SCENARIO FOUR: Energy Evolution by Christa Franzi https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj Washington County - Session 2 en-us 2021-11-17 13:15:36 UTC 2025-12-20 11:17:13 UTC hello@padlet.com https://padlet.net/icons/png/1f50b.png Scenario Four: Energy Evolution ouderkirkc https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807435 CEDS goal: Realize 200 jobs in the Renewable Energy Economy by 2023.
 
SCENARIO
By late 2023, new battery technologies have lowered the cost of energy storage by as much as 70% (depending on the technology used) and the slowly growing number of batteries from recycled electric vehicles further reduces storage costs, both at utility and residential scale. This reduces the need for expensive gas peaker plants to cover uneven demand and creates more consistent energy price predictions. New ISO New England wind projects begin to break ground, and with the addition of cheap storage options, energy prices in 2025 are predicted to be 30% less per KwH. Additionally, it now becomes cheaper to heat homes using electricity than by using any other source, including natural gas. Most new construction plans no longer include natural gas heating. 
 
Electric vehicles are now at 12% of new car sales in the AWEDD, but because most of them are charged off-peak, they balance grid loads more than overload them. Eastern Maine Electric Cooperative Inc. creates a special task force to study the increase in fully electric vehicles and the impact on the grid and energy prices. 
]]> 2021-11-17 13:15:36 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807435 Session 1 Summary Memo ouderkirkc https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807437 2021-11-17 13:15:36 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807437 Business + Stakeholder Survey Results ouderkirkc https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807439 2021-11-17 13:15:36 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807439 CEDS ouderkirkc https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807440 2021-11-17 13:15:36 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896807440 Links ouderkirkc https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896846085 Scenario 1: Natural Resources

Scenario 2: Connectivity & Digital Transformation 

Scenario 3: Changing Workforce

Scenario 4: Energy Evolution 

Scenario 5: Manufacturing & Supply Chain 
]]> 2021-11-17 13:30:51 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1896846085 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899897280 Their profits would increase, therefore, they could charge less for the services/products.]]> 2021-11-18 15:51:01 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899897280 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899903821 The cost of solar panels and wind turbines would likely decrease. This could make it more feasible for homeowners to install their own solar/turbines.]]> 2021-11-18 15:53:36 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899903821 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899907946 Gas prices would likely increase making it more difficult for people who cannot afford to buy electric vehicles.]]> 2021-11-18 15:55:10 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899907946 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899916574 Workforce training on solar installation and electric vehicle repair.]]> 2021-11-18 15:58:41 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899916574 manufacturing https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899931903 cheaper power could allow this region to compete for manufacturing that currently avoids New England and other high cost areas]]> 2021-11-18 16:04:49 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899931903 E bikes and E ATVs proliferate and become a bigger part of daily transportation for business, school, and recreation https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899938995 2021-11-18 16:07:20 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899938995 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899944817 People would move away from burning wood to heat their homes. This would allow these resources to be used for manufacturing, etc. ]]> 2021-11-18 16:09:34 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899944817 Site based electrical service (solar, Wind, Hydrogen)proliferates diminishing importance of big power generators and distributors. Smaller businesses that sell, install, maintain, and repair these units proliferate https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899949477 2021-11-18 16:11:10 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899949477 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899959255 Install more bikes lanes for traffic safety.]]> 2021-11-18 16:15:10 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899959255 Provide tax incentives for home and business charging stations. Implement Complete/Safe Street guidelines and smart vehicles so pedestrians, bicyclists and smaller vehicles aren't run over on the road. Teach kids bike safety and safe streets etiquette https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899959969 2021-11-18 16:15:28 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899959969 Aroostook and Northern Washington are not on NE-ISO cmcalpin1 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899974510 This could change, but right now, the region from Perry and Wesley north is more connected to the Canadian grid than New England. Developments in Canadian energy industry could have a greater impact than NE ISO on that region.

]]> 2021-11-18 16:21:02 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899974510 70-80% (approx) Carbon Neutral Energy Mix cmcalpin1 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899977773 Northern Maine is not that connected to NE ISO, and the NB grid is running 70-80% carbon neutral at this time.]]> 2021-11-18 16:22:21 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1899977773 Distribution costs increase per customer cmcalpin1 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900007779 Cost-efficent, non-polluting battery technology would revolutionize our culture nationally. Coupled with solar power, the number of customers using (and covering the costs of) the distribution grid could cause delivery costs to soar over time. Increased use from beneficial electrification like EVs might be enough to support the grid, but there are too many variables to know at this point.

]]> 2021-11-18 16:33:07 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900007779 Invest in more resilient "modular" electric grid cmcalpin1 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900016685 Battery technology could cut the need for new transmission lines. It could also make a modular grid (my term) more possible, so that the impact of power line damage could be isolated by neighborhood.]]> 2021-11-18 16:36:27 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900016685 Unpredictability cmcalpin1 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900075794 If we knew what the electric industry would look like ten years from now, we could invest in technical training for local people. The only thing that seems clear is that current business model for utilities in Maine won't endure. At present, for instance, delivery costs (substations, wires, poletop transformers) are covered largely in per-kWh charges, but as fewer kWhs are needed from the grid, larger flat charges and other forms of revenue will be needed if the grid is going to continue to work.]]> 2021-11-18 17:00:17 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900075794 Curious cmcalpin1 https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900078748 Your model predicts that lowering costs and improved battery technology would result in more transmission. That seems counter-intuitive, but I'd be interested in knowing if there are models that predict that. ]]> 2021-11-18 17:01:27 UTC https://padlet.com/ouderkirkc/huxxxqsqjg6cqlyj/wish/1900078748