Chapter 1: Worlds apart by https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7 en-us 2022-04-03 13:05:44 UTC 2022-05-13 03:31:04 UTC hello@padlet.com Economic divergence https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134751671 2022-04-07 14:50:19 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134751671 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134751872
  • differences in vaccination rates between countries leads to even greater economic divergence
  • Income disparities risk increasing polarization and resentment within societies 
  • emerging economies have less access to financing and technology to face global challenges, including climate change
  • economic migration, extreme weather and a rise in political instability, state fragility and civil conflict are likely to further swell refugee numbers
    • ]]>     2022-04-07 14:50:25 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134751872     Erosion of social cohesion: https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134752571 2022-04-07 14:50:47 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134752571 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134753048
  • critical threat to the world across all time spans
  • Inequality, economic, political, technological and intergenerational disparities are expected to widen further
  • Differing views over vaccinations and COVID-related restrictions are also adding to social pressures
  • governments worldwide will have stronger national interest, which would worsen fractures in the global economy, coming at the expense of foreign aid and humanitarian emergencies
  • Fragile economies could spiral into deeper crises.
    • ]]>     2022-04-07 14:51:03 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2134753048     The pandemic persists https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181453886 2022-05-12 15:17:57 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181453886 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181456079
  • 5.4 million deaths among 282 million cases, long-lasting symptoms and ill health afterwards are reported.
  • The state of vaccinating is not even among countries.
  • Other diseases are deprioritized when the pandemic has resulted in an additional 53 million cases of major depression, one of the most negatively exerted factors that GRPs have to suffer. 

    • ]]>     2022-05-12 15:19:17 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181456079     Risks to economic recovery https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181461983 2022-05-12 15:22:55 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181461983 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181462965
  • Slow: global economic growth: 3.1% in 2020, 5.9% in 2021, 4.9% in 2022 and is predicted to be 2.3% smaller than it could have been without the pandemic in 2024.
  • “Commodity shocks”, “price instability” and “debt crises” are critical concerns.
  • Rising interest rates from banks can have unfavorable impacts on households, especially low-income ones and small, medium sized enterprises are influenced as well.
  • Sovereign debt has spiked because of the pandemic.

    • ]]>     2022-05-12 15:23:32 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181462965     Cause dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181586746 2022-05-12 16:39:37 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181586746 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181587007
  • Disparities in vaccination progress and accelerated digitalization
  • Pre-existing socio-political problems
    • => Relative winners and losers of the pandemic
    ]]>     2022-05-12 16:39:48 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181587007     Effects dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181587705 2022-05-12 16:40:17 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181587705 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181588544
  • Lead to economic, geopolitical, public health and societal fractures
  • Delayed approaches to critical challenges facing people and planet
    • ]]>     2022-05-12 16:40:47 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181588544     Solution dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181589271 2022-05-12 16:41:11 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181589271 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181590588
  • Effective domestic and international action on these challenges depends on:
    • + Restoring trust within societies
    + Training national and global leaders 
    + Finding new opportunities for collaboration
    + Pessimism => a vicious cycle of disillusionment and social unrest.

    ]]>     2022-05-12 16:42:02 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181590588     dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181591585
  • Competition between the US and China is increasing
  • Other states are also projecting the power abroad
  • Some key regional powers are conducting military exercises in tense areas ̣̣̣̣̣such as Russia-Ukraine and the Taiwan Strait
  • Increasing competition in “soft power”
  • Geopolitical tensions also exist in the economic sphere
    • ]]>     2022-05-12 16:42:40 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181591585     Geopolitical tension dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181592011 2022-05-12 16:42:56 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181592011 Risk of climate action failure dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181593715 2022-05-12 16:44:01 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181593715 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181593950
  • The 1.5 degree celsius goal set in 2016 may not be met 
  • COVID-19 and reduced social cohesion will limit the political power and capitals for  further climate actions
  • Countries will prioritize restoring their economy no matter the impact on the environment
  • The sense of urgency for climate actions varies across different regions and countries

    • ]]>     2022-05-12 16:44:10 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181593950     Key outcomes of the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26, held in Glasgow, the United Kingdom) dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181594749 2022-05-12 16:44:42 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181594749 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181595523
  • Bolstered climate adaptation finance efforts
  • Continued mobilization of billions of US dollars for climate funding and trillions towards global net zero.
  • Article 6 of the Paris Agreement is now fully operational.
  • Businesses and governments agreed on more aggressive investment in clean technologies and faster transition to electric vehicles.
  • 46 countries pledged to transition from coal to clean power by 2040.
  • 104 countries pledged to a 30% cut in methane emissions by 2030.
  • 141 countries that account for 91% of the world’s forests pledged to end deforestation by 2030.
    • ]]>     2022-05-12 16:45:11 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181595523     dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181607812 2022-05-12 16:53:02 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181607812 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181610073 2022-05-12 16:54:27 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181610073 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181617785 2022-05-12 16:59:23 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181617785 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181619933 2022-05-12 17:00:47 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181619933 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181621350 2022-05-12 17:01:43 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181621350 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181628940 2022-05-12 17:06:39 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181628940 Digitalization dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181636679 2022-05-12 17:11:36 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181636679 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181638338
    • “Digital inequality”: In developing countries: limited technical and financial resources to enhance cyber defences against critical infrastructure breaches or cyber regulations to safeguard data and privacy.
    • “Cybersecurity failure”: Rapid digitalization in advanced economies during COVID-19 has also led to new cyber vulnerabilities
    ]]>     2022-05-12 17:12:40 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181638338     dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181638682 2022-05-12 17:12:53 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181638682 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181648781 2022-05-12 17:19:07 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181648781 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181651280 2022-05-12 17:20:38 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181651280 dothuanan2005 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181654468 2022-05-12 17:22:36 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2181654468 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182158995 Space as a new frontier of divergence
    • Competition in space is rising and is a growing preoccupation for the world’s leading militaries
    • Disparate economic and technological trajectories risk precluding many countries from accessing the opportunities that space entails and from ensuring that their interests are accounted for in global decision-making
    ]]>     2022-05-13 01:32:51 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182158995     Emerging tensions in global cooperation https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182159634 2022-05-13 01:33:23 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182159634 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182159976
  • Mounting conviction for a fast but disorderly climate transition
  • Rapid digitalization risks exposing economies to cybercrimes
  • Increased pressure for migration
  • A new space race marked by accelerated commercial and military activities

    • ]]>     2022-05-13 01:33:41 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182159976     Reflecting on the future https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182160327 2022-05-13 01:34:01 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182160327 https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182160590 Socio- economic concerns:
    • Divergent recovery
    • Economic hardship
    • Growing inequality
    • Ideological polarization
    • Sense of disenfranchisement of large sections of the global population.
    ]]>     2022-05-13 01:34:14 UTC https://padlet.com/dothuanan2005/asdfxheqkf36qtq7/wish/2182160590