midterm election project by Anne Rewey https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58 our prediction of who will win en-us 2018-10-23 13:55:49 UTC 2023-03-28 16:05:53 UTC hello@padlet.com CANDIDATES: anner22127 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295954972 Chris Pappas (D) 
- Birthday: June 4, 1980 (38)
- Educated at Harvard with a B.A. in Government. 
- Pappas served as a board member of the Manchester Historic Association and Southern New Hampshire Services.
- LGBT community
Info from chrispappas.org

Eddie Edwards (R)
Vote Smart says:
- Born in Georgia
- Christian
- Education- North Central University and Federal Bureau of Investigation Academy
- Edwards was a police chief and worked for the FBI

Dan Belforti (L):
-birthday: 08/18/1963
-Education
     University of Massachusetts at Amherst, 1993
     BSEE, University of    Massachusetts at Lowell, 1985

Shawn O'Connor (Independent)

]]> 2018-10-23 14:07:41 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295954972 STATE DEMOGRAPHICS: marenf22167 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295958335 According to the US Census Bureau:
- 1,342,795 people live in New Hampshire. 
- 97.3% of the population is white
- 19.3% of the population is under 18 and 17.6% is over 65. 
- 92.6% of people above age 25 have a high school education or above. 
- 35.5% of people above age 25 have a bachelors degree or above. ]]> 2018-10-23 14:12:39 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295958335 INFO 0N STATE/DISTRICT anner22127 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295958384 -In New Hampshire, 72.5 percent of the voting-eligible population voted in the 2016 general election.
-New Hampshire residents who will be 18 years of age or older on the day of the next election, and a United States citizen can register to vote.  
-There is no minimum period of time you are required to have lived in the state before being allowed to register. 
-No online registration is allowed.  
-New Hampshire does not permit no-excuse early voting.]]> 2018-10-23 14:12:43 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295958384 CITATIONS marenf22167 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295958799 “Voting in New Hampshire.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/Voting_in_New_Hampshire.

“New Hampshire Early Polling Data.” Anslem.edu, 1 Sept. 2018, www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/418%20Executive%20Summary.pdf.

Pathé, Simone. “Fresh Faces Running in New Hampshire District for First Time in Over a Decade.” Roll Call, 10 Sept. 2018, www.rollcall.com/news/politics/fresh-faces-running-new-hampshire-district-first-time-decade.

“Chris Pappas, Eddie Edwards Win New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Primaries.” The Washington Post, WP Company, www.washingtonpost.com/election-results/new-hampshire-1st-congressional-district/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.4134741f1872.

DataDhrumil. “New Hampshire Polls.” FiveThirtyEight, 5 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/new-hampshire/.

“U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: New Hampshire.” Census Bureau QuickFacts, 1 July 2017, www.census.gov/quickfacts/nh.

Pathé, Simone. “New Hampshire's 1st District Set for History-Making Race.” Roll Call, 12 Sept. 2018, www.rollcall.com/news/politics/chris-pappas-prevails-new-hampshire-democratic-primary.

“The Voter's Self Defense System.” Vote Smart, votesmart.org/candidate/biography/54953/dan-belforti#.W-3drpNKhQI.


]]> 2018-10-23 14:13:18 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295958799 PREDICTION: marenf22167 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295959278 Our groups prediction is that the democratic candidate, Chris Pappas will win. First, looking at the sociological factors, New Hampshire is relatively young. This is due to the popular colleges (ex. Dartmouth) in the state and the fact that their population is . From past collected data, younger people are prone to vote democratic therefore supporting our claim that Chris Pappas will win.  Another piece of evidence that suggests that Pappas will win is the fact that New Hampshire first district has voted democrat in 4 out of the last 6 elections and looks like it will lean democrat in this years election.  According to (“Voting in New Hampshire.” Ballotpedia) New Hampshire is starting to become even more democratic than it already is. 

One could point to New Hampshire's high amount of white voters as a deciding factor in favor of Edwards, but this is incorrect when you factor in the high median income.  According to the U.S census the median income in NH's first district is 10,000 dollars higher than the national average suggesting that.  

All of this evidence shows clearly that Pappas will take the seat without trouble.











]]> 2018-10-23 14:14:00 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295959278 POLITICS OF THE RACE marenf22167 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295959539 Roll Call states:
-Pappas is endorsed by former representatives across the isle
and former president Barack Obama possibly making him appealing to moderate voters. 

-57% of Citizens seem to agree with him on holding trump accountable  for his actions. (Anslem)

- Eddie Edwards was a former police chief and his ads emphasize toughness on most issues including immigration

-New Hampshire's first district voted for Trump in the 2016 presidential election however polling data suggests that many are unhappy with his performance

Pappas and Edwards disagree on the topics of holding Trump accountable, gun control medicare for all and immigration and their stances are basically on party lines
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Avoqq8OiJtM - Pappas campaign ad.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYLouAnNcD4 - Edwards campaign ad

]]> 2018-10-23 14:14:25 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/295959539 POLITICAL DEMOGRAPHICS: marenf22167 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/296475561 - 89.4% chance Chris Pappas will win the election. 
- 10.9% chance Eddie Edwards will win. 
- 55.4% of people are expected to vote. 
- New Hampshire leans 4.4 point partisan lean towards democratic. 
- Donald Trump won the first district by two points

Overall, New Hampshire voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election. They are usually a solid democratic state and will probably continue to be democratic in the midterm election. ]]> 2018-10-24 14:41:35 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/296475561 POLLING DATA: marenf22167 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300285338 In a poll by FiveThirtyEight on Sept. 28, Chris Pappas has a 22 point lead on Eddie Edwards. But in a recent Oct. 31 poll, Pappas was only ahead by two points. ]]> 2018-11-05 01:36:48 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300285338 marenf22167 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300292344 2018-11-05 02:22:50 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300292344 Chris Pappas williamc22590 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300475654 2018-11-05 14:23:05 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300475654 Eddie Edwards williamc22590 https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300476186 2018-11-05 14:24:01 UTC https://padlet.com/anner22127/crg9fgg0ms58/wish/300476186