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Mike Franks - can politics face up to climate change?

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Mike Franks - can politics face up to climate change?

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Mike Franks - Can Politics Face Up to Climate Change

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Eco-war-3.0 - methods & templates for case studies - v2 - 21-03-23

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Ravetz et al - Eco-war overview paper (part draft)

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Ravetz et al - Eco-war overview paper (part draft)

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www.ippr.org/research/publications/1-5c-dead-or-alive

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1.5°C – dead or alive? The risks to transformational change from reaching and breaching the Paris Agreement goal

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The historical failure to sufficiently tackle the climate and ecological crisis could create consequences that challenge the ability of societies to tackle the root causes of this crisis. A systemati…

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Chatham House – International Affairs Think Tank

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Unless emissions are dramatically reduced, many of the direct impacts of climate change will likely be locked in by 2040, and could become so severe they go beyond the limits of what many countries can adapt to.

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The world faces a set of risks that feel both wholly new and eerily familiar. The Global Risks Report 2023 explores some of the most severe risks we may face over the next decade. As we stand on the edge of a low-growth and low-cooperation era, tougher trade-offs risk eroding climate action, human development and future resilience.

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Global Risks Report 2023 | World Economic Forum

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The World Economic Forum's Global Risks Report 2023 explores some of the most severe risks we may face over the next decade that include energy supply and food crisis, rising inflation, cyberattacks, failure to meet net-zero targets, weaponization of economic policy, weakening of human rights.

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Cascade Institute: research for poly-crisis

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Cascade Institute: research for poly-crisis

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Thomas Homer-Dixon - polycrisis mapping example

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Thomas Homer-Dixon - polycrisis mapping example

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Eco-WW - workshop follow up C - 06-01-23

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Eco-war-3.0:  new world disorder
Climate systems catastrophe – cause and/or effect of human systems catastrophe?? 

Fossil fuels already are the flashpoint for global expropriation and confrontation.  And if the planetary boundaries are crossed, climatic tipping points are tipped, half a billion people are climate refugees, and a third of the world food supply is at risk, what then? what are the dynamics of escalation into full conflict, and what are the implications for what can be done, today and tomorrow??

This international working group of around 40,  explores the overall question – ‘What is the likelihood of climate change-related world war, and what are the implications?’.  As a program of the Laboratory for collective intelligence this Eco-war program is quite ambitious (!) … we aim to explore & map as far as possible, some crucial linkages –

    physical climatic tipping points & societal tipping points (‘SPEC-TP’).
    extreme negative tipping points & potential positive (‘upward’ TP).
    ‘problem-fix’ analysis & ‘collective anticipatory intelligence’ (as per ‘Foresight 3.0’). 

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ecosystems, pests, pandemics

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water systems, freshwater, groundwater

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food systems, desertification,

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soil systems, landscapes

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sea level, salination

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flood, storm, cyclone

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heat, drought, wildfire