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It is said that "the management response to [natural] disasters usually falls short of people's expectations. This statements is likely spoken by those affected by these tragedies; those who could not get sufficient aid from their governments. However, as time has passed and technology has improved, the number of deaths due to natural disasters has generally decreased over time.

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While governments are held responsible for actively responding to natural disasters and providing aid, it is hard for them to be fully prepared 24/7. With little notice to these disasters, it becomes difficult for governments to allocate money and resources appropriately without neglecting other issues that may be more pressing at the time (eg. education, healthcare, etc.). Without adequate notice and information, it can be next to impossible for governments to fully relieve the stress of these disasters.

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If Mount Vesuvius were to erupt today like it did in 79 A.D., the Italian economy would take an estimated $20 billion hit. The tourism that drives the local economy of Naples and surrounding areas would be decimated and 10 000+ people would die. What's more, millions would lose their access to water, electricity and other services for a long period of time.

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African-Eurasian Plate Boundary at Italy

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African-Eurasian Plate Boundary at Italy

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Mount Vesuvius sits on a plate boundary where the African plate is subducting beneath the Eurasian plate.

Vesuvius is one of several volcanos on the Campanian Volcanic Arc caused by this boundary.

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Many plans such as the one in place for Mount Vesuvius fall short of their objectives simply for the fact that a disaster as large or powerful as the one that occurs is not expected and catches the plan by surprise. It also stands to reason that people become complacent with where they are near disaster areas when it has been a while since it last occurred. It has been 73 years since the last eruption, and 600 000+ people are now residing in the red zone and another 3 million in the nearby city of Naples.

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While past civilizations have come to realize the potential of the volcano, they are quickly destroyed, erasing any evidence of their encounters until surveyors turn it up centuries later. In 1748, when surveyors discovered the remnants of Pompeii from the 79 A.D. eruption, they finally realized how lethal the volcano could truly be.

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Due to the primitive technology of the Roman times and following civilizations, there was little that could be done until recently to prevent future deaths from Mount Vesuvius, aside from the warnings of surviving eyewitness accounts.

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While 13 000+ lives were loss in this disaster, it wasn't fully discovered or understood until the mid 18th century. By this time, the volcano had erupted another 15 times, claiming countless more lives.

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Check out this website!

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Personally no, I do not believe so. This plan was created to prevent devastation like that of the 1631 Mount Vesuvius eruption. This eruption was about half the strength of the 79 A.D. eruption (a 4 on the VEI). While this plan will definitely decrease the loss of life, it will not be enough if another 79 A.D. eruption is to occur.

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Bagley, M. (2016, June 29). Mount Vesuvius & Pompeii: Facts & History. Retrieved December 06, 2017, from https://www.livescience.com/27871-mount-vesuvius-pompeii.html

Emergency Plans. (n.d.). Retrieved December 05, 2017, from http://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/jcms/en/view_pde.wp?contentId=PDE12771

1631 Eruption of Mt. Vesuvius. (n.d.). Retrieved December 05, 2017, from https://www.windows2universe.org/earth/interior/Mt_Vesuvius_1631.html

End, W. (2017, August 23). VA Viper. Retrieved December 05, 2017, from http://vaviper.blogspot.ca/2015/08/august-24-eruption-of-mount-vesuvius.html

King, H. (n.d.). Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI). Retrieved December 05, 2017, from http://geology.com/stories/13/volcanic-explosivity-index/

Kothari, H. (2016, May 31). What are the plates that are causing Mt. Stromboli to form? Retrieved December 06, 2017, from https://www.quora.com/What-are-the-plates-that-are-causing-Mt-Stromboli-to-form

Roser, M., & Ritchie, H. (n.d.). Natural Catastrophes. Retrieved December 06, 2017, from https://ourworldindata.org/natural-catastrophes/

Sauver, J. S., Ph.D. (2010, April 27). Volcanoes. Retrieved December 5, 2017, from https://www.stsauver.com/~joe/volcanoes/volcanoes.pdf

Vesuvius Erupts. (2009). Retrieved December 05, 2017, from http://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/vesuvius-erupts

Vesuvius Observatory. (n.d.). Retrieved December 05, 2017, from http://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/jcms/en/osserv_vesuvio.wp%3Bjsessionid=582DE602AABB94240B411982655FB234

Viola, R. (n.d.). Vesuvius: Volcanic hazard and civil defense. Retrieved December 05, 2017, from http://www.distar.unina.it/en/publications-showcase/136-vesuvius-volcanic-hazard-and-civil-defense

What If Mount Vesuvius Erupted Today? (2017, September 03). Retrieved December 06, 2017, from http://www.cbc.ca/natureofthings/features/what-if-mount-vesuvius-erupted-today

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The government of Italy has devised a plan in case of another eruption. It is as follows:

Precursor events will warn of the eruption.

72 hours before the eruption: 200 km² "red zone" evacuated.

Eruption begins: Larger "yellow zone" evacuated. "Blue zone" warned of imminent flooding.

Officials do admit that this plan may not be enough.

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Today, near Mount Vesuvius, is an observatory, which is constantly watching, measuring and observing the activity beneath the volcano in its magma chamber. With this we can give fair warning to an eruption.

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Current estimates put the loss of life at approximately 13 000 people from Pompeii and surrounding villages, residences and more.

The initial eruption left only 2000 Pompeii civilians alive.

Roughly 25 hours later, a second, larger eruption killed the remaining citizens and created a mudslide which destroyed the nearby town of Herculaneum.

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Vesuvius shot a mushroom cloud of ash an estimated 16 kilometres into the air.

Pompeii was buried in four to five metres of ash and volcanic rock from the cloud of ash shot into the air, as well as the pyroclastic flows that raced down the mountain side.

This suffocated the inhabitants, collapsed buildings and coated everything.

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The eruption is estimated today to reach a 5 out of 8 (eight is yet to be observed) on the Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) based on the observed ejecta.

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Prior to the eruption that caused the devastation, several warning signs were indicating an eruption.

In 63 A.D., a large earthquake (estimated magnitude 5-7.5) shook the surrounding area, warning of the volcano´s pending eruption.

Frequent tremors were ignored due to their high frequency of occurance.

The volcano erupted frequently, so its long period of inactivity should have been a sign.

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The volcano responsible for the eruption near Pompeii is a complex stratovolcano named Mount Vesuvius.

It has erupted over 50 times,  but the most well known time was in 79 A.D.

It sits on a magma chamber that is 400km².