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California's 48th congressional district based in the U.S. state of California based in Orange County in Southern California. It is currently represented by Republican Dana Rohrabacher. The district is centered on Huntington Beach

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California's 48th congressional district based in the U.S. state of California based in Orange County in Southern California. It is currently represented by Republican Dana Rohrabacher. The district is centered on Huntington Beach

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We decided to check out the New York Times' California’s 48th Congressional District.poll (a very credible and authentic organization) as it was last done on November. They made 24,830 calls, and 491 people spoke to them. The sample size is small, as the margin of sampling error on the overall lead is nine points, roughly twice as large as the margin for a single. candidate’s vote share. One reason we’re doing these surveys live is so you can see the uncertainty for yourself. Although they phoned in residents across the district, they did not fully grasp a dull diversity of the people and relied on polls from different scenarios to estimate the true voter turnout. The source, again was very credible and didn't seem to be biased to any way, just based pure of statics and analytics

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Public Opinion Polls: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ca48-3.html
https://www.democracy.works/
Local Newspapers:
https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20181103/p2a/00m/0na/002000c
Candidate Website:
https://www.rohrabacher.com/
https://www.harleyforcongress.com/
Party Website:
https://www.gop.com/
https://democrats.org/
Secretary of State website for the state:
https://www.sos.ca.gov/
Campaign spending:
https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/summary?cid=N00007151
https://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/summary.php?
Short videos:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAsTqDiRpC8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XUXf49e0I6I
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x85Gf5kAXSQ

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Orange County is known for its concentration of white, wealthy residents, and has traditionally been considered a Republican stronghold
Shifting- There's a number of Latino voters there. There's a big chunk of Asian-American voters there and there's a number of immigrants who have lived there. So I think that that kind of complicates what used to be a pretty solidly Republican area.

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2016: Dana Rohrabacher won winner with votes 178,701/ 306,416= 58.3%
*Area has been on Republican hold since 1992*
Election day is Tuesday, November 6. California allows any voter to request a ballot by mail. You can also vote in person. California offers early voting.
If you've voted in California before, you don't need to show ID
Voters without ID: If you are unable to provide ID, you will be able to vote a provisional ballot.
Acceptable forms include: a current and valid photo ID; or a copy of a current utility bill, bank statement, government check, paycheck, or other government document that shows your name and address.

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Republican candidate Dana Rohrabacher has been a California native his whole life. He obtained his bachelor's degree from the University of California Long Beach and a masters in American Studies from the University of Southern California. Rohrabacher has been the representative for California's 48th District since 2013 and is looking to continue his run in the house.

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Republican candidate Dana Rohrabacher has been a California native his whole life. He obtained his bachelor's degree from the University of California Long Beach and a masters in American Studies from the University of Southern California. Rohrabacher has been the representative for California's 48th District since 2013 and is looking to continue his run in the house.

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Rouda calls the presidential election a "watershed event". Talking about the personalities instead of issues and being unwilling to put the work into the country first.
Unlike Rouda, Dana actually gains support from Trump, not just as a republican, but as a controversial ideologist who shares similar views on polices like immigration, the Affordable Care Act  and Russia. We favors trump a great deal and was even mentioned as himself and Trump being Putin's favorite politician

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Rouda wants to open Medicare-for-all. I want to open up a public option. It’s a buy-in. It’s just an option. Second: Reinstate the individual mandate. Third: Take off the shackles to allow Medicare to negotiate pharma prices. Housing affordability. Infrastructure. Quality jobs. And homelessness and sober homes. In this district, you have extremely affluent individuals on the coast. But we have pockets of poverty going east — and a serious homeless issue. And overpopulation: housing two or three families in single apartments or single-family homes. Not a supporter of Open borders
Dana- has focused a bulk of his campaign on immigration, as a recent spike in the district the last couple of years of latinos has caused so uneasiness to some individuals. He is pro life, proper taxation for all not just the wealthy, and doesn't favor strong gun restrictions. He voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act, but voted against the tax reform bill.

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We believe that Dana will once again become the representative of the District due to the tides not changing strongly enough and most of the residents still favoring not only dana but republicans 

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We believe that Dana will once again become the representative of the District due to the tides not changing strongly enough and most of the residents still favoring not only dana but republicans 

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we looked at polls and articles like https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/charlie-rouda-california-751280/
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/charlie-rouda-california-751280/
who not only pointed out that people were still leaning toward Dana, but that people were actually starting to dislike rouda, due to him personally attacking Dana on advertisements. Although California has been primarily democratic for some time, this district has also been Republican for over two decades. Especially with the rise of immigration the last couple of years, that sits uncomfortably with most wealthy, white Republicans. Dana has also been favorable and liked from the course of his time, and the democratic movement for Rouda i feel just came a bit to short
Weakness- I said that although most of the residents of the district are white and mostly republican, there has also been an initiative on the democratic side that there might actually be a change especially since Dana's recent remarks on Russia and the environment
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Democratic candidate Harley Rouda is a businessman and he is running for Congress because he believes that politicians in Washington have been failing the citizens for much too long. He sticks to very traditional Democratic views including the protection of Social Security and Medicare. 

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Democratic candidate Harley Rouda is a businessman and he is running for Congress because he believes that politicians in Washington have been failing the citizens for much too long. He sticks to very traditional Democratic views including the protection of Social Security and Medicare. 

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Rouda has a variety of endorsements such as: Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence .California Labor Federation. California League of Conservation Voters. California Nurses Association. Council for a Livable World. Democrats for Israel Los Angeles. Drug Policy Forum of California (DPFCA). End Citizens United. Equality California. Feminist Majority Political Action Committee, Giffords. Indivisible Action. National Education Association. National Nurses United. National Union of Healthcare Workers. Ocean Champions. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Sierra Club. United Auto Workers  Specific Interest groups are the DCCC, South Orange County Democratic Club, National Assn of Realtors,
Democratic Party Of Orange County (D)
As for dana some endorsements are Centaurus Financial, | AT&T Inc, | Aquafor,Cdmg Inc,Dominion Capital, DPS Telecom,Futek, Orange County Assoc, Robert Mayer | , Signal Hill Petroleum, Western Mutual Insurance, Inland Group
,Albanian American PAC
,Associated Builders & Contractors, Eureka PAC, Eye of the Tiger PAC, General Atomics, Give Me Liberty PAC, Invest in a Strong & Secure America, Making America Prosperous, National Cannabis Industry Assn, Northwest Excavating
Interest Groups include, American society for radiation Oncology, Plug in America, American society for radiation Oncology, Parkinson's Action network