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(Republican) North Dakota Treasurer- Kelly Schmidt (since 2004 and re-elected in 2008, 2012 and 2016)

(Republican) Governor of North Dakota- Doug Burgum (since 2016)

(Republican) Speaker of the House- Larry Bellew (since 2001)

(Republican) Majority Leader-Al Carlson (since 1993)

(Republican) Senators are John Hoeven (served in 2010 and was reelected in 2016) and Kevin Cramer  (2018)

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As we predicted, Kevin Cramer won the election. It was a close race, with 55.4% of the people voting for Cramer and 44.6% voting for Heitkamp. Heidi's favorability rating was 43% on Election Day; she was viewed as too liberal by 47% of voters. Kevin's favorability rating was 53%; 40% of voters saw him as too conservative.

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The political party in North Dakota is mostly conservative. Throughout the first half of the 1900s, the liberal Nonpartisan League (NPL) was a popular political force. The NPL candidates usually advocated for farming related issues. Nowadays, the main political parties in North Dakota is the Republican Party and the North Dakota Democratic-NPL Party, which merged with the Democratic Party in 1956. The Republican Party focuses more on business aspects of society, not agriculture unlike the NPL. The Republicans have been in office since 1992 for the people of North Dakota.

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The last time North Dakota had a Democratic Governor was in 1992.

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North Dakota has participated in 32 presidential elections, voting Republican in 26 of them.

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In 2010, John Hoeven became the first Republican in the Senate for North Dakota since 1987. In 2016, John Hoeven won re-election in his second term.

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KVRR, a North Dakotan Fox affiliated news source stated that Donald Trump Jr. and his girlfriend, a former Fox News host visited North Dakota to endorse Kevin Cramer in his campaign. The President's notable son showing support for the candidate helps Cramer garner attention from the Republicans and Trump supporters.

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Polling shows both men with wide leads over their competitors

WILLISTON, N.D. - President Donald Trump's eldest son is in North Dakota tonight at a campaign event for Republican Kevin Cramer's U.S. Senate bid.

Donald Trump, Jr. and his girlfriend, former FOX News host Kimberly Guilfoyle, posted this picture to Twitter of a Get Out the Vote event at Williston High School.

Cramer posted video to Facebook of the crowd rushing into the event.

Trump, Jr. said North Dakota needs to put Cramer in the Senate and Kelly Armstrong in the House so his dad has more guys with guts to fight for the Make America Great Again agenda.

Polling shows both men with wide leads over their competitors.

Former Vice President Joe Biden will appear in Fargo on Thursday with Sen. Heidi Heitkamp for her re-election bid.

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Donald Trump, Jr. Visits North Dakota To Encourage People To Vote For Cramer And Armstrong - KVRR Local News

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WILLISTON, N.D. - President Donald Trump's eldest son is in North Dakota tonight at a campaign event for Republican Kevin Cramer's U.S. Senate bid. Donald Trump, Jr. and his girlfriend, former FOX News host Kimberly Guilfoyle, posted this picture to Twitter of a Get Out the Vote event at Williston High School.

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The Bismarck Tribune wrote that Joe Biden has endorsed Heitkamp and will campaign for her in Fargo, North Dakota. Heitkamp receiving endorsement from an esteemed Vice President is extremely beneficial to her image, and is guaranteed to rope in support from democrats.

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FARGO - Former Vice President Joe Biden will be campaigning for U.S. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in Fargo Thursday.

Biden has been on a nationwide campaign for Democratic candidates and incumbents up for election in recent weeks.

Biden was also the keynote speaker in March at the North Dakota Democratic-NPL state convention in Grand Forks.

Heitkamp said that Biden will be joining her for the kickoff event of her statewide bus tour.

The event will take place at the Fargo Air Museum at 11 a.m.

The event will be free and open to the public. Tickets will not be required.

Biden has not dismissed rumors he may seek the Democratic Party's nomination for president in 2020.

Biden also was in the news this week for being one of the high-profile Democrats targeted in an string of suspicious package deliveries that contained what federal investigators are describing as explosive devices.

Federal authorities announced Friday morning that they had arrested a Florida man in connection to the case.

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Former VP Biden to campaign for Heitkamp in Fargo

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FARGO - Former Vice President Joe Biden will be campaigning for U.S. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in Fargo Thursday. Biden has been on a nationwide campaign for Democratic candidates and incumbents up for election in recent weeks. Biden was also the keynote speaker in March at the North Dakota Democratic-NPL state convention in Grand Forks.

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CNN covered how although Senator Heitkamp voted NO in the Kavanaugh case (majority of North Dakotans disagreed with her choice), she managed to raise $12.5 million from those who supported her decision, thus showing that she still has support after her unpopular vote in the case.

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heidi heitkamp raises eye-popping $12.5 million after kavanaugh 'no' vote  - cnnpolitics

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Heidi Heitkamp raises eye-popping $12.5 million after Kavanaugh 'no' vote

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Donors sent a wave of fresh money this month to North Dakota Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, one of the Senate's most endangered Democratic incumbents, in the days after she voted to oppose Brett Kavanaugh's ascension to the Supreme Court.

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Fox News covered how Cramer and his two daughters used a paid commercial to confront her about her belief in keeping abortion legal. The video stated that after a bill passed legalizing abortion after the fifth month, she "high fived" another Senator. One of Cramer's daughters is pregnant, so they used pathos to try to turn voters against Heitkamp.

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With two months left to go until midterm Election Day in North Dakota, GOP Senate candidate Kevin Cramer released an ad attacking incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp on her late-term abortion stance.

In the 30-second ad released by Cramer's campaign, titled "Respecting Life," the candidate's two daughters - one of whom is pregnant - argue that Heitkamp doesn't support their father's "strong commitment to life."

Heitkamp, according to the daughters, "disagrees" and "even high fived another senator after voting yes to allow late-term abortions" alongside footage of the senator cheerfully high fiving Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. on the floor of the U.S. Senate.

Politifact, however, reported that after Heitkamp voted no on proceeding to a motion that would make almost all abortions after 20 weeks illegal, she was chatting with fellow Democratic Sen. Cory Booker, of New Jersey.

Schumer appeared, and the two waved hello and the grabbed their hands in a "very gradual meeting of awkwardly waving hands."

"They were greeting each other to say hello," Heitkamp's communications director told Politifact at the time. "As senators often do during votes."

Heitkamp, a former state attorney general, won her seat in the State Senate in 2012 by less than one percentage point.

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Kevin Cramer hits Heidi Heitkamp on abortion stance in North Dakota Senate race

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With two months left to go until midterm Election Day in North Dakota, GOP Senate candidate Kevin Cramer released an ad attacking incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp on her late-term abortion stance. In the 30-second ad released by Cramer's campaign, titled "Respecting Life," the candidate's two daughters - one of whom is pregnant - argue that Heitkamp doesn't support their father's "strong commitment to life."

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Cramer:
Cramer confronted Heitkamp over her 'mistakes' in voting, including voting NO on Kavanaugh's nomination (over 60% of North Dakotans wanted her to vote YES). He also confronted her for revealing a list of sexual assault victims without their permission.
Heitkamp:
Heitkamp opened the debate by apologizing for her sexual assault victim fiasco (view prediction for more information). To Cramer, she disagreed with his support of Trump's tariffs and explained that tariffs will decimate soybean market, North Dakota's most important cash crop.
Conclusion:
All news sources had an even outlook on both candidates in the debate. Both had strengths and weaknesses. While Cramer focused more on going against moral beliefs Heitkamp held (said his relatives are against the #metoo movement because they are "strong"), Senator Heitkamp worked on making amends with people she's hurt in the past, as well as challenging Cramer on Trump's policies that he supports. In my opinion, Senator Heitkamp won this debate because she mainly focused on the importance of cash crops and other issues in the state that she specializes in, while Cramer focused more on attacking Heitkamp than explaining his own positions on issues.

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Interested in Midterm Elections?

Add Midterm Elections as an interest to stay up to date on the latest Midterm Elections news, video, and analysis from ABC News.

The first debate in a Senate race that could shape up to be one of the most critical in the country was largely an argument over which candidate would be less beholden to politics and stand up more for the people of North Dakota.

"I ran six years ago and I said, 'I'm not joining any team.' I'm not 100 percent with anyone other than North Dakota," said Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in the debate against her Republican challenger Rep. Kevin Cramer.

But Cramer sought to paint a different picture, calling Heitkamp's bipartisanship an "illusion."

"Donald Trump stands with North Dakota more often than Heidi Keitkamp stands with North Dakota," he said during the debate, which aired across the state Thursday night.

Heitkamp is a Democrat running for re-election in a state President Donald Trump won handily in 2016. It is forcing the senator to maintain a tough balance, and recent public polling shows Heitkamp behind Cramer by double digits -- a fact she likes to say was also reported when she won in 2012 by only about 3,000 votes.

Because Democrats need to not only defend 10 seats in states Trump won in 2016, but also pick up two seats in reliably Republican states in order to take control of the chamber, Heitkamp's seat is key.

According to FiveThirtyEight's voter power index, North Dakota's voters are the most powerful in the country.

And in order to come out victorious, Heitkamp will have to win over voters on both sides of the aisle and go up against the Trump-endorsed Cramer, who benefits from the president's popularity in the state.

"When one team is so much better for North Dakota than the other team, you don't abandon the good team half the time just to say you're only with 'em half the time," Cramer said, knocking Heitkamp's work across the aisle.

"[Trump's] on the right side of North Dakota, that's what matters," he said.

Speaking after the debate, Heitkamp called the strategy "ridiculous."

"When you look at my history and my record with the president, I've attended many signing ceremonies, worked with the administration. He knows that," said Heitkamp, who votes in line with Trump around 54 percent of the time, according to FiveThirtyEight's tracker.

"And so, you know, I think people see through that," she added.

Heitkamp hammered her moderate voting record in the debate, shedding light on her bipartisan accomplishments and diverting Cramer's attempts to pair a vote for him with support for the president.

"I think it's interesting that Congressman Cramer talks about President Trump. Why not talk about what you've done, why not talk about your accomplishments, why not about your bipartisan credibility?" asked Heitkamp.

"Because when you look at rankings, no matter what he says, I'm 50th-most conservative and 49th-most liberal," Heitkamp said.

She compared moderates in the Senate to "connective tissue in between that stops gridlock" and said they are the ones "trying to get things done and do get things done."

But Cramer called it a "tricky game."

"This is the thing, she's with them when we don't need her. She's never been with them when we needed the vote. And that's the problem," he said in an interview after the debate.

The #MeToo movement has also played a role in each of the two candidates' campaigns, and Cramer was quick to hit Heitkamp for voting "no" on Trump's pick for the Supreme Court, Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

"You vote against Brett Kavanaugh when 64 percent of your constituents want you to vote for Brett Kavanaugh?" he asked rhetorically in an interview after the debate.

He also called out Heitkamp for running an advertisement that inadvertently outed women who were victims of sexual assault, which she opened the debate by apologizing for.

"I just thought it was really important to begin, to just say, 'I'm sorry,'" Heitkamp said of the decision to use her opening statement to apologize.

Asked if the mistake might lose her votes with Independent women, a key bloc of support in the state, Heitkamp said it wasn't about votes.

"This really for me isn't about the election. This is about, 'I made a bad mistake, my campaign made a bad mistake, and I need to own it, and I need to do everything possible to fix it," she said.

"So that's not about getting votes or losing votes. That's about making amends," she added.

But while Cramer criticized the intent of the ad as a play toward "identity politics," he also addressed his own comments over the #MeToo movement that landed him in hot water recently. In comments to The New York Times, he said the women in his family "cannot understand this movement toward victimization" because they are "tough."

Heitkamp responded tearfully, when first asked about Cramer's comments in early October, and said her own mother, a victim of sexual assault, was no less tough because of it.

"We say all politics is local, I think all politics is personal," Heitkamp said after the debate Thursday. "In North Dakota, what they want is they want someone who has integrity, they want someone who knows how to talk to people and knows the opportunities that we should be pursuing for the state."

Cramer, speaking separately, pointed to a different quality he thinks voters appreciate -- and defended his comments to The New York Times.

"What I think North Dakotans like is they like common sense," he said.

"And when a movement becomes so extreme that it's now hurting the very cause and the people that it states that it's helping, North Dakotans see through that quickly. And when you call it out, in Washington they think it's a gaffe. Here they think it's somebody talking to them," Cramer said.

Both Heitkamp and Cramer also described health care and tariffs as key issues for voters in the state. Heitkamp is aiming to preserve the Affordable Care Act while Cramer wants to replace it, and Heitkamp is against Trump's tariffs while Cramer supports the president's efforts.

"Tariffs are a key issue in the media, and they are a key issue certainly to the people directly affected, but even most of them, soybean farmers, as an example, strongly support Donald Trump," Cramer said.

"I used to say I'm the chief bitcher about these tariffs because they are so wrong for North Dakota," Heitkamp said in contrast. "These tariffs are going to decimate a very critical and important market for one of our most important cash crops: soybeans."

Over the summer, the Trump administration announced tariffs of 10 percent on more than $200 billion of imported Chinese goods. The response from China hit Trump country specifically, with tariffs on billions of dollars of American products, including soybeans.

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Candidates in crucial North Dakota Senate race spar over supporting Trump

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The first debate in a Senate race that could shape up to be one of the most critical in the country was largely an argument over which candidate would be less beholden to politics and stand up more for the people of North Dakota.

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FOX News:
9/8 - 9/11: Cramer +4
9/29 - 10/2: Cramer +12
10/27 - 10/30: Cramer +9
Trafalgar Group:
10/23 - 10/24: Cramer +9
NBC Valley News:
9/17 - 9/27: Cramer +10
10/12 - 10/19: Cramer +16
Mason Dixon:
6/13 - 6/15: Cramer +4
Conclusion:
Cramer has always been leading the polls for the midterm election.

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RealClearPolitics - Election 2018 - North Dakota Senate - Cramer vs. Heitkamp

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RealClearPolitics - Election 2018 - North Dakota Senate - Cramer vs. Heitkamp

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(part 3)

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How is the race being covered in the media?

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How is the race being covered in the media?

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Cramer has raised about $5,531,588 for his campaign (2017-2018). His top contributors are Energy Transfer Equity, Ellingson Companies, Alliance Resource Partners, Marathon Oil, and the State of North Dakota. One can infer that because Cramer's main contributors are in the oil and energy industry, Cramer's main interest for his possible future senate seat will be in energy.

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Campaign Committee Fundraising, 2017 - 2018

Total Raised vs. Average Raised

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Source of Funds (Campaign Committee), 2017 - 2018

*Includes contributions from other candidate committees.

NOTE: All the numbers on this page are for the 2017 - 2018 election cycle and based on Federal Election Commission data released electronically on 11/14/18 for Fundraising totals, Source of Funds and Total Raised vs Average, and on 10/26/18 for Top Contributors and Industries. ("Help! The numbers don't add up...")

The organizations themselves did not donate, rather the money came from the organizations' PACs, their individual members or employees or owners, and those individuals' immediate families. Organization totals include subsidiaries and affiliates.

Why (and How) We Use Donors' Employer/Occupation Information
METHODOLOGY
Feel free to distribute or cite this material, but please credit the Center for Responsive Politics. For permission to reprint for commercial uses, such as textbooks, contact the Center: info[at]crp.org

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Rep. Kevin Cramer - Campaign Finance Summary

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Heitkamp has raised about $27,017,314 for her campaign (2013-2018). Her top contributors are Alphabet Inc., Motley Rice LLC, University of California, Goldman Sachs, and Votesane PAC. Since Heitkamp's contributors are universities, law firms, investment banks, and corporations, it is hard to know what Heitkamp will focus on issue-wise in Congress. However, her top industries from her funding are education and women's issues, so one can infer that she will be focusing on social and educational issues in Congress.

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Total Raised vs. Average Raised

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Source of Funds (Campaign Committee), 2013 - 2018

*Includes contributions from other candidate committees.

NOTE: All the numbers on this page are for the 2013 - 2018 election cycle and based on Federal Election Commission data released electronically on 11/14/18 for Fundraising totals, Source of Funds and Total Raised vs Average, and on 10/26/18 for Top Contributors and Industries. ("Help! The numbers don't add up...")

The organizations themselves did not donate, rather the money came from the organizations' PACs, their individual members or employees or owners, and those individuals' immediate families. Organization totals include subsidiaries and affiliates.

Why (and How) We Use Donors' Employer/Occupation Information
METHODOLOGY
Feel free to distribute or cite this material, but please credit the Center for Responsive Politics. For permission to reprint for commercial uses, such as textbooks, contact the Center: info[at]crp.org

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Sen. Heidi Heitkamp - Campaign Finance Summary

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Stances on the issues important to this race

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Stances on the issues important to this race

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Gun Control:

Cramer has said that gun control would not have saved the Orlando Nightclub shooting, and the issue is not the US constitution, but rather "Islamic Terrorism". (not in support)

Free (or affordable) Health Care:

Cramer has voted to repeal Obamacare 5 times, and voted against the health insurance protections for patients with pre-existing conditions and against the expansion of Medicaid. (not in support)

Abortion:

Cramer is a critic of Planned Parenthood and has called for cutting off public funding for the group. (not in support)

Environment:

Cramer rejects the idea of climate change, and supports the increase of oil and gas drilling on public lands. (in support of energy development over environment)

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Stances on the issues important to this race

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Stances on the issues important to this race

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Gun Control:

Heitkamp has voted against most gun control amendments, including acts introduced to Congress after Sandy Hook and Orlando Nightclub shootings. She has an A+ rating from the NRA. (not in support)

Free (or affordable) Health Care:

Heitkamp supported the Patient Protection and Affordable Care act, although she stated that it had 'good and bad' elements. (middle ground)

Abortion:

Heitkamp has a 100% lifetime rating from Planned Parenthood, and voted to filibuster a bill that would make abortion illegal after the fifth month of pregnancy except when the mother's life is endangered. (in support)

Environment:

Heitkamp has been a supporter of domestic energy development, both in fossil fuels and renewable resources. She also supports fracking, all of which lead to environmental damage. (in support of energy development over environment)

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Kevin Cramer has been a state representative since January 3rd, 2013. He serves on the House Committee on Energy and Commerce; three subcommittees: Communications and Technology, Energy, and Environment; and he was elevated to the influential House Republican Steering Committee – as the Small State Representative. He is Co-Chairman of the House Rural Broadband Caucus, which develops policy solutions addressing Rural America’s digital divide, and the Northern Border Caucus, which fosters continued growth in the relationship between the United States and Canada. He is also a founding Chair of the Congressional Kids Safety Caucus. Cramer was elected Chairman of the North Dakota Republican Party, making him the youngest member of the Republican National Committee. He served in former Governor Ed Schafer's cabinet, first as State Tourism Director from 1993 to 1997, then as State Economic Development & Finance Director from 1997 to 2000.

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Heidi Heitkamp is North Dakota's first female elected senator. She has been senator since January 3rd, 2013. Heitkamp's former occupation was the former director of the Dakota Gasification synfuels plant. Senator Heitkamp sits on the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry. She helped write, negotiate, and pass a long-term, comprehensive Farm Bill which Congress passed in 2014. Heitkamp is also a member on the Senate Committee on Indian Affairs, as well as the Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship, and the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, where Heitkamp serves as the Ranking Member on the Subcommittee on Regulatory Affairs and Federal Management. Senator Heitkamp previously served as North Dakota’s Tax Commissioner.

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Challenger
https://cramer.house.gov/

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Incumbent
https://www.heitkamp.senate.gov/public/

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(Part 2)

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Total Population: 755,393 people

Gender Breakdown: 105 men for every 10 women

Racial Demographics of ND: White American: 90.0% (88.7% non-Hispanic white)
Native American: 5.4%
African American: 1.2%

North Dakota does not require voters to register prior to Election Day. You just need to bring  proof of ID and residency to the polls in order to vote.

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We believe Kevin Cramer will win the race, due to the fact that Cramer is a republican, and North Dakota is of 82.6% republican (voter districts). His opponent and incumbent Heidi Heitkamp, a democrat, has recently taken liberal stances on certain political issues. In the Brett Kavanaugh case, Heitkamp voted NO to electing him as a Supreme Court Justice, a choice that was the minority decision. Because North Dakota is a red state, we assume that the citizens disagree with her vote on Kavanaugh’s case, due to the pattern of the Republican leaders' votes in support of Kavanaugh, thus causing her to lose support. Heitkamp also tried to show her support for sexual assault victims by releasing a list of survivors. However, she did not receive the victims’ permission for her to release their personal information. She later apologized for her actions, but she lost respect by a large number of voters. It is more logical that Kevin Cramer would win the election because we are currently living in “Trump’s America”; Cramer was one of Trump's allies in congress, and Trump has strongly advocated for him, resulting in him winning the support of former Trump voters. According to the current polling data, Cramer is ahead of Heitkamp by over 9 points in all polling groups (i.e: FOX News, Trafalgar Group, NBC Valley News, etc.). So, incumbent Heidi Heitkamp will likely lose her seat to Kevin Cramer.

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44.6% votes for Heidi Heitkamp (143,737 people) 

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44.6% votes for Heidi Heitkamp (143,737 people) 

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55.4% votes for Kevin Cramer (178,876 people)

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55.4% votes for Kevin Cramer (178,876 people)

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North Dakota gears up for 2018 midterm battle

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(Pre-Midterm Election)

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How Trump and trade factor into Heitkamp's reelection battle

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Why Sen. Heidi Heitkamp voted "no" on Brett Kavanaugh