Group2 Unit 3 by DAVID PEARCE https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg Stats Standard Deviation & Normal Distribution en-us 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC 2020-10-21 23:52:53 UTC hello@padlet.com Survey Design davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154396 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154396 Confounding davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154397 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154397 bias...types of davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154398 Question Order
Two Questions in One
Biased Wording 
Desire to Please]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154398 Cause and Effect davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154399 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154399 parameters vs statistics davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154401 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154401 variability of results davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154402 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154402 sample proportion davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154403 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154403 population size and impact on results davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154404 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154404 comparing treatments davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154405 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154405 consistent results for a model/variability davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154406 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154406 Randomness in Observational Studies davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154408 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154408 effect that randomizing has instead of nonrandom davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154409 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154409 Contrast Experiments with Observational davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154411 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154411 Purposes of each type of gathering of data davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154412 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154412 Understand how decisions based on sample data are related to probability davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154414 Does not guarantee a correct answer]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154414 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154415 EQ- purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies;]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154415 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154416 Use understanding of types of studies to look at media reports and decide if appropriate inferences have been drawn]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154416 census vs. sample davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154417 census vs. sample]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154417 E.Question davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154418 Question (could be changed): How can I use the appropriate degree of precision for this problem - in my mathematics, in my vocabulary, and in how I ask survey questions?]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154418 Sampling methods davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154419 Good
Simple random
Stratified random
Cluster
Systematic
Bad
Volunteer
Convenience]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154419 Statistical Studies davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154420 Surveys
Observational Studies
Experiments]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154420 association vs. causation? davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154421 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154421 lurking variables davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154422 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154422 4 step reasoning process davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154423 1) (State) Develop a statistical question in the form of a hypothesis
2) (Plan) Choose a probability model for collecting data
3) (Do) Collect Data
4) (Conclude) Analyze Data
Pg 603 of Framework 1st paragraph]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154423 false negative and false positive davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154424 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154424 Population vs. Sample davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154425 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154425 lurking variables davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154426 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154426 Sample Surveys and Bias davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154427 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154427 Analyze/Compare davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154429 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154429 Assumptions davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154430 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154430 Making Inferences davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154431 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154431 Randomization davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154432 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154432 Parameters davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154434 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154434 Justify Conclusions davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154435 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154435 Observational Studies davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154436 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154436 Experiments davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154437 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154437 Hypothesis Testing davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154438 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154438 CYCLE 1 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154439 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154439 CYCLE 2 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154440 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154440 sample size and impact on results?? davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154441 you wouldn't want to take a sample of 10 for a population of 1,000,000....that would skew the results]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154441 Cycle 3 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154443 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154443 Project Time!!!!!! davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154445 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154445 Four Step Reasoning Process davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154446 1) (State) Develop a statistical question in the form of a hypothesis
2) (Plan) Choose a probability model for collecting data
3) (Do) Collect Data
4) (Conclude) Analyze Data
Pg 603 of Framework 1st paragraph]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154446 Four Step Reasoning Process davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154447 1) (State) Develop a statistical question in the form of a hypothesis
2) (Plan) Choose a probability model for collecting data
3) (Do) Collect Data
4) (Conclude) Analyze Data
Pg 603 of Framework 1st paragraph]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154447 Assessment ideas davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154448 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154448 Unit 1 CSA davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154450 Analyze the details of the survey addressing each of four steps of the reasoning process.
Address each of the types of bias.
Look at observational study, identify false positive and false negative.]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154450 CFA Cycle 1 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154452 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154452 CFA Cycle 2 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154453 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154453 Categorical vs Quantitative Data davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154454 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154454 EQ davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154455 1)  Should we, as consumers, be skeptical of conclusions that others draw from statistics? Why or why not?

2) How do we defend against bias in surveys and confounding in experiments?]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154455 Big Ideas davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154456 Randomness helps prevent bias in survey sampling and asking clear, fair questions in the survey wording.
In experiments and observational studies, randomness to avoid confounding.]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154456 Other Possible EQ's davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154457 3. How can we be better consumers of statistical data and not be fooled by every new study that comes out?

4. What are the best practices for collecting and analyzing data?]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154457 Suggested Pacing (1) davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154458 Unit 2
4 Cycles
August 10 - Sept. 18
(6 weeks); 
time for beginning of year stuff

Unit 3
3 Big Cycles
Sept. 21 - Nov. 6
(6 weeks)
district testing?

Unit 1
3 Cycles
Nov. 9 - Dec. 18
(3 weeks + 2 weeks buffer)
finals?

Potentially do other stats unit at beginning of semester 2]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154458 Optional Pacing (2) davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154459 Unit 1 (8/10-8/28)
Cycle 1
Cycle 3
(2.5 weeks)
Put cycle 2 in Unit 6

Unit 2 (8/31-10/9)
3 cycles
(6 weeks)

Unit 3 (10/12-11/20)
3 cycles
(6 weeks)

*2 buffer weeks
*Finals week]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154459 Option 3 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154460 Unit 1 
3 cycles
(4 weeks?)


Unit 2 
3 cycles
(6 weeks)

Unit 3 
3 cycles
(6 weeks)

*Finals week]]> 2020-09-09 21:54:59 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733154460 Priority S.IC3 robertmohler https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733160395 Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each. *]]> 2020-09-09 21:59:16 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733160395 SS S.IC.6 robertmohler https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733162090 Evaluate Reports Based on data.

]]> 2020-09-09 22:00:33 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733162090 Priority S-ID-4 lynnreimer https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733162733 Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve.]]> 2020-09-09 22:01:00 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733162733 SS.IC.4 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733201797 Use data from a sample survey to estimate a population mean or proportion; develop a margin of error through the use of simulation models for random sampling.]]> 2020-09-09 22:29:28 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733201797 davidpearce https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733201982 2020-09-09 22:29:38 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/733201982 Priority Standards lynnreimer https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/850531525 S-ID.4: Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve.

S-IC.3: Recognize the purposes of and differences among sample surveys, experiments, and observational studies; explain how randomization relates to each.]]> 2020-10-21 21:55:03 UTC https://padlet.com/davidpearce/4wx0ybb5grw2jptg/wish/850531525