Heitkamp v. Cramer - North Dakota by https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74 2018 U.S. Senate Midterm Race en-us 2018-11-03 19:07:57 UTC 2018-11-05 01:24:56 UTC hello@padlet.com The Candidates: Pt. 1 cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300100377 Heidi Heitkamp (D) - Incumbent (2013)
First female Senator from North Dakota
Ran unopposed in the Democratic primary
Typically votes with both sides(seen as a moderate/centrist)]]> 2018-11-03 19:10:47 UTC https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300100377 cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300102178 2018-11-03 19:28:00 UTC https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300102178 The Candidates: Pt. 2 cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300228137 Kevin Cramer (R) - Current House Representative
Only Representative for North Dakota
Won against Thomas O'Neill in the Republican primary
Votes with party

]]> 2018-11-04 18:59:53 UTC https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300228137 About North Dakota cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300230071 Presidential Election 2016 - 64% voted with Donald Trump
Presidential Election 2012 - 59% voted with Mitt Romney
ND typically is dominated by the Republican party
Voter turnout for 2016 Presidential Election - 60.1%
Voter Registration:
No voter registration(for party affiliation - you have to vote along party lines otherwise the vote isn't counted) - the only state without voter registration
Must bring an acceptable form of ID in order to vote
*** Native Americans with their addresses as post office boxes can't vote now because of legislation passed requiring  a street address]]> 2018-11-04 19:12:35 UTC https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300230071 The Politics of the Race cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300233529 Fox News (10/31):
-Poll of likely voters
-Kevin Cramer lead with 51% of votes
-Heidi Heitkamp behind with 42% of votes
-Sample size: 851 of eligible voters
-Margin of error: +/- 3%
-Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R)
-Credibility: the poll randomly took phone numbers representative proportionally, along with the margin of error being low
Endorsements:
Cramer: endorsed by President Donald Trump, VP Mike Pence, Senator John Hoeven(R-ND)
Heitkamp: endorsed by Former VP Joe Biden, Former Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel, Former Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack
Big Issues:
-Trade war between China and the US(National)
   -Soybeans is a cash crop in ND, that is exported to China
-Brett Kavanaugh's nomination
  -Heitkamp voted against, making her less favorable in the Republican dominated North Dakota]]> 2018-11-04 19:35:58 UTC https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300233529 My Prediction cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300245470 Kevin Cramer will receive the majority of votes, and unseat the incumbent Heidi Heitkamp.
Evidence:
The vote on Brett Kavanaugh's nomination
 -ND is mostly Republican, and with Kavanaugh being nominated by a Republican president, Heitkamp going against the nomination will prove detrimental.
President Donald Trump & the trade war with China
 -With the trade war between the US and China affecting the export of soybeans, the income of farmers in North Dakota is being drastically impacted.
Alternate Perspective
 -A weakness in the evidence would be that there's a move away from the production of soybeans towards wheat due to the trade war]]> 2018-11-04 20:48:28 UTC https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300245470 cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300249952 2018-11-04 21:18:57 UTC https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300249952 Works Cited cccolger https://padlet.com/cccolger/grm2v551ny74/wish/300276864 “2016 Election Results: President Live Map by State, Real-Time Voting Updates.” Election Hub, www.politico.com/mapdata-2016/2016-election/results/map/president/.

4, IVote, director. Heidi Heitkamp US Senate Debate Oct 19 2018. YouTube, YouTube, 20 Oct. 2018, www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWEJEz8iYkM.

“About.” Congressman Kevin Cramer, 25 Apr. 2018, cramer.house.gov/about.

Bauroth, Nicholas. “Race for the Senate 2018: Key Issues in North Dakota.” Brookings, Brookings, 2 Nov. 2018, www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2018/11/02/race-for-the-senate-2018-key-issues-in-north-dakota/.

board, Herald editorial. “Our View: Here's Who Is Backing ND Candidates for Senate.” Grand Forks Herald, 4 Nov. 2018, www.grandforksherald.com/opinion/editorials/4523557-our-view-heres-who-backing-nd-candidates-senate.

DataDhrumil. “North Dakota U.S. Senate Polls.” FiveThirtyEight, 2 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/north-dakota/.

FairVote.org. “Voter Turnout.” FairVote, www.fairvote.org/voter_turnout#voter_turnout_101.

“Fox News North Dakota Senate Poll 10-31-2018.” Fox News, FOX News Network, www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-north-dakota-senate-poll-10-31-2018.

“Heidi Heitkamp.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Heidi_Heitkamp.

“Kevin Cramer.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Kevin_Cramer.

“North Dakota Election Results - President, Congress, Governor | NBC News.” NBCNews.com, NBCUniversal News Group, 5 Nov. 2018, elections.nbcnews.com/ns/politics/2012/north-dakota/#.W99GAWhKi3A.

“  Rep. Kevin Cramer.” GovTrack.us, www.govtrack.us/congress/members/kevin_cramer/412555.

Service, Forum News. “2018 Primary Election Roundup.” Bismarck Tribune, 13 June 2018, bismarcktribune.com/news/state-and-regional/primary-election-roundup/article_cefcd4e7-bd1a-59c4-980c-c95052957d9e.html.

“Voting in North Dakota.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Voting_in_North_Dakota.

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