Midterm Election Analysis by Tessora Stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i Nelson & Tess en-us 2018-11-05 02:31:19 UTC 2025-11-19 19:39:55 UTC hello@padlet.com NC 9th: Dan McCready tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300293993 Dan McCready is a Marine Corps Veteran who was an eagle scout and a moderate Democrat who sides farther right than the Democratic party platform. He is endorsed by primarily local leaders and small-time North Carolinian democrats, meaning he will likely receive support from those in urban communities.]]> 2018-11-05 02:34:39 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300293993 NC 9th: Mark Harris tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300294788 Mark Harris beat the incumbent in the primary to secure the Republican seat in this race. He is a pastor and community leader, who sides mainly with Trump's views in the Republican party platform.
He is endorsed both by Trump and the majority whip of the House, and in a state that voted for Trump this is a considerable advantage.]]> 2018-11-05 02:40:13 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300294788 Texas Senate: Ted Cruz tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300295017 The incumbent Republican senator from Calgary, Ted Cruz is a self-proclaimed family man and originates from a Cuban immigrant and a woman who was the first in her family to graduate college. He is extremely conservative with anti-LGBTQ+ views and strong support of the 2nd amendment. He is endorsed by Trump in a state that voted for Trump, which encourages Republicans to vote for him.]]> 2018-11-05 02:41:47 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300295017 Texas Senate: Beto O'Rourke tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300295928 A young congressman from El Paso, Beto is very liberal, very active and very charismatic. He is widely known for having raised more money than any U.S. Senate candidate ever. He is endorsed by Obama and has a large presence on social media with celebrities such as Jake Gyllenhaal, Travis Scott and Chrissy Teigen supporting him, meaning the democratic party is more likely to vote for him.]]> 2018-11-05 02:47:27 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300295928 North Carolina Race Demographics tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300299027 2016 Exit Polls: 70% of the vote was white, 20% of the vote was black, 5% of the vote was hispanic, 3% was other races, and 1% was asian: 63% of whites voted for Trump, 89% of blacks voted for Clinton, 57% of Hispanics voted for Clinton, and 55% of other races voted for Clinton,
white men and women leaned to the right, while men and women of other races leaned to the left]]> 2018-11-05 03:09:10 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300299027 North Carolina Gender Demographics tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300302139 2016 Exit Polls: Females outvoted males in North Carolina 54% to 46%: females voted Democratic 52% to 45% while males voted Republican 56% to 38%]]> 2018-11-05 03:30:26 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300302139 North Carolina Other Demographics tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300302445 93.2% high school graduation rate
47.5% college graduation rate
2016 Exit Polls: Lower income residents under $50k leaned left, and $50k and over leaned to the right
White Christians primarily voted for Trump at 81%, which was 38% of the vote while all others voted for Clinton at 63%, and they made up 62% of the vote]]> 2018-11-05 03:33:00 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300302445 North Carolina Exit Polls 2016: Education tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300304297 Every other voter group besides postgraduate leaned to the right]]> 2018-11-05 03:46:34 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300304297 North Carolina Voter Registration Laws tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300306218 Deadline is 25 days prior to the election
Open Primaries
No photo ID requirements, a voter registration card is not required to vote
College students can register and vote
Any registered voter can mail in their vote
This state has One-Stop (Early) Voting]]> 2018-11-05 03:59:52 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300306218 Texas Voter Registration Laws tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300306408 Be a resident of the county
Be 18 years or older on election day
Be a US citizen
Not convicted of a felony, or, if so, have completed the terms of the jail sentence
Have not been declared by a court exercising probate jurisdiction to be either totally mentally incapacitated or partially mentally incapacitated without the right to vote.
Open primaries]]> 2018-11-05 04:01:18 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300306408 Texas Gender Demographics tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300394908 2016 Exit Polls: 53% of the vote was female, and 47% of the vote was male
49% of females voted for Clinton, and 57% of males voted for Trump]]> 2018-11-05 11:01:59 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300394908 Texas Other Demographics tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300395948 2016 Exit Polls: only age group 18-29 leaned left
every level of education leaned right
people of income levels below $50k leaned left (30% of voters), while those of income levels above $50k leaned right (70% of voters)]]> 2018-11-05 11:06:39 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300395948 Texas Race Demographics tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300398795 57% of voters were white, 28% of voters were Latino, 11% was black, and 5% was Asian
Whites voted for Trump at 69%, Blacks voted for Clinton at 84%, latinos voted for Clinton at 61%, and Asians voted for Clinton at 72%
White men and women leaned right while every other demographic leaned left]]> 2018-11-05 11:17:05 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300398795 North Carolina 9th: Polls tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300405268 The New York Times poll shows Mark Harris winning 47% to McCready’s 42%, sample size was 556, and the margin of error on that poll is 4.9%
The Civitas poll shows McCready winning 45 to Harris’s 41, sample size was 557, and the margin of error was 4.7
The SurveyUSA poll shows McCready winning 43 to Harris’s 37, sample size was 543, and margin of error was 4.6.
(all of which essentially show the race as too close to call)
]]> 2018-11-05 11:40:53 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300405268 Texas Senate Public Opinion Polls tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300405553 The Change Research poll has the race at 49% a piece, with the sample size being 1211, and the margin of error being 3.7
The Emerson College poll has Cruz winning 50 to Beto’s 47, the sample size at 781, and the margin of error at 4.6
The UT Tyler poll has Cruz winning 47 to Beto’s 43, the sample size at 905, and the margin of error at 4.9
(all of which essentially show the race as too close to call)
]]> 2018-11-05 11:41:57 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300405553 Texas Senate Campaign Financing tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300408277 O'Rourke does not use political action committees and is doing all his fundraising through a single campaign account, with maximum donations being $2,700 per individual per election.
Cruz's donations come from three groups: Ted Cruz for Senate; the Jobs, Freedom, and Security PAC, a leadership PAC; and Ted Cruz Victory Committee.
(in millions)]]> 2018-11-05 11:51:20 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300408277 NC 9th Campaign Financing tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300414193 Mark Harris has received money from contributors like the House Freedom Fund and Club for Growth, while McCready has received money from Robinson, Bradshaw & Hinson, Harvard University and Atrium Health. Both have received funds from out of state interest groups. McCready has spent roughly three times that of Harris at $4.6 million.]]> 2018-11-05 12:11:18 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300414193 NC 9th: Issues tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300416040 Harris is against abortion, for the wall, and wants lower taxes.
McCready is for early abortions, against the wall, and wants to restructure taxes.
Both are very in line with their parties on these issues.
]]> 2018-11-05 12:16:34 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300416040 Texas Senate: Issues tess_stefan https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300416225 Cruz wants tougher immigration, no abortion, and no universal healthcare.
Beto wants more flexible borders, abortion, and universal healthcare.
Both are very in line with their parties on these issues.]]> 2018-11-05 12:17:14 UTC https://padlet.com/tess_stefan/371vki1g4i7i/wish/300416225