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‘I Wouldn’t Bet Against Elon Musk,’ Morgan Stanley CEO Says

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‘I Wouldn’t Bet Against Elon Musk,’ Morgan Stanley CEO Says

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Jonathan Rojas

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2022/12/01/arizona-county-still-hasnt-certified-its-midterm-election-results-heres-why-it-could-cost-republicans-a-house-seat/?sh=3c9bd4731697

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Topline

Cochise County, Arizona, is now the only county in the U.S. that has so far refused to certify its midterm election results, prompting lawsuits and potentially threatening Republicans' narrow majority in the House if officials don't change their minds and approve the election tallies during a second vote on Friday.

Demonstrators gather at a rally to protest midterm election results outside of Maricopa County ... [+]
AFP via Getty Images

Key Facts

Surprising Fact

The Cochise County board has struggled to find a lawyer willing to represent the county in the lawsuits against its refusal to certify, local outlet 12 News reported late Wednesday. While the officials had selected Bryan Blehm as their attorney, who represented the group that conducted the controversial partisan election audit of Maricopa County's 2020 results, they were then told that Blehm had turned down the offer to represent them.

What We Don't Know

If the Cochise County officials will face any punishments for refusing to certify. A former Arizona attorney general and Maricopa County attorney sent a letter to Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich and Cochise County Attorney Brian McIntyre, which urges them to bring criminal charges against the two Republican county officials who delayed the certification. The former prosecutors argued that doing so violated state laws that mandate certifying election results and prohibit interfering with following election laws, the latter of which is a felony offense. Brnovich, a Republican, has not yet commented on whether the state would consider pursuing charges.

Key Background

Election results certification, while typically a routine procedure, has become more charged in the past two years, as former President Donald Trump pushed baseless voter fraud claims in the aftermath of the 2020 election that have taken hold amongst his base and led to increased distrust over benign voting practices. Officials in Wayne County, Michigan, briefly refused to certify its results in 2020 for a few hours before reversing course, and Otero County, New Mexico, declined to certify its primary results earlier this year before being forced to do so in court. Cochise County is one of several counties where certification has been a concern in the November elections, with Mohave County, Arizona, officials also considering not verifying the results but ultimately certified them. Luzerne County, Pennsylvania, was the only other county in which a state board declined to certify results, as one board member abstained from voting after the country ran out of paper ballots on Election Day. The board ultimately certified the results during a second vote on Wednesday. The Associated Press reports some other Pennsylvania counties have also been delayed in reporting their certified results to the states amid calls for recounts from GOP voters, but boards in those counties have not explicitly refused to certify results in the same way as Cochise County.

What To Watch For

In addition to Cochise County's objection to Maricopa County's voting issues-which didn't prevent that county from certifying its vote count-GOP gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is also expected to file a lawsuit challenging the county's election results in an effort to overturn Hobbs' win. Maricopa County gained attention in the midterms for issues with voting tabulators, which fueled allegations of purported fraud, but there is no evidence to support those claims and officials say it did not stop voters from casting ballots through other methods. Lake's lawsuit cannot be filed until after the state certifies its results, and comes after Lake, who has repeatedly pushed baseless claims about voter fraud, lost to Hobbs by 17,116 votes. Based on similar lawsuits filed in the aftermath of the 2020 election challenging results on the basis of purported voter fraud, which were entirely unsuccessful, it is unlikely Lake's efforts will change the results.

Further Reading

An Arizona County's Refusal to Certify Election Results Could Cost GOP a House Seat (Bloomberg)

Election certification delays few, but a 'test run' for 2024 (Associated Press)

Cochise County fails to find attorney to defend itself from lawsuit over refusal to certify election (12 News)

Cochise County Board of Supervisors votes to delay certification of election results (Arizona Republic)

'This craziness has to stop': Ex-prosecutors recommend charging Cochise County supervisors (Arizona Republic)

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what happens if county doesn't certify results

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Arizona County Still Hasn't Certified Its Midterm Results-Here's Why It Could Cost Republicans A House Seat

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Cochise County, Arizona, is now the only county in the U.S. that has so far refused to certify its midterm election results, prompting lawsuits and potentially threatening Republicans' narrow majority in the House if officials don't change their minds and approve the election tallies during a second vote on Friday.

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Esta reunión entre Biden y Macron, causo mucha tensión entre las naciones del oeste y este ya que después del plan que habia propuesto Biden para tener mas cooperación con los países del este, resulto ser que cada vez hay mas sospechas que en realidad ese plan este favoreciendo y protegiendo tanto a Europa como a Estados Unidos.

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Biden’s Meeting With Macron Comes Amid Rising Trans-Atlantic Tensions

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The president’s “Made in America” plan has drawn accusations of protectionism from Europe as the United States tries to keep its Western allies aligned against Russia.

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Musk Threatens War With Apple, Jeopardizing Vital Relationship

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Musk Threatens War With Apple, Jeopardizing Vital Relationship

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-28/musk-says-that-apple-has-mostly-stopped-advertising-on-twitter?leadSource=uverify%20wall

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Musk Threatens War With Apple, Jeopardizing Vital Relationship

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Elon Musk’s tumultuous month atop Twitter Inc. has already included firing most of the company’s employees, tinkering with key features and restoring banned accounts. Now he’s embarking on what could be his riskiest gambit yet: a war with Apple Inc.

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/edwardsegal/2022/11/17/elon-musks-ultimatum-to-twitter-employees-ramps-up-companys-crisis/?sh=f3c5abf17d56

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Elon Musk's ultimatum to Twitter's employees yesterday morning that they have until 5 pm EST ... [+]
Getty Images for The Met Museum/Vogue

Elon Musk's ultimatum to Twitter's employees that they have until today to commit to a new "hardcore" company or leave with severance pay poured more gas on the fire at the social media platform. His edict could have a devestating impact on workers and raises more questions about the future of the organization, according to HR experts and other observers.

Employees were asked to respond by Thursday by clicking on an icon if they wanted to stay. "This will mean working long hours at high intensity," Musk said in an email to Twitter's workforce. "Only exceptional performance will constitute a passing grade."

"By mid-Wednesday, members of Twitter's Trust and Safety team-who are responsible for keeping hate speech and misinformation off the site-were discussing a mass resignation, according to three current employees who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of retribution," the reported.

Coming days after Musk fired thousands of Twitter workers, his latest action is another example of how to make a crisis worse.

Experts shared their observations and predictions of how the ultimatium will affect Twitter's dwindling workforce and the company.

Keeping Morale Low

"Employee morale at Twitter was already abysmally low; it's hard to see how this ultimatum does anything but keep it that way," Nicholas Creel, an assistant professor of business law at Georgia College and State University, said via email.

"What's more, the hardline stance Musk is taking will practically ensure that anyone applying to work there going forward will have to be prepared to give up hope of much of any personal life, all while accepting that their job security will be in the hands of a mercurial micromanager with outrageous expectations. In other words, the talent pool Musk can now expect to recruit from will be exceedingly small," he noted.

Strategic Direction

Lost in the national headlines about the ultimatum was what Musk said about the company's strategic direction, and perhaps his first words on the subject.

In his message to workers, he said Twitter will "be much more engineering-driven. Design and product management will still be very important and report to me, but those writing great code will constitute the majority of our team and have the greatest sway. At its heart, Twitter is a software and servers company, so I think this makes sense."

'Drawing A Line In The Sand'

"Asking for commitment is one thing. In this case, you have a guy who is drawing a line in the sand and asking for a blank check," Mark A. Herschberg, an instructor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and author of The Career Toolkit: Essential Skills for Success That No One Taught You, saidviaemail.

"Leading is about getting followers to commit to a vision. Musk does not have a clear vision outlined, and worse, has a history of being capricious as well as firing detractors. Why should someone commit with no clear upside when the risks of frustration, termination, or overall company failure are high?" he asked.

"When the house is burning, it's one thing to rally people to take risks to put it out. You'd appeal to a sense of purpose, teamwork, and [a] larger vision. It's another to say something akin to you damn well better do it my way or else don't do it at all with no discussion. My guess is employees who haven't yet quit or been fired will be updating their resumes and ramping up their job search," Herschberg concluded.

Not A Free Or Rational Choice

"Moral actions are those that do not violate an individual's ability to make free and rational choices. At first glance, Musk appears to be giving employees a choice, but it is one that is neither free nor rational," Sarah Cabral, a senior scholar in business ethics at the Markkula Center for Applied Ethics at Santa Clara University, said via email.

"It is not free because it is coercive, and it is not rational because the terms are unclear. Employees only have 24 hours to decide their future and no meaningful sense of what the new 'hardcore' environment will actually require of them," she pointed out.

'A Horrible Idea'

"Trying to bully or coerce employees into assenting to a certain style of work that has not been the norm in the organization is a horrible idea," Kia Roberts, principal and founder of Triangle Investigations, said via email.

"There is a way that management can and should operate where they identify the levers to pull to increase employee productivity and encourage employees to stay with the organization, but issuing ultimatums is certainly not it," she counseled.

Encouraging Union Organizing

Elon Musk's ultimatum to Twitter's employees yesterday morning that they have until today to commit ... [+]
Getty Images for The Met Museum/Vogue

"I would expect at least two union organizing campaigns to take hold if Musk stays at the helm of Twitter," Nora Burns, a workplace culture researcher and former HR executive, said via email.

Musk "is demonstrating the very worst of 1940s leadership strategies while using an international megaphone to spread the word. Unions were at their strongest during the 40s when these manipulative, bullying, and 'love it or leave it' techniques were too often applied to the workforce," she observed.

"Ultimatums have no place in any relationship, and the employment relationship is no exception. Musk seems to have forgotten that Twitter as a whole is a relationship business," Burns speculated.

Impact On Recruiting

"There will be very little recruiting happening (almost all of the recruiters got let go). The few who join the organization...will be those attracted to Musk's 'hardcore' management philosophy. I predict there will be few takers," Ron Oltmanns, a leadership coach and consultant, said via email.

"Leaders in a crisis need to think hard about whether "shock treatment" is really required like what Musk has administered to Twitter. Only in extreme cases is it necessary. Otherwise, you're taking existing problems and multiplying the troubles, not solving problems," he noted.

Doubling Down

"The best takeaway for business leaders here is to recognize that the first step in managing a self-imposed crisis is to stop doing the thing that got you in trouble, to begin with," Nicholas Creel, the assistant professor of business law at Georgia College and State University, recommended.

"Musk is doubling down when he ought to be pulling back, so we can probably expect his problems to only get worse from here," he predicted.

Musk's Track Record

Longtime observers of Musk's management style may not be surprised by what he is doing with Twitter or how he is doing it. His track records at the other companies he owns - SpaceX and Tesla - could provide a roadmap for the billionaire's next moves.

"Musk's strategy can be characterized by common themes across three areas: what fits into his vision for problems to solve, how he designs an organization as a solution to those problems, and why he can so effectively mobilize resources towards those solutions," according to the .

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Elon Musk's Ultimatum To Twitter Employees Ramps Up Company's Crisis

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Elon Musk's ultimatum to Twitter's employees that they have until today to commit to a new 'hardcore' company or leave with severance pay poured more gas on the fire at the social media platform. His edict could have a devestating impact on workers and the company.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/28/us/russian-activists-asylum.html

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Antiwar Activists Who Flee Russia Find Detention, Not Freedom, in the U.S.

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Thousands of Russians are crossing the southern border to claim asylum. Many are ending up in immigration prison. “I left Russia for a place just like Russia,” said one.

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Estados Unidos no es un aliado fiable, según China

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Estados Unidos no es un aliado fiable, según China

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bidens-fumbled-afghanistan-withdrawal-propaganda-gift-china-defense-department-finds

La retirada fallida del presidente Biden de Afganistán fue un regalo de propaganda para China según su Departamento de Defensa.
El informe que se publicó el martes siguiere que China aprovechó la retirada para convencer a los líderes del mundo de que Estados Unidos no es un aliado fiable.

Max

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Biden’s fumbled Afghanistan withdrawal was a propaganda gift to China, Defense Department finds

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A Department of Defense report found that China has highlighted the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in attempts to undermine American influence in the world.

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Qatar World Cup chief says between 400 and 500 migrant workers have died in projects connected to the tournament

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Qatar World Cup chief says between 400 and 500 migrant workers have died in projects connected to the tournament

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Por Linda

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Qatar World Cup chief says between 400 and 500 migrant workers have died in projects connected to the tournament | CNN

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World Cup chief Hassan Al-Thawadi said that between 400 and 500 migrant workers have died as a result of work done on projects connected to the tournament -- a greater figure than Qatari officials have cited previously.

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https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/22/politics/trump-poll-president-republican-desantis/index.html

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A worrisome poll number for Donald Trump | CNN Politics

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Donald Trump is running for president. But according to a new Quinnipiac University national poll, a whole lot of people wish he wasn't.

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Trump Sued for Battery by E. Jean Carroll Under NY’s New Law

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Trump Sued for Battery by E. Jean Carroll Under NY’s New Law

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-24/trump-sued-for-battery-by-e-jean-carroll-under-ny-s-new-law?srnd=politics-vp#xj4y7vzkg

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JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank Sued Over Jeffrey Epstein Links

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JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank Sued Over Jeffrey Epstein Links

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JPMorgan Chase y Deutsche Bank han sido acusados ​​​​de beneficiarse y facilitar el abuso sexual de mujeres jóvenes y niñas por parte del difunto financiero Jeffrey Epstein, según dos demandas presentadas el jueves, el último esfuerzo para atacar a las personas e instituciones que rodean a Epstein mientras abre Nueva York. establecer una ventana de un año para que las víctimas adultas de abuso sexual presenten casos que normalmente se consideran demasiado antiguos para continuar.

Las demandas, presentadas en un tribunal federal de Nueva York en nombre de dos mujeres diferentes no identificadas que acusaron a Epstein de abuso sexual, afirman que Deutsche Bank y JPMorgan Chase se beneficiaron del presunto tráfico sexual de Epstein y miraron hacia otro lado “para obtener ganancias”.

Por: Sofia Vizl

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JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank Sued Over Jeffrey Epstein Links

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The lawsuits claimed Deutsche Bank and JPMorgan Chase benefited from and enabled Epstein’s alleged sex trafficking and ignored numerous red flags “in order to churn profits.”

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Las duraderas cuarentenas en China, empiezan a provocar disturbios entre la población y las autoridades de seguridad esto debido a que China sigue apostando por la política de zero covid. Por otro lado estas cuarentenas han ido debilitando el crecimiento económico de China debido a que muchas industrias sufren por la falta de los trabajadores para que les ayuden a seguir produciendo.

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In a Challenge to Beijing, Unrest Over Covid Lockdowns Spreads

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Protests are rising as China enacts more lockdowns and quarantines, with no end in sight. The defiance is a test of Xi Jinping’s authoritarian leadership.

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Hakeem Jeffries, Pelosi's likely replacement, supports commission to study slavery reparations

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Hakeem Jeffries, Pelosi's likely replacement, supports commission to study slavery reparations

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/hakeem-jeffries-pelosi-likely-replacement-supports-commission-study-slavery-reparations

Hakeem Jeffries, quien es el posible sucesor de Nancy Pelosi como Speaker de la Cámara de Representantes apoya la propuesta que se presentó en 2019 (por Sheila Jackson Lee) para crear una comisión nacional que estudie y desarrolle propuestas para "slavery reparations". También refirió que "es lo menos que el Congreso puede hacer después de generaciones de injusticia".
Además, ha recibido aprobación casi universal para su ascenso.

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Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, the top candidate to replace Nancy Pelosi as House Democratic leader, supports legislation to study the feasibility of providing reparations to the descendants of enslaved individuals.

Jeffries, D-N.Y., is one of nearly 200 co-sponsors of a bill to create a national commission to study and develop proposals on slavery reparations. The 13-member commission would be tasked with presenting appropriate remedies to the lingering negative effects of slavery and discrimination within the United States.

"The call for reparations represents a commitment to entering a constructive dialogue on the role of slavery and racism in shaping present-day conditions in our community and American society," said Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee, a Texas Democrat who authored the legislation.

Although the bill has failed to make progress in the Democratic-controlled House since 2019, its support has grown in recent years. Jeffries was one of the bill's early supporters when it was first introduced in 2019.
ELECTION DENIER HAKEEM JEFFRIES COULD REPLACE PELOSI AS HOUSE DEM LEADER

During a hearing on the bill in the House Judiciary Committee last year, Jeffries said a study on reparations was the least that Congress could do after generations of injustice.
WHO IS HAKEEM JEFFRIES, HOUSE DEMOCRATS' LIKELY NEXT LEADER?
"We're not going to move on because after slavery, [there was] Jim Crow and the rise of the KKK," Jeffries said at the time. "And the lynching epidemic. And Plessy v. Ferguson. And Black Wall Street in 1921 destroyed."

"This is a great country, we've come a long way, we still have a long way to go, we're not perfect, but we're marching to a more perfect union," said Jeffries. "The least we can do is study these historic wrongs. That's the least that this Congress can do."

Jeffries announced his bid to succeed Pelosi last week. The 52-year-old New Yorker has received nearly universal support for his ascension. His path was further cleared when Rep. Pramila Jayapal, a Washington Democrat who chairs the nearly-100 member Congressional Progressive Caucus, opted to not mount a run of her own.

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Hakeem Jeffries, Pelosi's likely replacement, supports commission to study slavery reparations

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Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, the top candidate to replace Nancy Pelosi as House Democratic leader, supports legislation to study the feasibility of providing reparations to the descendants of enslaved individuals. Jeffries, D-N.Y., is one of nearly 200 co-sponsors of a bill to create a national commission to study and develop proposals on slavery reparations.

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US Presses China to Ease Up on Taiwan as Defense Chiefs Meet

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US Presses China to Ease Up on Taiwan as Defense Chiefs Meet

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-22/us-china-defense-ministers-meet-in-latest-bid-to-ease-strains?srnd=politics-vp&leadSource=uverify%20wall

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Democrats 'surprised' themselves: Top Dem governor reflects on midterm successes, Trump's 2024 chances

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Democrats 'surprised' themselves: Top Dem governor reflects on midterm successes, Trump's 2024 chances

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/democrats-surprised-themselves-democrat-governor-reflects-midterm-successes-trumps-2024-chances

El gobernador de Carolina del Norte, Ray Cooper, reflexionó sobre las elecciones de medio término. Dijo que a pesar de que se esperaba una ola roja, los votantes finalmente se decidieron por cuestiones como el aumento de precios, pero también por temas como Roe v. Wade.
También mencionó que le preocupa que los votantes vuelvan a elegir a Trump en 2024, pues la democracia se encontraría en riesgo.

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North Carolina Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper attributes Democrats' midterms success to staying "laser-focused" on issues most important to voters, such as the economy, abortion and threats to democracy, but said he was most "surprised" by the wide margins of victory in some swing state elections.

Cooper, who chairs the Democratic Governors Association (DGA), said that voters are more "multidimensional" than ever, which played into Democrats' ability to pick up key independent voters in some key gubernatorial races, like Michigan and Pennsylvania, according to Cooper.

"They had a lot of things pulling at them. There's no question that that families are hurting, were paying more for their groceries and more for their gas," Cooper told Fox. "But they also had to look at women's reproductive freedom. They also had to look at the extreme candidates that Republicans nominated across the country and whether they really wanted that. Did they really want an election denier who really preferred to put somebody into office who wasn't actually elected by the people?"

Of the 36 gubernatorial races this year, Democrats were able to pick up three seats from Republican incumbents - Arizona, Maryland and Massachusetts - though the party lost their hold on Nevada with Joe Lombardo unseating Democratic Gov. Steve Sisolak.
REPUBLICAN UNDERDOG OPENS UP ABOUT HIS MAJOR VICTORY OVER TOP DEMOCRAT

With Republicans netting two losses in the gubernatorial elections, the map now breaks down to 24 Democrats and 26 Republicans in the country's governor's mansions. The DGA invested three times more into gubernatorial races than they did in the 2018 midterms, according to Cooper.

On his party's messaging on threats to democracy, Cooper thought this played into the voters' political calculus heading into the polls.

"I think our democracy was very much in danger and on the brink. And I do think that was part of the calculation for a lot of voters out there that, hey, you know, we want the vote to count," Cooper said.

Looking ahead, Cooper does not wish to see another presidential election with Donald Trump as the nominee, though he thinks it likely that former president could win the GOP nomination. The North Carolina governor worked with Trump on an opioid commission chaired by New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.
ARIZONA ATTORNEY GENERAL'S OFFICE DEMANDS ANSWERS TO 'MYRIAD' VOTING ISSUES IN MARICOPA COUNTRY

"It was clear to me from the beginning that that overall President Trump was not good for our country. It was all about him, not about the people," said Cooper, reflecting on his time working with the former president. "I think it is the wrong choice for the people to elect President Trump. I do think, however, that he has a really good chance at winning the Republican nomination for president."

Cooper, who has two years left in his term as governor, will not be seeking re-election in 2024 due to North Carolina term limits. Though he supports Biden's re-election for president in 2024, he told Fox he does not know "what doors will be open" for him after the governor's office.

"I do believe that President Biden is going to run for re-election. I have talked with him about that, and I support him," Cooper said.

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Democrats 'surprised' themselves: Top Dem governor reflects on midterm successes, Trump's 2024 chances

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North Carolina Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper attributes Democrats' midterms success to staying "laser-focused" on issues most important to voters, such as the economy, abortion and threats to democracy, but said he was most "surprised" by the wide margins of victory in some swing state elections.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/21/style/mastodon-twitter-adam-davidson.html

Debido a toda la problemática que hubo la semana con Twitter, por el desempleo en algunos países como México, renuncia de otros y cierre de oficinas las personas se están mudando de plataforma a Mastodon.

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Chaos on Twitter Leads a Group of Journalists to Start an Alternative

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Journa.host promises to be a new “reliable home for journalists.” What happens when they move in?

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2022/11/22/colorado-club-q-shooting-suspect-reportedly-evaded-red-flag-laws-heres-how-the-law-works/?sh=14b9efcb2416

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Topline

The suspect in the deadly attack on a Colorado Springs gay club Saturday night reportedly skirted the state's red-flag gun laws by keeping multiple guns over a year after he allegedly threatened his mother with a homemade bomb, raising questions about the effectiveness of the hot-button gun control policy that allows authorities to seize guns from dangerous people.

The suspect behind the Colorado Springs Club Q shooting could have evaded the state's red-flag laws, ... [+]
AFP via Getty Images

Key Facts

Under Colorado's red-flag law, which came into effect in 2020, judges can issue an "extreme risk protection order" to remove firearms from a person believed to be a danger to themself or others if a petition is brought forward by a family member, resident at their home or law enforcement official.

The law has come into the spotlight after local police on Sunday launched an investigation into Anderson Lee Aldrich, the 22-year-old suspect who has been charged with five counts of murder and "bias-motivated" crimes after authorities said he killed five people and injured at least 18 at the Club Q in Colorado Springs.

He is believed to be the same man who was arrested on felony menacing and first-degree kidnapping charges in June, 2021 after his mother said he threatened her with a homemade bomb, weapons and ammunition-raising questions about whether Colorado's red-flag law should have applied.

Federal law enforcement officials said Aldrich shares the same name and age as the man behind the 2021 bomb threat in Colorado Springs, which led to the evacuation of nearby houses, although at a news conference earlier this week, local officials did not confirm whether he is the same man, the Washington Post reported.

Speaking at a news conference on Monday, Colorado Springs Mayor John Suthers (R) cautioned against an "assumption that the circumstances of this case would lead to application of the red-flag law," saying officials don't know if the law would have prevented the attack, while state Attorney General Phil Weiser said it's "too early to make any decisions," CNN reported.

Contra

Even though Colorado's legislature passed the statewide red-flag law in 2019, it's faced heavy pushback in El Paso County, which contains Colorado Springs. In 2019, the county's commissioners declared the county a "Second Amendment preservation county"-a direct result of the state's red flag law, which went into effect at the beginning of 2020. County officials argued the law would violate residents' rights to due process and their right to bear arms and fails to address mental health issues they say lie at the root of gun violence, the Colorado Springs outlet The Gazette reported. In the first year after it was enacted, 125 extreme risk protection orders were made, with courts denying 46 petitions to seize weapons, according to Pew Charitable Trusts.

Key Background

Aldrich carried out the attack on Saturday with a long rifle-which police described as an AR-style firearm. He was only stopped after patrons at the club confronted and subdued him, prompting an outpouring of support for their acts, which police described as "heroic." It is not yet clear whether Aldrich purchased the firearms after the 2021 incident. Colorado has faced multiple mass shootings over the past decade, including the Columbine school shooting that left 15 dead in 1999, as well as the 2012 movie theater shooting in Aurora, Colorado, that killed 12. Red-flag laws came into the national spotlight once again this summer following the deadly mass shootings in Buffalo, which killed 10, and the elementary school shooting in Uvalde, Texas, which killed 21, including 19 children. Support for gun control measures reached a high following those attacks, according to a June Morning Consult/Politico poll, which found 68% of U.S. voters support stricter gun laws, driven, in part, by a growing number of Independents whose support for gun control jumped from 56% before the Uvalde shooting to 67% in June.

Big Number

20. That's the number of states, as well as Washington D.C., that have adopted red-flag laws, with 14 of them coming after the deadly shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, that left 17 dead.

Tangent

The attack in Colorado Springs also comes nearly five months after President Joe Biden signed a bill that strengthens gun control measures, including by boosting funding for states to pass red flag laws. The bill also strengthens background checks for people between the ages of 18 and 21 and closes the so-called "boyfriend loophole" that allows people convicted of domestic violence to hold onto their firearms as long as they aren't married to their partner. The House of Representatives passed a separate gun-control bill targeting the sale and import of semiautomatic assault weapons this summer, although it failed in the Senate.

Further Reading

Alleged Colorado LGBTQ Nightclub Shooter Charged With Murder And Hate Crimes (Forbes)

Colorado LGBTQ Nightclub Shooting: Police Say Suspect Used Long Rifle Before 'Heroic' Patrons Stopped Him (Forbes)

Americans' Support For Stricter Gun Laws Has Dropped Since Uvalde And Buffalo Shootings (Forbes)

Red-flag laws in spotlight after Colorado shooting: What to know (Washington Post)

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colorado club q shooting suspect reportedly evaded red-flag laws

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Colorado Club Q Shooting Suspect Reportedly Evaded Red-Flag Laws-Here's How The Law Works

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The suspect in the deadly attack on a Colorado Springs gay club Saturday night reportedly skirted the state's red-flag gun laws by keeping multiple guns over a year after he allegedly threatened his mother with a homemade bomb, raising questions about the effectiveness of the hot-button gun control policy that allows authorities to seize guns from dangerous people.

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Russian missiles cross into NATO member Poland, kill 2: senior US intelligence official

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Russian missiles cross into NATO member Poland, kill 2: senior US intelligence official

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https://www.foxnews.com/world/russian-missiles-cross-nato-member-poland-kill-2-senior-us-intelligence-official

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Nancy Pelosi announces she won’t run for leadership post, marking the end of an era

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Nancy Pelosi announces she won’t run for leadership post, marking the end of an era

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https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/17/politics/nancy-pelosi-house-speaker-democrats-future/index.html
por maria

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House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will 'address her future plans' Thursday, spokesperson says | CNN Politics

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House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will "address her future plans" on Thursday, her spokesperson announced late Wednesday.

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2022/11/17/klobuchar-slams-live-nation-after-taylor-swift-chaos-as-new-congress-threatens-future-of-antitrust-legislation/?sh=648cc3317347

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Topline

Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) criticized Live Nation for failing to deliver on consumer fairness promises made during its merger with Ticketmaster, following the Taylor Swift tour debacle earlier this week that temporarily shut down the site, making her the latest lawmaker to accuse the company of potential antitrust violations as legislative efforts to rein in tech companies' market dominance hang in the balance of a soon-to-be split Congress.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar in Des Moines, Iowa in 2019. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)
Getty Images

Key Facts

Crucial Quote

In addition to Klobuchar, Rep. David Cicilline (D-R.I.) assailed the company for the "excessive wait times," calling it an "unchecked monopoly" in a tweet, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) tweeted the merger "should never have been approved." Tennessee Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti has also launched a probe into Live Nation/Ticketmaster over possible antitrust violations following an influx of complaints from Swift fans.

Contra

TicketMaster has not issued any public statements on the lawmakers' criticism, but addressed the source of the Taylor Swift ticket issues in a statement that acknowledged it "can do more to improve the experience."

Key Background

Ticketmaster, for years, has faced criticism over its market pull, starting as early as 1994, when Pearl Jam filed a complaint with the Department of Justice, alleging it was "an absolute monopoly" in the space. More recently, a coalition of Democratic lawmakers, including Cicilline, who chairs the antitrust subcommittee, called for an investigation in 2021 into Ticketmaster and Live Nation's merger. The lawmakers accused Ticketmaster of abusing its SafeTix platform intended to root out fraudulent reselling practices by requiring tickets to be purchased on its site. The Department of Justice in 2019 also found Live Nation had violated its consent decree by retaliating against concert venues for using other ticket-selling platforms, and a federal court extended the decree for another 5 ½ years past its 2020 deadline as result.

What To Watch For

Legislative efforts to regulate tech companies in a new split Congress that takes office in January face an uncertain future. Foreseeing a stalemate, the White House has pushed for passage of antitrust legislation in the lame-duck session of Congress, urging lawmakers to take up a pair of bills that would rein in app operators. Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), who is likely to become the next House speaker, has expressed desire to tamp down on censorship of social media platforms, a view shared by many in his party, but he's been less keen on antitrust legislation.

Chief Critic

The White House is pushing for passage of a Senate bill sponsored by Klobuchar and known as the American Innovation and Choice Online Act, which would prevent tech companies, such as Amazon, Apple and Google, from using their platforms to exercise an unfair advantage over competitors. A second bill, sponsored by Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.), would prevent app companies from forcing developers to cater to their platforms and set up mechanisms to ensure fair prices for consumers.

Further Reading

McCarthy's love-hate relationship with Silicon Valley (Politico)

Here's how Kevin McCarthy would change the House's tech policy agenda (Fast Company)

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Klobuchar Slams Live Nation After Taylor Swift Chaos-As New Congress Threatens Future Of Antitrust Legislation

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Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) criticized Live Nation for failing to deliver on consumer fairness promises made during its merger with Ticketmaster, following the Taylor Swift tour debacle earlier this week that temporarily shut down the site, making her the latest lawmaker to accuse the company of potential antitrust violations as legislative efforts to rein in tech companies' market dominance hang in the balance of a soon-to-be split Congress.

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She elbowed her way to the top of the congressional boys’ club, then distinguished herself as the most effective House leader since the middle of the last century.

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Ukraine Latest: Stray Russian Rockets Kill 2 in Poland, AP Says

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Ukraine Latest: Stray Russian Rockets Kill 2 in Poland, AP Says

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-15/ukraine-latest-most-g-20-leaders-set-to-condemn-russia-for-war?srnd=premium

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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/14/world/asia/biden-xi-bali-g20.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20221115&instance_id=77591&nl=the-morning&regi_id=196215429&segment_id=113195&te=1&user_id=7da0bb2c5e51f1e75e757997feab9df8

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With Tensions Mounting, Biden and Xi Try a Warmer Tone

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The American and Chinese leaders invoked years of personal contact as they met before the G20, seeking to pull back from outright conflict on a host of issues.

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2022/11/13/heres-what-democrats-senate-win-means-for-the-next-session-of-congress/?sh=2d779a6618ee

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Topline

Democrats will remain in control of the Senate for the next two years, leaving intact their ability to approve President Joe Biden's judicial nominees, but if Republicans win the House, a split Congress could create legislative gridlock for the rest of Biden's tenure.

Senate Democrats can continue approving President Joe Biden's judicial nominees without Republican ... [+]
Getty Images

Key Facts

The Senate can continue confirming Biden's nominees for federal judgeships at a steady clip, something Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer vowed to do on Saturday after Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) was projected to win reelection, earning Senate Democrats the 50 seats they need to maintain a slim majority in the upper chamber.

If Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) loses a runoff race next month and the upper chamber stays divided 50-50, Democrats will still face some hurdles in confirming judicial nominees because committees will likely continue to have equal numbers of Democrats and Republicans, meaning some GOP support will be required to move nominations out of committees unless Democrats take additional procedural steps on the Senate floor.

If a Supreme Court seat becomes vacant, Democrats will also have the ability to approve Biden's pick though a simple majority vote without the support of any Republicans.

Senate confirmation is required for about 1,200 government roles, including cabinet officials and ambassadors, and while the Senate has confirmed 465 Biden nominees thus far according to the Washington Post and the Partnership for Public Service, 124 nominees have yet to be confirmed.

If Republicans are able to secure majority control in the House, it could become difficult to pass legislation because the Democrat-controlled Senate may refuse to sign off on bills passed by a GOP majority in the House, or vice versa.

Raising the debt ceiling could be difficult if the GOP wins the House while Democrats hold onto the Senate because Republicans are expected to use the fight over the U.S. borrowing limit to force approval of other demands, though some Democratic leaders say they will attempt to raise the debt ceiling before the next session of Congress begins.

Republicans had floated plans to reinvigorate investigations into Biden and his orbit, including his son Hunter Biden's business dealings, and while some investigations are already underway-including a Hunter Biden probe led by Sens. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Ron Johnson (R-Wis.)-Democrats will maintain leadership roles on committees Republicans could have used to launch new investigations.

What We Don't Know

Which party will control the House. As of Sunday morning, Democrats had won 204 seats, while Republicans had 211 seats, meaning the GOP is seven wins away from securing the 218 seats needed for a majority. Democrats have a more difficult path to maintaining control of the House, and will need to win 14 of the 20 uncalled House races.

Tangent

In the pivotal Arizona and Nevada Senate races that were called for Democrats on Friday and Saturday, the Democratic candidates vowed to work across the aisle in an appeal to right-leaning swing voters. Cortez Masto highlighted her work with Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) on the campaign trail, NBC News reported, and incumbent Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) campaigned with prominent Republicans who touted Kelly's bipartisan efforts on infrastructure and energy initiatives.

What To Watch For

Georgia's Senate race is headed to a runoff election on December 6 after Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker both failed to clinch the 50% of votes needed to avoid a rematch. If Warnock wins, Democrats will hold 51 seats, meaning they won't need Vice President Kamala Harris' tie-breaking vote in the event of a 50-50 split. Democrats would also be able to lead committees without a power-sharing agreement with Republicans, and could still pass legislation and confirm nominees even if one Senate Democrat votes no.

Big Number

84. That's the number of Biden judicial nominees the Senate has confirmed. Under Trump, the Senate approved 234 judges.

Further Reading

Democrats Retain Senate As Nevada Re-Elects Cortez Masto (Forbes)

Senate control guarantees many more judges for Democrats (Politico)

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Here's What Democrats' Senate Win Means For The Next Session Of Congress

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Democrats will remain in control of the Senate for the next two years, leaving intact their ability to approve President Joe Biden's judicial nominees, but if Republicans win the House, a split Congress could create legislative gridlock for the rest of Biden's tenure.

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Trump and other Republicans are already casting doubt on midterm results

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Trump and other Republicans are already casting doubt on midterm results

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Por Linda

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Trump and other Republicans are already casting doubt on midterm results | CNN Politics

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Former President Donald Trump posted on social media on Tuesday to cast doubt on the legitimacy of the midterm election in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania. "Here we go again!" he wrote. "Rigged Election!"

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Juan Carlos Wallentin

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What we're covering here

America votes: Voters are heading to the polls across the country Tuesday to elect federal and state leaders in the midterm elections. Voters are also weighing in on key ballot initiatives. Find out when and how to vote in your state here.

What's at stake: The control of both chambers of Congress is on the line, with all 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senate seats up for grabs. Dozens of governorships, secretaries of states and attorneys general are also on the ballot.

See the latest House race ratings here and Senate race ratings here. Select the races you'd like to follow on election night here.

Pre-election vote: More than41 millionpre-election ballots have already been cast in 47 states. Pre-election voting has been ahead of 2018 levels in states where data is available for the last three cycles.

Are you facing any voting issues? Send us your stories . And here's a guide to navigate intimidation and other obstacles to voting.

President Joe Biden offered a bluntly dire assessment during a fundraiser last Friday in Chicago. "If we lose the House and Senate, it's going to be a horrible two years."

Biden himself has been projecting optimism in the final days of the campaign, but reality is setting in for Democrats: their majority rule in Congress could soon end, and Biden's ability to get his top priorities passed could go with it.

Here are four areas that are at stake this Tuesday for Biden and his administration:

GOP investigations: Republicans on Capitol Hill have made abundantly clear that if they take control of Congress, Biden should brace for investigations targeting him, the White House and even members of the his family.

GOP lawmakers including Reps. James Comer and Jim Jordan, who are likely to chair the House Oversight and Judiciary committees respectively, are getting ready to probe a range of issues, from the business dealings of Biden's son, Hunter; to what Republicans allege is political interference by the FBI and Justice Department; to the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Agenda: If Republicans gain control of one or both chambers, the era of big, progressive bills will likely end. Instead, Biden will be on the defense as Republicans work to undo much of what he accomplished in the first two years of his term. The GOP has already vowed to roll back elements of Biden's signature legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act, including its new, higher taxes on corporations. And they could work to roll back or challenge some of the president's climate initiatives that are included in the package.

Biden's 2024 decision: As soon as the 2022 midterm election results are in, national attention will immediately turn to 2024 - including on the question of whether Biden will seek a second term. For weeks, the president and his advisers have maintained that his intention, for now, is to run again. They've also said that no decision is final until the president has had ample opportunity to discuss his political future with his family. But Biden's 2024 decision won't just be a family affair - there will also be strong political dynamics at play.

Staffing changes: Biden has seen remarkably little turnover in the first two years of his tenure among his Cabinet and senior team. His inner circle remains mostly intact. That includes chief of staff Ron Klain, senior advisers Mike Donilon and Steve Ricchetti, deputy chiefs of staff Bruce Reed and Jen O'Malley Dillon, communications director Kate Bedingfield and top communications adviser Anita Dunn. Officials have said changes are possible both to the president's Cabinet and his senior White House staff later this year, though no moves are guaranteed. Should Biden announce his decision to run in 2024, several of the members of his core team are considered likely to shift over to the political operation.

The 2022 midterms have arrived and here are seven things to watch in Tuesday's midterm elections:

Who will control the House: Of all the major storylines on Tuesday evening, this is one that few Democrats dispute: It is unlikely the party will control the legislative chamber come January. Given Republicans only need a net gain of five seats to take the majority, the odds of the GOP taking back the House are high. The party is on offense in House race across the country, but most notably in districts Biden won handily just two years ago, including once seemingly solid blue districts in Rhode Island, New York and Oregon.

Who will control the Senate: If control of the House feels like more of an unavoidable loss for Democrats, control of the currently evenly divided Senate offers a surprising bright spot for the party - aided by voters harboring unfavorable feelings about Republican candidates while also disapproving of Biden's job performance. The most vulnerable Democratic incumbents are on the ballot are in Nevada, New Hampshire, Arizona and Georgia, where polls show each of those races are tight. The party is on offense in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, two states Biden won just two years ago.

Election deniers in key swing states: Republicans who have parroted former President Donald Trump's lies about widespread voter fraud are seeking to take charge of some swing states' election machinery. The outcomes in those states could have dramatic consequences in 2024, with Trump on the verge of another presidential bid and candidates in crucial swing states seeking positions that they could attempt to use to undercut voters' will.

Will Latino voters continue rightward shift: Republicans will watch whether they built on the gains that Trump made among Latino voters two years ago. Three House races in the heavily Hispanic Rio Grande Valley in Texas will tell part of the story. Latino voters also make up crucial portions of the electorate in Arizona, Nevada and Miami-Dade County in Florida.

The impact of presidential politics: "If we lose the House and Senate, it's going to be a horrible two years," Biden said at a fundraiser on Friday. It's an argument former President Barack Obama, who stumped for candidates in Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona and Pennsylvania over the last few weeks, made explicitly during his final rally in Philadelphia on Saturday.

The wave-makers (or breakers): The shape of Congress over the next two years could become pretty apparent within the first few hours after the polls close on the East Coast -- even if a handful of big races are too close to call. For Democrats, defeat in even two out of three of the contests would portend a very, very bad night. The party, both nationally and in certain states, has increasingly invested its electoral fate on the notoriously fickle suburbs. If a Republican wave is coming, the first sighting of high tides will be up and down the Atlantic seaboard.

The wait: As most Americans learned two years ago, Election Day can be a misnomer. Tuesday is when voting ends. But, in many states, it's also when counting begins. That means a lot of hotly contested races could take into the wee hours or even later this week to be decided. That's partially the nature of counting - and sometimes recounting - but it's also due to state laws that instruct poll workers how to do their jobs and, in some states, make them hold off on doing them until later in the day.

In the contentious Georgia Senate race, Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock, the first Black senator from Georgia who, along with Jon Ossoff, delivered control of the chamber for Democrats in a pair of January 2021 runoff elections, is once again on the ballot. Now, though, the pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church is trying to win his first full term against Trump-backed football star Herschel Walker.

Walker's campaign has been dogged by scandals, including past allegations that he threatened women with violence, claims he has denied. The race was further rocked by a report in early October that Walker paid a woman to have an abortion in 2009. CNN hasn't confirmed that allegation and Walker has also repeatedly denied it. Walker also has a made a series of verbal stumbles on the campaign trail, like when he criticized efforts to reduce air pollution by saying China's "bad air" "moves over to our good air space."

Despite Walker's struggles, Georgia only recently shifted towards Democrats, so the race is expected to be close. If no candidate wins a majority, the top two will compete in a Dec. 6 runoff.

There are also key House races happening in the state:

2nd Congressional District: Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop, who has served in Congress for 30 years, faces Republican Chris West for one of the only competitive House races in the state. Under the new map congressional map, Black voters will no longer represent the majority in two of the four previous Black-majority districts - one of those districts is the 2nd, represented currently by Bishop.

6th Congressional District: Republican Rich McCormick had support from others within the Republican Party during the primaries, including House Minority Whip Steve Scalise, as well as support from the PAC for the Club for Growth. This is his second bid for Congress and he ran as a MAGA-style conservative. The new district is heavily Republican, and McCormick is a clear favorite to win the seat over Democratic challenger Bob Christian.

10th Congressional District: In this heavilyRepublican district GOP nominee Mike Collins is expected to keep the seat in GOP hands in November. Collins ran as a "conservative outsider" and embraced a populist conservative agenda. He also falsely claimed that the 2020 election in Georgia was "stolen" by Joe Biden and the Democrats. He faces Democrat Tabitha Johnson-Green.

Poll times: Polls close across the state at 7 p.m. ET.

Political landscape: Atlanta and its inner suburbs are the most solidly Democratic regions of the state. The city's outer suburbs have historically supported Republicans, but many of these affluent areas have moved towards Democrats in recent years.

Americans head to the polls today for an election that has state and local officials across the country on edge as they brace for potential problems at the polls, contentious legal fights over ballots and fighting disinformation about the vote itself.

The hyper-polarized political climate has seen the vote itself come under a sustained barrage of attacks and disinformation for the better part of two years amid repeated false claims from former President Donald Trump that the 2020 election was stolen.

Early voting has provided a preview of the potential issues both big and small that could arise on Election Day, from armed ballot box watchers in Arizona accused of conspiring to intimidate voters to a legal fight over technical errors invalidating mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania.

Legal fights: In all, there have been about 120 legal cases surrounding voting filed as of November 3, compared to 68 before election day in 2020. More than half of the cases have sought to restrict access to the ballot, according to the Democracy Docket, a liberal-leaning voting rights and media platform that tracks election litigation.

In Pennsylvania, some counties are urging voters to correct absentee ballots with missing or improper dates that the state Supreme Court ordered to be set aside, while a federal legal challenge over is still looming. In Michigan, meanwhile, a judge rejected a lawsuit Monday from the GOP secretary of state candidate seeking to throw out absentee ballots in Democratic-heavy Detroit.

Georgia's Cobb County on Monday extended the deadline for roughly 1,000 absentee ballots to be turned in until Nov. 14, after the ballots were not mailed out until just days before Election Day due to procedural errors in the election office.

Possible conflict with election deniers: In Arizona, the secretary of state's office has sent 18 referrals to law enforcement related to drop-box intimidation, including a threatening message toward a government worker and several voters reporting being filmed at drop box locations in Maricopa County last week. A federal judge earlier this month imposed new restrictions against a right-wing group in the state following complaints about aggressive patrols of ballot boxes in the state, including blocking the members from openly carrying guns or wearing body armor.
CNN's Jason Morris contributed to this report.

Democrats are hoping to hold on to power, while Republicans yearn to gain control of both the House and the Senate. And while we all have guesses of what will happen, the truth is that we don't know what will play out.

With that uncertainty in mind, here are three different scenarios that could be key to how the battle for control shakes out.

Georgia runoff determines Senate If you follow politics to any degree, you certainly have. Unlike other states with close Senate races, Georgia requires candidates to receive a majority of the vote to win on Election Day. If no candidate does, then a runoff between the top two candidates is held in December.

The conditions are fairly ripe for such a scenario. Neither Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock nor Republican Herschel Walker is at 50% in the Georgia Senate polls. Libertarian Chase Oliver is pulling in 3% to 4%.

If every other race goes exactly as the polls predict, Democrats will have 49 seats, not including Georgia. Republicans will have 50 seats. This means that whichever side wins in Georgia would control the Senate.

The Senate actually gets projected early Then there's the other side of the spectrum. Most people are anticipating that we won't know who wins the Senate until days, if not weeks, after Election Day. That may be the case, but it's far from a certainty.

There are a few ways we could conceivably get a fairly fast call. The easiest way for it to happen is if the Republicans win both Georgia (with a majority to avoid a runoff) and Pennsylvania. That way, we're probably not reliant on what could be longer counts in Arizona and Nevada.

Another way this might happen is if there is a surprising result in the east. If Republicans have a very good night, they could win the New Hampshire Senate race, where Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan is running for reelection against Republican Don Bolduc. If Democrats have a very good night, they could win the Ohio Senate race, an open seat where Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan is facing off with Trump-endorsed J.D. Vance.

An early call of the House Just weeks ago, the race for both the House and Senate looked close. While the Senate still does, it's easy to see how the House could turn into a relative blowout.

If that happens, we won't have to wait for the West Coast. We won't have to wait for the results from ranked-choice voting races.

Instead, we'll get a pretty good idea from even the earliest of poll closings. Consider a race like that for Virginia's 2nd District, a swing district centered in Virginia Beach. Rep. Elaine Luria would likely win if Democrats are to be competitive in the House. If she's defeated, Republicans are probably on their way to House control.

If it's a big Republican night, we could also see Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan go down in Indiana. Indiana, unlike a lot of other states, requires voters to have an excuse to vote absentee.

The bottom line is that if Republicans end up with close to 240 seats (as they did in 2010), then the race for House control won't be drawn out.

Read more potential Election Day scenarios here.

Democrats won the Senate after flipping Georgia last year and the state could be pivotal once again in the 2022 midterm elections.

For the second time in less than two years, the Peach State, which elected two Democratic senators in the last election cycle, is home to a contest that has gripped both national parties and potentially holds the key to the fate of President Joe Biden's agenda.

This time around, though, at least one key characteristic of the race has been reversed: Democrat Raphael Warnock has gone from challenger to incumbent, trying to fend off Republican nominee Herschel Walker. The former football great, recruited and endorsed by former President Donald Trump, has run an uneven campaign and spent the past month beset by controversy, but is still running neck-and-neck with Warnock with early voting in high gear and Election Day nearing.

A Warnock victory would likely foreclose Republicans' path to a majority in the Senate, which is currently split 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris casting a decisive vote. That reality, coupled with headwinds - in the form of economic angst and Biden's low approval ratings - familiar to Democrats across the country, has helped coalesce Republicans behind Walker.

Underscoring his party's mix of ambivalence and political practicality, former Vice President Mike Pence, after not mentioning Walker during his remarks at a rally in Cumming, Georgia, on Tuesday for GOP Gov. Brian Kemp, told reporters he is "supporting the whole (Republican) ticket here in Georgia."

The most recent polling of the race, from the New York Times and Siena College, showed no clear leader, with 49% of likely voters supporting Warnock to the 46% backing Walker - a difference well within the survey's margin of error. Another poll, from Fox News at the end of October, also found a remarkably close contest, with Warnock at 44% and Walker at 43%. If neither candidate notches a majority of the vote, the race would be decided in a December 6 runoff.

Six states will be at the center of the political universe in the 2022 midterm elections: The five President Joe Biden flipped in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - plus Nevada.

These states all have multiple critical races that will determine control of the Senate, the House and state governments. What happens in these states will impact issues like abortion rights, economic policy, education and the climate crisis - not just within their borders, but across the country.
Here's the "too long; didn't read" on what you need to know about the biggest states - and key races - ahead of the midterms.

The first statewide polls will close tonight at 7 p.m. ET, and it could take some time until we learn results.
CNN political director David Chalian breaks down what to watch for as polls close:

What we're covering here

America votes: Voters are heading to the polls across the country Tuesday to elect federal and state leaders in the midterm elections. Voters are also weighing in on key ballot initiatives. Find out when and how to vote in your state here.

What's at stake: The control of both chambers of Congress is on the line, with all 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senate seats up for grabs. Dozens of governorships, secretaries of states and attorneys general are also on the ballot.

See the latest House race ratings here and Senate race ratings here. Select the races you'd like to follow on election night here.

Pre-election vote: More than41 millionpre-election ballots have already been cast in 47 states. Pre-election voting has been ahead of 2018 levels in states where data is available for the last three cycles.

Are you facing any voting issues? Send us your stories . And here's a guide to navigate intimidation and other obstacles to voting.

President Joe Biden offered a bluntly dire assessment during a fundraiser last Friday in Chicago. "If we lose the House and Senate, it's going to be a horrible two years."

Biden himself has been projecting optimism in the final days of the campaign, but reality is setting in for Democrats: their majority rule in Congress could soon end, and Biden's ability to get his top priorities passed could go with it.

Here are four areas that are at stake this Tuesday for Biden and his administration:

GOP investigations: Republicans on Capitol Hill have made abundantly clear that if they take control of Congress, Biden should brace for investigations targeting him, the White House and even members of the his family.

GOP lawmakers including Reps. James Comer and Jim Jordan, who are likely to chair the House Oversight and Judiciary committees respectively, are getting ready to probe a range of issues, from the business dealings of Biden's son, Hunter; to what Republicans allege is political interference by the FBI and Justice Department; to the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Agenda: If Republicans gain control of one or both chambers, the era of big, progressive bills will likely end. Instead, Biden will be on the defense as Republicans work to undo much of what he accomplished in the first two years of his term. The GOP has already vowed to roll back elements of Biden's signature legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act, including its new, higher taxes on corporations. And they could work to roll back or challenge some of the president's climate initiatives that are included in the package.

Biden's 2024 decision: As soon as the 2022 midterm election results are in, national attention will immediately turn to 2024 - including on the question of whether Biden will seek a second term. For weeks, the president and his advisers have maintained that his intention, for now, is to run again. They've also said that no decision is final until the president has had ample opportunity to discuss his political future with his family. But Biden's 2024 decision won't just be a family affair - there will also be strong political dynamics at play.

Staffing changes: Biden has seen remarkably little turnover in the first two years of his tenure among his Cabinet and senior team. His inner circle remains mostly intact. That includes chief of staff Ron Klain, senior advisers Mike Donilon and Steve Ricchetti, deputy chiefs of staff Bruce Reed and Jen O'Malley Dillon, communications director Kate Bedingfield and top communications adviser Anita Dunn. Officials have said changes are possible both to the president's Cabinet and his senior White House staff later this year, though no moves are guaranteed. Should Biden announce his decision to run in 2024, several of the members of his core team are considered likely to shift over to the political operation.

The 2022 midterms have arrived and here are seven things to watch in Tuesday's midterm elections:

Who will control the House: Of all the major storylines on Tuesday evening, this is one that few Democrats dispute: It is unlikely the party will control the legislative chamber come January. Given Republicans only need a net gain of five seats to take the majority, the odds of the GOP taking back the House are high. The party is on offense in House race across the country, but most notably in districts Biden won handily just two years ago, including once seemingly solid blue districts in Rhode Island, New York and Oregon.

Who will control the Senate: If control of the House feels like more of an unavoidable loss for Democrats, control of the currently evenly divided Senate offers a surprising bright spot for the party - aided by voters harboring unfavorable feelings about Republican candidates while also disapproving of Biden's job performance. The most vulnerable Democratic incumbents are on the ballot are in Nevada, New Hampshire, Arizona and Georgia, where polls show each of those races are tight. The party is on offense in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, two states Biden won just two years ago.

Election deniers in key swing states: Republicans who have parroted former President Donald Trump's lies about widespread voter fraud are seeking to take charge of some swing states' election machinery. The outcomes in those states could have dramatic consequences in 2024, with Trump on the verge of another presidential bid and candidates in crucial swing states seeking positions that they could attempt to use to undercut voters' will.

Will Latino voters continue rightward shift: Republicans will watch whether they built on the gains that Trump made among Latino voters two years ago. Three House races in the heavily Hispanic Rio Grande Valley in Texas will tell part of the story. Latino voters also make up crucial portions of the electorate in Arizona, Nevada and Miami-Dade County in Florida.

The impact of presidential politics: "If we lose the House and Senate, it's going to be a horrible two years," Biden said at a fundraiser on Friday. It's an argument former President Barack Obama, who stumped for candidates in Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona and Pennsylvania over the last few weeks, made explicitly during his final rally in Philadelphia on Saturday.

The wave-makers (or breakers): The shape of Congress over the next two years could become pretty apparent within the first few hours after the polls close on the East Coast -- even if a handful of big races are too close to call. For Democrats, defeat in even two out of three of the contests would portend a very, very bad night. The party, both nationally and in certain states, has increasingly invested its electoral fate on the notoriously fickle suburbs. If a Republican wave is coming, the first sighting of high tides will be up and down the Atlantic seaboard.

The wait: As most Americans learned two years ago, Election Day can be a misnomer. Tuesday is when voting ends. But, in many states, it's also when counting begins. That means a lot of hotly contested races could take into the wee hours or even later this week to be decided. That's partially the nature of counting - and sometimes recounting - but it's also due to state laws that instruct poll workers how to do their jobs and, in some states, make them hold off on doing them until later in the day.

In the contentious Georgia Senate race, Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock, the first Black senator from Georgia who, along with Jon Ossoff, delivered control of the chamber for Democrats in a pair of January 2021 runoff elections, is once again on the ballot. Now, though, the pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church is trying to win his first full term against Trump-backed football star Herschel Walker.

Walker's campaign has been dogged by scandals, including past allegations that he threatened women with violence, claims he has denied. The race was further rocked by a report in early October that Walker paid a woman to have an abortion in 2009. CNN hasn't confirmed that allegation and Walker has also repeatedly denied it. Walker also has a made a series of verbal stumbles on the campaign trail, like when he criticized efforts to reduce air pollution by saying China's "bad air" "moves over to our good air space."

Despite Walker's struggles, Georgia only recently shifted towards Democrats, so the race is expected to be close. If no candidate wins a majority, the top two will compete in a Dec. 6 runoff.

There are also key House races happening in the state:

2nd Congressional District: Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop, who has served in Congress for 30 years, faces Republican Chris West for one of the only competitive House races in the state. Under the new map congressional map, Black voters will no longer represent the majority in two of the four previous Black-majority districts - one of those districts is the 2nd, represented currently by Bishop.

6th Congressional District: Republican Rich McCormick had support from others within the Republican Party during the primaries, including House Minority Whip Steve Scalise, as well as support from the PAC for the Club for Growth. This is his second bid for Congress and he ran as a MAGA-style conservative. The new district is heavily Republican, and McCormick is a clear favorite to win the seat over Democratic challenger Bob Christian.

10th Congressional District: In this heavilyRepublican district GOP nominee Mike Collins is expected to keep the seat in GOP hands in November. Collins ran as a "conservative outsider" and embraced a populist conservative agenda. He also falsely claimed that the 2020 election in Georgia was "stolen" by Joe Biden and the Democrats. He faces Democrat Tabitha Johnson-Green.

Poll times: Polls close across the state at 7 p.m. ET.

Political landscape: Atlanta and its inner suburbs are the most solidly Democratic regions of the state. The city's outer suburbs have historically supported Republicans, but many of these affluent areas have moved towards Democrats in recent years.

Americans head to the polls today for an election that has state and local officials across the country on edge as they brace for potential problems at the polls, contentious legal fights over ballots and fighting disinformation about the vote itself.

The hyper-polarized political climate has seen the vote itself come under a sustained barrage of attacks and disinformation for the better part of two years amid repeated false claims from former President Donald Trump that the 2020 election was stolen.

Early voting has provided a preview of the potential issues both big and small that could arise on Election Day, from armed ballot box watchers in Arizona accused of conspiring to intimidate voters to a legal fight over technical errors invalidating mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania.

Legal fights: In all, there have been about 120 legal cases surrounding voting filed as of November 3, compared to 68 before election day in 2020. More than half of the cases have sought to restrict access to the ballot, according to the Democracy Docket, a liberal-leaning voting rights and media platform that tracks election litigation.

In Pennsylvania, some counties are urging voters to correct absentee ballots with missing or improper dates that the state Supreme Court ordered to be set aside, while a federal legal challenge over is still looming. In Michigan, meanwhile, a judge rejected a lawsuit Monday from the GOP secretary of state candidate seeking to throw out absentee ballots in Democratic-heavy Detroit.

Georgia's Cobb County on Monday extended the deadline for roughly 1,000 absentee ballots to be turned in until Nov. 14, after the ballots were not mailed out until just days before Election Day due to procedural errors in the election office.

Possible conflict with election deniers: In Arizona, the secretary of state's office has sent 18 referrals to law enforcement related to drop-box intimidation, including a threatening message toward a government worker and several voters reporting being filmed at drop box locations in Maricopa County last week. A federal judge earlier this month imposed new restrictions against a right-wing group in the state following complaints about aggressive patrols of ballot boxes in the state, including blocking the members from openly carrying guns or wearing body armor.
CNN's Jason Morris contributed to this report.

Democrats are hoping to hold on to power, while Republicans yearn to gain control of both the House and the Senate. And while we all have guesses of what will happen, the truth is that we don't know what will play out.

With that uncertainty in mind, here are three different scenarios that could be key to how the battle for control shakes out.

Georgia runoff determines Senate If you follow politics to any degree, you certainly have. Unlike other states with close Senate races, Georgia requires candidates to receive a majority of the vote to win on Election Day. If no candidate does, then a runoff between the top two candidates is held in December.

The conditions are fairly ripe for such a scenario. Neither Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock nor Republican Herschel Walker is at 50% in the Georgia Senate polls. Libertarian Chase Oliver is pulling in 3% to 4%.

If every other race goes exactly as the polls predict, Democrats will have 49 seats, not including Georgia. Republicans will have 50 seats. This means that whichever side wins in Georgia would control the Senate.

The Senate actually gets projected early Then there's the other side of the spectrum. Most people are anticipating that we won't know who wins the Senate until days, if not weeks, after Election Day. That may be the case, but it's far from a certainty.

There are a few ways we could conceivably get a fairly fast call. The easiest way for it to happen is if the Republicans win both Georgia (with a majority to avoid a runoff) and Pennsylvania. That way, we're probably not reliant on what could be longer counts in Arizona and Nevada.

Another way this might happen is if there is a surprising result in the east. If Republicans have a very good night, they could win the New Hampshire Senate race, where Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan is running for reelection against Republican Don Bolduc. If Democrats have a very good night, they could win the Ohio Senate race, an open seat where Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan is facing off with Trump-endorsed J.D. Vance.

An early call of the House Just weeks ago, the race for both the House and Senate looked close. While the Senate still does, it's easy to see how the House could turn into a relative blowout.

If that happens, we won't have to wait for the West Coast. We won't have to wait for the results from ranked-choice voting races.

Instead, we'll get a pretty good idea from even the earliest of poll closings. Consider a race like that for Virginia's 2nd District, a swing district centered in Virginia Beach. Rep. Elaine Luria would likely win if Democrats are to be competitive in the House. If she's defeated, Republicans are probably on their way to House control.

If it's a big Republican night, we could also see Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan go down in Indiana. Indiana, unlike a lot of other states, requires voters to have an excuse to vote absentee.

The bottom line is that if Republicans end up with close to 240 seats (as they did in 2010), then the race for House control won't be drawn out.

Read more potential Election Day scenarios here.

Democrats won the Senate after flipping Georgia last year and the state could be pivotal once again in the 2022 midterm elections.

For the second time in less than two years, the Peach State, which elected two Democratic senators in the last election cycle, is home to a contest that has gripped both national parties and potentially holds the key to the fate of President Joe Biden's agenda.

This time around, though, at least one key characteristic of the race has been reversed: Democrat Raphael Warnock has gone from challenger to incumbent, trying to fend off Republican nominee Herschel Walker. The former football great, recruited and endorsed by former President Donald Trump, has run an uneven campaign and spent the past month beset by controversy, but is still running neck-and-neck with Warnock with early voting in high gear and Election Day nearing.

A Warnock victory would likely foreclose Republicans' path to a majority in the Senate, which is currently split 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris casting a decisive vote. That reality, coupled with headwinds - in the form of economic angst and Biden's low approval ratings - familiar to Democrats across the country, has helped coalesce Republicans behind Walker.

Underscoring his party's mix of ambivalence and political practicality, former Vice President Mike Pence, after not mentioning Walker during his remarks at a rally in Cumming, Georgia, on Tuesday for GOP Gov. Brian Kemp, told reporters he is "supporting the whole (Republican) ticket here in Georgia."

The most recent polling of the race, from the New York Times and Siena College, showed no clear leader, with 49% of likely voters supporting Warnock to the 46% backing Walker - a difference well within the survey's margin of error. Another poll, from Fox News at the end of October, also found a remarkably close contest, with Warnock at 44% and Walker at 43%. If neither candidate notches a majority of the vote, the race would be decided in a December 6 runoff.

Six states will be at the center of the political universe in the 2022 midterm elections: The five President Joe Biden flipped in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - plus Nevada.

These states all have multiple critical races that will determine control of the Senate, the House and state governments. What happens in these states will impact issues like abortion rights, economic policy, education and the climate crisis - not just within their borders, but across the country.
Here's the "too long; didn't read" on what you need to know about the biggest states - and key races - ahead of the midterms.

The first statewide polls will close tonight at 7 p.m. ET, and it could take some time until we learn results.
CNN political director David Chalian breaks down what to watch for as polls close:

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live updates: 2022 midterm election results

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By Aditi Sangal, Adrienne Vogt, Elise Hammond, Maureen Chowdhury, Meg Wagner and Melissa Macaya, CNN

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Live updates: 2022 midterm election results, livestream, and voting day news

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What we're covering here America votes: Voters are heading to the polls across the country Tuesday to elect federal and state leaders in the midterm elections. Voters are also weighing in on key ballot initiatives. Find out when and how to vote in your state here .

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Mail-In Ballot Fights Could Prove Pivotal In Key Midterm States Michigan, Wisconsin And Pennsylvania

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Mail-In Ballot Fights Could Prove Pivotal In Key Midterm States Michigan, Wisconsin And Pennsylvania

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Los votantes que emitieron su voto en ausencia en algunos de los estados en disputa con las elecciones intermedias más polémicas se han visto afectados por los fallos judiciales en los últimos días, ya que los tribunales emitieron fallos de último minuto sobre qué votos pueden, y no pueden, contarse que podría tener impactos en márgenes de carrera muy estrechos.

Por: Sofia Vizl

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Topline

Voters who cast absentee ballots in some of the battleground states with the most contentious midterms races have been affected by court rulings over the past several days, as courts have issued last-minute rulings on which ballots can-and can't be-counted that could have impacts on razor-thin race margins.

A voter casts their ballot at a drop box on October 24 in Philadelphia.
AFP via Getty Images

Key Facts

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled last week the state cannot count mail-in ballots that are undated or have incorrect dates, which the Washington Post reports could affect at least 7,000 ballots.

Some voters are now scrambling to cast replacement ballots to ensure theirs are counted-while others said they're resigned to the fact their votes won't count-and campaigns and advocacy groups have filed new legal challenges in hopes the ballots can still be included.

Absentee voters in Detroit will have their ballots counted, a state judge ruled Monday, rejecting a lawsuit from Michigan Secretary of State candidate Kristina Karamo (R) that sought to disqualify all absentee ballots and force residents to vote in person due to concerns about the city's election processes and voter fraud.

Wayne County Circuit Court Judge Timothy Kenny wrote the GOP candidate's lawsuit "raised a false flag of election law violations and corruption" and the notion of throwing out all the absentee ballots was "not only unprecedented, it is intolerable."

Military ballots in Wisconsin must be counted, a state judge ruled Monday, after a Republican state lawmaker and others sued to have them thrown out upon discovering an election worker sent military ballots with fictitious names to the lawmaker in an effort to draw attention to actual issues with election security, versus baseless claims of fraud.

The judge ruled throwing out all military ballots-which could have affected at least 1,000 ballots, the Post reports -would have been too much of a "drastic remedy."

Crucial Quote

"The idea that the Court would single out one community in the state to be treated adversely when Plaintiffs have provided no evidence in support of their allegation simply cannot be allowed to occur," Kenny wrote in his ruling allowing absentee ballots to be counted in Detroit.

What We Don't Know

Whether any of the race margins will be narrow enough that the contested mail-in ballots-which, in the case of non-military ballots, typically skew Democratic-could make a difference. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are both facing highly contentious Senate races, with polling averages from FiveThirtyEight showing the two candidates in each race are only separated by 0.5% and 3%, respectively. Michigan is facing a tight gubernatorial race, in which incumbent Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) leads by four percentage points on average, and Pennsylvania also faces a high-profile gubernatorial race, though Democratic candidate Josh Shapiro has a nearly 11-point lead in the polls.

Key Background

The absentee ballot lawsuits are part of more than 100 election-related lawsuits that were filed in the lead-up to Election Day, according to the Associated Press, which include both Democratic-led efforts to expand voting rules and GOP-led lawsuits seeking to block votes or voting procedures in light of fears about purported election security issues or fraud. Mail-in ballots have become more contentious in light of the 2020 election, in which former President Donald Trump and his allies linked the absentee ballots to being more susceptible to voter fraud despite a lack of evidence and repeatedly challenged them in court. (Nearly all their lawsuits failed, except for one in Pennsylvania that only affected a small number of ballots.) Republican lawmakers have also spent the ensuing two years conducting audits and reviews of the 2020 election-which have failed to find any evidence of fraud -and tightening state voting rules in a purported effort to curb voter fraud, despite there being no evidence such widespread fraud exists.

Further Reading

Pennsylvania voters scramble to cast new ballots after GOP lawsuit (Washington Post)

Election-eve lawsuits target U.S. ballot rules (Reuters)

Military ballots in Wisconsin will be counted under judge's ruling (Washington Post)

Judge rejects Kristina Karamo lawsuit targeting Detroit voters ahead of midterm election (Detroit Free Press)

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Mail-In Ballot Fights Could Prove Pivotal In Key Midterm States Michigan, Wisconsin And Pennsylvania

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Voters who cast absentee ballots in some of the battleground states with the most contentious midterms races have been affected by court rulings over the past several days, as courts have issued last-minute rulings on which ballots can-and can't be-counted that could have impacts on razor-thin race margins.

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US Quietly Asks Banks to Keep Some Ties With Russia, Even as Congress Balks

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US Quietly Asks Banks to Keep Some Ties With Russia, Even as Congress Balks

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-07/us-quietly-asks-banks-to-keep-some-ties-with-russia-even-as-congress-balks

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US Quietly Asks Banks to Keep Some Ties With Russia, Even as Congress Balks

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JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon was in the hot seat.

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https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/07/us/politics/senate-midterm-elections-tossup-seats.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes

Las elecciones el día de hoy siguen siendo 50-50.
Aunque se creía que los Demócratas iban por un asiento Republicano de Pennsylvania, ya no es tan fácil; debido al caso de New Hampshire y Arizona. Por lo que se espera ver el comportamiento de los estados de North Carolina y Ohio; y estados como Colorado y Washington se vuelvan cruciales.

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With the Senate knotted at 50-50 for each party, Republican control is only one seat away. But this election season has been full of surprises.

For much of the campaign season, Democrats appeared ready to grab a Republican seat in Pennsylvania, meaning Republicans would need to flip two Democratic seats to earn a majority. That no longer seems so difficult, with races tightening in states that Democrats had hoped to put away, like New Hampshire and Arizona, and Herschel Walker somehow righting his campaign in Georgia despite a series of shocks over abortion, domestic violence, extramarital affairs and undeclared children.

Still, Election Day approaches with anything possible. Democratic candidates are holding tough in North Carolina and Ohio, and sleeper contests could become important in Colorado and Washington. Here are the seats where each party is vulnerable, according to the Cook Political Report Race Ratings.

Ratings for Current Senate Seats

Republicans
Currently hold 50 seats, need 51 for majority

Democrats
Currently hold majority with 50 seats (vice president casts tie-breaking vote)

Republicans not up for re-election

Democrats not up for re-election

Republicans not up for re-election

Democrats not up for re-election

Earlier this year, Senator Raphael Warnock, a Democrat in Georgia, had been considered one of the Senate's most vulnerable Democrats as he took on Herschel Walker, a scandal-prone Republican backed by former President Donald J. Trump. He still is, despite the accusation from two women that Mr. Walker, a staunch opponent of abortion, paid for their abortions.

Cook Political Report still rates the contest a tossup, and if neither candidate can secure 50 percent on Tuesday, it will go to a runoff in December.

A Democratic seat in Arizona once seen as fairly secure for the popular incumbent, Mark Kelly, seems less so as Republicans in the state coalesce late around his challenger, Blake Masters.

The race in Nevada might be the Republicans' best chance to take a seat from the Democrats. Catherine Cortez Masto, the incumbent, is not well established in a state known for its transient population and fickle voters, especially in midterm elections.

Her Republican challenger, Adam Laxalt, the state's former attorney general, lost his run for governor in 2018 and has yet to open a clear lead, but he has run a clean race and is in position to win.

The Democrats' best chance to pick up a Republican seat is still in Pennsylvania, where Senator Patrick J. Toomey is retiring. The celebrity physician Dr. Mehmet Oz won the Republican nomination, helped by Mr. Trump's endorsement, and he has improved his standing with the Republican base.

His opponent, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, had a life-threatening stroke that gave Dr. Oz an opening. The evident effects of the stroke, laid bare in a recent, televised debate, and the Republican's attacks on Mr. Fetterman as a criminal-coddling liberal have narrowed the race.

Democrats had high hopes of unseating the Republican senator from Wisconsin, Ron Johnson, six years ago and were stunned by his relatively easy re-election.

Since then, Mr. Johnson has become the Senate's leading peddler of conspiracy theories and Covid-19 misinformation, yet with an onslaught of negative advertising financed by wealthy donors, he is once again in position to ward off a challenge, this time from Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, who comes from the Democrats' liberal wing and has proven vulnerable to attack, especially on crime.

A sleeper race for the Senate is also the sleepiest. Representative Ted Budd, a North Carolina Republican backed by Mr. Trump, has tried to lie low and ride the national current to the seat of Richard M. Burr, a Republican who is retiring.

Cheri Beasley, a former chief justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court, is running as a judge above the political fray. North Carolina is a state that has broken Democrats' hearts, and it could well do so again. But Mr. Budd and Ms. Beasley are consistently polling at a tie.

Despite the challenges ahead, Republicans still have plenty of ways to win Senate control. They could beat Senator Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada and push Senator Raphael Warnock to a runoff in Georgia. They could overwhelm the Georgia race with cash to rescue Mr. Warnock's opponent, Herschel Walker. They could also pull off come-from-behind wins in Pennsylvania, Arizona or New Hampshire.

But Democrats have options as well. If they can seal a victory in Pennsylvania and defeat Senator Ron Johnson in Wisconsin, it's hard to see a way for Republicans to take three Democratic seats to compensate. If Democrats find any upside surprises, they would be in North Carolina or Ohio, where strong candidates continue to hang tough.

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With Control of the Senate in Play, These Are the Races to Watch

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With the Senate knotted at 50-50 for each party, Republican control is only one seat away. But this election season has been full of surprises. For much of the campaign season, Democrats appeared ready to grab a Republican seat in Pennsylvania, meaning Republicans would need to flip two Democratic seats to earn a majority.

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Los funcionarios de Filadelfia votaron para imponer un cambio de regla de último minuto que alargará el proceso de conteo de votos.

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Los funcionarios de Filadelfia votaron para imponer un cambio de regla de último minuto que alargará el proceso de conteo de votos.

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/philadelphia-imposes-last-minute-election-change-will-slow-down-vote-count

La junta electoral de Filadelfia votó 2-1 a favor de imponer la reconciliación del libro de encuestas, esto siendo un largo proceso destino a evitar la doble votación.
Este proceso marcaría cualquier voto por correo de los votantes que también emitieron su voto en persona.

Los miembros electorales son 3, un Republicano y 2 demócratas. Mientras que el republicano y un demócrata votaron a favor de evitar la doble votación, el segundo demócrata voto en contra.

Max

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Philadelphia officials voted Tuesday morning to impose a last-minute rule change that will draw out the vote-count process.

The city's three-member elections board voted 2-1 in favor of imposing poll book reconciliation, a lengthy process intended to prevent double votes, the Philadelphia Inquirer reported Tuesday. The reconciliation process would flag any mail-in ballots from voters who also cast ballots in person.

City commissioners made the eleventh-hour decision at a 7 a.m. meeting on Tuesday. The board is comprised of two Democrats and one Republican. The Republican voted in favor of the change, along with one of the Democrats, while the second Democrat objected.

The city had originally moved to end the reconciliation practice last week, leading to a GOP lawsuit seeking to enforce the policy. While the lawsuit failed, the city commission chose to reinstate the process regardless, according to the Inquirer.
2022 MIDTERM ELECTIONS: LIVE UPDATES

"I want to be very clear that when there are conversations that occur later this evening about whether or not Philadelphia has counted all of their ballots that the reason that some ballots would not be counted is that Republicans targeted Philadelphia - and only Philadelphia - to force us to conduct a procedure that no other county does," said Seth Bluestein, the Republican commissioner.
ELON MUSK: 'I RECOMMEND VOTING FOR A REPUBLICAN CONGRESS
Pennsylvania is home to the hotly contested Senate race between Republican Dr. Mehmet Oz and Democrat John Fetterman. Their contest is one of only a handful that will determine control over the U.S. Senate.

President Biden's White House has called for patience as votes are tabulated across the country, saying results will not be clear on Election Day.

"We may not know all the winners of elections for a few days. It takes time to count all legitimate ballots in a legal and orderly manner. That's how this is supposed to work," White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters at a Monday briefing.

Republicans are widely expected to take control of at least the House of Representatives, though control over the Senate remains a toss-up.

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Philadelphia imposes last-minute election change that will slow down vote count

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Philadelphia officials voted Tuesday morning to impose a last-minute rule change that will draw out the vote-count process. The city's three-member elections board voted 2-1 in favor of imposing poll book reconciliation, a lengthy process intended to prevent double votes, the Philadelphia Inquirer reported Tuesday.

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La guerra de Biden contra la "desinformación" aumenta cuando el Partido Republicano acusa a los funcionarios de jugar a la política con la verdad El administrador de Biden se centró en contrarrestar las campañas de "desinformación" en las redes sociales, a pesar de las críticas, está sofocando los puntos de vista.

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La guerra de Biden contra la "desinformación" aumenta cuando el Partido Republicano acusa a los funcionarios de jugar a la política con la verdad El administrador de Biden se centró en contrarrestar las campañas de "desinformación" en las redes sociales, a pesar de las críticas, está sofocando los puntos de vista.

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Ian
https://www-foxnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/bidens-war-disinformation-ramps-gop-accuses-officials-playing-politics-truth.amp?amp_gsa=1&amp_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQKKAFQArABIIACAw==#amp_tf=De %1$s&aoh=16675031976710&referrer=https://www.google.com&ampshare=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bidens-war-disinformation-ramps-gop-accuses-officials-playing-politics-truth

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In Real Estate, 2022 Has Been The Year Of Moving Farther Away

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In Real Estate, 2022 Has Been The Year Of Moving Farther Away

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Durante décadas, los estadounidenses que se mudaban a casas nuevas se quedaron bastante cerca de donde habían estado viviendo. En los 33 años que se han mantenido tales registros, la distancia media más lejana que se movieron de una casa a otra fue de 15 millas.
Eso cambió en gran medida este año, a 50 millas, según el Perfil anual de compradores y vendedores de viviendas de la Asociación Nacional de Agentes Inmobiliarios. En perspectiva, es como ir de la ciudad de Nueva York a Westport, Connecticut, o de San Francisco a Santa Rosa.

Por: Sofia Vizl

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In 2022, the median American home buyer moved a distance of 50 miles from their previous residence.
Getty Images

F or decades, Americans moving into new homes stayed pretty close to where they'd been living. In the 33 years that such records have been kept, the farthest median distance they moved from one house to another was 15 miles.

That changed in a big way this year, to 50 miles, according to the National Association of Realtors annual Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. For perspective, that's like going from New York City to Westport, Connecticut, or San Francisco to Santa Rosa.

"People want to be closer to their support networks," Jessica Lautz, NAR vice president of demographics and behavioral insights, told Forbes. "And of course, we can't underscore affordability enough and how important that is to home buyers."

Home buyers, with pandemic lockdowns still foremost on their minds, took advantage of work-from-home rules to move farther away from their previous homes and closer to family and friends, according to the report, released Thursday. Buying to be near loved ones was cited by 13% of buyers as their primary criterion for where they settled down, up from just 5% in 2010. Only the desire to own a home was mentioned more often as the main reason to buy in 2022. The changes in purchasing preferences add up to the biggest and fastest reshuffle in U.S. real estate history.

The report also shows that first-time home buyers made up just 26% of the market, the lowest share since data collection began. The age of those entering the housing market for the first time jumped to 36, while the age for repeat buyers hit 59. Both are the highest ages ever recorded.

First-time buyers skewed the trend of moving farther away. If 50 miles sounds like a big leap, that's nothing compared to how far repeat buyers were willing to go. Take first-time buyers out of the equation, and the median distance jumped to 90 miles. That's like New York to New Haven, Connecticut, or San Francisco to Sacramento. The previous high for that measure, set in 2021, was just 20 miles.

As a result, only about half the homes purchased this year have been in or near cities. From 2017 through 2021, those areas routinely claimed a 65% market share.

The biggest uptick was seen in small towns, where 29% of all purchases occurred. That's nine percentage points higher than what it was just last year.

That created a ripple effect for longtime small-town residents, who saw home prices rise, Lautz said.

"For people who have always lived in small towns, it's absolutely impacting their ability to enter the market," Lautz told Forbes.

Whether long-distance moves are the new norm or just a reaction to being cooped up during lockdowns is still being settled.

Lautz said she's heard the stories of regret from those who've traded the bright lights for one-stoplight towns.

"We're hearing a lot of stories about people who don't like the small towns or suburbs that they moved to," she said.

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In Real Estate, 2022 Has Been The Year Of Moving Farther Away

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F or decades, Americans moving into new homes stayed pretty close to where they'd been living. In the 33 years that such records have been kept, the farthest median distance they moved from one house to another was 15 miles.

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Bloomberg Wealth: What Will It Take for the Fed to Stop Hiking?

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Bloomberg Wealth: What Will It Take for the Fed to Stop Hiking?

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-11-03/fed-rate-hikes-may-slow-but-they-re-not-stopping-as-inflation-rages?utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=221103&utm_campaign=wealth

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Bloomberg Wealth: What Will It Take for the Fed to Stop Hiking?

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Los créditos hipotecarios en Estados Unidos cada vez afectan a la gente que desea adquirir un inmueble. Esto esta afectando principalmente a los jóvenes que estan buscando un casa en donde vivir y por los altos tipos de interés y debido a la situación mundial que se vive, la FED no cesa para bajar las tasas de interés y no se espera que lo haga durante mucho tiempo.

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Lenders use several bits of data to set mortgage rates, including trading moves by investors. Without market volatility, the rate could be under 7 percent.

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Newly built homes in California in July. High mortgage rates have put many homes out of reach for prospective buyers. Credit... Philip Cheung for The New York Times

Mila Adams moved to Utah in May with her husband and toddler son to be closer to family, but they didn't expect to be living with her husband's parents nearly a half year later.

The couple's search for a home of their own became a race to stay ahead of the rapid rise in mortgage rates. Each time rates climbed - passing 5, 6 and now 7 percent - the size of the houses they could afford shrank.

"We looked at some new builds and some older homes, but it seems like with every rate hike our buying power goes down, and we have to readjust our budget," said Ms. Adams, 29, who was looking for a three-bedroom house roomy enough for a family with plans to grow. "The high prices of homes are not going down as quickly as the rates are going up to adjust for that loss of buying power. The prices are just kind of stubborn."

Once rates crossed 7 percent, the couple's mortgage pre-approval was rescinded because the costlier loan, combined with her husband's student debt from dental school, would have pushed their debt level too high.

"We are very conservative with our finances and just want to have room not to be house poor," Ms. Adams said. "It's a bit of decision fatigue at this point."

It's no surprise that rapid interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve - meant to tamp down inflation and cool an overheated housing market - have pushed up mortgage rates, making it harder for many people to buy homes. Changes in consumer behavior and decisions made by investors on Wall Street are also to blame for higher rates.

Wall Street investors who buy bonds backed by mortgages have fled the market, feeding the rate increase. Credit... John Taggart for The New York Times

Analysts say the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage, which crossed the 7 percent threshold recently, could be as much as a full percentage point lower if investors, homeowners and prospective buyers hadn't been shifting their behavior so sharply in reaction to the Fed's moves.

"A whole percentage point on your mortgage rate is due to what is going on in mortgage markets," said Scott Buchta, a mortgage analyst at Brean Capital. "The volatility in the market has been passed through to consumers as well."

Lenders take into account three different interest rates when deciding what mortgage rate to offer a home buyer.

The base rate is typically tied to the yield - or rate of return - on a 10-year Treasury note, which is used because most people move to another home, prepay or refinance within a decade of getting a mortgage. A second rate is tied to the difference between the yield on those notes and mortgage-backed securities, or M.B.S., which are essentially interest-paying bonds backed by mortgages. In Wall Street parlance, this difference is known as the "spread."

Finally, there is an additional amount of interest charged that reflects the profits that lenders, servicers and other players make in the mortgage chain.

Here's what is happening behind the scenes.

Many banks and other lenders don't hold on to the mortgages they originate. Instead, they package them into bonds that they sell to investors. The payments that homeowners make, including interest payments and prepayments, then flow through to those investors. And the money raised from selling the bonds - a vital source of financing for mortgage lenders - allows lenders to make more mortgage loans.

In normal times, the spread between Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities remains fairly consistent. But that changes when interest rates rise, especially as swiftly as they have now.

Since M.B.S. investors such as insurance companies expect interest rates to keep going up, they also expect people to stay in their homes longer, making them slower to prepay or refinance their mortgages. That changes investors' calculations of the returns they expect on their holdings over a certain time frame. Rather than stick around, some investors sell the bonds in search of higher returns elsewhere. Others demand higher interest rates from lenders to compensate for the additional risk of holding mortgage bonds.

Therefore, the spread - or the amount bond investors now expect to be paid compared with a Treasury note - widens. So far this year, the spread has more than doubled, to 1.7 percent from 0.7 percent. The wider the spread, the more consumers pay because lenders pass on to them the cost of those increased rates.

It hasn't helped lenders that two of the biggest holders of mortgage-backed securities have pulled back from the market.

Banks, which are both lenders and holders of mortgage bonds, have been selling those holdings. According to data from the Fed, U.S. commercial banks sold roughly $200 billion of government-backed mortgage securities since the central bank first raised rates in March, a sharp reversal after buying roughly $100 billion from September last year through March.

Lenders sell mortgage-backed bonds to sell to investors, raising money to help them make new loans. But demand for bonds has been low. Credit... William DeShazer for The New York Times

Another large mortgage buyer, the Fed, is also absent. When the pandemic hit in March 2020, the central bank rushed to prop up financial markets, buying Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities to lower interest rates and support prices in order to resuscitate the financial system. Since June, however, the Fed has been letting mortgage bonds roll off its balance sheet as they mature.

"Support for the market has really stepped back," said Jason Callan, head of structured products at the asset manager Columbia Threadneedle. "The elephant in the room was the Fed and how aggressive they were, but it's also U.S. banks. They have not been buyers of mortgages all year."

With demand for M.B.S. so low, the lenders that package and sell the bonds are offering higher rates to lure investors back. Those higher rates are also passed on to consumers.

The volatility in the mortgage market is hitting real estate investment trusts, or REITs, which are publicly traded companies that originate mortgages and also buy the bonds backed by them. REITs are a relatively small but important part of the market because their M.B.S. purchases go toward helping Americans finance their homes.

Annaly Capital Management, the largest mortgage REIT, recently said its book value - the value of its assets minus its liabilities - had fallen around 15 percent as result of the sell-off in the mortgage market. For AGNC, another large mortgage REIT, the number was 20 percent.

REITs borrow money to buy mortgage bonds and originate mortgages, and collect interest from what consumers pay on their mortgages - making their money on the difference between the two. This makes them very sensitive to changes in interest rates.

To protect against interest rate changes, REITs buy and sell U.S. government bonds and other securities designed to minimize interest-rate risk. For example, as rates fall, they might buy longer-dated Treasuries to make up for some of the lost interest rate payments from consumers paying off their mortgages sooner.

This year, as interest rates have risen, mortgage REITs have sold some of those hedges, adding to the broad sell-off in Treasuries that also feeds into consumer's mortgage rates.

"It has not been a market for the faint of heart," said David Finkelstein, chief executive of Annaly. "The moves we are dealing with, on a daily basis, are nearly double what we are accustomed to in markets."

These interconnected but hard-to-see movements in the mortgage market have real-world implications. For Ms. Adams and her husband, the prospective home buyers in Utah, higher rates have shrunk the couple's home budget by as much as 30 percent since June.

"It's this endless feedback loop," Ms. Adams said. "Things are moving so fast - it's hard to make a decision."

Low-rise homes in San Francisco. People are moving less or making few prepayments on mortgages are interest rates rise. Credit... Jim Wilson/The New York Times

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Mortgage Rates Too High? (Blame the Fed, Wall Street and Your Neighbor.)

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Lenders use several bits of data to set mortgage rates, including trading moves by investors. Without market volatility, the rate could be under 7 percent. Send any friend a story As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Anyone can read what you share.

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Jonathan Rojas

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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/01/us/covid-college-students.html?utm_content=ig-nytimes

Nos habla cómo ya tan rápido los estudiantes que vivieron un período de su educación en línea ahora han crecido y se encuentran en universidad, ellos hicieron un par de estudios y se dieron cuenta que el nivel es muy bajo y será difícil recuperar el grado que tenían antes de la pandemia. Sus áreas más débiles fueron las ciencias y matemáticas.

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The Pandemic Generation Goes to College. It Has Not Been Easy.

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Students missed a lot of high school instruction. Now many are behind, especially in math, and getting that degree could be harder.

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por maria

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Estos son los cargos que enfrenta el presunto atacante de Paul Pelosi

(CNN) -- Un hombre de 42 años está acusado de atacar a Paul Pelosi, el esposo de la presidenta de la Cámara de Representantes, Nancy Pelosi, la semana pasada.

Se espera que David DePape, el hombre que presuntamente atacó a Paul Pelosi, comparezca en un tribunal de San Francisco este martes para una lectura de cargos.

DePape enfrenta una letanía de cargos estatales, que incluyen intento de asesinato y agresión con un arma mortal, dijo este lunes la fiscal de distrito de San Francisco, Brooke Jenkins. Estos cargos se suman a los cargos federales que enfrenta DePape, que incluyen agresión e intento de secuestro.

"Obviamente ha sido fichado por estos cargos, presentaremos nuestra denuncia, esperamos que esté en la corte mañana, y eso es todo lo que puedo decir", dijo Jenkins en una conferencia de prensa este lunes, y agregó que los arrestos previos de DePape y los antecedentes penales se discutirán en la corte este martes.

Según las declaraciones de DePape, dijo Jenkins, parece que el ataque tuvo "motivaciones políticas".

"Sí, según sus declaraciones y comentarios que se hicieron en esa casa durante su encuentro con el Sr. Pelosi, parece que esto fue por motivos políticos", dijo.

DePape, según documentos judiciales, le dijo a la policía que planeaba retener a Nancy Pelosi como rehén, llamándola "líder de la manada de mentiras" promovida por los demócratas.

Agresor de Paul Pelosi, esposo de Nancy Pelosi, está bajo custodia

Paul Pelosi está en recuperación constante

Paul Pelosi está "logrando un progreso constante en lo que será un largo proceso de recuperación", dijo la presidenta Pelosi en un comunicado este lunes por la noche.

"Desde el horrible ataque contra Paul el viernes por la mañana, nos han inundado miles de mensajes que transmiten preocupación, oraciones y cálidos deseos. Estamos muy agradecidos", decía el comunicado.

Después del ataque, Paul Pelosi se sometió a una "cirugía exitosa para reparar una fractura de cráneo y lesiones graves en su brazo y manos derechos", según un comunicado de prensa anterior de la oficina de Nancy Pelosi.

Detalles de la denuncia penal tras el escalofriante ataque

La presentación judicial relacionada con los cargos federales contra DePape reveló el relato más detallado hasta el momento de la llamada al 911 de Paul Pelosi mientras se desarrollaba el ataque.

"Pelosi dijo palabras en el sentido de que hay un hombre en la casa y que el hombre va a esperar a la esposa de Pelosi. Pelosi transmitió además que no sabe quién es el hombre. El hombre dijo que su nombre es David", dijo un agente del FBI en una declaración jurada que fue revelada el lunes.

Paul Pelosi llamó al 911 a las 2:23 a.m. (hora del Pacífico) del viernes y la policía llegó a su casa ocho minutos después, según la declaración jurada revelada este lunes.

"Cuando se abrió la puerta, Pelosi y DePape sostenían un martillo con una mano y DePape tenía la otra mano sujetando el antebrazo de Pelosi", dice la declaración jurada. "Pelosi saludó a los agentes. Los agentes les preguntaron qué estaba pasando. DePape respondió que todo estaba bien. Luego, los agentes le pidieron a Pelosi y DePape que soltaran el martillo".

En ese momento, DePape supuestamente retiró el martillo y lo balanceó, golpeando a Paul Pelosi en la cabeza. Pelosi "parecía estar inconsciente en el suelo" después del golpe, dice la declaración jurada.

"DePape estaba preparado para detener y lesionar a la presidenta Pelosi cuando ingresó a la residencia de Pelosi en la madrugada del 28 de octubre de 2022", dijo el agente del FBI en la declaración jurada. "DePape tenía bridas, cinta adhesiva, cuerda y al menos un martillo con él esa mañana".

CNN informó anteriormente que DePape confrontó a Paul Pelosi y le preguntó dónde estaba su esposa, gritando: "¿Dónde está Nancy?". La presidenta de la Cámara no estaba en casa en el momento del ataque.

Según la declaración jurada, "DePape declaró que iba a retener a Nancy como rehén y hablar con ella. Si Nancy le decía a DePape la 'verdad', él la dejaría ir, y si ella 'mentía', le iba a romper 'las rótulas'".

"DePape estaba seguro de que Nancy no habría dicho la 'verdad '", decía la declaración jurada del FBI.

"No hay lugar para eso en este país"

El secretario de Seguridad Nacional, Alejandro Mayorkas, condenó el "ataque violento y horrible", durante una entrevista con Wolf Blitzer de CNN el lunes.

"No hay lugar para eso en este país", dijo Mayorkas en sus primeras declaraciones desde el ataque de la semana pasada, y agregó que era difícil etiquetar el incidente como "terrorismo interno" debido a las implicaciones legales del término.

El mismo día que Pelosi fue atacado, las autoridades federales advirtieron en una evaluación conjunta que los extremistas violentos domésticos representan una mayor amenaza para las elecciones de mitad de período de 2022.

Cuando se le preguntó si estaba preocupado por los ataques por imitación, Mayorkas dijo que el extremismo violento doméstico es "una de las mayores amenazas relacionadas con el terrorismo" para EE.UU., por lo que están alertas.

Respuestas variadas de la derecha

Algunas figuras republicanas populares parecieron restarle importancia al ataque, incluida Kari Lake, la candidata republicana en la carrera por la gobernación de Arizona.

"No es imposible proteger a nuestros niños en la escuela. Actúan como si lo fueran. Nancy Pelosi, bueno, tiene protección cuando está en Washington; aparentemente, su casa no tiene mucha protección", dijo Lake entre risas en una campaña de Scottsdale.

Donald Trump Jr., mientras tanto, compartió una imagen en las redes sociales de un martillo y un par de ropa interior con las palabras "Tengo listo mi disfraz de Halloween de Paul Pelosi".

Aún así, varios republicanos prominentes, incluido el líder de la minoría del Senado, Mitch McConnell, han condenado el ataque, aunque algunos otros, incluido el expresidente Donald Trump, han ofrecido una respuesta más tibia.

-- Zachary Cohen, Marshall Cohen y Evan Perez de CNN contribuyeron a este informe.

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Lo que sabemos del ataque a Paul Pelosi, el esposo de la presidenta de la Cámara de Representantes, Nancy Pelosi

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Estos son los cargos que enfrenta el presunto atacante de Paul Pelosi (CNN) -- Un hombre de 42 años está acusado de atacar a Paul Pelosi, el esposo de la presidenta de la Cámara de Representantes, Nancy Pelosi, la semana pasada.

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Pelea de migrantes Venezolanos contra agentes de la Patrulla Fronteriza 

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Pelea de migrantes Venezolanos contra agentes de la Patrulla Fronteriza 

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/illegal-migrants-wave-venezuelan-flag-crossing-us-southern-border-attack-border-patrol-agents

Una gran ola de migrantes venezolanos entraron ilegalmente por El Paso, Texas, alzando su bandera y agrediendo a agentes de la patrulla fronteriza.
Esto desembocó un pequeño enfrentamiento donde los agentes utilizaron medidas de control de multitudes, como lo disparar bolas de pimienta cerca de ellos.

Max

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A massive group of illegal migrants on Monday crossed into the U.S. waving a large Venezuelan flag and, according to Customs and Border Protection (CBP), attacked Border Patrol agents - before being pushed back into the river as agents used crowd control measures.

The shocking incident, partially caught on video, saw a group of Venezuelan migrants crossing illegally into El Paso, Texas, as they waved the enormous flag. Agents can then be seen pushing migrants back into the river while firing pepper balls near them as crowd control.

In a statement, CBP said a group of Venezuelans had attempted to illegally enter the U.S. while protesting along the Rio Grande's international boundary.

The agency said one of the protesters had assaulted an agent with a flagpole, while another had thrown a rock at agents, injuring one in the process. That in turn led Border Patrol to initiate crowd control measures.
ICE LAUNCHES 'TAKEDOWN' OPERATION IN GUATEMALA TO NAB HUMAN SMUGGLERS AND CORRUPT COPS, RESCUE MIGRANTS

"These measures included the use of the authorized less-lethal force pepperball launching system," the statement said. "The crowd then dispersed and returned to Mexico."

The agency said that its Office of Professional Responsibility (OPR) will review the incident.

The chaotic incident comes as the migrant crisis, which has roiled the southern border since early 2021, continues to see streams of large groups of migrants cross into the U.S. illegally. On Tuesday morning a group of 300 mostly single adults crossed illegally into Normandy, Texas.

In just the Del Rio Sector alone, Border Patrol reports more than 50 large groups of more than 100 migrants since the beginning of October.

Republicans have laid the blame for the crisis at the feet of the Biden administration, saying that its policies of rolling back Trump-era border security and enforcement have only served to draw more migrants to the southern border - with many of them being released into the U.S.
HOUSE HOMELAND REPUBLICANS DEMAND ANSWERS FROM CBP, ICE ON ALLEGED MIGRANT PROCESSING FAILURES
Republican governors have caused outrage from Democratic states by bussing and even flying them to liberal "sanctuary" jurisdictions like New York City, Washington D.C., Chicago and Martha's Vineyard. The governors say it has been done to relieve overwhelmed border communities and to bring the crisis home to those areas that describe themselves as welcoming to illegal immigrants.

The Biden administration has taken an approach that has sought to target "root causes" of the crisis like poverty and violence in Central America. It has also emphasized the importance of cooperation with Western Hemisphere countries and recently announced a new cooperative operation with Mexico that sees more resources and checkpoints set up.
TENS OF THOUSANDS OF MIGRANTS HAVE CASES THROWN OUT OF IMMIGRATION COURT, AS DOCS NOT FILED
Controversially, it has also expanded Title 42 expulsions to include Venezuelan nationals - who were previously predominantly being released into the U.S. Now, they are being sent back to Mexico, which is bussing them deeper into the Mexican interior and giving migrants 15 days to get a visa or leave the country.

There were more than 227,000 migrant encounters in September, taking the total number for FY2022 to more than 2.3 million - a new record high. The administration says it has seen a decrease in the number of Venezuelan crossings in the immediate weeks after the new enforcement operation was put into place.

Meanwhile, Texas authorities have been involved in a number of car chases involving smugglers and illegal immigrants. In Kinney County, the local sheriff's department pulled over a speeding vehicle with paper plates, finding eight illegal migrants being smuggled inside.

Video obtained by Fox from Kennedy County showed troopers from Texas' Department of Public Service chasing a group of migrants after they bailed out of a vehicle following a human smuggling pursuit.

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Illegal migrants wave Venezuelan flag after crossing US southern border, attack Border Patrol agents

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A massive group of illegal migrants on Monday crossed into the U.S. waving a large Venezuelan flag and, according to Customs and Border Protection (CBP), attacked Border Patrol agents - before being pushed back into the river as agents used crowd control measures.

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DOJ Charges Pelosi Attack Suspect With Attempted Kidnapping

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The Department of Justice on Monday charged the man accused of attacking House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s husband, alleging in court papers that defendant David DePape told police he wanted to “hold Nancy hostage.”

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Texas Goes Permitless on Guns, and Police Face an Armed Public (Published 2022)

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A new law allowing people to carry handguns without a license has led to more spontaneous shootings, many in law enforcement say.

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https://edition.cnn.com/2022/10/27/politics/us-defense-strategy-china-russia/index.html

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US must strengthen defenses in face of increasing threats from China and Russia, US defense strategy says | CNN Politics

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The US must strengthen its defenses against increasing threats from both China and Russia, focusing on Beijing as its main global competitor, the Biden administration's national defense strategy released Thursday says.

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-10-26/what-s-happening-in-the-global-economy-a-new-era-dawns?cmpid=BBD102622_NEF&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=221026&utm_campaign=nef

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Topline

The U.S. economy grew for the first time this year in the third quarter, a preliminary estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed Thursday-pulling the economy out of a so-called technical recession but doing little to quell economist concerns that the nation will ultimately plunge into an official recession in the next few months

Despite a return to growth, the economy could shrink and lose millions of jobs next year.
AFP via Getty Images

Key Facts

The U.S. economy grew at an estimated annual rate of 2.6% in the third quarter after falling 0.6% and 1.6% in the first two quarters-thereby signaling the end of a technical recession, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday.

The increase primarily reflected increases in exports and consumer spending that were offset by declines in the housing market, which has suffered from a dearth in demand spurred by higher mortgage rates, the government said.

Despite the return to growth, economists have increasingly predicted the U.S. economy will likely contract next year as markets digest the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, which work to tame inflation by tempering consumer demand.

In a Thursday note, EY chief economist Gregory Daco said he anticipates real gross domestic product growth of about 1.7% this year followed by a 0.7% contraction in 2023, as the ongoing war in Ukraine and rapidly tightening financial conditions lead to a global recession.

As a result, the economy should lose about 2.8 million jobs next year, with the unemployment rate rising to 5.5% by mid-year, EY projects.

LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach agrees, saying recession risks "appear more probable" by the beginning of next year as the economy absorbs the spillover effects of declines in many sectors, such as housing.

Tangent

Though a technical recession comprises two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, the definitive recession call is up to the National Bureau of Economic Research, which defines a recession as "a significant decline in economic activity" lasting "more than a few months."

Key Background

Skyrocketing prices have forced central banks around the world to reverse pandemic-era policy measures meant to bolster markets-and the Fed's rate hikes have hit the formerly booming housing and stock markets particularly hard. New home sales plunged to a six-year low this summer, and the S&P 500 has tanked 20% this year. As the economy faces a potential recession, many experts predict the downturn may only get worse. Morgan Stanley, for example, projects the S&P will ultimately hit a bear-market low of between 3,000 and 3,400 points-suggesting the index could still plummet another 10% to 20%.

Further Reading
Technical Recession Confirmed: Economy Shrank 0.6% Last Quarter, Final GDP Shows (Forbes)

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Economy Survives Technical Recession-But Worst Could Come Next Year, Experts Warn

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The U.S. economy grew for the first time this year in the third quarter, a preliminary estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed Thursday-pulling the economy out of a so-called technical recession but doing little to quell economist concerns that the nation will ultimately plunge into an official recession in the next few months The U.S.

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Latina Republicana es rechazada del "Congressional Hispanic Caucus" por su partido.

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Latina Republicana es rechazada del "Congressional Hispanic Caucus" por su partido.

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/latina-republican-blocked-joining-congressional-hispanic-caucus

Mayra Flores es rechazada por el "Congressional Hispanic Cuacus" por los demócratas, partido que maneja el congreso.
Los Demócratas niegan el acceso a Flores, excusándose diciendo que el congreso es exclusivo para ellos y que Mayra tiene opiniones extremadamente diferentes con su misión.

El partido de "la inclusión" vuelve hacer de las suyas- Flores

Max

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Latina Republican blocked from joining Congressional Hispanic Caucus

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Texas Republican Mayra Flores, who flipped a long-held Democratic House seat along the U.S.-Mexico border, was blocked from joining the Congressional Hispanic Caucus.

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https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/25/world/uk-prime-minister-rishi-sunak

El nuevo ministro de U.K. es Rishi Sunak. Primer ministro británico de origen hindú, practicante del hinduismo.
Será interesante ver su desempeño; así como su forma de gobernar debido a la situación del Brexit y siendo parte de los conservadores.

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U.K. Live Updates: Sunak Officially Becomes Prime Minister After Meeting King Charles III

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In his first address as leader, Mr. Sunak said “mistakes were made” by his predecessor, Liz Truss. He promised to fix them.

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Musk Tells Debt Bankers He Plans to Close Twitter Deal on Friday

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Musk Tells Debt Bankers He Plans to Close Twitter Deal on Friday

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-25/elon-musk-tells-debt-bankers-he-plans-to-close-twitter-deal-on-friday-twtr?srnd=premium

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2022/10/24/trump-organizations-criminal-trial-for-tax-fraud-starts-here-are-the-consequences-it-could-face/?sh=3f9aa0d93a42

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Topline

Jury selection begins Monday in the Trump Organization's criminal trial for alleged tax fraud-which will only result in the company having to pay monetary damages if it's found guilty, though a conviction could have more damaging knock-on effects for former President Donald Trump's business.

The Trump Organization is going to trial on charges of criminal tax fraud after allegedly paying ... [+]
NurPhoto via Getty Images

Key Facts

The Trump Organization is on trial after being indicted on charges of criminal tax fraud, scheme to defraud, conspiracy and falsifying business records, with Manhattan prosecutors alleging the company "devised and operated a scheme to defraud" tax authorities by paying executives through gifts and other "off the books" compensation.

Weisselberg has already pleaded guilty to the scheme, through which he allegedly received approximately $1.76 million in indirect compensation between 2005 and 2021, but no other Trump Organization executives-including Trump or his family members-have been directly implicated in the criminal case.

If found guilty, the Trump Organization will only have to pay a maximum of approximately $1.6 million in fines, which CNN notes is the highest amount allowed under state law for this kind of crime.

A conviction would not result in any further direct consequences to the Trump Organization, including the dissolution of the company.

It could make it less likely that creditors or other business partners will be willing to work with the Trump Organization, however, legal experts cited by Bloomberg and NBC News noted, and Brooklyn Law School professor Miriam Baer told Reuters the trial alone "casts a pall of uncertainty over the company" that could affect its future business deals.

Legal experts cited by Insider also note a conviction could persuade the federal government to stop doing business with the Trump Organization-such as Secret Service agents being charged to stay at Trump properties-citing federal regulations that allow government contractors to be "debarred" if they've committed crimes like tax evasion or falsification of records.

Crucial Quote

"Is it definitive that a company convicted of a crime will be shunned by lenders and creditors? Not necessarily," attorney Daniel Horwitz, a former prosecutor at the Manhattan district attorney's office that brought the charges, told Bloomberg. "Is it a good thing if the Trump Organization is convicted of cheating the government of millions of dollars in taxes over the years? No, it's not good."

What To Watch For

Jury selection in the case is expected to last for approximately two weeks, Law360 reports, as attorneys in the case try to weed out potential jurors who have a strong political bias against Trump. The trial itself will then take approximately five to six weeks, New York State Judge Juan Merchan said ahead of jury selection Monday, which will include testimony from Weisselberg on the alleged tax fraud scheme.

Chief Critic

The Trump Organization has pleaded not guilty to the charges against it, and attorneys representing the company at trial told the New York Law Journal they'll argue that even though Weisselberg pleaded guilty, there's "no evidence" to show the company itself did anything wrong. "Our defense has always been that these corporate entities are not liable for things that employees do behind the corporation's back," attorney Michael van der Veen told the Journal. "The corporation received no benefit from the tax crimes."

Key Background

The Trump Organization and Weisselberg were indicted in July 2021 following a years-long investigation by the Manhattan District Attorney's office into the company's financials. (That investigation has so far not resulted in any other charges.) The indictment alleges the Trump Organization paid for Weisselberg's Manhattan apartment, private school tuition for his family members and leases for Mercedes Benz vehicles for him and his wife, among other methods of indirect compensation, and the Trump Organization allegedly fraudulently misreported income to both Weisselberg and other unnamed executives to avoid paying higher taxes. Weisselberg pleaded guilty to the charges against him in August and will now serve only up to five months in prison, avoiding a potential 15-year sentence if he had been found guilty at trial. CNN reports the Trump Organization's trial comes after the company and the Manhattan DA's office discussed a possible plea deal a few weeks ago, which didn't come to fruition. According to sources cited by CNN, the Trump Organization was only willing to plead guilty to committing a misdemeanor while the DA's office wanted them to plead guilty to felony charges, and Trump himself was unwilling to let the company make any guilty pleas at all.

What We Don't Know

What other punishments Trump and his company may face outside of this trial. New York Attorney General Letitia James has separately sued the Trump Organization, Trump, his children and other business associates for allegedly fraudulently inflating the company's assets. That case could have much more significant impacts for the Trump Organization if they lose in court, including having its business certificates canceled in New York, Trump and his children being barred from leading New York businesses and a heftier $250 million fine. While that litigation is a civil lawsuit, James said her office has also found evidence Trump and his business violated criminal laws, including federal ones, and has thus referred its findings to the Justice Department and Internal Revenue Service. That means it's possible Trump could be prosecuted in federal court as well. The former president is also facing multiple investigations from the Justice Department over him bringing White House documents back to Mar-A-Lago and his efforts to overturn the 2020 election, and prosecutors in Fulton County, Georgia, are also separately probing Trump's post-election scheme.

Further Reading

Trump Org. criminal tax fraud trial kicks off Monday (CNN)

How a conviction in Trump Org's upcoming trial could bar Trump from federal contracts, even for Secret Service (Insider)

Trump Firm's Tax Fraud Trial Promises Ex-CFO as Star Witness (Bloomberg)

5 Takeaways From The Trump Organization's Indictment (Forbes)

Allen Weisselberg-Longtime Trump Organization CFO-Pleads Guilty In Tax Scheme (Forbes)

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what happens if trump organization found guilty

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Trump Organization's Criminal Trial For Tax Fraud Starts-Here Are The Consequences It Could Face

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Jury selection begins Monday in the Trump Organization's criminal trial for alleged tax fraud-which will only result in the company having to pay monetary damages if it's found guilty, though a conviction could have more damaging knock-on effects for former President Donald Trump's business.

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Top US, Russian Generals Speak Amid Fears of Nuclear Escalation

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Top US, Russian Generals Speak Amid Fears of Nuclear Escalation

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Jonathan Rojas
El general Mark Milley, habló con su contraparte rusa en una rara llamada en medio de temores, sobre un posible intento de intensificar la guerra en Ucrania.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-24/top-us-russian-generals-speak-amid-fears-of-nuclear-escalation?srnd=us-politics#xj4y7vzkg

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Adidas terminates partnership with Kanye West

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Adidas terminates partnership with Kanye West

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Por Linda

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Adidas terminates partnership with Kanye West | CNN Business

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Adidas has ended its partnership with Ye, also known as Kanye West, with "immediate effect."

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U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss Resigns After 6 Turbulent Weeks In Office

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U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss Resigns After 6 Turbulent Weeks In Office

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La primera ministra del Reino Unido, Liz Truss, renunció después de solo seis semanas en el cargo, tras desastrosos cambios, cambios políticos y caos económico.
Este final abrupto marca el final del mandato mas corto en la historia británica.

Por: Sofia Vizl

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Speaking from Downing Street, Truss said she was stepping down as leader of the Conservative Party as she could not deliver the mandate on which she was elected.

There will be an election within the party to select her replacement as leader and prime minister, she added, which will be "completed within the next week."

Truss said she will stay on as prime minister until her successor is chosen.

Her resignation comes a day after she told lawmakers she was a "fighter, not a quitter," and vowed to remain in office, her latest u-turn in a series of embarrassing reversals that have characterized her tenure at Number 10 Downing Street.
This is a developing story.

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U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss Resigns After 6 Turbulent Weeks In Office

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Speaking from Downing Street, Truss said she was stepping down as leader of the Conservative Party as she could not deliver the mandate on which she was elected. There will be an election within the party to select her replacement as leader and prime minister, she added, which will be "completed within the next week."

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Armas de fuego para los maestros de escuelas públicas en Mississippi

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Armas de fuego para los maestros de escuelas públicas en Mississippi

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https://www.foxnews.com/us/iowa-school-district-allow-some-teachers-carry-guns-on-campus

Cherokee es la segunda escuela de distrito del Estado que permite que algunos maestros y otro personal (escolar) porten armas de fuego después del devastador tiroteo masivo en Uvalde, Texas.

Esto con el objetivo de proteger la seguridad de los estudiantes y el personal de la escuela.

Max

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An Iowa school district approved a measure allowing some staff members to carry firearms on campus.

"No one wants guns in school, but we want bad guys with a gun even less," Cherokee Schools Superintendent Kim Lingenfelter said, according to KCRG. "And the board has taken a very measured and serious approach to the challenge of keeping students safe and staff."

Cherokee is the second school district in the state to pass a measure allowing some teachers and other staff to carry firearms following the devastating mass shooting in Uvalde, Texas, which left 19 students and two teachers dead. The Spirit Lake School Board voted in August to allow 10 staff members to carry firearms.

The Cherokee district made the decision Monday during a school board meeting, KCRG reported. Lingenfelter said discussions allowing some staff members to carry guns at schools began in July in conjunction with local law enforcement, a school resource officer and the chief of police.
MISSISSIPPI PARENTS CALL FOR ALLOWING TEACHERS TO CARRY GUNS IN SCHOOL: 'THIS IS THE WORLD WE LIVE IN NOW'

Parents and teachers spoke at the meeting about whether to change the district's policy. The school board said a poll was taken ahead of the discussion and found 32 people were in favor of changing the policy to allow armed staff, and 11 people opposed the change.

"I just think of the difference it could have made at Sandy Hook, or in Texas," one parent who was in favor of the change said, according to Siouxland News.
NORTH CAROLINA SCHOOL DISTRICT PUTS AR-15 RIFLES IN SCHOOLS
"I think they should be afforded that safety that government and politicians have," another man, Larry Pigott, grandfather of 11 kids in the school district, said. "I feel that is a necessity due to the times that we are living in."

Others, including the choir director at the district and a school nurse, spoke out against the new policy.

The policy for the district after the change now reads: "Weapons under the control of law enforcement officials and staff approved by an administrative team are exempt" from any ban on weapons on campus.
OHIO SET TO ALLOW TEACHERS TO CARRY GUNS WITH REDUCED TRAINING REQUIREMENTS
The district will soon approve a list of teachers who want to carry guns on school property. The staff members will be required to attend monthly training sessions in order to continue carrying a firearm on school premises.

Other school districts throughout the nation have recently moved to also allow teachers to arm themselves in order to protect against a potential shooting. For example, the Ohio legislature passed a bill over the summer allowing teachers and other staff to carry firearms with less training time than previously required.

Another school district in North Carolina announced plans over the summer to add AR-15s to safes placed in schools to beef up security in the event of a tragedy.

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Iowa school district to allow some teachers to carry guns on campus

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The Cherokee Community School District in Iowa approved a measure allowing some teachers and staff to carry guns on campus on condition of participation in regular training sessions.

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Liz Truss decide renunciar a su puesto de Primer Ministra. Con tan solo 44 días o 6 semanas en el puesto.

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Liz Truss decide renunciar a su puesto de Primer Ministra. Con tan solo 44 días o 6 semanas en el puesto.

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Por Maria

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Truss Resigns as UK Premier After Tax-Cut Plan Backfires

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Truss Resigns as UK Premier After Tax-Cut Plan Backfires

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-20/uk-prime-minister-liz-truss-to-announce-resignation-sky-news?srnd=politics-vp

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https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/20/world/liz-truss-news?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur

La primer ministra de la Gran Bretaña renuncia, esto principalmente tras el caos de las modificaciones en cuestiones económicas, lo cual han llevado a una devaluación de la libra esterlina en máximos históricos.
Por otro lado ha sido un claro fracaso sobre la salida del Reino Unido de la Unión Europea.

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Liz Truss leaving 10 Downing Street for the Houses of Parliament on Wednesday.

LONDON - Prime Minister Liz Truss announced on Thursday that she would resign, just days after her new finance minister reversed virtually all of her planned tax cuts, sweeping away a free-market fiscal agenda that promised a radical policy shift for Britain but instead plunged the country into weeks of economic and political turmoil.

"I cannot deliver the mandate on which I was elected," she said in brief remarks outside Downing Street.

She said she had informed King Charles III that she was resigning as leader of the Conservative Party, and that she would remain leader and prime minister until a successor is chosen within a week.

Her departure, after only six weeks in office, was a shockingly rapid fall from power, and throws her Conservative Party into further disarray, following the messy departure of Boris Johnson from Downing Street over the summer.

The announcement came minutes after Ms. Truss held an unscheduled meeting with Graham Brady, the head of a group of Conservative lawmakers known as the 1922 Committee that plays an influential role in selecting the party leader.

Ms. Truss's political viability had become tenuous after her proposals for broad unfunded tax cuts roiled markets and sent the pound's value plunging. She suffered a grave blow on Monday, when her newly appointed chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, said that the government was undoing the last vestiges of Ms. Truss's tax proposals.

That announcement constituted one of the most dramatic reversals in modern British political history, and a humiliating repudiation of Ms. Truss's leadership. In recent weeks, support for her Conservative Party had collapsed in opinion polls and unrest among its lawmakers intensified, undermining her ability to remain in office.

Mr. Hunt also said that the government would end its huge state intervention to cap energy prices in April, replacing it with a still-undefined program that he said would promote energy efficiency but that could increase uncertainty for households facing rising gas and electricity prices.

Further chaos followed on Wednesday, when Ms. Truss was jeered by opposition lawmakers while answering questions in Parliament, and hours later was forced to fire of one of her most senior cabinet ministers, the home secretary, Suella Braverman, over a security breach.

Ms. Braverman acknowledged having committed a technical breach of security rules, involving a government document that she sent to a lawmaker in Parliament through her personal email. But in her letter of resignation to Ms. Truss, she said she had "concerns about the direction of this government," accusing it of breaking pledges to voters and, in particular, failing to curb immigration.

On Wednesday, a vote on whether to ban hydraulic fracking erupted into a near melee, with accusations that ministers manhandled Conservative lawmakers and threatened them with retribution if they did not vote to support Ms. Truss.

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U.K. Live Updates: Liz Truss Says She Will Resign as Prime Minister

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LONDON - Prime Minister Liz Truss announced on Thursday that she would resign, just days after her new finance minister reversed virtually all of her planned tax cuts, sweeping away a free-market fiscal agenda that promised a radical policy shift for Britain but instead plunged the country into weeks of economic and political turmoil.

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America's "most dangerous" law? Illinois candidate warns of "anarchy" after criminal justice overhaul

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America's "most dangerous" law? Illinois candidate warns of "anarchy" after criminal justice overhaul

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"New Illinois criminal justice reform bill may cause citizens to 'take the law into their own hands,' says congressional candidate" - Park Mayor Keith Pekau (Candidato para el Distrito 6 del Congreso de Illinois)
La reforma al SAFE-T Act propone que se elimine la libertad bajo fianza, limitar cómo se determina si un acusado representa un riesgo de huida y permitir a quienes se encuentran supervisados con dispositivo dejar su casa por 48 horas antes de que sean acusados de escapar.
El candidato refirió que esta ley promueve la autocomposición y no toma en cuenta el cumplimiento de la ley, a los jueces o a los stakeholders.
Sin embargo, quienes propusieron la reforma refieren que ésta ayudará a combatir el racismo sistemático y a hacer el sistema de justicia más equitativo.

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Crime in Illinois could "spiral out of control" after a new law overhauling the state's criminal justice system goes into effect in January, the mayor of a Chicago suburb said.

"When I said that this is the most dangerous law I've ever seen, I believe that," said Orland Park Mayor Keith Pekau, who is running for Congress in Illinois' 6th District.

The Illinois Safety, Accountability, Fairness and Equity-Today (SAFE-T) Act changes multiple parts of Illinois' justice system with provisions like ending cash bail; limiting how flights determine whether defendants are flight risks; and allows defendants under electronic monitoring to leave home for 48 hours before they can be charged with escape.

The legislation, which Gov. JB. Pritzker signed into law last year, will go into effect Jan. 1.
ILLINOIS DEMOCRATS ACKNOWLEDGE 'TWEAKS' TO SAFE-T ACT LANGUAGE COULD BE MADE FOLLOWING PUBLIC OUTCRY
WATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW HERE:

"I don't think we know what's coming from this," Pekau told Fox News. "I think we can project that if criminals are allowed to run free and police officers can't protect citizens, citizens are going to start protecting themselves and take the law into their own hands."

The 764-page SAFE-T Act passed both chambers of Illinois' legislature in seven hours with no formal hearings or debates and without input from stakeholders, three former Illinois justice system officials wrote in a Chicago Tribune op-ed.

"The whole thing is concerning to me because it was just a potpourri of everything, and it didn't bring into consideration law enforcement, judges or all the stakeholders in place," Pekau told Fox News. "It was basically to allow criminals to go free."

The law also implements a higher standard on when a defendant can be detained for several crimes, including second-degree murder, aggravated battery, arson and kidnapping. The new rule replaces cash bail with a judge's determination on the defendant's flight risk and risk to the public from the evidence prosecutors submit.

The reforms being passed around the country revolve around the idea that "the criminal shouldn't be held," Pekau said.

"I think that's absurd," he added.
WATCH MORE FOX NEWS DIGITAL ORIGINALS HERE

Proponents have argued that the SAFE-T Act will combat systemic racism and make the criminal justice system more equitable since, according to a 2022 U.S. Commission on Civil Rights report, minorities disproportionately face higher rates of pretrial detention.

"We'd be ending wealth-based jailing and restoring the presumption of innocence in the courtroom, which is something that is really under fire and it is not valued under our current system," Kareem Butler, pretrial justice fellow of the Chicago Appleseed Center for Fair Courts, told The Daily North Western.
DEFUND THE POLICE PUSH, LIBERAL POLICIES DRIVING CHICAGO BUSINESS EXODUS, HURTING POOR THE MOST: EXPERTS
In addition to eliminating cash bail, Pekau also highlighted how the law will drop trespassing from a Class A misdemeanor to Class B. He said police, as result, won't be able to physically remove non-violent trespassers from a property.

In Orland Park, "our police officers would say if someone's trespassing, the best tool they have to get someone to leave willingly is to say 'you're trespassing, please leave or we will arrest you,'" Pekau said.

"Well, now they can't arrest, they can only write a ticket," he continued. "So, they get to stay in that business, on your property, at your house, etc."
ROOFTOP REVELATIONS: GOV. PRITZKER FAVORS FREEING MINORITY CRIMINALS OVER PROTECTING MINORITY VICTIMS
Pekau is concerned what could happen if residents stop relying on the police.

"We create potential anarchy because law enforcement can't do their job and then people feel that they have to do that job," he said. "People aren't trained in the use of force. They're not trained to de-escalate situations."

"Lots of bad things can happen out of this, and it could potentially spiral out of control relatively quickly," Pekau continued.

He said he hopes Illinoisans will vote out the state legislators who passed the bill, as well as Pritzker.

"I really hope that this thing gets repealed," he said. "I hope the voters wake up and do the right thing. Their votes matter."

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America's 'most dangerous' law? Illinois candidate warns of 'anarchy' after criminal justice overhaul

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Crime in Illinois could "spiral out of control" after a new law overhauling the state's criminal justice system goes into effect in January, the mayor of a Chicago suburb said. "When I said that this is the most dangerous law I've ever seen, I believe that," said Orland Park Mayor Keith Pekau, who is running for Congress in Illinois' 6th District.

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Your Evening Briefing: Goldman Orders Another Reorganization

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Your Evening Briefing: Goldman Orders Another Reorganization

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-10-17/bloomberg-evening-briefing-goldman-sachs-is-reorganizing-yet-again

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Juan Carlos Wallentin

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Foreign Servants

Hundreds of veterans have taken lucrative foreign jobs that U.S. officials approved - but fought to keep secret

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From top, Saudi soldiers, Mohammed bin Salman, Keith Alexander, James Jones, U.S. Seal. (Illustration by Frank Hulley-Jones/The Washington Post; Photographs by Abdullah Al-Qadry/AFP/Getty Images, Giuseppe Cacace/AFP/Getty Images, U.S. Marine Corps, Mark Wilson/Getty Images, U.S. Department of Defense)

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More than 500 retired U.S. military personnel - including scores of generals and admirals - have taken lucrative jobs since 2015 working for foreign governments, mostly in countries known for human rights abuses and political repression, according to a Washington Post investigation.

In Saudi Arabia, for example, 15 retired U.S. generals and admirals have worked as paid consultants for the Defense Ministry since 2016. The ministry is led by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the kingdom's de facto ruler, who U.S. intelligence agencies say approved the 2018 killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, a Washington Post contributing columnist, as part of a brutal crackdown on dissent.

Saudi Arabia's paid advisers have includedretired Marine Gen. James L. Jones, a national security adviser to President Barack Obama, and retired Army Gen. Keith Alexander, who led the National Security Agency under Obama and President George W. Bush, according to documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act.

Others who have worked as consultants for the Saudis since Khashoggi's murder include a retired four-star Air Force general and a former commanding general of U.S. troops in Afghanistan.

Retired Gen. James L. Jones, center, national security adviser at the time, with Defense Secretary Robert Gates at Camp Lejeune, N.C., in 2009. Jones has two firms that have held contracts with the Saudi Defense Ministry. (Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images)

Most of the retired U.S. personnel have worked as civilian contractors for Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other Persian Gulf monarchies, playing a critical, though largely invisible, role in upgrading their militaries.

Armed forces of the United States

All the while, the gulf countries' security forces have continued to commit human rights abuses at home and beyond their borders. With shared intelligence, aerial refueling and other support from the U.S. government and contractors, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have intervened in Yemen's civil war to disastrous effect, triggering a global humanitarian crisis and killing thousands of civilians, according to United Nations investigators.

Foreign governments have long advanced their interests in Washington by paying Americans as lobbyists, lawyers, political consultants, think tank analysts and public relations advisers. But the hiring of retired U.S. military personnel for their expertise and political clout has accelerated over the past decade as oil-rich gulf monarchies have splurged on defense spending and strengthened their security partnerships with the Pentagon.
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Foreign Servants

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Congress permits retired troops as well as reservists to work for foreign governments if they first obtain approval from their branch of the armed forces and the State Department. But the U.S. government has fought to keep the hirings secret. For years, it withheld virtually all information about the practice, including which countries employ the most retired U.S. service members and how much money is at stake.

Saudi soldiers fire artillery from Jazan, on the kingdom's Red Sea coast, toward the border with Yemen in April 2015, just weeks after a Saudi-led coalition intervened in Yemen's civil war. (Hasan Jamali/AP)
Click or tap these icons to see the FOIA documents and other source material.
To shed light on the matter, The Post sued the Army, the Air Force, the Navy, the Marine Corps and the State Department in federal court under the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA). After a two-year legal battle, The Post obtained more than 4,000 pages of documents, including case files for about 450 retired soldiers, sailors, airmen and Marines.

The Post submitted its first FOIA requests for the documents in May 2020. After getting little or no response from the military services and the State Department, The Post filed a lawsuit in federal court in April 2021. ¹ Read the legal complaint.

The documents show that foreign governments pay handsomely for U.S. military talent, with salary and benefit packages reaching six and, sometimes, seven figures - far more than what most American service members earn while on active duty. At the top of the scale, active four-star generals earn $203,698 a year in basic pay.

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In comparison, the government of Australia has given consulting deals worth more than $10 million to several former senior U.S. Navy officials. A consulting firm owned by six retired Pentagon officials and military officers negotiated a $23.6 million contract with Qatar, a Persian Gulf sheikhdom that hosts a major U.S. air base, though the proposal later fell through. In Azerbaijan, a retired U.S. Air Force general was offered a consulting gig at a rate of $5,000 a day.

Retired generals and admirals command the most money, but former enlisted personnel can also collect hefty foreign paychecks on top of their U.S. military pensions, records show.

Saudi Arabia hired a former Navy SEAL to work as a special operations adviser for $258,000 a year. The UAE gave annual compensation packages worth more than $200,000 to helicopter pilots and $120,000 to aircraft mechanics. In Indonesia, a government-owned mining firm employed a retired U.S. Marine master sergeant as a transportation consultant at a rate of $500 a day, plus living expenses.

² Read the SEAL's application for permission to work for the Saudi Interior Ministry.

Many U.S. generals and admirals have profited from connections built during wartime by later working for Middle Eastern countries where they were once stationed. Records show that a few American officers even negotiated jobs with foreign governments while they were still on active duty.

Military officials redacted the pay packages for retired generals and admirals, as well as the names of lower-ranking personnel. In legal motions, U.S. officials argued that releasing the information would violate former service members' privacy and could subject them to "embarrassment and harassment" and "unfairly harm their public reputation."

The Post identified some of the names and redacted details through reporting. It has continued to sue the armed forces and the State Department to obtain the rest of the information.

In September, U.S. District Judge Amit P. Mehta ruled largely in favor of The Post and ordered the government to release the pay packages and other withheld material.

In his order, Mehta called the government's privacy arguments "unconvincing." In particular, he added, "the public has a right to know if high-ranking military leaders are taking advantage of their stations - or might be perceived to be doing so - to create employment opportunities with foreign governments in retirement."

An attorney for the Justice Department said it was considering an appeal of the judge's decision.

The Project On Government Oversight (POGO), a nonprofit watchdog group based in Washington, filed a similar public-records lawsuit against the State Department to learn more about how former U.S. service members are selling their military expertise to foreign powers. POGO shared the documents it received from the State Department with The Post.
Read the Project On Government Oversight's own investigation into the documents
Brandon Brockmyer, POGO's director of investigations and research, said retired senior military officers often testify before Congress and appear on television to debate national security, but rarely divulge whether they are on a foreign government's payroll.

"The public is working on the assumption that their sole loyalty is to the United States," he said. "The public has the right to know whether and how a foreign power has access to their expertise."

Prohibited without permission

Under federal law, retired U.S. military personnel - generally defined as those who served at least 20 years in uniform and are entitled to a pension - are restricted from receiving anything of value from foreign governments that could compromise their sworn allegiance to the United States.

The prohibition stems from the foreign emoluments clause of the Constitution, which forbids federal officeholders to accept gifts, jobs or titles "from any King, Prince, or foreign State" without the consent of Congress. The law applies to military retirees because they can be recalled to active duty at any time. In 1977, Congress delegated the authority to approve veterans' foreign work to the Pentagon and State Department.

Those approvals are necessary before the retirees can accept any compensation, even travel expenses, from a foreign government or state-owned company. Retirees may work only as civilians, not as uniformed personnel.

Those seeking authorization for foreign work must also pass a background check and counterintelligence review. The State Department and the armed forces have wide latitude to deny any application they think "would adversely affect the foreign relations of the United States." But The Post investigation found that approval is almost automatic. Of the more than 500 requests submitted since 2015, about 95 percent were granted.

The armed forces rely on retired military personnel to self-report their intent to work for foreign governments. Many veterans don't bother. The Post identified scores of retirees on LinkedIn who say they have taken military contracting jobs in the Persian Gulf, but for whom there is no record of federal approval.

There is no criminal penalty for violating the law. Enforcement is almost nonexistent.

The Defense Department can withhold retirement pay from those who ignore the rules. But the Defense Finance and Accounting Service, which administers military payrolls, has docked the pensions of "fewer than five" people, according to Steve Burghardt, an agency spokesman. He declined to identify the individuals, specify the time frame or provide other details, citing privacy concerns.

Documents show that one case involved retired Army Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, 63, who briefly served as national security adviser to President Donald Trump. An investigation by the Defense Department's inspector general found that Flynn collected $449,807 from Russian and Turkish interests in 2015, one year after he retired from the Army, but failed to clear his work with U.S. officials.

Using FOIA, The Post obtained the inspector general's investigation into Flynn in July. ⁴ Read the documents.

Armed forces of the United States

Flynn's unauthorized work for foreign governments came to light after he was photographed sitting next to Russian President Vladimir Putin at a 2015 gala in Moscow celebrating the 10th anniversary of Russia Today, or RT, a propaganda arm of the Kremlin. RT paid Flynn $38,557 to travel to Moscow and speak at the event.

Flynn's ties to Russian officials led to his downfall. In 2017, he pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about his contacts with the Russian ambassador to the United States. Trump pardoned him three years later.

An image from a Dec. 10, 2015, video shows retired Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, right, reaching out to shake hands with Russian President Vladimir Putin at a Russia Today anniversary gala in Moscow. (Ruptly/AP)

The inspector general opened an investigation into Flynn's work for foreign governments in 2017, but the case took five years to resolve. In May, the Army ordered him to forfeit the $38,557 that he received from the Moscow trip. But Army officials decided, without explanation, not to penalize him for the remaining $411,250 he collected from Russia and Turkey.

Flynn acknowledged the financial penalty in a ⁵ television interview in May, but suggested it was politically motivated. Read the Army's letter to him.

Flynn's work for Russia helped prompt Congress to pass legislation in 2019 and 2020 requiring the Pentagon to submit annual reports to lawmakers about retired generals and admirals who work for foreign powers. Since then, the Pentagon has complied, but its reports include only a few lines of information and do not name the generals and admirals.

Of the 500 cases reported to the armed forces and State Department since 2015, only one involved Russia. In that instance, a retired Air Force colonel sought - and received - permission in March 2020 to take a $300,000 job as an executive with a satellite-launch company based in the United States but majority-owned by the Russian government.

The satellite company is International Launch Services Inc., which is majority-owned by the Khrunichev State Research and Production Space Center in Moscow. The retired Air Force colonel was seeking approval to become the firm's senior vice president and general counsel. ⁶ Read the documents.

The documents released in response to The Post's lawsuits include no other instances of retired military personnel seeking to work for nations that the U.S. government categorizes as "foreign adversaries," such as China, North Korea, Iran, Cuba or Venezuela.

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'We did real, serious, detailed work'

Almost two-thirds of the jobs taken by U.S. veterans have been in the Middle East and North Africa, where governments pay top dollar for American military expertise honed by two decades of war and counterterrorism operations in the Arab world.

Documents show that 25 retirees from the Air Force, Army, Navy and Marine Corps were granted permission to take jobs in Saudi Arabia. Most were high-ranking officers who received job offers to serve as consultants to the Saudi Defense Ministry.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at an investment conference in Riyadh on Oct. 24, 2018. Journalist Jamal Khashoggi was killed inside the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul three weeks earlier. (Giuseppe Cacace/AFP/Getty Images)

Since 2015, the ministry has been ruled by Prince Mohammed, whose leadership has upended the status quo in the Middle East.

Two months after Mohammed became defense minister at age 29, Saudi Arabia led a coalition of regional forces - with intelligence, refueling and logistical support from the United States - that intervened militarily in Yemen's civil war. The move further destabilized the kingdom's much poorer neighbor, and an estimated 375,000 people have died in the fighting or of hunger.

In June 2017, Mohammed amassed even more power when his father, 82-year-old King Salman, shook up the Saudi line of succession and named him crown prince, or heir apparent. Mohammed quickly seized control of the kingdom's institutions and sidelined potential competitors to the throne, arresting more than 200 princes and other prominent Saudis.

He also cracked down on dissenters outside the kingdom.

In October 2018, a team of Saudi assassins flew from Riyadh to Istanbul to silence Jamal Khashoggi, a Saudi-born journalist who had criticized the crown prince in opinion columns in The Post. Khashoggi was lured into the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, where the hit squad killed him and dismembered his corpse with a bone saw, according to a Turkish government investigation.

Saudi officials first denied any knowledge of what happened to Khashoggi. Later, they admitted that Saudi agents were responsible and blamed them for carrying out a "rogue operation" without the crown prince's knowledge. But U.S. intelligence agencies concluded Mohammed had ordered the killing and noted that seven members of the hit squad served on his personal security detail.

A prominent beneficiary of Mohammed's reign has been 78-year-old James L. Jones, the retired general who served as Obama's national security adviser and had been commandant of the Marine Corps. Jones owns two Virginia-based consulting firms - Ironhand Security LLC and Jones Group International LLC - that have held contracts to advise the Saudi Defense Ministry.

Jones applied for authorization to work for the Saudis in November 2016 and received U.S. approval four months later, documents show. In an interview, Jones said he was approached by Adel al-Jubeir, Saudi Arabia's foreign minister, who asked him to meet with Mohammed during the prince's visit to the United States that year to discuss the possibility of consulting for the Defense Ministry.

The State Department approved Jones's request to work for the Saudis in March 2017. ⁷ Read his application.

"The crown prince basically said that he was concerned about the amount of money that Saudi Arabia was spending on military hardware and equipment, as opposed to capabilities," Jones said. "[He] was wondering if there was something that we could do to help them in transforming their Ministry of Defense and the armed forces into something that would be more useful and less expensive."

Saudi Arabia spends more on its military than any other nonnuclear power in the world. In 2021, its defense budget exceeded $50 billion - roughly the same as in Britain, a country with nuclear arms.

Jones said he agreed to conduct an organizational assessment of the Saudi armed forces for Prince Mohammed starting in 2017, but only after checking with officials at the White House, State Department and Defense Department and obtaining their support. "Had that not been the case, I would not have done it," he added.

To carry out the project, Jones assembled a team of about a dozen former senior Pentagon officials, including William S. Cohen, who served as secretary of defense in the Clinton administration. A spokesman for Cohen said he worked on the team for about a year.

Documents show that four retired generals obtained U.S. permission in 2017 to work with Jones's team in Riyadh: Charles Wald, a four-star Air Force general; Michael Barbero, a three-star Army general; Arnold Punaro, a two-star Marine general; and John Doucette, a one-star Air Force general.

⁸ Read Barbero's application to work for the Saudis. Read Doucette's documents.
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Barbero and Doucette did not respond to requests for comment. Punaro, 76, a longtime Pentagon adviser and former congressional staffer, said he worked for Jones as a consultant from April 2017 to April 2018, traveling to Riyadh every month or two.

"We did real, serious, detailed work," Punaro said, adding that the group briefed U.S. officials on their progress. He declined to say how much he was paid, citing a confidentiality clause in his contract with Ironhand Security.

⁹ Read Punaro's application to work for the Saudis.

Gen. Jones, seen in 2016 in New York, said he agreed to consult for the Saudis starting in 2017, but only after obtaining U.S. approval. "Had that not been the case, I would not have done it," he said. (Riccardo Savi/Getty Images/Concordia Summit)

Wald, 74, spent 35 years in the Air Force, including as deputy commander of U.S. forces in Europe and as a forward air controller and F-16 pilot who flew in combat in Vietnam and Bosnia. He headed Jones Group International's business in the Middle East until last year. In an interview, he said he felt it was important to help the Saudis improve their military so the United States didn't have to act as their primary protector. "It's time for the U.S. not to be doing all the defense of the Middle East," he said.

Wald received approval from the State Department to work for the Saudis and Ironhand Security in March 2017. ¹⁰ Read his application. He later became president of Jones Group Middle East, overseeing the firm's operations in the region. He left the company in September 2021.

Though the U.S. military has refused to disclose the compensation packages earned by retired generals, other public records show that the Saudis pay their consultants generously. Four lower-ranking retired officers working for Jones - two Marine colonels, an Army colonel and a Navy captain - earned salaries ranging from $200,000 to $300,000 to advise the Saudi Defense Ministry. Military officials redacted those officers' identities, asserting that the public had no right to the information.

One Marine colonel earned a monthly salary of $25,000 as an Ironhand Security project manager, reviewing "internal military modernization reports" for the Saudi Defense Ministry. ¹¹ Read his application.

Jones's companies continue to advise the Saudis on how to reorganize their military command structure so that the armed forces can operate jointly instead of as separate fiefdoms, documents show. Traditionally, the primary mission of the Saudi military and security services has been to guarantee the protection and survival of the al-Saud family, with different princes controlling different branches as competing power centers.

Officials with the Saudi Embassy in Washington did not respond to requests for an interview.

Because of Saudi Arabia's vast oil deposits, U.S. presidents since Franklin D. Roosevelt have pledged to help defend the kingdom militarily. Saudi Arabia buys more U.S. weapons than any other country in the world by far. More than 200 active-duty American troops are stationed in Saudi Arabia as trainers and advisers.

But Washington has long struggled to reconcile its robust security partnership with Saudi Arabia and the kingdom's troubling record on human rights.

The U.S.-Saudi security partnership came under severe strain after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks - 15 of the 19 hijackers were Saudi nationals - and again over the war in Yemen, and then again after Khashoggi's assassination. During his 2020 presidential campaign, Joe Biden promised to make Saudi Arabia "pay the price and make them, in fact, the pariah they are."

Yet, less than two years later, President Biden traveled to Jiddah, Saudi Arabia, and exchanged a fist bump with Prince Mohammed to reaffirm the relationship. During their meeting at the Al Salam Royal Palace, the two leaders addressed a range of issues, including oil production and human rights.

Since then, the relationship has again hit the skids. On Oct. 5, Saudi Arabia, Russia and other members of the OPEC Plus cartel announced they would slash oil production to raise prices. The decision infuriated the Biden administration. It accused the Saudis of siding with Moscow, whose oil is under Western sanctions because of the war in Ukraine. Biden warned that the Saudi government will face "consequences," but didn't say how.

President Biden meets with Prince Mohammed at Al Salam Royal Palace in Jiddah on July 15. Upon Biden's arrival, the two men fist-bumped. (Bandar Algaloud/Saudi Royal Court/Reuters)

After Khashoggi, business as usual

Another high-profile senior officer who has done business with Saudi Arabia is Keith Alexander, 70, who served as director of the National Security Agency as well as the first head of the U.S. Cyber Command.

In July 2018, Alexander's consulting firm, IronNet Cybersecurity, signed a partnership agreement with the Saudis to develop a new institution: the Prince Mohammed bin Salman College of Cyber Security. The college billed itself as the kingdom's first training program for cyberwarfare and was established under the direction of Saud al-Qahtani, an influential aide to the crown prince.

The Saudi Press Agency ¹² publicly announced IronNet's partnership with the college in July 2018.

Armed forces of the United States

Qahtani also oversaw a network of computer hacking and surveillance operations that targeted the crown prince's critics and enemies around the world, including Khashoggi. U.S. officials have accused him of managing the plot against the Post contributor. In November 2018, the Treasury Department imposed sanctions on Qahtani, declaring that he "was part of the planning and execution of the operation that led to the killing."

Yet two months later, during the Trump administration, the State Department approved Alexander's request to help develop the cyberwarfare college and serve on its board of advisers, documents show. U.S. officials redacted details on how much money Alexander stood to earn.

¹³ Read Alexander's application to work for the Prince Mohammed bin Salman College of Cyber Security.

Alexander, who is the founder, chief executive and chairman of IronNet, declined to comment. Bridget Bell, a spokeswoman for IronNet, said that the firm's contract with the Saudis "focused on the development of the college's educational efforts" and that the arrangement lasted until 2020.

Alexander was originally supposed to serve on the college's board of advisers, but he never attended any meetings "nor worked directly on the company's contract," Bell said. She added that Alexander and IronNet did not "have any interaction" with Qahtani.

Army Gen. Keith Alexander, seen here in 2013, retired from the military in March 2014. He soon founded IronNet Cybersecurity, which went on to receive U.S. approval - weeks after Khashoggi's killing - to help the Saudis develop a cyberwarfare college. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Alexander has also served as a cybersecurity consultant to other foreign governments. Since 2017, he has sought U.S. approval for four separate deals to advise the governments of Singapore and Japan.

¹⁴ Read Alexander's applications to consult for the governments of Japan and Singapore.

Many U.S. companies ceased doing business with Saudi Arabia in the weeks after Khashoggi's murder, including lobbyists and public relations firms that had represented the kingdom in Washington. At the time, a spokesperson for Jones told the Daily Beast that the retired Marine general was "disturbed" and "horrified" by Khashoggi's death, and downplayed his firms' work in Riyadh, saying one contract with the Saudis had recently ended and a second was scheduled to expire soon.

In fact, Jones's firms not only remained in Saudi Arabia but expanded their partnership with the Defense Ministry after Khashoggi's slaying.

In his interview with The Post, Jones said he was "very shocked and surprised at what evidently happened" to Khashoggi. But he said Jones Group International applied for, and accepted, more work from the Saudi Defense Ministry in 2019 because "we received encouragement" from the Trump administration to do so. He said his companies now hold four Saudi contracts and employ 53 Americans in Riyadh. Of those, eight are retired generals and admirals, and 32 are lower-ranking military retirees.

"Nobody ever came to us and said, 'Hey, we think you ought to pull out,' " Jones added. "I don't know what the alternative would have been if we had pulled away. I was worried that [the Saudis] would possibly drift off to other relationships with the Chinese and the Russians, and I didn't think that would be very good."

But Wald, the retired four-star Air Force general, said he and other Jones Group consultants debated whether to stop working with the Saudis after Khashoggi's assassination. "We discussed that almost every day," he recalled. "We asked ourselves, are we basically turning a blind eye toward immorality? Or supporting a legitimate government?" In the end, they decided to stay.

Wald said Saudi Arabia had made "measurable progress" on reforming its military by the time he stopped working for Jones Group in September 2021. Yet he said he was glad to leave Riyadh. "I certainly don't regret that I'm not there anymore," he added. "The Saudis aren't always easy to work with."

In recent years, Jones Group International has expanded into other foreign markets. In 2019, Jones, Wald and two retired Army lieutenant generals working for the company - Michael Barbero and Douglas Lute - applied for and obtained U.S. approval to advise the Libyan government on the disarmament and reintegration of militia fighters, documents show.

¹⁵ Read Barbero's application. Read Lute's documents.

Jones Group was hired by the U.N.-backed government in Tripoli at the time. U.S. military officials redacted information on how much money Libyan officials paid the retired generals. But a retired Army colonel who applied for federal approval to work for Libya with Jones Group reported that he expected to earn $10,000 a month.

The Army redacted the colonel's name, but he had worked for the Defense Intelligence Agency for four years, overseeing "strategic intelligence products on Libya." ¹⁶ Read his application.

A delegation of representatives from Jones Group International arrives at Mitiga International Airport, east of Libya's capital, Tripoli, on Aug. 25, 2020. (AFP/Getty Images)

In his application, Wald noted that when he was an Air Force colonel, he planned Operation El Dorado Canyon, the 1986 U.S. airstrikes on Libya that nearly killed then-ruler Moammar Gaddafi. Wald told The Post that Jones Group worked in Libya for only a few months.

¹⁷ Read Wald's application to work in Libya.

"Libya is a nut case," he said. "Their government is ineffective. Their military is ineffective. ... Their military is basically a ragtag group of militias."

Jones said his company stopped working in Libya at the State Department's request because of the country's political instability. Lute, who served under Jones in the Obama White House as a deputy national security adviser, declined to comment. Barbero, an infantry officer who held senior command positions in Iraq and retired from the Army in 2013, did not respond to requests for an interview.

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Rubber-stamping the requests

Officials from the Air Force, Army, Navy and Marine Corps declined interview requests about their approval processes for foreign employment. But records show they rarely reject a job request.

R. Philip Deavel, a lawyer who oversaw the Air Force program from 2012 to 2016, said in an interview that he denied a small number of applications by retired personnel to work for "Third World countries with a reputation for brutality in conflict." He declined to name the countries.

Overall, however, Deavel said he viewed most of the job opportunities as supportive of U.S. foreign policy. He said the countries involved were almost always friendly to Washington and looking for American expertise to make their militaries more professional. "If you embed with another military as trainers, it may not make that country into Switzerland, but it won't make it worse," he said.

Once the armed forces approve employment requests, the State Department's Bureau of Political-Military Affairs performs a final review. But records produced by the government suggest that the bureau functions as little more than a rubber stamp, authorizing all but five cases since 2015.

State Department officials declined interview requests from The Post to discuss their criteria for approving applications from retired military personnel to work for the Saudis and other foreign governments. But in a written response to questions, the department said it took human rights considerations into account and was "confident" that security cooperation with the Saudis "will serve to elevate respect for human rights."

"The President has made it clear that the rule of law and respect for human rights are front and center in U.S. foreign policy. We will continue decades of U.S. partnership to help strengthen Saudi Arabia's defenses through security cooperation, defense trade, training, and exercises, but we are also clear-eyed about the challenges ahead," it said.

¹⁸ The State Department called its high approval rate of foreign-employment requests "reasonable," noting that it was only conducting a secondary review of applications already scrutinized by the armed forces.

One of the few cases denied by the State Department concerned a retired Navy commander who landed a $291,000-a-year job with Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI), a state-owned arms supplier, as its director for weapons systems. The Navy approved the request in August 2020, but the State Department overruled the decision four months later, concluding that the arrangement would "adversely affect the foreign relations of the United States." No further explanation was given.

¹⁹ Read the Navy officer's application and the State Department's denial.

SAMI was founded by the Saudi government in 2017. It is wholly owned by the Public Investment Fund, a $620 billion sovereign wealth fund controlled by Prince Mohammed. SAMI's mission is to help the kingdom create a domestic arms industry and reduce its dependence on the United States and other foreign suppliers.

The Saudi Public Investment Fund also invested $2 billion last year in a private equity firm run by Jared Kushner, Donald Trump's son-in-law, according to a New York Times ²⁰ report.

In August 2020, the Navy gave preliminary approval to another retired officer - Timothy Carter, a former executive with Northrop Grumman - to take a job with SAMI as its executive vice president for weapons and missiles. Carter's annual compensation was even more lucrative: $514,200 in salary and living expenses, plus a yearly bonus worth up to $330,000.

What happened to Carter's application after that is unclear. A Navy spokeswoman said the service has been waiting more than two years for the State Department to make a final determination. The State Department did not respond to questions about the case. Carter did not respond to requests for comment.

Regardless, Carter didn't wait for a green light from U.S. officials before he began working for the Saudis. SAMI announced his hiring on Sept. 4, 2019, almost a full year before he received tentative approval from the Navy. Documents show Navy officials were aware he had already taken the job.

The Navy redacted Carter's name from the documents, but his job title and other details match his online ²¹ biography at SAMI. Read his application.

Under federal law, the Defense Department can force retirees to pay back any foreign money they receive before their applications are approved. But there is no evidence the armed forces have ever imposed penalties in such cases.

Working without approval

The Post found that many military retirees take foreign jobs or gifts without notifying the U.S. government at all. The armed forces and the State Department have no mechanism to identify such cases. Unless rulebreakers come to public attention - as did Flynn - or someone reports them, they have no reason to fear getting in trouble.

Karl Eikenberry, 70, is a retired three-star Army general who commanded U.S. and NATO troops in Afghanistan and later served as the U.S. ambassador in Kabul. Since 2021, Eikenberry has also described himself in multiple online biographies as a senior adviser to the Saudi Defense Ministry. But there is no record of his seeking clearance for the job from the Army or State Department. He did not respond to messages seeking comment.

Retired Gen. Karl Eikenberry, then U.S. ambassador to Afghanistan, at the July 2011 funeral for a slain brother of Afghan President Hamid Karzai. In years since, Eikenberry has described himself as a senior adviser to the Saudi Defense Ministry. (Massoud Hossaini/AFP/Getty Images)

By examining LinkedIn profiles and other publicly available sources, The Post identified 20 other retired officers - including four generals and admirals - who reported working for Jones Group International or Ironhand Security as advisers to the Saudi military but for whom there is no record of federal approval.

Among them are Edward Cashman, a retired Navy rear admiral; Sean Jenkins, a retired Army major general; and Cathal O'Connor, a retired Navy rear admiral. All began working for Jones Group in 2021, within weeks of their retirement from the U.S. military.

None of the three responded to requests for comment. Jones said his employees are instructed to "complete all of the requirements that they need to do" before working with the Saudis.

Other generals have moved to Saudi Arabia for employment after they were forced to retire from the U.S. military for misconduct.

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Bradley Becker, a retired Army three-star general, was hired by Jones Group International in September 2020 as a project manager in Riyadh. Becker's military career ended in 2019 after the Army relieved him of command for engaging in "an inappropriate relationship with a woman" while he was separated from his wife. Becker did not respond to messages seeking comment. Last year he told Task & Purpose, a news site that covers the military, that he did not commit adultery and was merely communicating with a woman while going through a divorce.

The rules about what foreign jobs require U.S. government approval are fuzzy and open to interpretation. The armed forces have said authorization is necessary if veterans work directly for a foreign government, or if foreign officials can exert control over their employment or compensation by a private firm.

Retirees who are assigned by large U.S. companies - such as Lockheed Martin or General Dynamics - to work with foreign governments are generally exempt. The distinction is that foreign governments cannot hire or fire those individuals, and that their employers can reassign them to other jobs if they fall out of favor with their foreign clients.

For example, retired Navy Rear Adm. Steven G. Smith worked in Riyadh from 2017 to 2020 as an adviser to the Defense Ministry under a contract with Booz Allen Hamilton, a major international consulting firm. Smith did not seek approval for the work from the Navy and the State Department. He told The Post he did not need it because he worked directly for Booz Allen "and was not involved in any contract issues with the Saudis."

The military services have at times applied inconsistent standards on what qualifies as foreign control. The Marines, for example, have concluded that retirees who work for U.S. subsidiaries of firms owned by foreign governments do not need U.S. approval. Other services have said they do.

In May 2020, the Army denied an application by a retired officer who had a $300,000-a-year job lined up with Jones Group International to serve as a consultant to the Saudi Defense Ministry. It cited disciplinary problems in his military record.

At the same time, the Army said it was "unclear" whether the officer needed U.S. authorization because he was working for Jones Group International, an American company. The Army informed the officer that if the Saudi government had "control over your activities," then he could not take the job.

²² Read the officer's application to work for Jones Group and the Saudi Defense Ministry.

The Army redacted the name of the officer from the documents, but details of his service record match the biography of David Haight, another general who left the U.S. military under a cloud. Haight was demoted three ranks - from major general to lieutenant colonel - and forced to retire in 2016 over a personal misconduct scandal.

An Army investigation determined that Haight, a married Army Ranger who had served as a brigade commander in Afghanistan, embraced a "swinger lifestyle" and carried on an 11-year affair with a female government employee. Adultery is a punishable offense under military law, and Army officials said Haight's sexual escapades put him at risk of blackmail.

USA Today ²³ reported extensively on Haight's double life and downfall. Haight's attorney told the paper he deeply regretted the affair but denied it affected his military service. Haight also was a top aide to Adm. Mike Mullen, the former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Read the Army inspector general's investigation.

Haight began work in Riyadh as a consultant to the Saudis in July 2019, eight months before the Army handed down its decision on his application, according to his LinkedIn profile. In a brief phone interview, Haight said he left the job in December 2021. He added that while he worked in an advisory capacity for the Saudi Defense Ministry, his contract was with Jones Group International.

Asked if he had any concerns about the Saudi government's human rights record, Haight said Jones Group "was always very careful that our efforts were consistent with U.S. policy to bring stability to the Middle East" and to professionalize the Saudi military.

The distinction between state-controlled firms and independent ones is often blurry in nondemocratic countries, especially absolute monarchies such as Saudi Arabia, where the royal family dominates commerce and there is little transparency in the business sector.

In February, for example, a brand-new Saudi defense contractor - Scopa Industries Corp. LLC - opened for business with an ambitious agenda.

Describing itself as the kingdom's "preeminent defense company," Scopa said its purpose was "to meet the guidance" of Prince Mohammed by contributing to "the defense revolutionary process" and creating domestic jobs. The firm is owned by the Ajlan family, a conglomerate run by three billionaire brothers. In practice, however, Saudi companies cannot operate in the defense sector without the blessing of the crown prince.

Scopa Industries' website features five American senior advisers: Barbero, retired Navy Vice Adm. Rich Brown, retired Rear Adm. Michael A. Brown, retired Army Col. Dominic Caraccilo and retired Air Force Col. Todd Harmer.

Harmer said in an email that his activities for Scopa Industries "are in full compliance with US laws and regulations," but declined to comment further. The other American advisers to Scopa Industries did not respond to interview requests.

Another Saudi defense contractor, Vinnell Arabia LLC, employs hundreds of Americans to train the Saudi Arabian national guard. Vinnell Arabia is a joint venture of Northrop Grumman, the giant U.S. defense firm headquartered in Falls Church, Va., and Arab Builders for Trading, a Riyadh firm owned by a brother-in-law of the kingdom's late King Abdullah IV.

As of 2015, a Northrop Grumman subsidiary owned 51 percent of Vinnell Arabia, according to court papers the company filed in response to a federal lawsuit in Virginia. But the Riyadh-based firm also submitted a declaration stating that it was subject only to Saudi law and that "no American employer - including Northrop Grumman - exerts any control over Vinnell Arabia."

Documents show that none of Vinnell's American employees have applied for permission from U.S. officials to train Saudi forces since at least 2015. Vinnell Arabia did not respond to a request for comment.

About this story

Editing by David Fallis and Sarah Childress. Research by Alice Crites. Copy editing by Martha Murdock and Christopher Rickett. Photo editing by Robert Miller and Wendy Galietta. Video editing by Jason Aldag. Design and development by Frank Hulley-Jones, Stephanie Hays and Talia Trackim. Design editing by Christian Font and Matt Callahan. Project management by Wendy Galietta.

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Retired U.S. brass cash in with Saudis, other repressive governments

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Hundreds of veterans have taken lucrative foreign jobs that U.S. officials approved - but fought to keep secret.

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With elections next month, independents, especially women, are swinging to the G.O.P. despite Democrats' focus on abortion rights. Disapproval of President Biden seems to be hurting his party.

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"I'm shifting more towards Republican because I feel like they're more geared towards business," said Robin Ackerman, a 37-year-old Democrat and mortgage loan officer. Credit... Hannah Beier for The New York Times

Republicans enter the final weeks of the contest for control of Congress with a narrow but distinct advantage as the economy and inflation have surged as the dominant concerns, giving the party momentum to take back power from Democrats in next month's midterm elections, a New York Times/Siena College poll has found.

The poll shows that 49 percent of likely voters said they planned to vote for a Republican to represent them in Congress on Nov. 8, compared with 45 percent who planned to vote for a Democrat. The result represents an improvement for Republicans since September, when Democrats held a one-point edge among likely voters in the last Times/Siena poll. (The October poll's unrounded margin is closer to three points, not the four points that the rounded figures imply.)

With inflation unrelenting and the stock market steadily on the decline, the share of likely voters who said economic concerns were the most important issues facing America has leaped since July, to 44 percent from 36 percent - far higher than any other issue. And voters most concerned with the economy favored Republicans overwhelmingly, by more than a two-to-one margin.

Both Democrats and Republicans have largely coalesced behind their own party's congressional candidates. But the poll showed that Republicans opened up a 10-percentage point lead among crucial independent voters, compared with a three-point edge for Democrats in September, as undecided voters moved toward Republicans.

The biggest shift came from women who identified as independent voters. In September, they favored Democrats by 14 points. Now, independent women backed Republicans by 18 points - a striking swing given the polarization of the American electorate and how intensely Democrats have focused on that group and on the threat Republicans pose to abortion rights.

The survey showed that the economy remained a far more potent political issue in 2022 than abortion.

"I'm shifting more towards Republican because I feel like they're more geared towards business," said Robin Ackerman, a 37-year-old Democrat and mortgage loan officer who lives in New Castle, Del., and is planning to vote Republican this fall.

Ms. Ackerman said she disagreed "1,000 percent" with the Supreme Court's decision to overturn Roe v. Wade and erase the national right to an abortion. "But that doesn't really have a lot to do with my decision," she said of her fall vote. "I'm more worried about other things."

The first midterm election of a presidency has been historically challenging for the party in power, and Democrats are approaching this one saddled with a president who has a disapproval rating of 58 percent, including 63 percent of independent voters.

Democrats have no margin for error in 2022 - with the slimmest of majorities in the House and a 50-50 Senate, where the flipping of a single seat in that chamber would deliver a Republican majority. Republicans have vowed to curb President Biden's agenda and launch a series of investigations into his administration and family if they take charge of either the House or Senate.

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The added challenge for Democrats is the intensity of the electorate's displeasure with the president: The poll showed that 45 percent of likely voters strongly disapproved of the job that Mr. Biden was doing, and 90 percent of those voters planned to back a Republican for Congress this fall.

Democrats were actually pulling in the support of 50 percent of voters who said they "somewhat disapprove" of Mr. Biden. That is good news for Democrats- for now.

It is also a perilous position to be in, because those voters are ripe to be won over by Republicans who are unleashing millions of dollars in ads to link Democratic candidates to an unpopular president.

Democrats have essentially maxed out support among voters who support Mr. Biden, winning 88 percent of them, according to the poll. But Republicans have room to grow among voters who don't like Mr. Biden.

The issues that mattered most to voters aligned heavily with partisan preferences. Voters who were focused on the economy and inflation favored Republicans over Democrats 64 percent to 30 percent. Democrats held a 20-percentage-point advantage among voters who cared the most about any other issue.

The economy was the most pressing issue for voters in both the July poll and now. The challenge for Democrats is that the share of voters focused on economic matters is bigger now.

"It's all about cost," said Gerard Lamoureux, a 51-year-old Democratic retiree in Newtown, Conn., who is planning to vote Republican this fall. "The price of gas and groceries are through the roof. And I want to eat healthy, but it's cheaper for me to go to McDonald's and get a little meal than it is to cook dinner."

Mr. Biden has repeatedly tried to put a positive spin on the economy and has noted that inflation is a worldwide problem. "Our economy is strong as hell," he said Saturday at a stop at a Baskin-Robbins ice cream shop in Portland, Ore.

Back in July, in the wake of shootings in Uvalde, Texas, and Highland Park, Ill., and the passage of the first gun legislation in decades in Congress, 9 percent of likely voters named guns as the top issue. But that number collapsed to 1 percent by October - dropping from a virtual tie for third as the most important issue to outside the top 10. The vast majority of voters who named guns as the top issue over the summer said they preferred Democratic control of Congress.

While the share of voters focused on guns declined, those who identified abortion as the top issue remained flat, at 5 percent. There is a sizable gender split on the issue's significance: 9 percent of women rated it as the top issue compared with just 1 percent of men.

The poll was the latest evidence of the growing class divide between the two parties, in terms of both Mr. Biden's standing and the race for Congress. Mr. Biden's base of support is increasingly shrinking to urban, well-educated enclaves, with Black voters, city dwellers and those with at least a bachelor's degree among the few demographic groups where a plurality of likely voters think he is doing well.

Among likely Hispanic voters, a narrow 48 percent plurality disapproved of Mr. Biden even as 60 percent said they would vote for congressional Democrats this fall - one of a few groups, including younger voters, who appeared to separate their frustration with the White House from their voting plans.

College was a particularly strong dividing line.Among those with a bachelor's degree, Democrats held a 13-point advantage. Among those without one, Republicans held a 15-point edge.

In taking over the House in 2018 and winning the Senate and White House in 2020, the winning Democratic coalition during the Trump presidency relied on a significant gender gap and on winning women by a wide margin.

But the poll showed that Republicans had entirely erased what had been an 11-point edge for Democrats among women last month in 2022 congressional races to a statistical tie in October.

The survey tested former President Donald J. Trump's favorability rating, as well. He had a 52 percent unfavorability rating, better than Mr. Biden's 58 percent job disapproval rating.

In a hypothetical 2024 rematch, Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden in the poll by one percentage point. Among women, Mr. Biden was ahead of Mr. Trump by only four points, compared with the margin of more than 10 points that Mr. Biden had in the 2020 election, according to studies of the national electorate for that election.

Today, the mood of the nation is decidedly sour. A strong majority of likely voters, 64 percent, sees the country as moving in the wrong direction, compared with just 24 percent who see the nation as on the right track. Even the share of Democratic likely voters who believe the nation is headed in the right direction fell by six percentage points since September, though it is above the low point of the summer.

"Everybody's hurting right now," said David Neiheisel, a 48-year-old insurance salesman and Republican in Indianapolis. "Inflation, interest rates, the cost of gas, the cost of food, the cost of my property taxes, my utilities - I mean, everything's gone up astronomically, and it's going to collapse."

The Times/Siena survey of 792 likely voters nationwide was conducted by telephone using live operators from Oct. 9 to 12, 2022. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. Cross-tabs and methodology are available here.

Ruth Igielnik and Kristen Bayrakdarian contributed reporting.

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4 Takeaways From the Campaign Trail

Ken Bensinger Reporting on politics from Los Angeles

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Republicans Gain Edge as Voters Worry About Economy, Times/Siena Poll Finds

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With elections next month, independents, especially women, are swinging to the G.O.P. despite Democrats' focus on abortion rights. Disapproval of President Biden seems to be hurting his party. Send any friend a story As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Anyone can read what you share.

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2022/10/18/microsoft-reportedly-cuts-nearly-1000-employees-here-are-the-biggest-us-layoffs-this-year/?sh=3bbcbc88233f

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Topline

Tech giant Microsoft reportedly cut roughly 1,000 employees across multiple divisions, sources told Axios -the company's third round of cuts this year as employers fear the economy could slide into recession.

Microsoft reportedly cut nearly 1% of its staff, estimated to be roughly 1,000 employees.
Getty Images

Timeline

Oct. 13, 2022 Oracle is laying off 201 employees, according to multiple outlets, citing documents filed to the state's Employment Development Department, two months after the company started laying off an undisclosed number of its estimated 143,000 employees, as part of a larger plan to cut thousands, The Information reported.

Oct. 4, 2022California-based Meta plans to close its Manhattan office, unnamed sources told Bloomberg, one week after the company implemented a hiring freeze, and less than a month after the Wall Street Journal reported it's reorganizing departments and giving some of its 83,553 staff a month to apply for different positions within the company-although a company spokesperson told the news outlet this week that Meta is "firmly committed to New York."

Sept. 28, 2022San Francisco-based electronic signature company DocuSign will lay off 9% of its more than 7,400 employees (roughly 670 employees), the company announced in a Securities and Exchange filing Wednesday, saying the cuts are " necessary to ensure we are capitalizing on our long-term opportunity and setting up the company for future success."

Sept. 20, 2022 Gap could cut as many as 500 corporate jobs from its offices in New York and San Francisco, as well as offices in Asia, unnamed sources told the Wall Street Journalon Tuesday(A Gap spokesperson confirmed the layoffs to Forbes but would not provide further detail).

Sept. 16, 2022 AbbVie reportedly announced plans to lay off 99 employees while Bristol Myers Squibb plans to cut 261, according to state filings seen by Endpoints News, making them the latest pharmaceutical companies to slim down their workforces, following Biogen and Teva, which reportedly cut 300 jobs last month.

Sept. 12, 2022 Goldman Sachs usually lays off 1% to 5% of its workers each year as a part annual performance reviews, but suspended this program during the Covid-19 pandemic-the investment bank suggested earlier this year it would reinstate the cuts, which are expected to be closer to 1% of workers across all sectors and could happen some time this month, the New York Times reported, citing people familiar with the plans.

Aug. 31, 2022 VF Corporation, the parent company of brands such as Vans, Timeberland and the North Face, reportedly cut 300 employees and eliminated 300 open positions (less than 1% of its global workforce), with CEO Steve Rendle writing in an internal letter to employees obtained by the Denver Business Journal that the cuts come amid an environment that will "likely continue to be marked by volatility" (VF confirmed the layoffs to Forbes but would not provide further details).

Aug. 26, 2022Online mortgage lender Better.com reportedly announced its third round of layoffs this year and its fourth in the past 12 months, laying off close to 250 employees, an unnamed worker told TechCrunch-bringing the company's total layoffs since December to roughly 4,000 as the company struggles amid a precipitous downturn in the housing market (Better.com did not immediately respond to an inquiry from Forbes).

Aug. 16, 2022 Apple, the world's most valuable company, laid off 100 contracted recruiters amid a hiring slowdown, Bloomberg reported (Apple did not respond immediately to an inquiry from Forbes).

Aug. 11, 2022Meditation app Calm CEO David Ko announced plans to lay off 90 employees (20% of the company's workforce) in a memo to employees, saying, "we as a company are not immune to the impacts of the current economic environment."

Aug. 8, 2022 Groupon unveiled plans to lay off 15% of its workforce (500 employees), primarily in the company's technology and sales departments, with CEO Kedar Deshpande writing in a message to employees obtained by Forbes, "our cost structure and our performance are not aligned."

Aug. 5, 2022 iRobot, the maker of Roomba, cut 10% of its workforce (140 employees), as the company restructures after being purchased by Amazon for $1.7 billion, the company told Forbes, addingthe job cuts were not related to the acquisition.

Aug. 3, 2022 Walmart-the largest private employer in the United States-plans to cut 200 of its corporate employees as the company seeks to restructure, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing anonymous sources.

July 21, 2022 7-Eleven, which operates 13,000 convenience stores across North America, cut 880 U.S. corporate jobs, just over a year after it completed a $21 billion deal to purchase Speedway.

June 15, 2022Real estate companies Compass and Redfin announced plans to cut 10% and 8% of their workforces, respectively, following a 3.4% drop in home sales from April to May, according to the National Association of Realtors, amid concerns the once red-hot housing market had cooled.

Key Background

Many experts have warned the U.S. may be headed toward recession following reports the economy contracted 1.6% in the first quarter of the year. Those fears were reignited following the Federal Reserve's announcement in June to raise interest rates by 75 basis points, its largest rate hike in 28 years. After the rate hike-the first of two from the Federal Reserve this summer-economists at S&P Global Ratings forecast a 2.4% drop in GDP by year's end, a reverse in course from earlier forecasts of 2.4% growth. Bank of America issued a warning last month that "economic momentum has faded," and a "mild recession" is possible by the end of the year. Then, for several months this summer, warning signs seemed to be tapering off. A report in August from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed an 8.5% spike in inflation from last July-a sign that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes could be cooling inflation one month after a 9.1% year-over-year spike in June. By October, however, economists once again started fearing the bear market could deepen further into an unavoidable recession, even as a recent Labor Department report showed the unemployment rate hit a 50-year low of 3.5% in September-0.2% lower than expected. The number of new jobs, however, was the lowest since April 2021, with 263,000 jobs created, down from 315,000 in August. Meanwhile, new data from the Department of Commerce found the price of goods increased by a worse-than-expected 6.2% in August, a sign to economists that inflation is not letting up, with EY Parthenon predicting a recession.

Contra

In an interview with the Washington Post this summer, U.S. Deputy Secretary of Labor Julie Su said she was optimistic the economy will rebound, citing 9 million jobs created since President Joe Biden took office, and 372,000 new jobs in June. More recent projections indicating the economy's seasonally-adjusted annual rate could grow by 2.7% in the third quarter also assuaged some inflation fears. Orion Advisor Solutions chief investment officer Tim Holland told Forbes, "we have a hard time believing the economy is in recession today."

Big Number

51%. That's the share of corporate executives that have implemented or plan to implement job cuts, according to a recent PricewaterhouseCoopers survey of 722 executives. In addition to laying off employees, 52% of respondents said they've made hiring freezes or plan to.

Further Reading

Recession Watch: It Doesn't Seem Imminent-But The Housing Market Collapse Deepens As Fed Officials Warn 'Economy Will Slow' (Forbes)

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Microsoft Reportedly Cuts Nearly 1,000 Employees-Here Are The Biggest U.S. Layoffs This Year

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Tech giant Microsoft reportedly cut roughly 1,000 employees across multiple divisions, sources told Axios -the company's third round of cuts this year as employers fear the economy could slide into recession. Oct.

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White House asked Democratic El Paso mayor not to declare migrant state of emergency: report

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White House asked Democratic El Paso mayor not to declare migrant state of emergency: report

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/white-house-asked-democratic-el-paso-mayor-not-declare-migrant-state-emergency-report

El alcalde de El Paso, Oscar Leeser, contó en una conversación privada que La Casa Blanca le pidió que no declarara un estado de emergencia en cuanto a la crisis migratoria, a pesar de que 3 de los 8 miembros del City Council se lo han solicitado.
La semana pasada, el presidente Biden anunció una operación combinada con México para calmar la crisis, que incluye medidas como el aumento de checkpoints, así como una mayor asignación de recursos.
Sin embargo, El Paso se encuentra desbordado debido a que los ingresos se estiman en 1,000 diarios, a pesar de que la ciudad sólo puede proporcionar 900 comidas para los migrantes.

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The White House is pressuring El Paso, Texas, officials not to declare a state of emergency in the face of mass illegal immigration.

Democratic Mayor Oscar Leeser allegedly told a member of the El Paso City Council in a private conversation that the White House has urged him not to declare a state of emergency.

"He told me the White House asked him not to," Councilmember Claudia Rodriguez told the New York Post.
EL PASO SHELTERS PUSHED TO BRINK BY MIGRANT CRISIS: 'THERE'S A STORM COMING'

A declaration has been expected from Leeser in recent weeks as the city's immigration struggles have become more prominent on the national level.

At least three of the eight El Paso City Council members have already asked Leeser to make an emergency declaration.

This week, the Biden administration, which has faced enormous political pressure over the nearly two-year crisis, announced a combined border operation with Mexico. That operation involves increased checkpoints and more resources to handle the migrant surge.
DEMOCRAT-RUN EL PASO ESCAPES LIBERAL MAYORS' IRE FOR BUSSING MIGRANTS

El Paso has launched a new migrant data dashboard that gives a glimpse into the extraordinary numbers the border city is seeing as part of the ongoing migrant crisis racking the southwest border.

The Migrant Situational Awareness Dashboard, available on the city's website, offers a breakdown of the massive numbers being encountered and released into the community.

According to the data, the numbers went from less than 1,700 releases per week into the community during the summer to over 6,800 last week. The number of migrants in CBP custody has also jumped from fewer than 3,000 a few weeks ago to over 4,500.

The data show that there are over 1,000 being released into the community each day on average, while the city is providing over 900 meals a day to hungry migrants.
Fox News' Adam Shaw contributed to this report.

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White House asked Democratic El Paso mayor not to declare migrant state of emergency: report

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The White House is pressuring El Paso, Texas, officials not to declare a state of emergency in the face of mass illegal immigration. Democratic Mayor Oscar Leeser allegedly told a member of the El Paso City Council in a private conversation that the White House has urged him not to declare a state of emergency.

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Exploring the many forms of justice for Emmett Till nearly 70 years after his murder

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Exploring the many forms of justice for Emmett Till nearly 70 years after his murder

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Por Linda

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A version of this story appeared in CNN's Race Deconstructed newsletter. To get it in your inbox every week, sign up for free .

Over the course of about a week in 1955, "Emmett Till" went from being the name of an ordinary child to an anti-lynching cri de coeur.

Roy Bryant and his half-brother, J.W. Milam, early on August 28, snatched Till from his great-uncle Mose Wright's home near Money, Mississippi, set off by the spurious accusation that the Black 14-year-old had assaulted a White woman, Bryant's then-wife, Carolyn Bryant (later Bryant Donham). The men beat Till, put a bullet in his head, tied a 75-pound cotton gin to his neck and threw him into the Tallahatchie River.

The first week of September, Till's mother, Mamie Till-Mobley, held a funeral at the Roberts Temple Church of God in Christ, in Chicago. Propelled by grief and outrage, she insisted on an open-casket funeral so that visitors could see the body, mangled beyond recognition. She wanted to bring greater visibility to the horrors of White supremacy, to move people to battle against it. And she succeeded: Her son's killing energized the Black freedom struggle. Till-Mobley spent the rest of her life refusing to allow the world to ignore what had happened to her boy.

Till's presence still resonates throughout society. Chinonye Chukwu's new film, "Till," which paints a picture of the racial equality activism Till-Mobley embraced after her son's death, debuts on Friday. In June, members of Till's family found new evidence in the case - an unserved arrest warrant for Bryant, Milam and Donham. And, in March, President Joe Biden signed into law the Emmett Till Antilynching Act, making lynching a federal hate crime. Together, these events give us an opportunity to revisit an important question: What might justice for the slain teenager look like today, nearly 70 years after an all-White jury acquitted Bryant and Milam?

We can answer that question in a variety of ways, scholars and advocates say, because justice can take many different forms.

As Keisha N. Blain, a professor of history and Africana studies at Brown University, told CNN, "I always think about redress, this notion of justice - whether that's legal justice and steps to help Till's surviving relatives, or justice to Till's memory and responses to urge people to consider how to stop present-day racial violence."

The limits of the law

In some ways, securing legal justice for Till seems increasingly beyond reach.

In December, the US Department of Justice closed its investigation into the 1955 murder. Federal officials had reopened the case in July 2018, prompted by "new information."

At the time, the department declined to elaborate any further. But its actions followed calls to reopen the case sparked by the release of Timothy B. Tyson's 2017 book, " The Blood of Emmett of Till," in which Donham appears to recant the allegation that would prove to be the 14-year-old's death sentence.

The department closed the probe after it concluded that it couldn't prove that Donham had lied about Till. She denied retracting her testimony when federal investigators spoke with her.

"We cannot stop even though we don't feel that we got justice," Ollie Gordon, one of Till's cousins, told CNN in December.

It's unclear whether the unserved arrest warrant, found in June by a five-member search group led by Till's family, will meaningfully affect the case.

Dated August 29, 1955, the warrant charges Bryant, Milam and Donham with kidnapping and orders their arrest. Milam died in 1980 and Bryant 14 years later; Donham is still alive.

In July, the Mississippi Center for Investigative Reporting revealed the contents of Donham's 99-page unpublished draft memoir, which generated new questions about Till's lynching due to conflicting statements she made at the time.

Till's relatives hope that the warrant will lead to her arrest, given that the document hasn't expired.

"Justice has to be served," Deborah Watts, Till's cousin, told CNN earlier this year. "Emmett led us to it. I know that in my heart."

The family is exploring what can be done now, with the warrant in hand.

"We thought of things like citizen's arrest," Watts said. "If the authorities aren't going to do this, what can we do?"

Her daughter, Terri Watts, described the moment as bittersweet.

"I definitely want to see it through. But it has been a tremendous amount of trauma. I still feel like the weight is on our shoulders. We found the new evidence, and so we just want justice served," she said.

Bryant and Milam eventually admitted to murdering Till in a 1956 interview with Look magazine archived by PBS.

Thinking more expansively

Yet legal justice is only one kind of redress.

We shouldn't overlook the justice the teenager received in terms of the way his murder gave fuel to the mid-century civil rights movement, according to Amy Wood, a professor of history at Illinois State University.

"It was a really important case in part for that reason," Wood told CNN. "We don't want to downplay the activism of the past. We don't want to look at the people who risked their lives or were killed and suggest that their struggles were in vain."

She mentioned Amzie Moore, an activist who challenged the racial order in Mississippi. He claimed in an interview in the 1970s that Till's killing was the "best-advertised lynching" he'd ever heard of and that it was the start of the movement in the state.

"Till's murder sent shock waves around the country," Wood said. "And there was so much national attention paid to it because of his age, because of the brutality of his death - and because of what his mother did in publicizing it. That was incredibly important work."

The lynching helped movement leaders push through legislation including the Civil Rights Act of 1957, which begat the Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division, among other things.

Put differently, what people did with the child's death was significant.

"There wasn't just a crucifixion. There was a resurrection - of the freedom dreams of Reconstruction," Tyson, a senior research scholar at Duke University's Center for Documentary Studies, told CNN. "Till's mother was politically savvy and set out to strike a blow against the country's racial caste system. She enlisted Black Chicago - the labor unions, the press, the churches, the NAACP - and helped create an infrastructure for the modern civil rights movement."

Further, we can locate some degree of justice in our pop-cultural preservation of Till's memory. Here, Chukwu's ferociously touching new movie can play a vital role.

The film, which respects the family's dignity without sacrificing artistry (Till's cousin, Simeon Wright, who witnessed the kidnapping, consulted on the project until his passing in 2017), does two things at once. It talks about Till, of course, but it also charts his mother's indefatigable efforts to shine a light on the dangers of racial violence.

According to Blain, these two pieces of the story are crucial.

"I teach courses on the civil rights movement. And as shocking as it might sound, there are students who come to the course who've never heard of the case. That's interesting because the general notion is that all people know about the case. But the only way people will know about the case is if we talk about the case," Blain said.

"What's beautiful about this movie and similar efforts is that we do justice to the memory hopefully by presenting accurate portrayals of Till and his mother's response to his death," Blain added. "And if we keep doing that, I hope that in our lifetime we will actually get to a place where people, in fact, know who Emmett Till was."

Bryan Stevenson, the founder and executive director of the Equal Justice Initiative, echoed some of Blain's sentiments, and specifically offered lessons on how to be smart about remembering.

"To me, justice would look in part like creating a landscape that reckons honestly with history, and that means stepping away from the iconography that reinforces narratives of racial hierarchy and White supremacy," he told CNN. "We have a project where we're trying to put up markers at every lynching site in the US. We've done some in Mississippi. It'd be great for the state and other states to take this on as a priority project."

He continued, "If you're really going to do something that feels like justice, you're going to have to do things that are bigger and bolder than you've done before."

Notably, Wood, the author of the 2009 book, " Lynching and Spectacle: Witnessing Racial Violence in America, 1890-1940," underscored how a film such as "Till" can become a powerful vehicle to examine tragedy and trauma.

"Trauma, in some ways, is unrepresentable. Trauma is something so deeply personal and psychological and emotional. How do you represent that and convey that so that other people can bear witness?" Wood said. "I think that photographs have a particular ability to do that. I think that movies do, too. They provide visual narratives that allow people to feel along with the characters."

And not only feel - but mobilize.

"With a film, you're attempting to inform audiences about what happened. And I believe that it's not just for information's sake. It's also to get them to act," Blain said. "Till's no longer here. His mother's no longer here. But he has surviving relatives. At least in the case of Donham, they've been demanding legal justice. We've failed them when it comes to that matter. But there are other responses that could happen, if only to get people to think about ways to stop racial violence."

It's a tall order, she said, but it's one potential outcome of the movie.

In other words, knowledge of the past won't bring justice to Till. But it could bring justice to people in the present - to a country that still destroys young Black lives.

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Exploring the many forms of justice for Emmett Till nearly 70 years after his murder | CNN

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A version of this story appeared in CNN's Race Deconstructed newsletter. To get it in your inbox every week, sign up for free . Over the course of about a week in 1955, "Emmett Till" went from being the name of an ordinary child to an anti-lynching cri de coeur.

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Trump Aide Reportedly Caught On Security Camera Moving Boxes At Mar-A-Lago—After DOJ Subpoena To Return Classified Documents

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Trump Aide Reportedly Caught On Security Camera Moving Boxes At Mar-A-Lago—After DOJ Subpoena To Return Classified Documents

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Las cámaras de seguridad en Mar-A-Lago capturaron imágenes de cajas que se movían en la residencia del expresidente Donald Trump, después de que en mayo se la pidiera que devolviera todos los documentos clasificados del gobierno en su poder, informó el New York Times.

Por: Sofia Vizl

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Security cameras at Mar-A-Lago captured footage of boxes being moved at former President Donald Trump's residence even after he was asked to return all classified government documents in his possession back in May, the New York Times reported.

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Trump Aide Reportedly Caught On Security Camera Moving Boxes At Mar-A-Lago-After DOJ Subpoena To Return Classified Documents

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Security cameras at Mar-A-Lago captured footage of boxes being moved at former President Donald Trump's residence even after he was asked to return all classified government documents in his possession back in May, the New York Times reported.

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El artículo habla sobre las regulaciones que se están haciendo en el estado de New Jersey, referente a la segunda enmienda... el derecho a portar armas.

Lo que van a hacer es que puedas tener tu arma pero con seguro y entrenamiento previo.

Por otro lado, mencionan que estarán prohibidas en ciertos lugares públicos como bares, playas, estadios, guarderías.
En cuanto a establecimientos privados, solo se podrá acceder con ellas si el lugar tiene claramente un cartel que aclare que están permitidas.

Finalmente, habla también un poco de la opinión de las personas. Está bastante polarizado porque una parte de las autoridades cree que es necesaria una regulación, y otra considera que es derecho de los americanos poder portarlas.

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Legislative leaders are promoting some of the strictest firearms rules in the country, a response to the Supreme Court ruling that overturned a New York law barring most people from carrying guns in public.

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Legislation expected to be introduced in New Jersey on Thursday would ban handguns from 25 categories of public spaces, including bars, beaches, stadiums and day care centers. Credit... Spencer Platt/Getty Images

New Jersey residents hoping to carry guns in public would first be required to buy insurance and complete gun-safety training under a measure to be introduced by legislative leaders on Thursday - steps that, if enacted, would represent some of the strictest gun rules in the country.

Handguns would also be barred from 25 categories of public spaces, including bars, beaches, stadiums and day care centers, and from any private establishment that does not post signs explicitly stating that weapons are permitted, according to a draft of the bill.

New Jersey is the latest state to attempt to blunt the effect of a Supreme Court decision that offered a broad interpretation of the Second Amendment right of Americans to arm themselves in public as it overturned a New York State law that barred most people from publicly carrying guns.

Last week, a federal judge in New York invalidated key components of legislation adopted in Albany in response to the Supreme Court's gun ruling; New York's attorney general has appealed the order, and on Wednesday a federal appeals court agreed to allow the state to continue to ban guns in some public places as a three-judge panel weighs a request to keep the law in place longer. In California, a similar bill fell one vote short of passage in September and is expected to be reintroduced in December.

New Jersey's legislation, which is comparable to New York's but adds additional licensing requirements, is certain to face legal scrutiny.

"We're trying to protect the nine and a half million people in the State of New Jersey," said Craig J. Coughlin, the Democratic leader of the State Assembly. The areas where guns would not be permitted, he said, were "pretty obvious areas where people would be gathered and not expect people to be carrying weapons."

"Rabid football fans. Alcohol. Concealed carry? Doesn't seem like a good recipe," he added.

In June, the Supreme Court's conservative majority, in a 6-3 ruling, upended strict gun laws in New York, New Jersey, California, Maryland, Massachusetts and Hawaii.

Laws in those six states, home to a quarter of all Americans, gave government officials substantial discretion over issuing licenses to carry guns outside the home. In New Jersey, for example, applicants for so-called carry permits needed to demonstrate a justifiable need for a gun in public places, a policy that eliminated most people other than law enforcement officers.

The Supreme Court's decision threw a century's worth of practice into disarray and sent lawmakers scrambling to rewrite laws suddenly deemed unconstitutional in states that have also managed to keep the rates of gun deaths relatively low. In 2020, Hawaii, Massachusetts and New Jersey had the three lowest rates of gun deaths in the United States; New York was fifth, and California was seventh, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Gov. Phil Murphy of New Jersey will sign the legislation, an aide said. Credit... Michelle Gustafson for The New York Times

Senator Edward Durr Jr., a first-term Republican from South Jersey who has said he ran for office in part because he was unable to obtain a license to carry a handgun, predicted that courts would eventually overturn limits placed on handgun ownership.

"Self protection is not a privilege," he said. "It is a God-given right."

A spokeswoman for the National Rifle Association said the group does not comment on proposed legislation until it has had a chance to evaluate the language of a bill.

William J. Castner, an adviser to Gov. Philip D. Murphy on firearms issues, said the legal challenges that the New York law is facing will be instructive as New Jersey finalizes its legislation.

"New Jersey at least now has the benefit of crafting this law with an eye toward defending new requirements on training, mandatory insurance, disqualifying offenses and sensitive places where guns will not be allowed at all," Mr. Castner said.

One novel element in the proposed legislation is the statewide requirement that gun owners applying for permits to carry weapons in public also purchase liability insurance. In January, San Jose, Calif., will begin requiring all gun owners to carry liability insurance, but no state has mandated insurance as a condition of gun ownership.

"Every car on the road is required to have insurance," said Nicholas Scutari, the Democratic president of the Senate, who is sponsoring the legislation. "We're going to allow people to have weapons and carry them around with them without insuring them? They're taking on a lot of responsibility."

The Assembly is expected to vote on the bill, which is being sponsored by Assemblyman Joseph Danielsen, a Democrat and an avid gun owner, at its next voting session in two weeks, Mr. Coughlin said.

An aide to Mr. Murphy, who has supported sweeping gun-control initiatives, said that the Democratic governor would sign the legislation, much of which mirrors policy goals he laid out immediately after the June Supreme Court ruling.

Since then roughly 300,000 New Jersey residents have applied for permits to carry guns in public, state officials said. Many of those applications have been stalled and referred to the courts in the absence of a new law clarifying state policy.

The bill, as proposed, would require applicants to submit four nonfamily character references, all of whom would be interviewed by a law enforcement representative before a permit could be issued. Residents convicted of many crimes, including violating a restraining order, would be disqualified from obtaining a carry permit.

The licensing fee would increase to $200, from $2. And gun owners would be responsible for paying for gun-safety training that would include online instruction, in-person classes and target practice at an approved range.

J. Adam Skaggs, policy director of theGiffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, applauded New Jersey's approach.

"The Supreme Court has tilted the playing field, and states are going to have to be as creative as they can and explore more innovative policies to address the gun violence epidemic," Mr. Skaggs said.

Finding insurance to purchase may prove difficult, said Gary La Spisa II, vice president of the Insurance Council of New Jersey. He suggested that any legislation related to insurance be worded carefully.

"So that there's enough clarity about what needs to be purchased, but don't be overly specific and restrict the availability of what's out there," Mr. La Spisa said.

"I can't really say on the record if anyone would jump into the business," he added.

The San Jose City Council first voted to require gun owners to carry insurance in January. The mayor, Sam Liccardo, said he was confident that the law, which is being challenged in federal court, will be implemented as planned.

He said he was hopeful that the legislation would lead insurance companies to mandate behavioral changes among gun owners, such as requiring that firearms be stored in locked safes and include trigger locks.

He said he welcomed similar efforts by other government entities.

"It's critical," he said. "This works best if we can scale it. We need to get insurance companies into the game of incentivizing safety among gun owners."

Jonah E. Bromwich contributed reporting.

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Hoping to Carry a Gun in New Jersey? You Might Need Insurance First.

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Legislative leaders are promoting some of the strictest firearms rules in the country, a response to the Supreme Court ruling that overturned a New York law barring most people from carrying guns in public. Send any friend a story As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month.

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Esta primavera, uno de los abogados que representan al expresidente Donald J. Trump hizo una solicitud urgente y de alto riesgo a Christina G. Bobb, quien acababa de saltar de una red de cable aliada de Trump a un trabajo en su organización política.

El expresidente estaba en medio de un enfrentamiento cada vez mayor con el Departamento de Justicia sobre los documentos que se había llevado de la Casa Blanca al final de su mandato. El abogado, M. Evan Corcoran, se reunió con la Sra. Bobb en la residencia y club privado del presidente en Florida y le pidió que firmara una declaración para el departamento de que el equipo legal de Trump había realizado una "búsqueda diligente" de Mar-a-Lago y encontró solo unos pocos archivos que no habían sido devueltos al gobierno.

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She Went Out on a Limb for Trump. Now She’s Under Justice Dept. Scrutiny.

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Christina Bobb is a former Marine and a fervent believer that the 2020 election was stolen from Donald J. Trump. She went to work for him and quickly found herself enmeshed in an obstruction investigation.

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Los miembros del servicio hacen sonar la alarma contra los militares 'extremadamente despiertos' Las Fuerzas Armadas enfrentan una crisis de reclutamiento, con el Ejército perdiendo sus objetivos para 2022 mientras que otras ramas se preparan para un duro 2023

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Los miembros del servicio hacen sonar la alarma contra los militares 'extremadamente despiertos' Las Fuerzas Armadas enfrentan una crisis de reclutamiento, con el Ejército perdiendo sus objetivos para 2022 mientras que otras ramas se preparan para un duro 2023

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Ian
Si bien el Secretario del Ejército del presidente Biden ha defendido sus programas de diversidad, equidad e inclusión (DEI) esta semana como "importantes", varios miembros actuales y anteriores de las fuerzas armadas de EE. UU., que han arriesgado sus vidas para garantizar la seguridad de Estados Unidos y defender sus libertades, están haciendo sonar la alarma sobre lo que ellos llaman una cultura que antepone el "despertar" al entrenamiento y la efectividad en el combate. Esos miembros del servicio, algunos de los cuales sirvieron con las Fuerzas de Operaciones Especiales en Irak y Afganistán, culpan a esa cultura por sus desafíos de reclutamiento, que se han elevado a un nivel no visto desde que se convirtió en una fuerza totalmente voluntaria. “El ejército está extremadamente despierto”, dijo recientemente un miembro del servicio a Fox News Digitial.
https://www-foxnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/service-members-speak-out-against-woke-military.amp?amp_gsa=1&amp_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQKKAFQArABIIACAw==#amp_tf=De %1$s&aoh=16655064256413&csi=1&referrer=https://www.google.com&ampshare=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/service-members-speak-out-against-woke-military

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Ultra-Rich Young Americans Are Investing In Stocks Half As Much As Older People With Similar Wealth, Survey Finds

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Rich young Americans are willing to bet on crypto.

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Biden’s Chip Gambit May Be His Boldest China Salvo

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Biden’s Chip Gambit May Be His Boldest China Salvo

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-10-10/bloomberg-evening-briefing-biden-s-chip-gambit-may-be-his-boldest-china-salvo?cmpid=BBD101022_BIZ&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=221010&utm_campaign=bloombergdaily

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An overwhelming majority of people in the United States think the country is experiencing a mental health crisis, according to a new survey from CNN in partnership with the Kaiser Family Foundation.

Nine out of 10 adults said ​they believed that there's a mental health crisis in the US today. Asked to rate the severity of six specific mental health concerns, Americans put the opioid epidemic near the top, with more than two-thirds of people identifying it as a crisis rather than merely a problem. More than half identified mental health issues among children and teenagers as a crisis, as well as severe mental illness in adults.

The survey captured the perceptions of a nationally representative sample of about 2,000 adults over the summer - 2½ years into the Covid-19 pandemic and amid ongoing public health threats including racism and gun violence.

The broad concern is well-founded, rooted in both personal experience and national trends.

"The Covid-19 pandemic exacerbated numerous social stressors that we know can increase the risk of both substance use and mental illness," said Dr. Nora Volkow, director of the National Institute on Drug Abuse.

Data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that drug overdose deaths reached record levels in 2021 and suicide rates were back near a record high after two years of decline. And in 2020, mental health-related visits to emergency rooms jumped 31% among adolescents ages 12 to 17.

According to the CNN and KFF poll, about half of adults say they have had a severe mental health crisis in their family, including in-person treatment for family members who were a threat to themselves or others, or family members who engaged in self-harming behaviors.

More than 1 in 5 adults describe their own mental health as only "fair" or "poor," including extra-large shares of adults under the age of 30, adults who identify as LGBT and those with an annual income of less than $40,000. A third of all adults said they felt anxious always or often over the course of the past year, including more than half of LGBT adults and those under 30. About 1 in 5 adults said they were often or always depressed or lonely over the past year, too.

Major sources of stress for a third or more of adults include personal finances and current and political events. About 1 in 4 adults also identified personal relationships and work, respectively, as major sources of stress.

According to the new survey, about 1 in 5 adults received mental health services in the past year. Earlier data published by the CDC supports that finding and shows that mental health treatment became more common over the course of the pandemic: Nearly 22% of adults got mental health treatment in 2021, up from about 19% in 2019.

"Perhaps one of the only benefits of the pandemic and the shift that our country has been going through is the increase in our willingness to acknowledge and talk about when we might be struggling or in need of support," said Sarah Brummett, director of the National Action Alliance for Suicide Prevention's executive committee.

"People are more willing to roll up their sleeves and talk about it and support folks. And I think that's progress."

Despite increased willingness and commonly shared stressors among the public, most adults who have only fair or poor mental health said they don't feel comfortable talking to loved ones about it - some to maintain privacy and some to avoid the shame and stigma attached to mental health issues.

But the vast majority - more than 4 out of 5 - of those surveyed say individuals and families should play a major role in addressing mental health problems in the US, equal to the share who say the same of health care providers.

Experts say there is an opportunity to broaden perceptions about how mental health is part of overall physical health and how to respond to mental health crises.

"Not everyone's a cardiologist, but a lot of people are trained in CPR," said Justin Baker, a psychologist and assistant professor at the Ohio State University College of Medicine. "If we only rely on the mental health force, we're going to keep going around in circles and never actually get anywhere. I think we see this as all of our problems."

Nonetheless, the groups most likely to say they need mental health care in the US are also less likely to say they can get it.

Nearly 6 out of 10 adults who say their mental health is only fair or poor say they have not been able to get needed care, as well as about half of adults younger than 30 and LGBT adults.

For those who have gone without help, the most common reasons cited were being too busy or unable to take time off work, being unable to afford the cost, and being afraid or embarrassed to seek care, according to the CNN and KFF survey.

In his first State of the Union address, President Joe Biden outlined a multipronged strategy to address the country's mental health crisis, including goals to integrate mental health into primary care, investing in the work force and new approaches to programs that provide care.

"Let's get all Americans the mental health services they need, more people they can turn to for help and full parity between physical and mental health care," he said in his address in March.

According to the poll, most Americans see those issues as significant problems. A majority, 55%, say it's a big problem that there aren't enough mental health care providers, about three-quarters say that insurers not covering mental health the way they do physical health is a significant concern, and 80% say the same about the cost of mental health care.

Through the American Rescue Plan, the Biden administration has invested $5 billion in mental health and substance use programs through the US Department of Health and Human Services, with billions more proposed in future budgets.

One significant shift came this summer, with the transition of the National Suicide Prevention Lifeline to a three-digit dialing code: 988. Early data suggests success, with calls jumping 45% in the first month compared with the same time a year before.

But according to the new survey, there is still work to be done.

The vast majority of adults (85%) say they would be at least somewhat likely to call the hotline if they or a loved one were experiencing a mental health crisis - and it's a good alternative to 911, which about a quarter of adults, especially Black and LGBT adults, say would do more harm than good in a mental health crisis situation.

It also has potential to help Hispanic people and those who are uninsured, who are more likely than average to say they don't know who to call if there is a mental health crisis and would not know where to find services.

Yet more than half of adults in the new poll say they have heard "nothing at all" about the new 988 hotline.

"This can be a preventable public health issue, and we all have a role to play," Brummett said.

The fieldwork for the CNN/KFF Mental Health Survey was conducted by SSRS on July 28 through August 9 among a random national sample of 2,004 adults. The poll includes 1,603 adults who were surveyed online after being recruited using probability-based methods and 401 adults who were selected by random digit dialing and reached on landlines or cellphones by a live interviewer. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

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90% of US adults say the United States is experiencing a mental health crisis, CNN/KFF poll finds | CNN

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An overwhelming majority of people in the United States think the country is experiencing a mental health crisis, according to a new survey from CNN in partnership with the Kaiser Family Foundation. Nine out of 10 adults said ​they believed that there's a mental health crisis in the US today.

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It is one of many colleges and universities deliberating over how to respond to the fall of Roe v. Wade.

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Barnard officials said they will wait till next fall to make the pills available on campus in order to train staff, develop protocols and work out logistics. Credit... Robyn Beck/Agence France-Presse - Getty Images

Barnard, the private women's college in New York City, will begin offering abortion pills on campus next year, college officials announced Thursday.

The decision, to take effect in September, signals how the nation's colleges and universities are becoming another front in the nation's pitched battle over abortion after the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.

"I think we're putting a stake in the ground that we believe that health and wellness is really the institution's responsibility for students, and we want to do everything we can to support our students," Sian L. Beilock, the president of Barnard, which operates in partnership with Columbia University, said in an interview.

In an email sent out to the campus Thursday, Barnard officials wrote, "The overturning of Roe v. Wade after 50 years will likely decrease college accessibility, result in lower graduation rates, and derail employment trajectories." The email said that while abortion access in New York was currently strong, "we are also preparing in the event that there is a barrier to access in the future, for any reason."

This summer, Massachusetts enacted a law requiring the state's public colleges and universities to submit plans by November 2023 to provide abortion pills to students, either through their campus health centers or through a local service that is readily accessible to students. By January, California's public colleges and universities will be required by a state law enacted in 2019 to offer the pills.

At the same time, colleges in states with abortion bans or strict restrictions are imposing measures to rein in campus reproductive health services.

Last month, the general counsel of the University of Idaho sent a memo to all employees saying that under Idaho's near-total ban on abortion, which took effect in August, employees of the state university cannot counsel patients about abortion or refer them to abortion services. If employees do so, the memo said, they could be charged with a misdemeanor or a felony under the new law, lose their job and be permanently barred from state employment.

The memo also said that the Idaho law prohibited employees from dispensing emergency contraception, except in cases of rape, and added that, because it was unclear how broadly the law applied to other methods of contraception, "we are advising a conservative approach here, that the university not provide standard birth control itself."

Condoms can be provided only if they are intended to stop the spread of sexually transmitted diseases, the memo said, "not for purposes of birth control."

Dr. Marina Catallozzi, Barnard's vice president of health and wellness and chief health officer. "We feel like this is of course a natural step in caring for a population of college students who are at risk of pregnancy," she said. Credit... Barnard College

Sian L. Beilock, Barnard's president. "We believe that health and wellness is really the institution's responsibility for students," she said. Credit... Barnard College

In general, colleges and universities have cautiously approached the question of whether to offer medication abortion. Rachel Mack, a spokeswoman for the American College Health Association, which represents more than 700 institutions of higher education, said the issue was being discussed among colleges and the association's reproductive rights task force.

"Not all schools have the resources to provide such a service and may refer out to community providers," Ms. Mack said. "Campuses vary greatly in their available resources - this can be due to location, the needs of their student population and many other factors."

A few colleges decided to offer abortion pills long before this year's Supreme Court decision overturning Roe. The University of California, Berkeley, has been doing so for a couple of years.

A study published in 2018 estimated that 322 to 519 students at California's public universities sought medication abortion each month and that many faced obstacles of cost, of travel distance to providers and of long waits for appointments.

In a survey by the American College Health Association in 2020, 2.5 percent of 122 college health centers said they provided medication abortion on campus, while 87 percent said they provided referrals to patients seeking abortion.

At Barnard, Dr. Marina Catallozzi, the vice president of health and wellness and chief health officer, said that adding medication abortion was already on the college's radar before some students met with health services officials this year to ask the school to provide it.

"We feel like this is of course a natural step in caring for a population of college students who are at risk of pregnancy," Dr. Catallozzi said, noting that Barnard already offered a range of reproductive health services, including a campus vending machine for emergency contraception for students who want to obtain the morning-after pill in a more private way than visiting the wellness center.

"With every reproductive health decision, but particularly around a pregnancy," she said, "we want to make sure that students have all of the options - if they want to continue a pregnancy, if they want to continue and go on to adoption, if they want to terminate."

The Wellness Spot at Barnard College, a health hub that offers services, workshops and other assistance to students. Credit... Barnard College

Barnard officials said they decided not to offer the pills immediately in order to spend the next several months training staff, developing protocols and working out logistics. They said that the pills would be covered by the college's health insurance plan and that there would be emergency funding available for students without insurance or those who do not want to use their parents' insurance policies.

Medication abortion, legalized in the United States in 2000, typically involves two drugs: mifepristone, which blocks a hormone necessary for pregnancy development, followed 24 to 48 hours later by misoprostol, which causes contractions that expel pregnancy tissue. The Food and Drug Administration requires that mifepristone be dispensed by specially certified providers, but patients can take the pills on their own at home or any location they choose.

Patients with some medical issues, like bleeding disorders, are not prescribed abortion pills. But for the many patients who are medically eligible, data indicates medication abortion is safe and effective, with a small percentage of patients requiring a procedure to fully remove pregnancy tissue and an even smaller proportion experiencing serious complications.

Dr. Catallozzi and Dr. Beilock said very few students at Barnard had sought abortions in recent years. Those who do are typically referred to services affiliated with Columbia University Irving Medical Center, and that relationship will continue. Dr. Catallozzi said she expected that some students who live in dorms may prefer to go to the medical center for surgical abortions, which do not involve the days of bleeding that typically follow taking the pills.

Dr. Catallozzi also said that the college wanted to offer the option in case New York's abortion services become overwhelmed with patients from states with restrictions. "It makes sense for us to say, 'Hey, the landscape's changing all over the country. Let's make sure that if needed, we're prepared,'" she said.

In the 2023 academic year, Dr. Beilock will become the president of Dartmouth College. Asked if she would recommend that Dartmouth offer abortion pills, Dr. Beilock said: "I'm looking forward to getting to know the Dartmouth community better. Right now, I'm president of Barnard and thinking, with our experts, about what's best for Barnard."

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Barnard College Plans to Offer Abortion Pills on Campus

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It is one of many colleges and universities deliberating over how to respond to the fall of Roe v. Wade. Send any friend a story As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Anyone can read what you share.

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Biden scolds 'MAGA Republicans' after 5th Circuit Court strikes down DACA, orders no new applicants

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Biden scolds 'MAGA Republicans' after 5th Circuit Court strikes down DACA, orders no new applicants

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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-scolds-maga-republicans-5th-circuit-court-strikes-down-daca-orders-new-applicants

El presidente Biden arremetió contra una corte de apelaciones después de que ésta estableció que el Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) fue instituido ilegalmente por la administración de Obama.
Biden refirió que lo que buscan hacer los Republicanos es quitar la ayuda a inmigrantes en cuanto a protección y autorizaciones de trabajo.
También instó al Congreso a aprobar ayuda permanente a los Dreamers que incluya que puedan acceder a la ciudadanía.
Finalmente, Biden señaló como culpables a los MAGA-Republican officers por la decisión de la corte, debido a las demandas de algunos estados republicanos al gobierno federal por el programa DACA.

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Labor Market 'Cracks' Beginning To Appear As Job Cuts Surge And Unemployment Claims Unexpectedly Rise

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Labor Market 'Cracks' Beginning To Appear As Job Cuts Surge And Unemployment Claims Unexpectedly Rise

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Los recortes de empleo aumentaron en septiembre, y las solicitudes de desempleo rompieron una racha de mejoras la semana pasada en las últimas señales de que mercado laboral al rojo vivo finalmente podría estar  enfriándosela como resultado de los aumentos de las tasas de intereses de la Reserva Federal, un acontecimiento positivo para los inversores pero preocupante señal para los millones de estadounidenses desempleados.

Por: Sofia Vizl

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Topline

Job cuts surged in September, and unemployment claims broke a streak of improvements last week in the latest signs that the red-hot labor market may finally be cooling as a result of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes-a welcome development for investors but a concerning sign for the millions of unemployed Americans.

New signs of mounting layoffs and unemployment claims have emerged right before a highly anticipated ... [+]
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Key Facts

U.S.-based employers announced nearly 30,000 cuts in September, up 46% from August and nearly 68% from one year ago-marking the fifth month this year that cuts were higher than in 2021, career services firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported Thursday morning.

"Some cracks are beginning to appear in the labor market," the firm's Andrew Challenger said in a statement, adding that the cooling housing market and Fed's rate hikes are leading to job cuts among mortgage staff at banks and lenders and that recession concerns have fueled increased uncertainty.

Meanwhile, hiring intentions, which measure the number of new jobs employers plan to add, fell to their lowest level since 2011-suggesting the retail and warehousing firms typically preparing for the holiday season by ramping up hiring are instead waiting to see whether consumers will actually show up, notes Challenger.

In another sign of the labor market finally starting to cool, new jobless claims jumped 15% to 219,000 last week, coming in higher than projected and ending a 10-week streak of better-than-expected data, according to the Labor Department on Thursday.

In emailed comments, Pantheon Macro chief economist said the rising claims aren't indicative of a changing trend yet, especially since so many firms are still reporting difficulties in finding and retaining workers, but that claims could rise to 230,000 next week, their highest point since late August.

Key Background

Despite widespread reports of layoffs hitting giant corporations, the labor market has remained one of the economy's strongest pillars this year. According to Challenger, U.S. employers have announced plans to cut nearly 210,000 jobs, down 21% from the 265,000 cuts announced at this point last year and marking the lowest total for the period since at least 1993. Fed officials have long pointed to the strong job market as justification for their aggressive interest rate hikes, which work to tame inflation by slowing the economy. As a result, investors are hoping for worse-than-expected jobs data to help justify smaller hikes.

What To Watch For

The Labor Department is slated to release its employment report for September on Friday morning. On average, analysts project the economy added about 275,000 new jobs last month. Anything better than that could push markets down.

Further Reading

Peloton Scales Down, Again-Here Are The Major U.S. Layoffs This Year (Forbes)
Stock Market Poised For Bigger Losses As Economy Enters 'Danger Zone'Job Openings Post Biggest Drop In Two Years In 'Ominous Sign' For Labor Market (Forbes) (Forbes)
Recession Watch: Economic Outlook 'Darkening' As Experts Worry Fed Could 'Break' Markets (Forbes)

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Labor Market 'Cracks' Beginning To Appear As Job Cuts Surge And Unemployment Claims Unexpectedly Rise

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Job cuts surged in September, and unemployment claims broke a streak of improvements last week in the latest signs that the red-hot labor market may finally be cooling as a result of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes-a welcome development for investors but a concerning sign for the millions of unemployed Americans.

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Nord Stream Leaks Caused by Detonations in Sign of Sabotage

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Nord Stream Leaks Caused by Detonations in Sign of Sabotage

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-06/sweden-security-service-concludes-detonation-damaged-nord-stream?srnd=premium

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https://nyti.ms/3rrWsK4

La crisis de empleos en Estados Unidos cada vez es mas notoria y con esto el panorama económico en Estados Unidos empeora ya que habrá menos trabajadores por lo que a las compañías se les dificultará la parte productiva.

Por: Sebastian Salgado

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Employers continued to ease off the number of jobs they were hiring for in August, but not by much, adding to the picture of a labor market that's still short of available workers.

About 10.1 million positions were open at the end of the summer, down from 11.2 million in July, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. That still left 1.7 unemployed workers for each available job, around the highest proportion on record.

The job openings rate - calculated by dividing the number of job openings by the sum of employment and open jobs - was 6.2 percent, down from a revised 6.8 percent in July. The number and share of people being hired and leaving their jobs remained about level.

Federal Reserve officials have theorized that rather than prompting employers to lay people off, rising interest rates would instead cool the economy by simply reducing their need for additional workers. So far, that's happening - but very slowly.

"Our perspective is really distorted," said Diane Swonk, chief economist at the accounting firm KPMG. "It's still not anything like what we saw prepandemic. It's cooling from a boil to a rolling simmer. And that's not enough."

Ms. Swonk referred to data released by the job search website Indeed, which shows a consistently elevated level of new job postings, even though demand for retail workers in particular has leveled off.

"They've come off their peak, but they're still plateauing at a high level," Ms. Swonk said.

The share of people quitting their jobs is also an indicator of workers' confidence that employment opportunities abound. About 4.2 million people gave notice in August, slightly more than during the previous month. That leaves the rate of people quitting their jobs - the number of people voluntarily leaving their jobs divided by total employment - only slightly below the 3 percent it reached at the end of last year, the highest reading on record.

One of the largest drops in openings came in the financial sector, where mortgage brokers have been losing work as rising interest rates are subduing the housing market, although openings in rental and leasing activities rose. Retail openings also dropped, as companiesprepared for a softer holiday season.

Even while slowing down job postings, companies have been holding on to workers. After rising slightly in the first half of the year, the number of initial claims for unemployment has been trending lower since midsummer as employers try to stay fully staffed. In the release by the Labor Department on Tuesday, layoffs ticked up slightly to 1.5 million in August, but remained lower than their historical average.

"Simply put, companies slashed payrolls by more than was necessary during the height of the pandemic and are struggling to restore staffing levels to where they were before Covid-19 hit," Bob Schwartz, an Oxford Economics senior economist, wrote in a note last week.

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Job Openings Fell in August, but Turnover Was Little Changed

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Employers continued to ease off the number of jobs they were hiring for in August, but not by much, adding to the picture of a labor market that's still short of available workers. About 10.1 million positions were open at the end of the summer, down from 11.2 million in July, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.

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Biden, Kishida Condemn North Korean Missile Launch Over Japan

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Biden, Kishida Condemn North Korean Missile Launch Over Japan

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los lideres norteamericanos condenaron conjuntamente las acciones de Corea del Norte, reconocieron el lanzamiento como un peligro para el pueblo japonés, desestabilizando la región y una clara violación de las resoluciones del consejo de seguridad de las Naciones unidas.

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por maria

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North Korea fired a ballistic missile without warning over Japan on Tuesday for the first time in five years, a highly provocative and reckless act that marks a significant escalation in its weapons testing program.

The missile traveled over northern Japan early in the morning, and is believed to have landed in the Pacific Ocean. The last time North Korea fired a ballistic missile over Japan was in 2017.

This marks North Korea's 23rd missile launch this year, including the most ballistic missiles fired in a single year since leader Kim Jong Un took power in 2012. By comparison, Pyongyang conducted four tests in 2020 and eight in 2021.

Here's what you need to know about North Korea's missile tests.

What do we know about the missile?

Tuesday's missile flew a distance of about 4,600 kilometers (2,858 miles), with an altitude of some 1,000 kilometers (621 miles) and a top speed reaching Mach 17 - meaning 17 times the speed of sound, according to Japanese officials.

By way of comparison, the US island territory of Guam is just 3,380 kilometers (2,100 miles) from North Korea.

Two experts told CNN these flight details suggest the missile fired was likely a Hwasong-12 - an intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) last tested in January.

"This is a missile that North Korea started testing in 2017 ... So it's not really a new missile," said Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at CNS.

But, he added, its launch is significant because of the distance it can travel.

"North Korea has a bunch of missiles that are shorter range, and that wouldn't go over Japan - but they have a small number of missiles that could make that journey," he said.

Why is this a big deal? Is it dangerous?

North Korea usually fires its missiles into waters off the coast of the Korean Peninsula - making this flight over Japan considerably more provocative, for both practical and symbolic reasons.

This kind of unannounced launch could pose risks to aircraft and ships as the missile travels down to its target, since they would have no prior warning to avoid the area.

And if the test had failed, causing the missile to fall short, it could have endangered major population areas. The missile flew over Japan's Tohoku region, according to Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno, which is home to more than 8 million people.

In the past, US planes have been grounded as a 'precaution' following North Korean missile launches. And in late November 2017, several commercial jet pilots were reported to have seen what appeared to be the re-entry of a North Korean missile as it approached the Sea of Japan.

However, Lewis emphasized, such risks are statistically low, especially that far out in the Pacific and that high above Japan as it flew overhead. Mostly, it's an escalation simply because "it's provocative to fire a missile over your neighbor."

"For the Japanese especially, it feels like a violation of their sovereignty," Lewis said. "If Russia fired a missile over Florida, we would have a fit."

And, experts say, it's a sign of Kim's ambitions for North Korea's weapons development - and of what's yet to come.

Why did North Korea fire the missile now?

There are differing opinions on what may have driven North Korea to fire Tuesday's missile.

Robert Ward, senior fellow for Japanese Security Studies at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, pointed to the multiple security threats faced by Japan, from an aggressive Russia to its north and China to its south.

"North Korea may be trying to exploit the unstable international situation, which it will see as a tailwind," he said.

Lewis disagreed, saying that although North Korea sometimes responds or retaliates to specific actions by Western players or groups, for the large part "they have their own schedule ... and I don't think that we have a lot of impact on the timing."

There are also practical reasons; North Korea often takes breaks in testing during the summer when weather is bad, and pick up again once the fall and early winter arrive - meaning now could just be the right conditions for a test, he added.

Joseph Dempsey, research associate for defense and military analysis at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, added that Tuesday's flight path could just make for a better test.

These types of missiles are meant for long-range targets - so flying it over Japan could help North Korea gauge its accuracy over a longer distance, its ability to withstand different forces exerted on the missile, and other factors, compared to its usual "lofted" tests - which travel higher in altitude and splash down west of Japan.

What happens next?

Kim had vowed earlier this year to develop North Korea's nuclear arms at the "highest possible" speed - and experts say Tuesday's launch is part of that push for weapons advancement.

"North Korea is going to keep conducting missile tests until the current round of modernization is done," Lewis said, adding that a nuclear test could come "anytime."

South Korean and US officials have been warning since May that North Korea may be preparing for a nuclear test, with satellite imagery showing activity at its underground nuclear test site.

If North Korea conducts a test, it would be the country's seventh underground nuclear test and the first in nearly five years.

There are also other missile tests to watch. Apart from the Hwasong-12, North Korea also has three intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) capable of flying over Japan, though these have not been tested "to their full range yet," said Lewis.

"This is probably an appetizer for the main course, which is yet to come," he added. "I would expect that when North Korea has more confidence in one of their ICBMs, they might fly one of those to full range over Japan."

Leif-Eric Easley, associate professor of international studies at Ewha Womans University in Seoul, added that North Korea could be waiting until after China holds its Communist Party Congress in mid-October to "conduct an even more significant test."

"The Kim regime is developing weapons such as tactical nuclear warheads and submarine-launched ballistic missiles as part of a long-term strategy to outrun South Korea in an arms race and drive wedges among US allies," Easley said.

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North Korea fired a missile over Japan for the first time in five years. Here's what you need to know | CNN

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North Korea fired a ballistic missile without warning over Japan on Tuesday for the first time in five years, a highly provocative and reckless act that marks a significant escalation in its weapons testing program. The missile traveled over northern Japan early in the morning, and is believed to have landed in the Pacific Ocean.

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2022/10/04/job-openings-post-biggest-drop-in-two-years-in-ominous-sign-for-labor-market/?sh=485bceaa7096

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Topline

Job openings in August unexpectedly plunged to the lowest level in more than a year, marking what could be a long-awaited sign that the red-hot labor market is finally starting to cool as a result of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes-a welcome development for investors but a concerning sign for the millions of unemployed Americans.

The 1.2 million drop in job openings is the first official indicator to point "unambiguously" to a ... [+]
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Key Facts

There were 10.1 million open jobs at the end of August-plunging by 1.1 million from one month earlier for the biggest one-month drop since April 2020 and falling well short of projections calling for nearly 11.1 million openings, according to the Labor Department's job openings and labor turnover report released on Tuesday.

The largest decreases were among the healthcare, services and retail industries, with openings falling by 236,000, 183,000 and 143,000, respectively, as the number of hires remained little changed at 6.3 million.

In emailed comments, Pantheon Macro chief economist Ian Shepherdson called the data "the first clear sign of weakening labor demand" and potentially an "ominous sign" for job growth early next year, but he also said the data, if similar conditions persist, could pressure the Fed to ease up on aggressive interest rate hikes that have slowed economic growth and hit stocks hard.

Shepherdson points out there are now about 1.67 job openings for every unemployed person, still elevated but down from 1.97 previously and likely to fall in the coming months, given the sudden drop in August.

Though the plunging openings mean fewer options for the 6 million unemployed people in the U.S., analyst Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report said investors will want to see such signs of easing demand-and a more rapid decline in inflation metrics-in order to continue the recent relief rally.

"The key focus for near-term direction is what the jobs report tells us on Friday," says Ally chief strategist Lindsey Bell, noting that the data will need to be in line with, or short of, expectations calling for 250,000 new jobs last month in order for the market to continue higher.

Crucial Quote

"This is the first official indicator to point unambiguously . . . to a clear slowing in labor demand," says Shepherdson, though he cautions that there remains a great deal of uncertainty. "If it continues over the next few months, and core inflation falls as much as we expect, the Fed will not be hiking by 125 basis points by [year's end]."

Surprising Fact

Without taking into account the Covid recession's sudden impact on the economy, the latest job openings mark the biggest monthly drop since 2009.

Key Background

Despite pockets of the economy already reeling from the Fed's hawkish policy, the job market remains firmly strong, effectively justifying the aggressive action. In the latest sign of strength, initial jobless claims fell unexpectedly last week as continued claims also edged lower. However, many experts say it's inevitable that the labor market will soon start to cool. "It's possible that the unemployment rate could gently glide higher and wages cool without an outright recession-but it's never happened before," says Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank.

Further Reading
Stock Market Opens Up Big As It Looks To Build On Massive Gains Recession Watch: Economic Outlook 'Darkening' As Experts Worry Fed Could 'Break' Markets (Forbes) (Forbes)
Technical Recession Confirmed: Economy Shrank 0.6% Last Quarter, Final GDP Shows (Forbes)

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Job Openings Post Biggest Drop In Two Years In 'Ominous Sign' For Labor Market

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Job openings in August unexpectedly plunged to the lowest level in more than a year, marking what could be a long-awaited sign that the red-hot labor market is finally starting to cool as a result of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes-a welcome development for investors but a concerning sign for the millions of unemployed Americans.

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Republicanos quieren Virginia de regreso

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Republicanos quieren Virginia de regreso

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https://www.foxnews.com/video/6313211490112

Los republicanos buscan obtener de regreso el distrito congresual o “congressional district” en el estado de Virginia por medio de la candidata Jenniffer Kigiggans, quien se enfrenta a Elaine Luria por parte de los demócratas.

El gobernador de Virginia Glen Youngkin apoya en campaña a Kigiggans ya que ella sabe cómo y está enfocada en solucionar los mayores problemas de Virginia: educación, inflación y crimen

Max

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Glenn Youngkin on the midterms: Biden is trying to bribe voters | Fox News Video

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Virginia Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin gives his take on key issues ahead of the midterm elections on 'Special Report.'

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Bloomberg Wealth: With Everything Else Falling, Cash Is Back

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Bloomberg Wealth: With Everything Else Falling, Cash Is Back

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-09-29/investment-ideas-cash-is-king-with-stocks-and-real-estate-slumping?utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=220929&utm_campaign=wealth

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2022/09/29/dow-drops-500-points-markets-sink-following-flurry-of-worrisome-economic-data/?sh=641305bc3d1b

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Topline

Stocks tanked Thursday morning as investors backed off of Wednesday's cautious optimism as several macroeconomic indicators highlighted recession concerns and fears of more hawkish monetary policy.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Thursday as stocks shed Wednesday's gains.
Getty Images

Key Facts

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.5%, over 450 points, reversing its 540-point gain a day prior, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 2.8% and the S&P 500 2%.

Investors reacted negatively to employment data revealing a tighter than expected labor market, interpreting it as fuel for the Federal Reserve to pursue further interest rate hikes, while several other economic indicators, including surging mortgage rates, a declining U.S. economy and the British government digging into its controversial economic policy further spooked the market.

"Labor market conditions will likely keep the Fed on track to aggressively tighten monetary policy at the next meeting in November," Jeffrey Roach, LPL Financial's chief economist, said Thursday.

The Dow is down over 7% in September and 20% year-to-date.

The S&P fell across all sectors, but technology giants Alphabet, Meta, Apple and Amazon were among the most notable losers, each falling more than 2.5%, while Tesla dropped 5.4%.

Apple's dip came after Bank of America downgraded its rating of the company from buy to neutral due to concerns about lagging demand as the company heads into the iPhone 14 cycle, and the stock is down nearly 6% over the last two days.

Key Background

Seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims fell to 193,000 last week, coming in far lower than economist estimates and hitting their lowest level in five months, according to data released Thursday by the Department of Labor. Inflation remains at its highest level in four decades, and, considering the historical correlation between inflation and unemployment, a tighter labor market is considered justification for further rate hikes. Fed chair Jerome Powell said last week the "labor market continues to be out of balance." The U.S. gross domestic product contracted by 0.6% in the second quarter of 2022, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis' final estimate released Thursday, the second straight quarter of negative growth-technically marking a recession.

Big Number

6.7%. That's the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, mortgage provider Freddie Mac said Thursday, the highest level since July 2006. Mortgage rates are up from 5.66% a month ago and 3.01% a year prior.

Crucial Quote

"For a more sustained rally, investors will need to see convincing evidence that inflation is coming under control, allowing central banks to become less hawkish," Mark Haefele, UBS' chief investment officer, said Thursday.

Further Reading

Technical Recession Confirmed: Economy Shrank 0.6% Last Quarter, Final GDP Shows ( Forbes)

Dow Soars 500 Points As Investors Shake Off Recession Fears ( Forbes)

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Dow Drops 500 Points, Markets Sink Following Flurry Of Worrisome Economic Data

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Stocks tanked Thursday morning as investors backed off of Wednesday's cautious optimism as several macroeconomic indicators highlighted recession concerns and fears of more hawkish monetary policy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.5%, over 450 points, reversing its 540-point gain a day prior, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 2.8% and the S&P 500 2%.

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https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/09/29/us/hurricane-ian-florida?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur

El huracán Ian, que se convirtió en tormenta tropical, el día de hoy ha perjudicado lugares de Florida como destrucción de dos puentes en Sanibel Causeway y Pine Island; muchas personas sin luz y rescatados.

Por otro lado, un oficial de Lee County dice que hay fallecido en el condado.

Se espera que en las próximas horas también llegue a zonas de Carolina del Sur. Mientras tanto ya es considerado problema nacional grave.

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An Orange County Fire Department in Orlando, Florida on Thursday. Credit... Jason Andrew for The New York Times

As Ian tore east across Florida on Thursday morning, its powerful winds, heavy rains and storm surges were straining emergency services in the state's Southwest.

In Charlotte County, the sheriff's office said after midnight that emergency workers had not been able to access storm damage because of flooding, extreme winds and debris on roadways. Some workers had not even managed to reach their own families because many cellular providers were down, it said.

In Fort Myers, city officials said that first responders were prioritizing " urgent, life threatening situations " at a time when parts of the city were under three to four feet of water.

And in nearby Cape Coral, where emergency services had been suspended on Wednesday, the fire department was creating a "prioritization list" for people calling 911.

Dianna Barnett, a phone operator at the Cape Coral Police Department, said in a brief phone interview that officers had resumed conducting search and rescues by early Thursday morning.

Still, she said, there were many people on hold waiting for help. "There is a curfew, there is flooding and no electricity," she said.

Before hurricanes and other major disasters, emergency response crews will typically station assets and resources in places where damage is most likely to occur, said Randall Styner, the director of emergency management at the University of California, Irvine.

"Once the situation becomes safe, responders will be deployed to the highest priority locations to begin their response," Mr. Styner said in an email. "The response will typically be prioritized based on life safety, protection of critical infrastructure and protection of property, in that order."

But that logic can be hard for residents to accept in the middle of an emergency.

In Sarasota County, the sheriff's office said on Wednesday that as local agencies stopped responding to calls in person because of high winds, it was handling medical emergencies - including cases of cardiac arrest of childbirth - by putting its medical director on the phone with patients.

"As you might imagine, it's incredibly difficult for our personnel to tell a caller that first responders cannot help," the office said on Twitter.

As dawn neared on Thursday, it was unclear when or whether emergency services would resume in the storm's wake. Several counties and municipalities said that they would resume emergency service once sustained wind speeds dropped below 45 miles per hour.

But Wright Dobbs, a meteorologist working the night shift at the National Weather Service in Tallahassee, the state capital, said that such thresholds typically vary across local agencies and departments. Weather Service experts brief local officials on weather conditions but have no role in setting the thresholds, he added.

"We're experts in weather," he said, "but we're not experts in emergency response."

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Live Updates: Emergency Services Are Hampered as Ian Cuts Across Florida

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The storm dumped as much as a foot of rain on some cities as it barreled across the Florida Peninsula. It was about 70 miles from Orlando and was forecast to bring severe rain and wind for at least another day.

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Brett Favre’s latest scandal revives debate about how Black and White athletes are treated differently

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Brett Favre’s latest scandal revives debate about how Black and White athletes are treated differently

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Por Linda

Existe todavía muchas diferencias en los deportes entre los deportistas blancos y negros. Existe un término que se llama lavado deportivo que es aplicado diferente entre deportistas de color.

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A version of this story appeared in CNN's Race Deconstructed newsletter. To get it in your inbox every week, sign up for free .

The welfare funds scandal involving Brett Favre has left people reeling.

A string of texts appears to show the Pro Football Hall of Famer pressuring former Mississippi Gov. Phil Bryant, a Republican, about funding the construction of a volleyball facility at the University of Southern Mississippi - Favre's alma mater and where his daughter played the sport at the time - though Favre had been told that misusing state funds was potentially illegal, per new court filings. The funding of the project was part of an investigation into millions of dollars of misspent public welfare funds within the Mississippi Department of Human Services.

It's unclear how the matter might unfold. But, already, it's revived discussion about an age-old pattern: In the wake of scandal, White athletes seem to be treated differently from their Black peers.

"People believe there's just more vitriol directed at Black athletes when they commit wrongdoings or give the appearance of messing up - and I think that's more than fair. While no one is standing up for Favre, there isn't this loud cry that he should lose everything," the journalist Jemele Hill pointed out on Twitter.

"People almost always want a pound of flesh when it comes to Black athletes, and it's often unrelenting. So sometimes it's not about coverage, but tone," she added.

To further explore the issue, I spoke with Harry Edwards, a professor emeritus at UC Berkeley whose research interests include race relations and the sociology of sport. He's also the author of the 1969 book " The Revolt of the Black Athlete," about activism among Black athletes.

Our conversation has been lightly edited for length and clarity.

What were your thoughts when you first heard about the scandal involving Brett Favre?

Well, on the one hand, I was familiar with Favre's history, even while he was playing in the league, so on that level, I didn't think that something like this was outside the bounds of his capabilities, let's say.

On the other hand, there's an awful lot of publicity around this case. He hasn't been charged with anything at this point, much less convicted of anything. But he's become the face of this tragic situation.

The people who also should be the face of this situation are the former governor, the people who administer funds and so forth. But, instead, because of his fame, Favre has become the poster boy for ripping off poor people in the poorest state in the country.

Jemele Hill recently noted that Black athletes often face more vitriol following an allegation of wrongdoing. Would you agree that this is a theme?

Absolutely. We can look at this situation as part of the fabric of White privilege in US society. When a White athlete behaves in a detestable way, the incident tends to be sportswashed, which is typical when you're dealing with athletic celebrity. But it's also whitewashed. That's the White privilege element of it.

For example, people talked for decades about Jack Johnson - the first Black American world heavyweight boxing champion - and his philandering and casual relationships with women. (He had several interracial relationships throughout the early 20th century.)

If you compare Johnson with Babe Ruth (the legendary baseball player, who was White and also involved in various affairs), you couldn't get a credit card between them. But Ruth wasn't just sportswashed; he was whitewashed. It became a situation of masculinity, prowess, virility. But it became an issue of degeneracy with Johnson. So, this goes back for decades. There's whitewashing that goes on in combination with sportswashing.

Sportswashing: That's a term I'm not familiar with. Could you say more about what it means?

Athletic celebrity involves such an investment by masses of people. I mean, what kind of allegiance does it take to walk around in a jersey with someone else's name on it? That kind of allegiance is very hard to reverse, unless it involves something perceived to be of greater sentiment or political, religious, personal or racial value.

For example, you had people who had worn Colin Kaepernick's jersey start to burn it when he took a knee in protest of police violence against Black people. Something involving ripping off poor people, especially poor Black people? I don't think that people are going to burn Favre's jersey over that.

To me, this appears to be one of those situations where sport prevails over common decency, especially because the athlete was a winner. That's what people buy into.

What will you be keeping an eye on in the weeks ahead?

It'll be interesting to see how everything evolves and how long the issue remains a focus of conversation, especially since a lesser-valued group is being victimized and the scandal involves one of the greatest quarterbacks in NFL history. At the end of the day, that's what I'm looking for. It'll also be interesting to see how the NFL responds.

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Brett Favre's latest scandal revives debate about how Black and White athletes are treated differently | CNN

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A version of this story appeared in CNN's Race Deconstructed newsletter. To get it in your inbox every week, sign up for free . The welfare funds scandal involving Brett Favre has left people reeling. A string of texts appears to show the Pro Football Hall of Famer pressuring former Mississippi Gov.

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Millones se despiertan con la devastación cuando Biden declara un gran desastre a raíz de la tormenta monstruosa

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Millones se despiertan con la devastación cuando Biden declara un gran desastre a raíz de la tormenta monstruosa

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Por Ian
https://www.foxnews.com/live-news/hurricane-ian-tracker-2022-news-path-weather-09-29-2022#&_intcmp=hp1bt1,hp1bt

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New York AG demanda a Trump por acusaciones de fraude La demanda hace acusaciones sobre los estados financieros de Trump

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New York AG demanda a Trump por acusaciones de fraude La demanda hace acusaciones sobre los estados financieros de Trump

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Por Ian
La Oficina del Fiscal General de Nueva York presentó una demanda contra el expresidente Donald Trump y varios miembros de su familia, así como asociados y empresas, alegando "numerosos actos de fraude y tergiversación" con respecto a los estados financieros.

La procuradora general Letitia James dijo en una conferencia de prensa el miércoles por la mañana después de que se presentara la denuncia en la Corte Suprema de Nueva York que Trump "infló su patrimonio neto en miles de millones de dólares" y que sus hijos, Donald Jr., Ivanka y Eric, lo ayudaron.

“El señor Trump y la Organización Trump manipularon repetida y persistentemente el valor de los activos para inducir a los bancos a prestar dinero a la Organización Trump en términos más favorables de los que de otro modo habría estado disponible para la empresa”, dijo James, “para pagar impuestos más bajos, para cumplir con los acuerdos de préstamo continuo, y para inducir a las compañías de seguros a proporcionar cobertura de seguro para límites más altos y primas más bajas".

James dijo que en el transcurso de la investigación de su oficina, entrevistaron a 65 testigos y revisaron millones de documentos. Dijo que la evidencia mostraba que Trump presentó "más de 200 valoraciones de activos falsas y engañosas".

TRUMP INVOCA LOS DERECHOS DE LA QUINTA ENMIENDA EN LA DEPOSICIÓN PARA LA INVESTIGACIÓN CIVIL DEL ABOGADO JAMES DE NUEVA YORK

Las tergiversaciones incluyeron afirmar que Trump tenía efectivo disponible que no tenía e ignorar las restricciones que afectarían el valor de las propiedades, dijo James.

“Afirmar que tienes dinero que no tienes no equivale al arte del trato, es el arte del robo”, dijo James, haciendo referencia al título del libro de Trump de 1987.

La fiscal general dijo que cree que las acusaciones también respaldan las leyes penales estatales y federales, y su oficina está haciendo una referencia al Fiscal Federal para el Distrito Sur de Nueva York y al IRS. La Oficina del Fiscal Federal de SDNY se negó a comentar sobre el asunto.

James dijo que la investigación solo comenzó después de que el exabogado de Trump, Michael Cohen, le dijo al Congreso que Trump hizo declaraciones falsas a las instituciones financieras.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-york-ag-sues-trump-fraud-allegations

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Russia Attempting To Extinguish Ukrainians Right To Live (Mariana) 

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Russia Attempting To Extinguish Ukrainians Right To Live (Mariana) 

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https://www.forbes.com/sites/madelinehalpert/2022/09/21/biden-russia-attempting-to-extinguish-ukrainians-right-to-live/?sh=67aed99b111b

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Topline

Russia is attempting to "extinguish" Ukrainians' "right to exist," President Joe Biden said in a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in which he took aim at Russian President Vladimir Putin for waging a war in Ukraine and urged "unwavering" support for the country as it continues to push back against the Russian invasion.

President Joe Biden speaks during the 77th session of the United Nations General Assembly.
Getty Images

Key Facts

Crucial Quote

"A permanent member of the UN Security Council invaded its neighbor, attempted to erase a sovereign state from the map. Russia has shamelessly violated the core tenets of the United Nations charter," Biden said.

News Peg

Biden's speech comes hours after Putin delivered his own remarks in a pre-recorded televised speech Wednesday morning in which he announced he would draft up to 300,000 reservists as Russia struggles to push back on Ukraine. He also threatened nuclear escalation, claiming Russia is ready to use all means necessary to defend the country's territorial integrity. The speech came a day after Russian forces in Kremlin-occupied eastern and southern Ukrainian regions announced referendums on annexation to Russia. Biden on Wednesday called the referendum a "sham" and an "extremely significant violation of the UN charter."

Key Background

More than 150 world leaders-excluding Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping and two other heads of government-are coming together in New York this week for the 77th session of the UN General Assembly. It's the largest annual gathering of leaders and the first in-person meeting since the Covid-19 pandemic. The war in Ukraine is expected to be a key focus of the meeting, and in opening remarks Tuesday UN Secretary-General António Guterres singled out Russia's invasion as an example of one of the "big dramatic challenges of our age."

Further Reading

Putin Taps 300,000 Reservists To Fight In Ukraine As He Backs Referendums In Russian Occupied Territories (Forbes)

UN General Assembly latest news: Biden rebukes Russia in speech (Washington Post)

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Biden: Russia Attempting To 'Extinguish' Ukrainians' Right To Live

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Russia is attempting to "extinguish" Ukrainians' "right to exist," President Joe Biden said in a speech at the United Nations General Assembly in which he took aim at Russian President Vladimir Putin for waging a war in Ukraine and urged "unwavering" support for the country as it continues to push back against the Russian invasion.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/21/us/politics/trump-classified-documents.html

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Appeals Court Frees Justice Dept. to Use Sensitive Files Seized From Trump

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A federal judge had temporarily barred the department from using the records marked as classified in its inquiry into whether the former president illegally retained national defense documents.

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https://edition.cnn.com/2022/09/21/us/florida-white-supremacists-network-adl-report/index.html

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A new Anti-Defamation League report has found an "extensive" network of White supremacists and other far-right extremists in Florida, which the organization says is home to the most people charged in the January 6 insurrection.

"Florida is home to an extensive, interconnected network of white supremacists and other far-right extremists," the Anti-Defamation League says in the report, warning that new groups have surfaced in the state in recent years while existing groups "have broadened their audience both online and on the ground."

The anti-hate group's findings are documented in a new report titled "Hate in the Sunshine State: Extremism & Antisemitism in Florida, 2020-2022."

Citing data from the George Washington University Program on Extremism, the report says Florida is home to the most people charged in connection with the January 6 insurrection.

About 34.4% of those individuals "maintain ties to extremists in the state including Proud Boys, Oath Keepers and Three Percenters," data from the ADL's Center on Extremism shows.

The state has been a "major hub of Proud Boy activity and influence" since Proud Boys leader Enrique Tarrio, founded the Miami chapter, the report says.

The Justice Department has charged Tarrio and four other leaders with seditious conspiracy in connection with the January 6, 2021, attack in June, and all four have pleaded not guilty, CNN previously reported.

Florida has 15 chapters of the Proud Boys that are "actively recruiting new members," according to the report.

The report says a recent leak of membership data shows some 2,700 people have signed up with Oath Keepers using addresses in Florida. While that doesn't "necessarily indicate present Florida membership or activity in the group" its recruitment efforts in the state are "still troubling," ADL says.

An Oath Keepers cell from Florida used a military-style "stack" formation to enter the Capitol on January 6, according to the league. CNN in July reported that members held a training session on " unconventional warfare."

At least seven members from Florida have been charged in connection to events that day.

Florida has also "become a hotbed for 'America First' and Groyper activity in recent years," the report says.

These groups, many of whose leaders and members have recently relocated to Florida, seek to bar immigrants, oppose rights for LGBTQ+ people and "preserve white, European-American identity and culture," according to the report.

The report also highlights an alarming rise in antisemitic incidents and hate crimes in the state over the past two years, noting that the number of reported incidents of antisemitism rose by 50% in 2021 over 2020.

The ADL's Center on Extremism also recorded the distribution of more than "400 instances of white supremacist propaganda" in the state from January 2020 to August 2022.

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international relations and national security

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Florida has an 'extensive' network of White supremacists and other far-right extremists, ADL report says | CNN

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A new Anti-Defamation League report has found an "extensive" network of White supremacists and other far-right extremists in Florida, which the organization says is home to the most people charged in the January 6 insurrection.

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Fed Outlook Promises More Market Volatility Ahead

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Fed Outlook Promises More Market Volatility Ahead

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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-09-22/fed-rate-hike-outlook-indicates-stock-market-volatility-is-here-to-stay?utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=220922&utm_campaign=wealth

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Bloomberg Wealth: Fed Outlook Promises More Market Volatility Ahead

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If you think it’s already been a tumultuous year in markets, yesterday’s Fed decision probably made things worse for your stock portfolio.

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Senators Seek Secondary Sanctions on Russian Oil Purchases

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Senators Seek Secondary Sanctions on Russian Oil Purchases

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Los senadores Chris Van Hollen y Pat Toomey quieren que la administración de Biden imponga sanciones a los países que aumentan las compras de combustibles fósiles rusos, una estrategia que ha pasado por alto hasta ahora, en un intento por castigar económicamente a Rusia de manera más agresiva por su invasión de Ucrania. .

La pareja está trabajando en un marco legislativo para expandir la autoridad de sanciones del presidente Joe Biden. El marco también incluye otorgar al presidente controles nuevos y explícitos sobre el establecimiento de un precio máximo para el petróleo ruso, que las naciones del Grupo de los Siete pretenden imponer junto con otras naciones aliadas a partir de este año.

Los aliados en Europa implementaron una prohibición a las importaciones de carbón ruso en agosto, mientras que la UE planea embargar la mayoría de las importaciones de petróleo ruso a partir de diciembre.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-20/senators-seek-secondary-sanctions-on-russian-oil-purchases?srnd=us-politics

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¿La última amenaza a la democracia? El lenguaje de la Constitución está lastimando a los demócratas Los últimos objetivos de los demócratas parecen no coincidir con los documentos fundacionales de la nación

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¿La última amenaza a la democracia? El lenguaje de la Constitución está lastimando a los demócratas Los últimos objetivos de los demócratas parecen no coincidir con los documentos fundacionales de la nación

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Ian
https://www.foxnews.com/shows/media-buzz/latest-threat-democracy-language-constitution-hurting-dems

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Topline

Hurricane Fiona strengthened into a Category 3 storm early Tuesday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center, becoming the first major hurricane of the Atlantic season that's expected to intensify after devastating parts of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic.

View of a park in Samana, Dominican Republic, on September 19 after the passage of Hurricane Fiona.
afp/AFP via Getty Images

Key Facts

What To Watch For

Fiona is expected to continue moving across the Caribbean. Residents of the Turks and Caicos' three eastern islands have been told to shelter in place and businesses have been shuttered in anticipation of the storm's arrival. The NHC has said those in Bermuda should monitor the hurricane's progress. Fiona is not expected to make landfall over the U.S. mainland, though the NHC said swells generated by Fiona could affect the east coast through midweek. These could produce "life-threatening surf and rip current conditions."

Key Background

Fiona left almost all of Puerto Rico without power when it made landfall on Sunday and caused "catastrophic" damage, Gov. Pedro Pierluisi said. Little progress has been made to restore power to the island and the vast majority of the 1.5 million customers tracked by poweroutage.us were still without power as of Tuesday morning. It is expected it will take days to resolve the issue. The island is still recovering from the devastation caused by Hurricane Maria last year and President Joe Biden declared an emergency after Fiona hit on Sunday, authorizing disaster relief efforts from the Federal Emergency Management Agency. The White House said more than 300 federal workers are already assisting response and recovery. FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell is set to travel to Puerto Rico on Tuesday to assess what further support is needed.

Surprising Fact

Fiona is the first major hurricane-Category 3 and above-of the 2022 Atlantic season, bucking early forecasts that predicted the season would be busy and severe. Scientists broadly agree that human-driven climate change is driving increasingly severe and more frequent storms, as well as other extreme weather events like heatwaves and flooding. Experts predict these will grow more frequent and severe in nature in the future as warming continues.

Further Reading

'Catastrophic': Hurricane Fiona Brings Power Outages And Massive Floods To Puerto Rico (Forbes)

Weather-Related Disasters Skyrocketed Fivefold Over Past 50 Years, Says U.N. Weather Agency (Forbes)

On Anniversary of Hurricane Maria, Storm Leaves Puerto Rico in the Dark (NYT)

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Hurricane Fiona Strengthens Into Category 3 Storm After Battering Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic

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Hurricane Fiona strengthened into a Category 3 storm early Tuesday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center, becoming the first major hurricane of the Atlantic season that's expected to intensify after devastating parts of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic. Fiona is expected to continue moving across the Caribbean.

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https://edition.cnn.com/2022/09/20/politics/abortion-bans-murder-charges-invs/index.html

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Tras el regreso del huracán Fiona a Puerto Rico, más de 1 millón de personas se han quedado sin electricidad, han habido muchos muertos por el impacto de las lluvias a 90 mph sumamente pesadas, y el problema consiste en que hace 5 años cuando dejó un desastre sumamente destructivo, surgió ira por parte de la población al ver el mal manejo de la situación que tenía su gobierno, y al día de hoy decenas de miles de personas han vivido en hogares partidos a la mitad, y en refugios por la falta de apoyo que ha habido. Desde estos hecho surgió un movimiento en contra del ex-gobernador Ricardo A. Rosello en 2019, quién tras 15 días de protesta renunció a su puesto.

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Hurricane Fiona's arrival in Puerto Rico came almost exactly five years after Hurricane Maria struck, a devastating storm from which the island never fully recovered.

On Sept. 20, 2017, Maria landed in Puerto Rico as a Category 4 storm, producing as much as 40 inches of rainfall. It caused the deaths of roughly 3,000 people, bringing devastation, property damage and the destruction of infrastructure in every corner of the island.

But its lasting impact was just beginning.

Public fury bubbled up at the government's response to the storm; a 2018 report found that the Federal Emergency Management Agency had been unprepared for a disaster on the scale of Maria, which was one of three storms to hit the United States in quick succession in 2017. It described a chaotic and disorganized relief effort on the island that was plagued by logistical problems.

Years on, housing still hadn't been found for tens of thousands of survivors still living under leaky tarps, while others lived in wrecked homes. A grass-roots movement channeling the anger formed, fueling a popular uprising in 2019 that lasted 15 days and led to former Gov. Ricardo A. Rosselló stepping down.

Five years later, unreliable electricity remained a fact of life on the island.

"I think all of us Puerto Ricans who lived through Maria have that post-traumatic stress of, 'What is going to happen, how long is it going to last and what needs might we face?'" Danny Hernández, who works in San Juan, told The Associated Press while he was stocking up with supplies.

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Five Years Later, Fiona Brings Back Painful Memories of Maria.

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Hurricane Fiona's arrival in Puerto Rico came almost exactly five years after Hurricane Maria struck, a devastating storm from which the island never fully recovered. On Sept. 20, 2017, Maria landed in Puerto Rico as a Category 4 storm, producing as much as 40 inches of rainfall.

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POR SEBASTIÁN: La inflación en Estados Unidos sigue sumamente alta ya que los precios de los productos siguen creciendo y por ende ya el ciudadano estadounidense le costara mas en el futuro generar valor. En parte se debe a que el FED reacciono muy tarde a la situación y por otro lado todo el dinero en circulación puso en marcha el gobierno.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/09/13/business/inflation-cpi-report

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Interesante propuesta y rechazo a una ley muy controversial.

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El doctor de la Reina Isabel anunció que se  preocupaba mucho por su salud, y con el paso de un breve tiempo la Reina perdió la vida.

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