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1. John Faso (R)
2. Antonio Delgado (D)
3. Steven Greenfield (Green Party)
4. Diane Neal (Independent)

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Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office: U.S. House, New York's 19th (assumed office: 2017); New York State Assembly (1987-2002)
Biography: Graduated from SUNY Brockport and Georgetown Law School.  Served in state legislature for 15 years.  Worked in private practice as an attorney before being elected to the U.S. House.
Key Messages:

Committed to problem-solving and bipartisanship. Worked to address issues with Affordable Healthcare Act and combat climate change.

Highlighted his work to address the opioid epidemic in campaign ads.

***His views mostly align with those of the Republican party!

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Faso for Congress 2018- Empowering (0:30)

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Population: 19,862,512

New York Sex Ratio:
Female - 10,142,327 (51.49%)
Male - 9,555,130 (48.51%)

Population by Race:
White - 12,667,413 (64.3%)
Black - 3,073,278 (15.6%)
Some Other Race - 1,697,831 (8.6%)
Asian - 1,599,216 (8.1%)
Two or More Races - 576,440 (2.9%)
American Indian and Alaska Native - 75,751 (0.0%)
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander - 7,528 (0.0%)

***much more to consider (i.e. education, financial situation, etc.)

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Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Graduated from Colgate University and Harvard Law School.  Worked at the music label Statik Entertainment as both an executive and artist.  In 2011, he began working as a litigation associate in New York City.
Key Messages:

Platform emphasizes bringing investments and jobs to the district and opposing outsourcing and unbeneficial trade agreements.

Focused on establishing universal healthcare coverage through a public option.  Says Faso's healthcare policy hurts people with pre-existing conditions.

***His views mostly align with those of the Democratic party!

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1. Jobs and the Economy: "I also want to ensure that local small businesses are no longer crippled by regulations while massive corporations play by their own set of rules. I will be an ally to small businesses, workers, and labor unions, not big corporations and special interests. And I will fight to increase the minimum wage."

2. Healthcare: "My goal is to get us to universal coverage as fast as possible, and the best way to do that is by creating a public option, giving everyone the choice to opt into Medicare."

3. Tax Policy: "I want to simplify our tax code and get rid of the loopholes that are only available to the super rich. I will also fight to stop big companies from shielding their profits overseas."

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1. Agriculture:  "It is my goal to help ensure that our farmers are able to operate in an economic environment that facilitates success. By providing these family farms and agribusinesses with regulatory relief and tax reform, we can encourage growth in our farming communities across Upstate."

2. Opioids: "We must address this crisis... I have met with patients, families, addiction specialists, local law enforcement and many others to learn and understand what we can do at the federal level to help deal with this issue. I have sponsored legislation to help curb the ability of illegal fentanyl shipments and also authored legislation to increase education about opioids for seniors in the Medicare program."

3. Veterans: "We must keep the promises made to our veterans by ensuring quality healthcare and related benefits, both through the Department of Veterans Affairs and private medical providers."

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Poll #1:

Conducted by Monmouth University (10/24 - 10/28)

Sample: 372 Likely Voters

Margin of Error: 5.1%

Faso - 44%

Delgado - 49%

Spread: Delgado +5

Poll #2:

Conducted by Sienna College (10/12 - 10/16)

Sample: 500 Likely Voters

Margin of Error: 4.6%

Faso - 44%

Delgado - 43%

Spread: Faso +1

Poll #3:

Conducted by Monmouth University (9/6 - 9/10)

Sample: 327 Likely Voters

Margin of Error: 5.4%

Faso - 45%

Delgado - 48%

Spread: Delgado +3

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Which candidate did New York vote for in 2016?

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Which candidate did New York vote for in 2016?

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With 29 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton won the state of New York!

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Faso is endorsed by President Donald Trump, multiple pro-2nd Amendment organizations, and many more. Having the approval of the POTUS is a big deal. Because of this, more people may vote for Faso!

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Delgado is endorsed by former President Barack Obama, multiple pro-choice organizations, and many more.  Having the approval of a former POTUS is a big deal.  Because of this, more people may vote for Delgado!

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Which interest groups are spending money? Any from outside of the state?

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Which interest groups are spending money? Any from outside of the state?

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Faso has received $721,512 from "business" PACs, $54,500 from "labor" PACs, $348,650 from "ideological" PACs, and $1000 from other PACs.
Outside Spending:
Supported - $1,214,664
Opposed - $5,132,113

Delgado has received $8,000 from "business" PACs, $51,500 from "labor" PACs, and $257,437 from "ideological" PACs.
Outside Spending:
Supported - $520,155
Opposed - $5,798,696

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In New York, you must be...

a United States citizen;

18 years of age or older on Election Day or not later than December 31st of the calendar year in which you register; and

a resident of New York State and of the county, city or village where you will be voting for a minimum of 30 days before the election.

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"New York ranked 41st in the country for voter turnout in the 2016 general election, with just more than 57 percent of the “voting-eligible population” casting ballots, according to a new report."

"The difference between the voting-eligible population and number of registered voters is roughly 2.1 million voters."

***surprisingly better than previous years...

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Polls conducted by Monmouth have smaller samples.  Because of this, it may not be an accurate representation of the election.  Sienna does a bit better by surveying a greater number of people.
Polls are not exact, and the results are incredibly close. It is a toss-up... the race could go either way!

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https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YN2HML4vht3MqDGB-DRw8RywNPiHxHFem3s3ZDwpsOQ/edit?usp=sharing

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It is a toss-up, and the polls are super close.  However, I believe that John Faso will be victorious! He is incumbent. Because of this, he has experience in the U.S. House, and citizens may reelect him. He was also endorse by President Trump a few days ago on twitter. For this reason, loyal Trump supporters living in the 19th district will vote for Faso. They would want someone with similar views to their POTUS representing them! Delgado has been beating Faso in the recent polls, but I believe Faso will still win because of the experience he has. Antonio Delgado has never even held office!