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Students will be able to understand and describe the likelihood of events using terms like certain, likely, unlikely, and impossible.

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Students will learn to:
- Predict outcomes of simple probability experiments
- Express probability as a fraction
- Compare the likelihood of different events

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How can we predict the chances of something happening?

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Class discussion: Create a list of everyday events and sort them into categories: certain, likely, unlikely, and impossible. Example: 'It will snow in summer' (impossible), 'The sun will rise tomorrow' (certain)

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Students work in pairs using Padlet to record results of 20 coin flips. Create a class chart combining all results to discuss probability patterns.

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Coin Flip Simu - Flip a Coin to Get Heads or Tails Results

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Coin Flip Simu is an online heads or tails coin toss simulator. Just click and flip a coin to make an instant random decision. Many customization are available.

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Using spinners with different colored sections, students predict and test outcomes. Calculate probability as fractions (e.g., 2/8 = 1/4 chance of landing on blue)

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Students rotate through stations with different probability activities:
1. Rolling dice
2. Drawing colored marbles
3. Spinning spinners
Record results on shared Padlet board

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Create your own probability game using common items. Calculate and explain the probability of winning your game.

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Monitor student understanding through:
- Group discussions
- Station activity worksheets
- Partner work observations

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Students complete a probability sorting activity: Given 10 events, sort them from least likely to most likely.

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Browse probability sort resources on Teachers Pay Teachers, a marketplace trusted by millions of teachers for original educational resources.

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5 questions testing understanding of:
- Basic probability terms
- Simple fraction probabilities
- Real-world probability scenarios

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Students share one surprising thing they learned about probability today

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Complete the sentence:<br>'I used to think probability was..., but now I know...'

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Find 5 examples of probability in your daily life. Rate each event as certain, likely, unlikely, or impossible. Explain your reasoning.

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Complete 2 probability games online to reinforce concepts learned in class

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This fun game allows students to earn tokens to the fair by demonstrating their understanding of probability. Once inside the fair, students can play a range of different probability games. See the demonstration video for more.

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This fun game allows students to earn tokens to the fair by demonstrating their understanding of probability. Once inside the fair, students can play a ra

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Write a short story that includes at least 3 events with different probabilities. Underline each probability event and explain its likelihood.