Localized, sudden-onset and extreme hydrometeorological events by Arielle TdelaP https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy en-us 2023-10-11 00:24:18 UTC 2025-02-16 16:04:42 UTC hello@padlet.com Better local prediction models tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740818202 2023-10-11 00:31:53 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740818202 More research on landslides tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740818730 2023-10-11 00:32:20 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740818730 Better communication of warnings and what to do linked to them. Encourage local leadership and think about groups such as women coordination bodies, church groups or youth groups who could potentially champion the approach. Understand with the community as well where their risk appetite lies and what they are trying to protect/avoid in the future tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740819317 2023-10-11 00:32:46 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740819317 Shared examples of how to consider other hazard EWS beyond floods - what are the similarities, differences? Examples of EAPs for different hazard types at different temporal scales for different stakeholders. Examples of localised governance mechanism options tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740819807 2023-10-11 00:33:09 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740819807 Landslides follow heavy rainfall in some parts of Eastern Africa, so useful to develop AA with this multi-hazard perspective tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740820669 2023-10-11 00:33:49 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740820669 The impact is high so it would be good to be able to warn the population if this might be happening. tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740821192 2023-10-11 00:34:06 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740821192 More organised and systemic systems that are driven locally to protect themselves from the risk. Often we see AA as driven by government and/or agencies but, in these cases (and it should also be better woven into AA in general) having SOPs in place and have agreements on the warnings and to act on them locally can be the most empowering move - and sometimes the only option that can be taken. tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740822189 2023-10-11 00:34:52 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740822189 With these short lead times we may have to focus on just saving lives as with livelihoods and assets it needs to be weighed up what could be done and also in a safe way so people’s lives don’t be at risk. tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740824276 2023-10-11 00:36:23 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740824276 Almost impossible to forecast tozierdelapoterie https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740825578 2023-10-11 00:37:23 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2740825578 Very accurately able to forecast although lead times are short and observation s missing https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741483998 2023-10-11 09:12:03 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741483998 Limited data and definitions (e.g. flash floods often appear as "flooding" in historical databases) https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741484207

]]> 2023-10-11 09:12:16 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741484207 Improved monitoring https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741487122 Monitoring equipment should be installed to better understand hazard drivers, interrogate forecast models, and provide early warning at very short lead times]]> 2023-10-11 09:14:34 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741487122 Detailed risk assessments https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741519009 Climate informed probabilistic risk assessment to understand likely exceedance probabilities and impacts of weather/flood events. To aid trigger definition, local communication of risk,  identification of mitigation measures, financial risk transfer, etc.]]> 2023-10-11 09:39:33 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741519009 Ability for decisions to be made with uncertain data https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741527889 Some of these events can be forecast using ensemble weather prediction models. However, they may only have a 10-20% probability with forecast lead time of a few hours or a day. Low probability but very high impact events. How to integrate these into decision making?]]> 2023-10-11 09:45:50 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741527889 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741535562 Coverage of rainradars over the entire world]]> 2023-10-11 09:51:45 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741535562 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741536249 While early action might not be possible due to lead time, AA could release automatic funding for rapid response? ]]> 2023-10-11 09:52:22 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741536249 Climate change! https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741536517 Climate change is having an impact on high mountain environments, how is this changing risk? We can't rely on past events as an indicator of what could happen in future.]]> 2023-10-11 09:52:37 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741536517 agreed actions for very short lead times (9-12hrs) https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741542452 2023-10-11 09:57:25 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741542452 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741543168 How to use better Satellite science and data for these kind of event but depends on Sat location and visibility ]]> 2023-10-11 09:58:02 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741543168 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741545037 Sat data could be used to identify historic data for hot spot risk maps]]> 2023-10-11 09:59:31 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741545037 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741545362 Challenges -1) funding takes time to reach at the local level- low cost actions needed without global funds ; 

2) lack of administrative processes to facilitate local community engagement for AA response 

3) community needs to organize earlier on but if no champions or leaders then difficult for AA]]> 2023-10-11 09:59:49 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741545362 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741546136 Using crisis modifier type of funding]]> 2023-10-11 10:00:26 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741546136 Multi-Hazard & system-wide approach https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741546358 Diffucult to exclusively work on sudden onset events
Capacity needed for local stakeholders to be able to do work for AA on ground ]]> 2023-10-11 10:00:36 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741546358 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741550590 Germany, Argentina, India, South Sudan  - 1) listen more to the scientists and not the politicians about EWS
2) better monitoring to ensure where the funds are going 
3) identify local champions to teach awareness ]]> 2023-10-11 10:04:36 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741550590 How local should we go? https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741550986 Who are the actors?
Are the capacity of local actors enough to address those challenges?]]> 2023-10-11 10:04:58 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741550986 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741551206 Might not be able to anticipate the sudden local event but anticipate and have AA plans for the secondary impacts like displacement and disease outbreaks etc]]> 2023-10-11 10:05:10 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741551206 https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741553837 Big demand for better early warning and AA for flash floods in urban areas (especially where people are not aware of the risk) but don’t know if it’s feasible to provide the forecast ]]> 2023-10-11 10:07:30 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741553837 Community sensibilisation https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741560240 Local communities are mostly the first to respond to event. And they experience firsthand the consequences of sudden onset events and they probably won’t be used to it because of the scarcity of the event. How can we sensibilize local communities and develop protocole jointly for an event that may never occur ? ]]> 2023-10-11 10:13:18 UTC https://padlet.com/tozierdelapoterie/5jqj5pezf85o1tcy/wish/2741560240