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Post # 10 Critical Thinking Process Responses 

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Post # 10 Critical Thinking Process Responses 

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I chose to evaluate the video The many way Trump sail Mexico would pay for the wall by Washington Post

Define Problem:
Donald Trump enforces that building the wall will have pro vent drug smuggles and illegal immigrates from coming through but he does not want to pay for the action.

Gather Information:
This video is made by Washington Post. The video shows complementary of cuts when Donald Trump saying that Mexico will pay for the wall since 2015 but he says he didn't really mean that Mexico will physically pay for it.

Evaluate Evidence:
In the link in the video at the bottom the description it takes you more into the talk of the article (shown at the bottom of the post). Philip Bump who created the article is a national correspondent for The Washington Post based in New York. There several proof of this video that statements and press conference that Donald Trump tends to make Mexico pay for the wall and now he states that he didn't really mean to say it when the video provides all the time he did say it. The results of this have reproduced all over social media sites to bring awareness of the topic of his act. As being the president of the United States the Proof of by  Verbosity he has bigger say of what gets done.

Recognize Assumptions, Emotions, Biases:
The Washington Post personal assumptions is against Donald Trump for his actions towards Mexico not only that but for making Mexico pay for it and now saying he never said that. But the emotions that cause an impact when he stated this had social media blown up calming that he did say this creating frustration and confusion that contradicts himself. This impact a lot people for those who are against and with Donald Trump.

Synthesize Evidence, Identify Alternatives:
Alternative solution 1: Donald Trump makes a clear statement that who's paying for what when building the wall.
Alternative solution 2: We assume Mexico is gonna pay for the wall after all the statements that Donald Trump says that there gonna pay for all of it.

Select Best Alternative:
I conclude that Donald Trump should make a clear statement on who's paying for the wall before he contradicts himself again.

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Back in April 2015 - an era so distant in American history that it barely shimmers in and out of view, cloaked in the haze of everything that's happened since - Donald John Trump promised the United States that he would build a wall on the border with Mexico and that Mexico would cover the cost.

It was at an event in New Hampshire covered by Paul Steinhauser of NH1 News, targeting the state which, as it turns out, would provide Trump with his first victory in electoral politics. But at the time - despite Steinhauser's accurate assessment that it wasn't - it seemed like a joke. The TV guy was going to build a wall for free, huh? Okay. Good luck.

The point, though, is that Trump's insistence that Mexico would pay for the wall is, in fact, older than his campaign itself. At that New Hampshire event, he even said how it would happen, in broad strokes.

"I will take it from out of just a small fraction of the money they've been screwing us for over the last number of years," he claimed.

That is salient in the moment because of the ongoing government shutdown that stems from Trump's insistence that the American - not the Mexican - government would pick up the tab. He went further in comments to reporters on Thursday, claiming that his frequent assertions that Mexico would pay for the wall were always meant to suggest an indirect payment, just like the assertion above.

"When during the campaign I would say, 'Mexico's going to pay for it,' obviously I never said this and I never meant they're going to write out a check," Trump said. "I said they're going to pay for it. They are. They are paying for it with the incredible deal we made, called the United States, Mexico and Canada - USMCA - deal."

Trump went on to note (unusually for the subject) that the trade deal hadn't yet been approved by Congress and, therefore, wasn't yet paying anything for anything. He did not, however, also point out that there is no actual mechanism within that deal that would accomplish the payment he insists will follow.

"When I said 'Mexico will pay for the wall' in front of thousands and thousands of people, obviously they're not going to write a check," he reiterated. "But they are paying for the wall indirectly, many, many times over, by the really great trade deal we just made."

The only problem? He did, at times, claim that Mexico would carry out the equivalent of signing over a check.

It's understandable that Trump might have forgotten that. After all, the mechanism he claimed would be used to force Mexico to pay up evolved so often during and after the campaign that it's a bit hard to keep track. Here is our best effort at compiling those claims, including at least one occasion when the implication was specifically that he'd cajole Mexico into simply handing over the requisite money. (Much of this comes from the eternally useful database at Factba.se.)
Update: Our JM Rieger dug up another example from April 2016 -- in which Trump says explicitly that they may pay with a check.
As above: "I will take it from out of just a small fraction of the money they've been screwing us for over the last number of years."

It's worth noting that the trade deficit is not a function of an imbalance between governments but, instead, of the discrepancy between the value of goods and services purchased from or sold to either country. A reduction in the trade deficit does not generate money that the government can use to pay for a construction project.

"I will have Mexico pay for that wall," he said at his campaign launch.

"Mexico's going to pay for the wall, believe me," he said during a speech in Los Angeles. "You know, a lot of politicians have said, 'Oh, they're, not going to pay, he must be -" They don't know anything about - they never read 'The Art of the Deal.' "

During a debate, Trump was asked about the claim.

"People say, 'Oh, how will you get Mexico to pay?' " he said. "A politician - other than the people on this stage, I don't want to - a politician cannot get them to pay. I can. We lose, we have a trade imbalance of $50 billion a year. Believe me, the wall is peanuts by comparison."
Nov. 30, 2015. Method: The same way he got CNBC to shorten its debate.
"CNBC extended their debate by one hour, two days before. ... And who's the one that said, 'No way, you're not going to do it.' I did. I could stand up there forever, but I said, 'You're not going to do it,' " he said at a rally. "And everybody told me, everybody - 'This is like the wall.' Everyone says, 'Oh, you'll never get Mexico to pay for the wall.' "
March 31, 2016. Method: Mexico would cut a check - or the U.S. would "compel" the country to pay.
"Mexico is going to pay for the wall," Trump said in an interview with MSNBC. "They don't understand it. They say to me, some of the politicians, 'How are you going to get them to pay for the wall?' They don't get it, because I'm a business guy, that is what I do."

"They've even asked me, 'Donald, how can you possibly suggest that they pay -' and you know how? Because they make billions of dollars a year ripping us off. Billions," he said. "Look at the deficit we have with Mexico. And the wall is peanuts by comparison. You're not talking about that much money, relatively speaking."

After months of criticism over his claim that Mexico would pay, Trump's campaign sent The Washington Post a memo explaining exactly how it would work.

First, the theory went, the government would propose blocking wire transfers from some noncitizens to people in Mexico. When the Mexican government protested, they would be told to pay for the wall in a lump sum, or the proposal would go into effect. The plan then lists a few other proposed mechanisms: the trade deficit, canceling visas for Mexicans or increasing visa fees.

This latter method, the document suggested, could be a source of revenue itself. As was noted at the time, most of these efforts to siphon money from Mexico would come from Mexican residents, not the government itself.

The memo offered to The Post was published on Trump's campaign website.

"You know, the politicians say, 'They'll never pay...'" Trump said during a live event with Fox News' Sean Hannity. "100 percent," he assured the cheering audience.
Oct. 25, 2016. Method: Outfoxing Mexican politicians.
"They're not going to write us a check, but..." Hannity replied.

"They'll pay. They'll pay. In one form or another," Trump said. "They may even write us a check by the time they see what happens."

"I have these clowns in the back, these pundits," Trump said at a rally. "And they're saying, 'Mexico's never going to pay for the wall.' Mexico - do you know how much money they make from us each year? And I'm not including with the drugs. I'm leaving that out."

Oct. 22, 2016. Method: Some form of reimbursement. In a "contract" with voters, the Trump campaign pledged that a wall would be built "with the understanding that the country of Mexico will be reimbursing the United States for the full cost of such wall."

"When people say, 'Well, they will never pay for the wall.' Of course they will, because they are making so much money," Trump said. "They make it at the border, they make it every way. Because their politicians are sharper and shrewder than our politicians."

"We have a trade deficit with Mexico that nobody would believe," Trump said at one of his last campaign rallies. "It's a fraction of what we're talking about with respect to the cost of the wall, because a lot of politicians ask me the question, 'How are you going to get Mexico to pay?' "
Jan. 25, 2017. Method: A complicated reimbursement. Jan. 26, 2017. Method: Revenue from overhauling the tax code.
Once Trump won the presidency, he didn't talk about having Mexico pay for the wall quite as much.
June 21, 2017. Method Jan. 11, 2018. Method: One of 10 forms Trump could name. May 29, 2018. Method: In an unspecified enjoyable way. : Solar panels to reduce the cost for Mexico.

But it did still come up.

At his first news conference as president-elect, Trump said that he would push for construction on the wall to start immediately, even if payment from Mexico came later.

"I don't feel like waiting a year or a year and a half. We're going to start building," he said. "Mexico in some form, and there are many different forms, will reimburse us, and they will reimburse us for the cost of the wall. That will happen, whether it's a tax or whether it's a payment - probably less likely that it's a payment. But it will happen."

"Ultimately, it'll come out of what's happening with Mexico," Trump told ABC's David Muir. "We're going to be starting those negotiations relatively soon. And we will be in a form reimbursed by Mexico, which I've always said."

"I'm just telling you, there will be a payment," he continued. "It will be in a form, perhaps a complicated form."

"We're working on a tax reform bill that will reduce our trade deficits, increase American exports and will generate revenue from Mexico that will pay for the wall if we decide to go that route," Trump said during a speech. "It is time that the American people had a president fighting as hard for its citizens as other countries do for theirs, and that's exactly what I'm going to do for you. Believe me."

In a call with Mexico's president leaked to The Post, Trump threatened to call off an upcoming meeting.

"We cannot say that anymore because if you are going to say that Mexico is not going to pay for the wall, then I do not want to meet with you guys anymore, because I cannot live with that," he said.

"We're talking about the southern border, lots of sun, lots of heat," Trump said. "We're thinking about building the wall as a solar wall so it creates energy and pays for itself. And this way, Mexico will have to pay much less money."

"I've always said we have to have a wall. I've also said Mexico's got to pay for it - sometimes you know on occasion, I'd add who's going to pay for it? Mexico. Well they will pay for it, OK?" Trump told the Wall Street Journal. "There are many forms of payment. I could name 10 right now. There are many forms of payment, I didn't say how."

Asked to name one such method, Trump cited the North American Free Trade Agreement renegotiation that led to USMCA.

"They make all of this money, and they do absolutely nothing to stop people from going through Mexico from Honduras and all these other countries - the caravan, all of this stuff - they do nothing to help us. Nothing," Trump said. "They're going to pay for the wall, and they're going to enjoy it. Okay?"

By December, with the shutdown fight looming, Trump isolated the USMCA agreement as the source for that repayment.

"What we save on the USMCA - the new trade deal we have with Mexico and Canada - what we save on that, just with Mexico, will pay for the wall many times over just in a period of a year, two years and three years," Trump claimed at a news conference last week. "So I view that as, absolutely, Mexico is paying for the wall."

Precisely as he always said it would.

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Analysis | Trump claims he never said Mexico would cut a check for the wall. Let's go to the tape.

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Back in April 2015 - an era so distant in American history that it barely shimmers in and out of view, cloaked in the haze of everything that's happened since - Donald John Trump promised the United States that he would build a wall on the border with Mexico and that Mexico would cover the cost.

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Post # 9 Reason for Belief: Emotional Connections (Video)

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Post # 9 Reason for Belief: Emotional Connections (Video)

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Definition: Emotions that can make you believe in what you want to believe. Emotions can blur reason and obscure rational thought. (Ex: psychics who say they communicate with the dead.)

Connection:
Well know for her show "Long Island Medium". Theresa Caputo is know to communicate with lost love ones and talk to the dead for them, for them to have a since of closer and in saying there last goodbyes. Skeptics bag to differ that asking an audience if there's any love ones who passed away and then series of broad question to pin point there love ones to prove that they are there with them. Creating the Emotional Connection to them and there love ones that are gone.

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Theresa Caputo exposed as a FAKE medium and a FRAUD!

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http://www.scifake.com - Caputo is another in a long line of con artists like Sylvia Browne, James Van Praagh, and John Edward who all claim they can talk to the dead -- and that the dead speak back to them, which is the harder part, of course.

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Post # 8 Reason for Belief: Agenticity (Website)

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Post # 8 Reason for Belief: Agenticity (Website)

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Definition: The belief Anenticity are those who assign meaning, intention, and agency, often to invisible beings. (Ex: angels, spirits, aliens, God).

Connection:
Anenticity is shown in those who believe in Mediumship saying "Bloody Mary" three times in the mirror with the lights off she will appear behind you and kill you or take your soul. In this case Red Herring also shown because Mary is best known for her aggressive attempt to reverse the English Reformation which had begun during the reign of her father. Mary had almost 300 disagreeing religious people burned at the skate, which are recorded in John Foxe's Book of Martyrs. Due to this many called her "Bloody Mary".

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While King Henry VIII lived, his greatest fear was dying without a male heir to the throne. As it turns out, he needn't have worried, for when he died in 1547, King Henry was succeeded by his son Edward VI. But the new King Edward was very frail and sickly boy of nine, and in just six short years he succumbed to his illness, bringing his reign to an end and leaving the throne unoccupied once again.

Ideally, Edward should have been succeeded by his elder half-sister, Princess Mary, who was the daughter of Henry VIII by his first wife, Catherine of Aragon. But there was one problem - unlike the Protestant King Edward, Princess Mary was a practicing Catholic, and her ascension would set the English Reformation back by years. To keep Mary from the throne, Edward nominated his cousin, Lady Jane Grey, as his successor.

As soon as Mary found out about her half-brother's death, she began to gather her supporters and marched into London. There she was proclaimed the rightful Queen of England. In just nine days, Lady Jane's dubious reign had come to an end. She and her husband, Lord Guildford Dudley, were taken to the Tower of London where they were charged with high treason and executed. Although this was one of the first executions that took place during Mary's reign, it was far from being the last.

During her five years on the throne, Queen Mary handled the death of hundreds of her Protestant subjects. A devout Catholic, she was determined to restore Catholicism to England. All citizens who refused to convert to Catholicism were burnt at the stake, a method of execution that was preferred by the Catholic Spanish Inquisition at that time. In total, 227 men and 56 women were burnt during Mary's reign, including the Bishops Nicholas Ridley, Hugh Latimer, and Thomas Cranmer. Many other Protestant leaders escaped a similar fate by fleeing to other parts of Europe upon her ascension.

Most people assume that Mary's nickname comes from her unrestrained execution of Tudor men and women on the basis of their religion. In all actuality, Mary was only responsible for the deaths of fewer than 300 people. Quite a meager number when compared to her father, Henry VIII, who reportedly had over 50,000 people executed during his reign. So why exactly is Queen Mary I of England known as 'Bloody Mary'?

The nickname 'Bloody Mary' came about as a result of the Protestant propaganda that arose during the reign of Mary's half-sister Elizabeth I. In 1554, Mary had married King Philip II of Spain, who joined her in her attempts to restore England to Catholicism. The marriage was an unpopular one - the English people did not want to be ruled over by a foreigner. To make matters worse, Philip told Mary to fight against France, a political move that resulted in the French invasion and reclamation of Calais, which had been England's last possession in France.

When Mary died in 1558, she was succeeded by the Protestant Queen Elizabeth I, and the Counter-Reformation in England came to an end. But Mary's widower, Philip of Spain, was unwilling to relinquish control over England so easily, and proposed to marry the new Queen Elizabeth. When that failed, he launched the Spanish Armada to invade England. The Armada would go on to be defeated by the English Navy, and the damage was done. Queen Mary, as the wife of the loathed Spaniard, had her name dragged through the mud. Her crimes against Protestants magnified, and those who she had burnt were celebrated as martyrs. For the men in Protestant England, the Catholic Queen Mary was abhorred, she was evil. She was, well and truly, 'Bloody Mary'.

Photo Credit: lisby1 via photopin cc

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Just why is Queen Mary I known as 'Bloody Mary'?

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While King Henry VIII lived, his greatest fear was dying without a male heir to the throne. As it turns out, he needn't have worried, for when he died in 1547, King Henry was succeeded by his son Edward VI.

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Definition:   Red herring is when given a piece of information that is misleading that has nothing to do with the question that is given.

Connection:
This example of Family Guy does demonstrate Red Herring showing in politicians and political view point. The video shows election running for mayor and questions from the audience is being ask but avoiding the major questions that has cause to them and there society, where its being avoided and misleading to another topic said the by candidates that are running. Over the years this comes clear in our world, in our society politicians and political platforms are greatly involved with provoking statements.

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Post # 7 Reason for Belief: Patternicity (Image)

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Post # 7 Reason for Belief: Patternicity (Image)

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Definition: A belief Patternicity is defined by Micheal Shermer "the tendency to find meaningful patterns in meaningless noise.

Connection:
This image, although funny, communicates Patternicity by naturally looking for the patterns the birds flying in the sky and there wings tend to make emotion and face of a person smiling.

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Made by Andrew Lumia, working individually

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Definition: All Natural is usually know to be seen food labels that is defined as nothing artificial or synthetic including colors regardless of the source.

Connection:
All Natural things are all the elements present in the world. Whatever is there is because of nature. Living things do come inside the circle of natural things, because man can not make life we can alter examples can be found in your dining table, fruits and vegetables. Over the period of time humans have altered the genes of fruits and vegetables to grow the way they want it example seedless grapes, or more of life long expire so the product stays out longer. Where this can be misleading into what your buying that you think is good for but really its not.

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Post # 4 Red Flag: Proof by Verbosity (Video)

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Post # 4 Red Flag: Proof by Verbosity (Video)

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Definition: Proof by Verbosity is over stating the truth and giving more information then usually needed to prove he/she is right.

Connection:
Donald Trump tends to use Proof by Verbosity that giving so much information on how many times he has been saying he will build a wall and he will not pay for it declaring that he is right and speaks the truth of what will happen. But he also tends to Appeal to Authority knowing that he is the president of the United States, him taking these actions of building the wall will benefit America for there own sake. He also had Red Herring for contradicting himself that he never said Mexico will pay for the wall when he said it several times and his campaign sites.

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The many ways Trump said Mexico would pay for the wall

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Post # 5 Red Flag: Ancient Wisdom (Video)

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Post # 5 Red Flag: Ancient Wisdom (Video)

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Definition: The beliefs and practices of historical societies or some modern interceptions of belief and practices of historical societies.Example ancient beings, ancient knowledge, ancient practices. But accepting them or some version of them as true despite there being little evidence to support them, and quite frequently a lot of evidence against them.

Connection:
This video shows you the wisdom of how to get better sleep with the past Ancient Wisdom from cultures before, of how certain way before you go to sleep can boost your mind with power and Mystical Energy. When dreaming you able to connect with more "divine higher beings". That can help set your mind and if you do the following steps that is given before you go to sleep, it will increase your mind giving more sense of purpose of life.

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The ANCIENT MANIFESTATION Technique That Will BOOST Your Brain Power! Ancient Wisdom in Modern Times

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Post # 6 Red Flag: Confusing Correlation with Causation (Video)

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Post # 6 Red Flag: Confusing Correlation with Causation (Video)

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Definition: Confusing Correlation with Causation  is the correlation between to variables does not imply that one causes the other. For example everyone who drives a blue car are reckless drivers. But there is correlation in this statement, but no causation.

Connection:
The YouTube video talks more about the facts of correlation vs causation. But gets the understand of correlation with ice-cream and burning forest are some way relate to an effect with each other. An example from video how when the sun is out people tend to buy ice-cream but the sen also causes forest fire depending how hot it is. Causation has more of stronger relationship that has a cause and effect for ice-cream people tend to over eat it causing them to have obesity.

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How Ice Cream Kills! Correlation vs. Causation