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Many local public polls having included likely and registered voters has always resulted in Jon Tester winning the popular vote. There are interest groups supporting both candidates such as  National Republican Senatorial Committee and Majority Forward. The 3 major issues that these candidates are debating about are healthcare, corruption, and public lands access.

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Interest groups such as the National Republican Senatorial Cmte are supporting Republican candidate Matt Rosendale and interest groups such as Majority Forward are supporting candidate Jon Tester in the Montana senate election. These groups are both from outside the state.

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Who did Montana Support in the 2016 Presidential Election?

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Who did Montana Support in the 2016 Presidential Election?

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Montana gave their 3 electoral votes to Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election. Trump got 56.5% of the vote.

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What Issues are the Candidates Debating? 

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What Issues are the Candidates Debating? 

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Healthcare, corruption, and public lands access.

Tester supports health care being provided by the government while Rosendale opposes this. They are also debating major corruption issues about how Matt Rosendale used his authority as state auditor to dismiss an existing case against owners of a Billings-based company. Another issue is public land access,  Jon is fighting to keep public lands in public hands while Matt is trying to transfer public lands to individual states. All of these positions are in line with their respective party platform.

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In three Separate polls, Jon Tester is ahead of Matt Rosendale.

This public poll is telling us who people prefer, Rosendale vs Tester. The sample size of this poll is 2079 registered voters. The poll showed us that Tester is more likely going to be voted more by registered voters.There was a minus or plus 2 percent of marginal error.

Another poll from this website was conducted by Remington Research. They also did on poll on which candidate people were more likely to vote for, but this time it the sample was only likely voters. The sample was 2581 likely voters. The results ended in likely voters more likely to vote for Jon Tester. There was a margin of error of plus or minus 2%

The third poll was conducted by Gravis. They also did the poll on the same topic but this time their sample size was much smaller. The sample size was 469 likely voters and the results ended in again Jon Tester being the more likely voted candidate. There was a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5%.

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pPpci1l8u7s

President Trump attacks Jon Tester and the democrats on their immigration stance.

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https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2018/09/13/dem_sen_jon_tester_ad_mocks_repubican_challenger_for_pretending_to_be_a_rancher.html

In the advertisement, Tester attacks Rosendale's claim that he is a Montanan rancher.

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The median age in Montana is approximately 39.8 years of age. The ratio of females to males is approximately 49.7% females to 50.3% males. The racial diversity of Montana is split between 89.1% Caucasians, 6.6% Native North Americans, 2.6% two or more races, .7% Asian, .5% other races, and .4% African American. In 2016 in the Montana Senate election there were 648,764 registered voters and 293,548 of them voted. There was about a 45.25% voter turnout rate. To vote in Montana, one must be a United States citizen and resident of Montana for at least 30 days prior to the election. A voter in Montana must be at least 18 years old by Election Day.  A voter in Montana is required to present identification prior to receiving a ballot.

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The main democratic candidate for the Montana senate race is Jon Tester (incumbent). The incumbent is the existing holder of a political office who normally has a structural advantage over challengers during an election for multiple reasons. The main Republican ideas report the senate race is Matt Rosendale .

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Strong ideological conservative and Trump supporter. Supports gun rights, tough on immigration, and opposes Obamacare.

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Tester is a relatively moderate democrat. He supports Medicare and supports returning veterans.

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Matt Rosendale comes from a family of marines. Before running for senator, he was a Montanan state senator, state legislator, and state auditor. He also served on the Montana State Land Board.

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John Tester is the current incumbent. Prior to becoming Montana's senator, he was a Montana state senator. He is a 3rd generation Montanan and graduated from the University of Great Falls with a music degree and taught elementary school for a few years.