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Do you think they battle...? Like Tron maybe? CRUZ LAUNCHES A BEETO LIGHT DISC FOR THE FIFTEENTH TIME TONIGHT!!!

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                                                                              Election Prediction

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                                                                              Election Prediction

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We predict that the democratic candidate Paul Davis will win the 2018 midterm election. The evidence is the sudden increase in early polls for the democratic party, making the margin difference a one point lead for the democrats in a red state. Lynn Jenkins also leaving an open seat means neither candidate has an incumbent advantage, however the district previously voted percentage wise about half of the republicans percentage, 32.5 to 60.9 respectively. However one weakness is that the live polls are still an early count and anything can happen by November 6th, yet for the sudden increase and energy coming from the democratic party shows that the district may be ready for a change.

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                                 Steve Watkins

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                                 Steve Watkins

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(Republican)
-Steve Watkins is a West Point graduate and a former Army Ranger.
-Mr. Watkins, a newcomer to politics who has spent much of his adult life outside Kansas, prevailed in a seven-way Republican primary over more established candidates, some of whom criticized his skimpy voting record and reliance on a PAC financed by his father.
-Watkins, a Topeka Republican without prior political experience, said he would urge Congress to respond first to the immigration crisis with construction of a longer border wall with Mexico. He also would strive to improve the visa system and hit back at cities that refused to help federal agents enforce immigration law.
-Watkins, who has a father and wife who work as physicians, said the problem was rooted in the imposition of Obamacare and an obsession among liberal politicians to impose unnecessary regulations on doctors. He said the remedy to the flawed health care system was to let capitalism take over.

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                                    Paul Davis

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                                    Paul Davis

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(Democrat)
-Paul Davis is the former minority leader in the State House.
-Mr. Davis, who faced no primary opposition, has emphasized his community ties and willingness to work across the aisle. A lawyer, he served in the Kansas State House from 2002 to 2015.
-“We’re a nation of immigrants,” Davis said. “People who are contributing to our economy, that are playing by the rules, that are paying taxes, that are learning English should be given a pathway to becoming an American citizen.”
-In response to the moderator’s question about rural health care, Davis said the federal government would serve interests of southeast Kansas by cracking down on high prescription medicine costs and speeding generic drugs to market. He said popular provisions of the Affordable Care Act should be retained, including protection of people with pre-existing medical conditions, and Kansas ought to expand eligibility for Medicaid.

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Kansas' 2nd Congressional District covers most of the eastern part of the state, except for the core of the Kansas City Metropolitan Area.  The current representative of the 2nd Congressional District is Lynn Jenkins, a republican.(see right.)
Race Factor:
The racial makeup of the district is 89.01% White, 5.06% Black or African American, 1.26% Native American, 0.97% Asian, 0.06% Pacific Islander, 1.52% from other races, and 2.12% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race were 3.81% of the population.
Income Factor:
The median income for a household in the district is $37,855, and the median income for a family was $47,095. Males had a median income of $32,033 versus $24,230 for females. The per capita income for the district was $18,595. About 7.1% of families and 11.2% of the population were below the poverty line, including 12.0% of those under age 18 and 9.3% of those age 65 or over.
Age Factor:

There were 257,856 households out of which 34.60% had children under the age of 18 living with them, 54.48% were married couples living together, 9.20% had a female householder with no husband present, and 32.79% were non-families. 26.73% of all households were made up of individuals and 10.63% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 2.49 and the average family size was 3.02.

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Photo taken by Laura Buckman

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Photo taken by Jamelle Bouie

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Based on a 2017 Texas Census

251,550,000 of the Texas population is 18 years or older

60.7% of the Texas population is white

13.4% is African or African-American

18.1% is hispanic or latino

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(1) NY Times. “Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz: Texas Senate Race.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 2 Nov. 2018, www.nytimes.com/2018/11/02/us/elections/texas-senate-race.html.
(2) Wallace, Jeremy. “Election HQ: News and Analysis on 2018 Elections.” Houston Chronicle, Houston Chronicle, 2018, www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/election/election2018/.
(3)Frank W. Blackmar, ed. (1912). "Congressional Districts". Kansas: a cyclopedia of state history, embracing events, institutions, industries, counties, cities, towns, prominent persons, etc ... I. Chicago: Standard Pub Co. pp. 400–401.
(4) "American FactFinder". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved 2008-01-31
(5)“Kansas' 2nd Congressional District.” Ballotpedia,     ballotpedia.org/Kansas'_2nd_Congressional_District.
(5)Dallas News. “Keep up with the 2018 Texas Senate Race.” Dallas News, 2018, www.dallasnews.com/news/2018-elections/collection/keep-2018-texas-senate-race.

(6)Mekelburg, Madlin, and John C Moritz. “Ahead of Nov. 6 Election Day, Ted Cruz, Beto O'Rourke Give Voters Their Final Pitch.” El Paso Times, El Paso Times, 3 Nov. 2018, www.elpasotimes.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/03/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-give-voters-final-pitch-ahead-nov-6-election-day/1823093002/.

(7)United States Census Bureau. “U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: UNITED STATES.” Census Bureau QuickFacts, 2017, www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/PST045217#qf-headnote-a.

(8)Center for New Media & Promotion, and US Census Bureau. “My Congressional District.” Census.gov, 25 Jan. 2017, www.census.gov/mycd/?st=20&cd=02.
(9)“Midterm Election Poll: Kansas' 2nd District, Watkins vs. Davis.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 13 Sept. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ks02-1.html.
(10)https://www.davisforkansas.com/
(11)https://steveforkansas.com/

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Ted Cruz is an incumbent republican who has experienced political success in the past with Congress and has even once run for President. Cruz is a more conservative republican, appealing to mostly the angry, motivated republicans that are passionate about his beliefs. Most of those that he appeals to are white catholics.

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Beto O'rourke was born in El Paso, Texas. Beto served as the Texas 16th Congressional District House Representative for 3 terms. Beto is largely a moderate Democrat. Though he would highly appeal to extreme, left constituents, he strives to appeal to both sides, though most definitely leaning left, of the spectrum. He has been known to repeatedly state that we, as humans, would be able to best accomplish goals by working together regardless of party affiliation.

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Texas is a generally VERY much red state, having very few, if none, state officials elected since 1994. Though this is the case, Texas has been experiencing a large amount of demographic change, becoming more diverse in race and ethnicity and potentially giving way to a change in constituent political leanings.