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I chose the video “why statistics are fascinating: the numbers are us. The video talked about how about 40% of the young people (16-19) lack numeracy skills for example fractions and decimals. Statistics is fascinating because its not like the other math that’s based on certainty its based on the confirmation or disproof of the uncertainty. He talks about the misperception of what people think the statistics are vs the actual statistics. The difference between what people percieve and reality is larger than we think. Since people did bad knowing the global area he created a quiz about the local areas to see if people did better. He had some politicians take it and scored a 44% in his own local area.  Statistics is often called the science of uncertainty but it’s the science of us all.

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Anne Milgram: Why smart statistics are the key to fighting crime

She worked in the Camden Police Department in New Jersey, which at the time was the most dangerous city in America. She wanted to make a change by introducing data and analytics to the department. Doing this they took Camden from the most dangerous city in America, reducing murder by 41% and saved 37 lives, they reduced all crime in the city by 26%. They started focusing on crime that was affecting the whole state instead of what was only going on around them. There is 12 million arrests a year with only 5% being violent crimes. There are 2.3 million people in our jails and prisons, 2/3 are there waiting for trial, haven’t been convicted just waiting for their day in court. 7/10 criminals will be rearrested after being let out of jail. 50% of the people who are most likely to re commit a crime are being released. She formed a team of data scientists, researchers, and statisticians to make a tool for judges to have an scientific measure of risk. They collected 1.5 million cases to find 900 plus risk factors to try and figure out what mattered the most.

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Brody Bastian - The best stats you've ever seen by Hans Rosling

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Brody Bastian - The best stats you've ever seen by Hans Rosling

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I’ve watched the best stats you’ve ever seen ted talk by Hans Rosling. He goes over how the medical students are entirely wrong on their pre-test mostly because of their pre-conceived ideas of the world. Then goes on to shows stats that over 40 years developing countries have been getting higher life expectancies and smaller families. Telling us that the countries we thought weren’t improving are getting better. Then he goes on to talk about his non-profit organization, gapminder.  Their goal with gapminder is to produce more accurate data from 3rd world countries. Finally he says that inaccurate data could hurt our attempts at helping these countries.

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keith cochran-Why smart statistics are the key to fighting crime

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keith cochran-Why smart statistics are the key to fighting crime

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Anne Milgram wanted to understand who exactly we were putting in our nations prisons and if our country was making decisions based on if they were making us safer. She found out that most criminal justice agencies weren’t tracking the things that mattered most, it turned out most of the people in jail were from low level drug offences. She wanted to include statistics in her work to try and better her community. They started moving to cases of statewide importance other than drug abuse right outside of the station. She used a collection of data of their current offense, if he or she is above or below 21, if he or she had a pending charge, prior convictions, and prior failures to appear to predict 3 things. 1 whether they will commit other crimes when they are released. 2 whether someone will commit an act of violence. 3 whether someone will come back to jail after being released.

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Joshua Lefter - Why Smart Statistics are the Key to Fighting Crime

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Joshua Lefter - Why Smart Statistics are the Key to Fighting Crime

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This Ted Talk was about why statistics are crucial to fighting crime. New Jersey Attorney General Anne Milgram talks about how she began to ask questions about how or if the criminal justice system is really making decisions that make us safer, and she wanted to know who exactly we were putting in prison. She found that many of the criminal justice agencies didn’t track the kind of things she wanted to know, and that the majority of people being incarcerated were low level criminals while high risk criminals were being released. She also found that data wasn’t shared, and analytics were not used to make better decisions and reduce crime. She references the term “Moneyball” which refers to baseball teams using rigorous statistical analysis to select players. After success in Camden, New Jersey, her goal of improving the justice system and its prediction of a person’s risk to others went nationwide. She and her team collected 1.5 million cases from all around the US and used them to figure out what risk factors matter most to predict risk. The universal risk assessment tool that they created is able to predict whether someone will commit a new crime if they are released, whether someone will commit an act of violence if released, and whether someone will come back to court. The goal of this tool is to assist judges, prosecutors, and police in assessing risk by combining individual instincts and experience with data-based risk assessment.

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Cara Hoover- "How to defend yourself against misleading statistics in the news"

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Cara Hoover- "How to defend yourself against misleading statistics in the news"

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For my video I chose the TEDx Talk "How to defend yourself against misleading statistics in the news". (16:20) In the video it talked about the way news articles will wright the statistics in different ways to make the number seem higher than it really is. Sometimes news companies will even round up to make their story seem more relevant. Other tactics the news takes are using sample sizes that are way too small or don’t properly represent the topic. When the reporters are creating and taking the polls, they can word the question odd to make more people vote a certain way but then phrase the claim in the news a totally different way.  The news people also group numbers together without actually explaining where the numbers come from. When watching the news make sure to know all the information about the topic they are talking about because they stretch the truth and make the truth hard to understand.

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Casey Hill - Why Statistics Are Interesting

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Casey Hill - Why Statistics Are Interesting

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The video that I am writing about is about why statistics are interesting. At the beginning of the video, the presenter talked about how the government of the UK conducted a survey and it showed that nearly half of the working adult population do not understand fractions, percentages, and decimals. The presenter then continued, where he compared the levels of numeracy skills in the younger populations of several countries. The presenter then talks about how statistics are about us, stating that it is about us as a group. The presenter talks about how our perception of the truth and how it is related to statistics, speaking about several studies carried out by the UK government. The presenter goes over mor topics such as the comparison between statistics and numeracy worldwide, the comparison between statistics and actual reality, speaking about how people can be “blind to the obvious”, a quiz that he made to test how well people knew their areas, and then his final concluding thoughts on the topic.

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Hayden Goscinski Why should we love statistics?

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Hayden Goscinski Why should we love statistics?

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Why should we love statistics? I will be talking about the 12-minute TED Talk explaining it. Well, the reason is because statistics represent us. In every single category of life there will be a statistic representing everything in your life or the lives of others. But most people in the world, about half adults tested on numeracy failed the test. But as i mentioned statistics is not just about numbers. Most people do not know the real statistics of various categories. Even professionals have a hard time assuming statistics, most even scoring under a 50% on statistic tests. This just shows how little we know and how unpredictable this subject is. That is why we need to educate ourselves about statistics, to better understand what is happening to ourslefs and around the world.

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Ava Ingrassia: Why you should love statistics

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Ava Ingrassia: Why you should love statistics

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My ted talk is about why you should love statistics. He talks about how statistics has an image problem and how it’s the part of math that even mathematicians don’t like. A lot of math is about being as precise as you can or as certain as possible, you learn to become comfortable with that math and statistics switches it up and is something new. He tells the viewers how he was a part of those people, but his mind has changed. This is what altered his thought on statistics; statistics makes gathering data on us possible. Why should statistics spark my interest, you may be wondering. Statistics is the study of us, why wouldn’t it?

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Angelina Miller - How statistics support our intuition

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Angelina Miller - How statistics support our intuition

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My ted talk was about how statistics support our intuition. Ostap Okhrin explains in his ted talk that we use statistics in our everyday life. He explained some examples including how when we go to choose a movie, we compare the time we have or want to spend watching the movie to how long each movie is that is a possibility to watch. Also, when we wake up in the morning, we check the weather for the day, then we look at this weekend’s weather, then you ultimately look at the full week’s forecast. We compare temperatures, precipitation levels and so much more, utilizing statistics when we don’t even realize.

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Daniel Hlynsky- Why smart statistics are the key to fighting crime 

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Daniel Hlynsky- Why smart statistics are the key to fighting crime 

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This ted talk was talking about how statistics can be used to make the criminal justice system in the United States more effective. Prior to this investigation the justice system was purely based on the judge's own judgement and intuition, but with the help of statistics Anne Milgram and her team created a universal system to tell how dangerous a person can be. This system was created to try and reduce the number of people sitting in jail by releasing the ones that are not a threat. This system has already made a huge improvement in many cities across the United States.

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Kayla Kendrick - Why statistics are fascinating

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Kayla Kendrick - Why statistics are fascinating

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In my video, the guy is talking about why statistics are fascinating. He mentions that statistics are us as a group and not as individuals and how individuals relate to their peers. He talks about how there is a big variation between what we think, our perception, and the reality as given by statistics. He says that most people are actually pretty poor intuitive statisticians because of what people perceive and what the reality is. He talks about how the accuracy changes based on how well you know your local area and he made a quiz so that everyone can engage in it and not just a certain group of people.

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How Statistics are Key to Fighting Crime

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How Statistics are Key to Fighting Crime

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- grace buckleman

In this Ted talk Anne Milgram spoke about how statistics could be key to fighting crime. In her own place of work she found her team didn’t know fully know exactly who they were putting in jail. They also had no idea if the decisions they make were actually benefiting society and making the public safer. This started her passion to bring analytics and statistics to the United States criminal justice system. She spoke about how other systems have used statistical analysis to receive certain results and how it’s worked. She also mentioned how when using the statistical analysis in the system it reduced murders by 41 percent in that specific area (Camden NJ), and reduced all crime in the city by 26 percent. She was able to show statistics to prove how statical analytics work! She was also able to use statistics to address other issues in the criminal justice of America that could eventually help entirely change and benefit the system. I think her viewpoint was completely valid and the way she used statistics to prove her point and spread awareness was impressive.