting.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article218568320.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “Gloves Come off at Second Denham-Harder Debate as Candidates Trade Verbal Blows.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article218866140.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “Harder and Denham - a Fight to the Finish.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article220637860.html.

    Stapley, Garth. “What Have National Outlets Been Saying about Denham-Harder Battle? Here's a Look.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article220169415.html.

    ]]>     2018-11-05 02:04:35 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300289394     Jeff Denham ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300291950 In the 2016 Presidential Elections, Jeff Denham supported Donald Trump. Denham even wrote that he finds Trump to be “disturbing, inappropriate and outlandish,” but he still preferred him over Hillary Clinton. He votes with Trump 97% of the time.]]> 2018-11-05 02:20:07 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300291950 Josh Harder ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300292079 In the 2016 Presidential Elections, Josh Harder did not support Donald Trump. ]]> 2018-11-05 02:21:03 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300292079 Jeff Denham ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300293499
  • Jim DeMartini, Supervisor, Stanislaus County
  • Terry Withrow, Supervisor, Stanislaus County
  • Kirstin Olsen, Supervisor, Stanislaus County
  • Dick Monteith, Supervisor, Stanislaus County
  • Adam Christianson, Sheriff, Stanislaus County
  • Tom Changnon, Superintendent of Schools, Stanislaus County
  • Stanislaus County Farm Bureau
  • Chris Vierra, Mayor, City of Ceres
  • Mike Kline, Council Member, City of Ceres
  • U.S. Chamber of Commerce
  • Etc.
    • ]]>     2018-11-05 02:31:08 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300293499     Josh Harder ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300293567
  • Barack Obama - former president
  • Adam Weber - Vice President of the Stanislaus State Democratic Club
  • Al Lucchesi - Former Mayor and Police Chief of Chowchilla
  • Alex Klassen - Tracy Resident
  • Anna Eshoo - US Congressperson
  • Arthur Azevedo - Attorney
  • Alyce Eversole - Tracy Moms For Progress
  • Astrid Zuniga - ADEM Delegate and Assembly District 21 Executive Board Member
  • Becky Campo - Former Mayor of Patterson
  • Bev Finley - Retired, CEO of Scenic Generic Hospital (currently Doctor's Hospital)
  • Bridget Hobbs - Knights Ferry School District Board Member
  • Etc. 

    • ]]>     2018-11-05 02:31:41 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300293567     Works Cited ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300294455 Holland, John. “Denham's Support for Trump Draws Fire from Democratic Rival.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/news/politics-government/election/article94963852.html.

    Board, The Modesto Bee Editorial. “Trump's Weight Crushing Denham. The Bee Is Recommending Harder.” Modbee, The Modesto Bee, www.modbee.com/opinion/editorials/article219307505.html.

    ]]>     2018-11-05 02:38:09 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300294455     Works Cited ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300295323 NateSilver538. “California 10th - 2018 House Forecast.” FiveThirtyEight, 2 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/california/10/.

    ]]>     2018-11-05 02:43:45 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300295323     ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300297301 2018-11-05 02:56:54 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300297301 ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300297775 2018-11-05 03:00:27 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300297775 Works Cited ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300298300 “Endorsements.” Jeff Denham, action.jeffdenham.com/endorsements/.

    “Endorsements.” Josh Harder for Congress, www.harderforcongress.com/endorsements/]]>     2018-11-05 03:04:14 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300298300     Contributions for Josh Harder ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300299175
  • Josh Harder has not taken donations from interest groups. He is running a people-donation campaign and wants to receive money from the people he is representing.
  • He has received donations from large corporations such as Google, Uber, and Facebook, estimated to be around 5 million dollars.
  • Harder receives an average of $25 from his supporters.
  • Harder raised $860,000 from the bay, and $27,000 from Modesto as of August.
  • In total, Josh Harder has raised about 7 million dollars, which is more that what Jeff Denham has raised. This is difficult and surprising, since Denham has the incumbency advantage.
    • ]]>     2018-11-05 03:10:17 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300299175     ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300299885 2018-11-05 03:15:34 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300299885 ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300299936 2018-11-05 03:15:51 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300299936 Top Contributing Groups for Jeff Denham ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300300090
  • Transportation Intermediaries Assn: $20,000
  • Berkshire Hathaway: $15,000
  • National Electrical Contractors Assn: $15,000
  • Air Line Pilots Assn: $10,000
  • American Trucking Assn: $10,000
  • Association of Oil PipeLines: $10,000
    • ]]>     2018-11-05 03:16:42 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300300090     Works Cited ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300301330 “Rep. Jeff Denham - Campaign Finance Summary.” OpenSecrets, www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/summary?cid=N00031593&cycle=2018&type=P.

    “California District 10 2018 Race.” OpenSecrets, www.opensecrets.org/races/candidates?cycle=2018&id=CA10&spec=N.

    ]]>     2018-11-05 03:23:38 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300301330     Gun Control ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300307955 Jeff Denham
    • Hasn’t discussed gun policy recently 
    Josh Harder 
    • Thinks responsible gun owners should be allowed to protect their homes
    • Doesn’t want changes for Central Valley gun owners 
    • Wants California’s reforms implemented worldwide 
    ]]>     2018-11-05 04:13:54 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300307955     Economy ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300307973 Jeff Denham 
    • Voted for the Republican tax bill
    Josh Harder 
    • Is against the Republican tax bill 
    ]]>     2018-11-05 04:14:02 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300307973     Immigration ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300307989 Jeff Denham
    • Supports a path to citizenship for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program recipients 
    • Opposes family separation policy 
    Josh Harder 
    • Supports a path to citizenship for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program recipients 
    • Supports bipartisan immigration reform 
    ]]>     2018-11-05 04:14:10 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300307989     Water Policy ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300308008 Jeff Denham 
    • Opposes the Delta Tunnel 
    • Will fight for local control of resources
    Josh Harder 
    • Opposes the Delta Tunnel
    • Will fight for the Valley’s long-term water security 
    • Supports projects that manage groundwater systems 
    ]]>     2018-11-05 04:14:19 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300308008     Healthcare ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300308026 Jeff Denham
    • Voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act 
    • Voted for Republicans’ American Health Care Act
    Josh Harder
    • Supports Medicare for all
    • Wants to reduce healthcare costs 
    • Wants to allow imports of medicine from Canada 
    ]]>     2018-11-05 04:14:28 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300308026     Works Cited ekidambi_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300310292 “10th District: Rep. Jeff Denham and Josh Harder.” Los Angeles Times, Los Angeles Times, 25 Oct. 2018, www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-ca-midterms-key-issues-10-20181025-story.html.]]> 2018-11-05 04:32:26 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300310292 Link gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300444178 2018-11-05 13:30:58 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300444178 Josh Harder gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300477475
  • Harder has received $280,652 from PACs.
  • Harder has raised a total of $7,003,682.
    • ]]>     2018-11-05 14:26:09 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300477475     Abortion gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300486791 Jeff Denham
    • Strongly pro-life
    Josh Harder
    • Pro-choice, even for later-term pregnancies
    ]]>     2018-11-05 14:38:56 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300486791     Thesis gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489587 According to the information presented in this Padlet, it seems likely that Josh Harder will win the midterm election and represent California's District 10 in the House of Representatives.]]> 2018-11-05 14:42:19 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489587 Supporting Point 1 gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489681 As stated earlier, 57% of the constituency of District 10 is strongly opposed against President Trump. However, Jeff Denham, being a conservative Republican, has voted with Trump 97% of the time. Josh Harder uses this avid disdain for Trump within the constituency and Denham's support for Trump to his advantage. Since the midterm elections are generally used as a referendum for the current president, it becomes clear that Denham will lose votes to Harder over the issue of Trump's presidency. Considering this is a major national issue, it can be concluded that Harder is likely to win the election.]]> 2018-11-05 14:42:28 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489681 Supporting Point 2 gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489722 Josh Harder has come forth as a strong Democratic candidate in the race to represent a district that is slightly Republican. Despite Denham's incumbency advantage, Harder has managed to secure greater support than Denham. In terms of support from the people themselves, Harder is not only predicted to have a majority of the vote according to public opinion polls but he has also gotten more individual contributions than Denham (around 1.3 million dollars compared to Denham's approximately $76,000). Also, Harder has received a large amount of financial support from corporations, totaling nearly 5 million dollars, giving him greater campaign funds than Denham. Thus, due to his greater support from both the people and corporations, Harder seems likely to win the race.]]> 2018-11-05 14:42:32 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489722 Alternative Perspective gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489804 While it seems likely that Harder will win the election, Denham has a strong incumbency advantage that could possibly win him the race. Denham has successfully used his active work on local issues to his advantage. He has secured federal funding for water storage, a key issue in the agricultural district, a form of pork-barreling that his constituency has noted. He has also used his avid support for immigration, specially forcing a vote on immigration reform, to appeal to the voters, the majority of whom are non-white. Considering his strong stances on the local issues important to his constituents, Denham still has a fighting chance in the midterm election.]]> 2018-11-05 14:42:36 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300489804 gklair_20 https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300514787 2018-11-05 15:17:17 UTC https://padlet.com/gklair_20/j1p1f0qikhjx/wish/300514787