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Most midterm elections tend to favor the  opposite political party of the president. For this reason, I think that democrats will wake up happy on September 7th after midterm elections. Predictions show that I think that the Republicans will lose the majority in both the House and Senate because people will want change.
For our district, Mike Coffman will likely lose his seat to Jason Crow a democrat. Despite Coffman becoming more moderate recent polls show Crow leading

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A new Public Policy Polling poll shows Democratic challenger Jason Crow with a five-point lead on Republican incumbent Mike Coffman in Colorado's 6th District, previewing what's likely to be a competitive election once again this fall.

The poll was conducted by Public Policy Polling, a Democratic pollster, and it was done for End Citizens United, a Democratic Political Action Committee.

"It's clear that folks of the 6th District are tired of career politicians like Mike Coffman who say one thing at home and then go to Washington to do the bidding of their donors and vote with Donald Trump 95 percent of the time," Crow said in a statement to Westword. "From day one, this campaign has been about servant leadership and putting Coloradans first. We won't solve the same problems by electing the same people who got us here. Colorado is ready for a change this November, and I'm fighting to bring a new generation of leadership to Washington to get results."

Meanwhile, Coffman spokesman Tyler Sandberg didn't appear impressed with the poll's findings, tweeting on Monday: "Dems have used this same tired playbook for the last three cycles - and where has that gotten them?"

History would agree with Sandberg. In 2014, polls showed Coffman and then-challenger Andrew Romanoff in a neck-and-neck race before Coffman pulled away in the final two months of the campaign, leading the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to pull money for ads supporting Romanoff in the final weeks before that election.

In 2016, Democrat Morgan Carroll appeared to be in a close race with Coffman through much of the campaign before the Aurora Republican clinched his fourth straight victory by a relatively comfortable eight-point margin.

But there are subtle signs of worry for Coffman, whose appeal to moderates on both sides of the aisle has helped him win three straight elections since the 6th was redistricted to his disadvantage in 2011. Coffman's 39 percent number in the poll is identical to Donald Trump's approval figure, perhaps an indication that some Democrats who may have voted for Hillary Clinton and Coffman aren't as willing to cross party lines. In a district that voted for Clinton by nine points, Coffman will likely need to woo at least some Clinton voters to his camp.

After pollsters told respondents about Crow's pledge to not accept corporate dollars, Crow's advantage in the poll jumped to ten points - potentially a sign that focused messaging could tap into some moderate voters. Sixty-one percent of poll respondents said they found special-interest money to be a major problem in politics.

Crow will have to be especially wary of the relatively high number of undecideds (16 percent), a figure that could favor an entrenched incumbent with higher name recognition, like Coffman. The survey's demographics, political party split (a one-point Democratic edge) and 2016 presidential vote figures closely mirror the district as a whole. The mid-February survey polled 751 voters with a margin of error of 3.6 percent.

Both Crow and Coffman are facing primary challengers; Crow is facing Levi Tillemann and Coffman is taking on Roger Edwards. Primary elections are in June, and the general election is on November 6.

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New Poll Shows Jason Crow Ahead of Mike Coffman

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A new Public Policy Polling poll shows Democratic challenger Jason Crow with a five-point lead on Republican incumbent Mike Coffman in Colorado's 6th District, previewing what's likely to be a competitive election once again this fall. The poll was conducted by Public Policy Polling, a Democratic pollster, and it was done for End Citizens United, a Democratic Political Action Committee.

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The voter turnout will be higher because there is an increasing number of younger voters who want to be heard. There are also numerous controversial issues that I think will draw voters in. Issues such as gun control and immigration will inspire more to vote.  Democrats also have more reason to vote because they will want to win congress back starting at the state level.

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Size

435 seats

Qualifications

Must be 25 years old

Have been a U.S. Citizen for the past 7 years

Be (at the time of the election) an inhabitant of the state they represent

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Terms/when they are elected

Serve two year terms and are considered for reelection every even year

How seats are determined

Determined among the states by population, as determined by the census every 10 year. Every state is entitled to at least 1 representative, however small its population

Constitutional Powers

Initiate revenue bills, impeach federal officials, elect the president in case of an electoral college tie

Interesting facts

Make $174,000 per year, salaries are higher if there is more of a leadership role

Don’t have to pay for postage mail

While in office can’t be arrested for a civil claim

Are given the privilege to use all military hospitals for medical care and emergency dental procedures at no cost

Speaker of the house is next in line to be president after vice president

James K. Polk was the only speaker of the house to become president

Longest member to serve for the house was John Dingell who served for 59 years for Michigan

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1. main job is to legislate- to create laws for the federal government

2. both debate and vote on bills

3. Congress can draft and submit bills

4. both use committees (agriculture, appropriations, armed services, small business, and veterans’ affairs)

5. each member gets his/her personal staff

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1. 435 members in house- 100 members in senate

2. speaker of house controls and leads- President of senate rarely participates/ run sessions

3. seniority determines power in house- less important in senate

4. initiate all revenue bill & bigger influence on budget- in house

5. Give “advice and consent” to many presidential nominations, approve treaties, tries impeached officials, larger influence on foreign affairs

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How is the House of Representatives different than the Senate?

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A Senator can stand up and say, "I object."

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1. Size of the Senate : 100 members

2. Terms for the Senators : Every two years, one third of the senate goes up for re-election but a full senator term is six years

3. Senators elected : every 2 years

Qualifications

1. At least thirty years of age

2. U.S. citizenship of at least nine years

3. Resident in the state a senator represents at time of election

Congressional Powers

1. The Senate has the sole power to conduct impeachment trials, essentially serving as jury and judge.

2. Power to review and approve or reject presidential appointees to executive and judicial branch posts.

3. Power to approve, by a two-thirds vote, treaties made by the executive branch, may also amend a treaty or adopt changes to a treaty.

4. Developed its own procedures for judging the qualifications of its members and settling contested elections.

Other Interesting Information

1. Barack Obama while not only becoming the president of The United States after being a senator he also won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2009

2. Salary of about $174,000

3. Weakened insider trading restrictions

4. Death benefits

5. $1.2 million to $3.3 million allowance

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Voters will be taking into consideration modern day issues. Gun control is one issue that has become increasingly controversial. With mass shootings especially school shootings voters will have to consider where they stand on gun control and which representative will represent their wants. An additional issue that has always been in the spotlight is immigration. Especially under Trump's presidency immigration is more contested. The wall and DACA will contribute to voters decisions.

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Executive- If the Democrats win back congress, then Trump will have a harder time getting approval and vice versa. Trump could veto a bill passed by congress but then in turn congress could overturn this with a 2/3 vote. The senate could also not approve a supreme court justice nomination by the president if a spot were to open.

Judicial- The supreme court could play a role by their rulings on gerrymandering and telling several states to redistrict in a more constitutional way. This could make the voting districts vastly different and change the outcome of the election.

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2018 Midterm Elections Forecast - G. Elliott Morris Uses Data and Political Science to Analyze Politics and Predict Elections

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G. Elliott Morris Uses Data and Political Science to Analyze Politics and Predict Elections

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SENATE BILL .87

1. Do sanctuary cities that don’t cooperate with immigration officials need to lose federal funding? This bill aims to hold sanctuary cities and jurisdictions accountable for defying federal immigration laws. It would increase penalties for those who illegally re-enter the U.S. after being deported.

Opposers and Supporters

1. No political public figures have voted on this bill yet.

Personal Viewpoint

1. I think that immigrants have always been a major contributor to this economy and ot overall population. This bill threatens to erode community trust in law enforcement as an overactive response to an unfortunate event.

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HR244 Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2017
-H.R. 244, as amended, would require the Department of Labor (DOL) to establish the HIRE Vets Medallion Program, within two years of enactment, to annually recognize private and public sector businesses for their efforts to employ veterans.
-It is a good program that supports our military veterans. We think there are other laws that could be more beneficial to the larger group of people

HR 2810 National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2018
-H.R. 2810 authorizes and prioritizes funding for the Department of Defense (DoD) and military activities and construction, and prescribes military personnel strengths for Fiscal Year 2018.
-We think that his campaign focuses on a lot of military spending, which we don't think is essential, so we don't support it.

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Diana DeGette (1st District) (Democrat)Jared Polis (2nd District) (Democrat)Scott Tipton (3rd District) (Republican)Ken Buck (4th District) (Republican)Doug Lamborn (5th District) (Republican)Mike Coffman (6th District) (Republican)Ed Perlmutter (7th District) (Democrat)

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Diana DeGette (1st District) (Democrat)Jared Polis (2nd District) (Democrat)Scott Tipton (3rd District) (Republican)Ken Buck (4th District) (Republican)Doug Lamborn (5th District) (Republican)Mike Coffman (6th District) (Republican)Ed Perlmutter (7th District) (Democrat)

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The 6th District is represented by Mike Coffman and he has been a representative since 2009. The 6th District is one of the only competitive districts left in the state of Colorado.

Climate Change: Coffman thinks that Climate Change is a real and negative thing in our world today. He thinks that we should do everything in our power to limit carbon emissions and reduce the amount of harmful gases we release in the air.
Healthcare: He thinks that Healthcare reform is essential to keep costs low and expanding access. He believes that everyone should have access but it should be up to small business to come up with competitive plans and market them to their customers and employees.

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Our representation in Congress is by

1. Michael Bennet (Democrat) (Since Jan 22, 2009)

-  Healthcare: Michael has taken a leading role in working to improve our nation's health care system and making sure it works for Colorado families. From expanding access to affordable health insurance to investing in new models, technologies and science that will help to reduce the cost of health care service, Michael has worked with his colleagues on both sides of the aisle to improve the quality of health care in America.
-  Immigration: Michael believes that our immigration system is broken. That's why he took a leading role as a member of the bipartisan "Gang of Eight" that worked together on a bill to fix our immigration system. The bill secures our borders, includes a path to citizenship for millions of undocumented immigrants, makes reforms to an outdated visa system to ensure businesses have access to the workers they need, and includes important worker protections

1. Cory Gardner (Republican) (Since Jan 6, 2015)

- Healthcare: "It is my belief that all Americans deserve access to quality and affordable health care, and I am committed to supporting common sense solutions that expand coverage and contain costs" It is time to address the fundamental problem with healthcare in our nation—cost.  Sky-high costs are hurting families and Congress has a responsibility to intervene. Allowing the purchase of insurance across state lines, encouraging competition in the market, and providing consumers with price transparency are all achievable policies which have the capability to lower the cost of health care. Additionally, I support a regulatory framework that encourages biomedical research and innovation.  For new preventions, therapies and cures to be available to those who need them, Congress needs to eliminate the barriers standing in the way.  I support strengthening federal investments in biomedical research and strong reforms to FDA to ensure consumers have access to life-saving breakthroughs that often times mean the difference between life and death.
- National Security: The United States must have an assertive and principled foreign policy to rise to the challenge of the growing threats of international terrorism, nuclear proliferation, and authoritarian regimes that threaten global peace and security.  While we are focused on the ongoing crises in the Middle East and in Europe, we must also look to strengthen our existing alliances and build new partnerships in the Asia-Pacific region. This region is home to the world’s most dynamically-growing economies, but also the challenges and opportunities presented by a rising China and the existential threat of a belligerent North Korea. We must pursue policies to ensure the United States remains the leading force in that strategically-important region.