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To what extent can Serageldin assertion that the wars of 21st century will be fought over water be justified. Illustrate your answer with specific examples from your reading.

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Water scarcity and contradiction is definitely a momentous issue ,which really need to be emphasized in 21st century . Wolf(2007) assumes that more than a billion residents lack the clean water. What the most vital is that the impact on human society brought by water shortage is comprehensive and irreversible.  Theglobal water organization would soon reach a tipping position that "could induce irreversible change with latent severity of consequences"(Harvey, 2013) .

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However ,although governments should pay attention on the water contradiction on the slide, this does not mean that 21st century war will be fought over water. This is because today there are a huge amount of mature water technologies or complete strategies to alleviate the water crisis in human society

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Furthermore, there are a huge amount of elements or international restrictions which make it is impossible to break out a war with sole cause like gripping resources in 21st century.  Hobsbawm E(2002) illustrated that internal stabilization and the avoidance of armed conflict will  increasingly influence the 21st war and peace.

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Some thesis statement,definition,structure of this topic

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Some thesis statement,definition,structure of this topic

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SPRE :
situation: the 21st century war
Problem:  if 21st war will be fought over water
Respond: if it is justified or disagreeable
Evaluation:  analyze this statement is reasonable in what extent

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Water conflict is a term describing a conflict between countries, states, or groups over an access to water resources. The United Nations recognizes that water disputes result from opposing interests of water users, public or private.

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This essay will oppose to the argument as mentioned above in the context of acknowledging the existing of water scarcity and contradiction which should be emphasized and concentrated in 21st century.  On the one hand ,there are a huge amount of mature technologies such as water-saving and drought-resistance technology which can be put to the market so as to ease the water conflict. On the other hand, this essay will examine the inducement of war and international restrictions to start a war in the 21st century.

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The introduction

Background information

Water is one of the most crucial resources in the human society, which can bring conflict for the different countries or societies.

The definition of water conflict:  + citation

Trigger: Water as a trigger or root cause of conflict, where there is a dispute over the control of water or water systems or where economic or physical access to water, or scarcity of water, triggers violence.

Weapon: Water as a weapon of conflict, where water resources, or water systems themselves, are used as a tool or weapon in a violent conflict.

Casualty: Water resources or water systems as a casualty of conflict, where water resources, or water systems, are intentional or incidental casualties or targets of violence.

It is argued that : 21st century wars will be fought over water

Personally view:  do not think so

Main ideas and thesis statement

A water conflict is definitely an important issue, when the society do not have enough technology to tackle the shortage of water in the old days, it indeedly May lead to a serious war .

However,  there are a large number of new water saving technology such as sewage purification in the modern society. It can ease the water supply pressure which keeps the situation from deteriorating into the war

In addition, nowadays, the wars and anxiety of the 21st century should be fought over many more crucial international problems  for example nuclear weapons or deposition.

The A main paragraph

Topic sentence:  the water conflict and shortage is definitely an important issue.

example: Yeman water conflict and cooperation

Emphasize the detrimental effects of water conflict in Yeman to support the idea that water conflict is one of the most important resources problems in the world

And + the citation of specfic data of Yeman and water conflict

In conclusion ++++restatement of your paragraph ideas

The B main paragraphs

Topic sentences :In 21st century, we have many advanced and mature technology to tackle water shortage

Example: also the Yeman water conflict but emphasize on their outcome when they introduce the advanced water using technology

And + the citation of specfic data of Yeman and water conflict

In conclusion ++++restatement of your paragraph ideas

The C main paragraph

Topic sentences: agree that the water conflict is exist ,but 21st war can not be fought over the water

1. in the modern society especially in the 21st century, which is always seemed as the most democratic century in the human history,  the cost of starting a war has risen considerably , because almost every countries have the heavy weapon even nuclear weapon , which make the outcome of a war is heavier than 20th or 19th century.

Use the data contrast of war outcome today war and 19th war

2.there are many international treaties or restriction for a country to start a war. And the current world pattern is a state of relative checks and balance , so any side of the war can hardly get the profit easily, that said ,a campaign to grab resource may not pay off, even for the most important resource, countries may not choose to start a war , let alone for the water whose shortage can solved by the technology.

3.the cause of modern warfare are often complex and comprehensive, war makers tend to be deliberate , the resource shortage is just served as the excuse not the real reason.

For example ,the cause of Iraq war

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This essay has demonstrated that modern society has kinds way to address the water shortage instead of starting a war for grabbing others

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