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She puts people before politics; she uses her  sponsored bills that have limited the power of self-serving career politicians

In terms of economy she  uses her ability to unleash free market principles by limiting interference of big government

Tenney opposes Obamacare, she advocates to defund Obamacare and for free-market patient centric healthcare (for affordable insurance)

In tune with many other republicans, she hopes to secure border from illegal immigrants and preserve taxpayer resources for Americans and immigrants who follow the laws

Again, lining up with other republicans, she aims against tax increases that increase out-of-control government spending

She advocates for a limited government spending to salvage country’s financial health

Veterans have become a huge part of New York, including the New York Assembly Veterans Committee (sponsored bills to benefit & support active duty and retired veterans), provide proper support to veterans upon return from combat

In terms of National Security, she ensures that government provides for common defense

Pro: for the Second Amendment Tenney is pro right to bear arms, against SAFE Act

Pro: Tenney advocates for  small businesses and oppose regulations and taxes on businesses and individuals that crush small businesses)

Promotes an anti-government involvement in education, wants to leave decisions to parents and local government

Pro-life: Pain Capable Unborn Child Act, very anti-abortion

Tenney also believes in Tran-Pacific Partnership and a bunch of corruptions and is terrible for the American worker

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Pro choice: Brindisi supports abortion and the ability to choose

Supports income tax increase on any tax bracket

Supports regulation of indirect campaign contributions from corporations and unions

Supports federal spending as a means of promoting economic growth

Supports requirement of states to adopt federal education standards

Supports government funding for the development of renewable energy

Supports gun-control legislation

Against:

Does not support reducing defense spending

Does not support corporate taxes as a means of promoting economic growth

Does not support the repeal of the 2010 Affordable Care Act (Obamacare)

Does not support the requirement of immigrants who are unlawfully present to return to their country or origin before they are eligible for citizenship

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Incumbent

Moderate

“Record of battling the corrupt political elite of Albany and Washington, and fighting for middle-class families, small businesses and family farms”- campaign manager

Emulates Trump: “a tea party favorite”

Moving towards the right-- for more turnout from republicans

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Current New York State Assemblyman of District 119

Moderate Democrat

Mr. Brindisi [says], ‘My message is being driven locally by things that I hear at town hall meetings, such as the ever-increasing cost of health care, the need for jobs, protecting Social Security and the opioid crisis.’ (Foderaro, New York Times)

Exhibits a lot of negative campaigning

Doesn’t really fit apparently because has A rating form the NRA

Forsworn his support for representative Nancy Pelosi’s leadership, should Democrats flip the house in Nov

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“Constituent Services.” United States Representative Claudia Tenney Serving the 22nd District of New York, tenney.house.gov/.

“Issues.” Claudia Tenney, claudiaforcongress.com/issues/.

“Anthony Brindisi for Congress.” Anthony Brindisi for Congress, brindisiforcongress.com/.

Foderaro, Lisa W. “To Unseat a Trump Republican, Democrats Embrace a Centrist Candidate.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 9 Aug. 2018, www.nytimes.com/2018/08/09/nyregion/brindisi-tenney-midterm-election-ny.html?login=email&auth=login-email.

“Editorial Endorsement: Anthony Brindisi for the 22nd Congressional District.” Google, Google, www.google.com/amp/s/articles.syracuse.com/opinion/index.ssf/2018/11/editorial_endorsement_anthony_brindisi_for_the_22nd_congressional_district.amp.

“The Voter's Self Defense System.” Vote Smart, votesmart.org/candidate/political-courage-test/135258/anthony-brindisi/#.W8v7ToplChB.

“The Democrats.” Democrats, democrats.org/.

“Republican National Committee.” GOP, gop.com/.

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On November 5, 2018, The New York Times said that with a race close, with Tenney receiving 46 percent support and Brindisi receiving 45 percent. The poll's sample size was 506 and its margin of error was +/- 4.7 percentage points.

On October 24, 2018: the Siena College released a another poll that had the race close; Brindisi received 46 percent support while Tenney received 45 percent. The poll's sample size was 501 likely voters and its margin of error was +/- 4.7 percentage points.

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We believe that the Democrat Party candidate Anthony Brindisi will win the seat in the House of Representatives for New York Congressional District 22.

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Based on the 2017 census data for NY Congressional District 22, 48% of the district’s population receive an income of less than $50K annually. With the largest portion of the district in the lowest income bracket, they will most likely support Brindisi because his platform supports Obamacare and state adoption of federal education standards, which provide the people with more money to support their local facilities. Additionally he supports federal funding for the development of renewable resources and economic growth, which will produce more jobs.

According to ABC News’ FiveThirtyEight, Brindisi raised over $2.8 M while Tenney raised just over $1M. This has granted Brindisi access to a wider variety of media where he can advertise himself to the local people of NY Congressional District 22. This money has also allowed him to host town hall meetings to hear the complaints of the local people and address these issues in his platform, making it more appealing to the majority of his constituents.

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However, Tenney’s incumbency gives her a slight advantage over Brindisi because the constituents see that she has experience as a representative. With the district voting for President Trump in the 2016 presidential election and Tenney in the 2016 congressional election, the district may sway for the republican candidate, a trend seen in the past few elections.

Although her incumbency and the district’s past support for republican candidates may seem to give Tenney an advantage, we believe Brindisi is more likely to win because his platform is more tailored toward his constituents, addressing the issues they have faced as a community.

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Age

-18: 20.2%

18-64: 61.4%

65+: 18.5%

Gender:

Male: 50%

Female: 50%

Race & Ethnicity

White: 87%

Black: 4%

Asian: 3%

Hispanic: 4%

Mix: 2%

Income

less than $50K: 48%

$50K-$100K: 33%

$100K-$200K: 17%

more than $200K: 3%

Education

No degree: 11%

High school: 34%

Some college: 31%

Bachelor’s: 14%

Post-grad: 10%

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Requirements

US Citizen

18-years-old by Dec. 31

Resident of district

No prison

Not claimed to vote anywhere else

Not deemed mentally incompetent by a court

How and Where to Register

In-person: any New York State Agency-Based voter registration center

At-home: complete online registration form (both Spanish and English available) and mail to county board of elections

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2016 Presidential Election Voter Turnout

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2016 Presidential Election Voter Turnout

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Clinton/Kaine: 55% (majority)

Trump/Pence: 42%

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Divided between Republicans and Democrats (again)

Democrats have a 104-41 majority in the House

However, GOP is in charge of the Senate with a narrow 32-31 majority.

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only one more seat to have a majority (in Senate)

would allow Democrats to have full control in one of the most liberal states in the country

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Psephologist, those who study elections and what they say.

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Psephologist, those who study elections and what they say.

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Jacobson says the New York Senate race leans toward the Democrats.

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Doesn’t like Trump

38% approval and 58% disapproval

Surprising-- NY is Trump's home state

Solid support for Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo

48% approval

39% disapproval

faces arguing progressive challenge from Cynthia Nixon in reelection race

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Donald Trump

Sarah Sanders

National Rifle Association

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Neither candidates have had scandals, which helps promote each candidates campaign.

In terms of Fundraising, Generic Ballot, Challenger Experience, and Incumbent's voting record in Congress Brindisi on a good course.

On the other had, Tenney has an advantage as an Incumbent, caused Division Partisanship, and  her margin in last election.

Because of all these general notions of each candidate many experts believe that the NY 22nd District is a complete toss up.

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Republic Primary: Tenney was uncontested
Democratic Primary: Brindisi was uncontested

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Syracuse.com (local New York newspaper)

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“Census Profile: Congressional District 22, NY.” Census Reporter, censusreporter.org/profiles/50000US3622-new-york-congressional-district-22/.

“New York's 22nd Congressional District Election, 2016.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/New_York%27s_22nd_Congressional_District_election,_2016.

“Board of Elections.” Register to Vote - New York State Board of Elections, www.elections.ny.gov/votingregister.html.

“New York Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates.” Election Hub, www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/new-york/.

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Interest Group Donors:

Susan B Anthony List (Anti-Abortion PAC): $69,300

National Association of Insurance and Financial Advisors (Life Insurance PAC): $11,500

National Rifle Association (Gun Rights PAC): $9,900

Party Contributions: $3,100

Individual Contributions: $1,068,000

Expenditures:

$2,502,000

$507,000 on hand

$0 in debt

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Interest Group Donors:

United Steelworkers Political Action Fund (Workers PAC): $5,000

D.R.I.V.E. (International Brotherhood of Teamsters PAC): $5,000

Party Contributions: $5,000

Individual Contributions: $2,900,000

Expenditures:

$3,539,000

$293,000 on hand

$0 in debt

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Source of Funds and Rankings (seen in picture below):

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Source of Funds and Rankings (seen in picture below):

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Small Individual Contributions - $172,811
Large Individual Contributions - $791,250
PAC Contributions - $1,172,534
Candidate Self-financing - $0
Others - $567,727

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Source of Funding and Rankings(seen in picture below):

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Source of Funding and Rankings(seen in picture below):

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Small Individual Contributions - $1,555,558
Large Individual Contributions - $985,710
PAC Contributions - $631,299
Candidate Self-financing - $0
Others - $178,749

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Scott, Dylan. “The 9 Most Important State Legislature Elections in 2018, Explained.” Vox, Vox, 2 Nov. 2018, www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/7/30/17614554/2018-midterms-state-legislature-elections-gerrymandering.

NateSilver538. “New York 22nd - 2018 House Forecast.” FiveThirtyEight, 4 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/new-york/22/.

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“Rep. Claudia Tenney - Campaign Finance Summary.” OpenSecrets, www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/summary?cid=N00036351.

Breidenbach, Michelle. “Search All Donors to Anthony Brindisi's Democratic Campaign for NY's 22nd Congressional District.” NewYorkUpstate.com, NewYorkUpstate.com, 13 Aug. 2018, www.newyorkupstate.com/news/2018/08/search_all_donors_to_anthony_brindisis_democratic_campaign_for_nys_22nd_congress.html.

NateSilver538. “New York 22nd - 2018 House Forecast.” FiveThirtyEight, 4 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/new-york/22/.

“Issues.” Claudia Tenney, claudiaforcongress.com/issues/.

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Foderaro, Lisa W. “To Unseat a Trump Republican, Democrats Embrace a Centrist Candidate.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 9 Aug. 2018, www.nytimes.com/2018/08/09/nyregion/brindisi-tenney-midterm-election-ny.html?login=email&auth=login-email.

“The Voter's Self Defense System.” Vote Smart, votesmart.org/candidate/political-courage-test/135258/anthony-brindisi/#.W8v7ToplChB.

NateSilver538. “New York 22nd - 2018 House Forecast.” FiveThirtyEight, 4 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/new-york/22/.

“Issues.” Claudia Tenney, claudiaforcongress.com/issues/.

“Constituent Services.” United States Representative Claudia Tenney Serving the 22nd District of New York, tenney.house.gov/.

“Anthony Brindisi for Congress.” Anthony Brindisi for Congress, brindisiforcongress.com/.

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“Campaign Finance Data.” FEC.gov, www.fec.gov/data/.

“Data on Campaign Finance, Super PACs, Industries, and Lobbying.” OpenSecrets, www.opensecrets.org/.

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NateSilver538. “New York 22nd - 2018 House Forecast.” FiveThirtyEight, 4 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/new-york/22/.

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“Sarah Huckabee Sanders Endorses Rep. Claudia Tenney for NY-22.” Sarah Huckabee Sanders Endorses Claudia Tenney, spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/central-ny/news/2018/11/03/sarah-huckabee-sanders-endorses-claudia-tenney-.

“NRA Endorses Tenney in NY-22, She Says Guns Are Not the Problem.” Tenney Says Guns Are Not the Problem as NRA Endorses Her, spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/binghamton/news/2018/10/29/nra-tenney-ny-22-guns-new-york-state.

“Trump Tweets Endorsement of Congresswoman Claudia Tenney.” Washington Free Beacon, 5 Nov. 2018, freebeacon.com/politics/trump-tweets-endorsement-claudia-tenney/.

“Editorial Endorsement: Anthony Brindisi for the 22nd Congressional District.” Google, Google, www.google.com/amp/s/articles.syracuse.com/opinion/index.ssf/2018/11/editorial_endorsement_anthony_brindisi_for_the_22nd_congressional_district.amp.

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“New York's 22nd Congressional District Election, 2016.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/New_York%27s_22nd_Congressional_District_election,_2016.

NateSilver538. “New York 22nd - 2018 House Forecast.” FiveThirtyEight, 4 Nov. 2018, projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/new-york/22/.