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-Democrat
-More Moderate on some issues and very ideological on others
-Worked in Kenya and Uganda with nonprofit organizations
-Is a venture capitalist
-Now teaches business at Modesto Junior College
-First time running for office

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-Republican
-Very ideological and Traditonal
-Incumbent
-Worked in the air force for 16 years
-Worked in the Agriculture in the agriculture industry as an almond rancher
-Was the California state senator from 2002-2010
- Has already served three terms as the California District 10 House of Representative

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Abortion:
Jeff has believed in the more Republican view of pro-life from a very early age. He found research that kids can feel pain at 20 weeks and does not like the idea that abortion is killing children. Jeff's mom had him in high school so this is a personal issue for him. On the other hand, Josh has a more democratic view and is pro-choice .He believes that the government should not have a role in this decision, and that it is best made by the woman herself.

Medicare:
Jeff also has a more typical Republican view on healthcare. In his previous term he ended Obama Care in his district. Healthcare increases taxes and Jeff does not want that.He Has a plan of his own. Jeff has worked to increase the amount of residency programs to give more opportunities for medical graduates and to increase the amount of doctors in District 10. Josh's more Democratic view on healthcare is that providing healthcare is a necessity especially in District 10. He is going to fight so that people with pre-existing medical conditions are protected under the law, and for everyone in his district and nationwide to have access affordable, quality, healthcare.

Immigration:
Denham's view on immigration isn't as traditionally Republican as you would expect, it is a combination between Democratic and Republican views. Denham wants border control to be increased to allow in less illegal immigrants. He believes that those who are already in the District should be protected from being deported have a path to citizenship. Josh has less shown less of a strong view on immigration but what he has said has pointed towards a more Democratic opinion. Similarly to Denham, Harding also supports a path to citizenship. He supports bipartisan immigration reform and does not believe that families should be separated from their children.

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Jeff Denham:
-Ted Brandbold-Mayor of Madesto (city in District 10)
-Jeremy Young-Mayor of Hueson
-U.S Chamber of Commerce

Josh Harder:
-Barack Obama-44th President of the United States
-Adam Weber:- Vice President of the Stanislaus State Democratic Club
-Al Lucchesi- Former Mayor and Police Chief of Chowchilla

These endorsements matter because many people look to see who supports the candidates as one part of their decision making process. For example, the citizens of Madesto might see that their leader, Ted Brandbold supports Jeff Denham and decide to vote for Jeff because of the endorsement.

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“California's 10th Congressional District Election, 2018.” Ballotpedia, ballotpedia.org/California%27s_10th_Congressional_District_election,_2018.

“Census Profile: Congressional District 10, CA.” Census Reporter, censusreporter.org/profiles/50000US0610-congressional-district-10-ca/.

Daniels, Jeff. “California Showdown: Tight Race between GOP Congressman and Democratic Rival Gets Personal.” CNBC, CNBC, 27 Sept. 2018, www.cnbc.com/2018/09/26/california-gop-rep-jeff-denham-battles-democrat-josh-harder.html.

“RealClearPolitics - 2018 Latest Polls.” RealClearPolitics - 2018 Latest, www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/.

“Data on Campaign Finance, Super PACs, Industries, and Lobbying.” OpenSecrets, www.opensecrets.org/.

Mai-Duc, Christine. “Will California Flip the House? The Key Races to Watch.” Los Angeles Times, Los Angeles Times, 31 Oct. 2018, www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-california-competitive-house-districts-20180906-htmlstory.html.

10 Race.” KXTV, 24 Oct. 2018, www.abc10.com/video/news/all-eyes-turn-to-californias-district-10-race/103-8291170.
https://www.abc10.com/video/news/all-eyes-turn-to-californias-district-10-race/103-8291170

“Denham To Face New Challenger In California's 10th Congressional District.” CBS Sacramento, CBS Sacramento, 6 June 2018, sacramento.cbslocal.com/2018/06/06/california-10th-congressional-district/.
https://sacramento.cbslocal.com/2018/06/06/california-10th-congressional-district/

“California's 10th Congressional District.” Jeff Denham for Congress, jeffdenham.com/.
https://jeffdenham.com/

“About Josh.” Josh Harder for Congress, www.harderforcongress.com/.
https://www.harderforcongress.com/

“Party Platform.” Democrats, democrats.org/about/party-platform/.

“Republican National Committee.” GOP, gop.com/platform/.

Balz, Dan. “This Midterm Election Is like No Other in a Generation.” The Washington Post, WP Company, 4 Nov. 2018, www.washingtonpost.com/politics/this-midterm-election-is-like-no-other-in-a-generation/2018/11/04/dd92e236-df9d-11e8-85df-7a6b4d25cfbb_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.f37c1dbdf025.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/this-midterm-election-is-like-no-other-in-a-generation/2018/11/04/dd92e236-df9d-11e8-85df-7a6b4d25cfbb_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.f37c1dbdf025

“Polling the 2018 Midterm Elections in Real Time.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 6 Sept. 2018, www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-polls.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share.

“Midterm Congressional, State, and Local Elections.” USAGov, www.usa.gov/midterm-state-and-local-elections.

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We predict that Josh Harder will win the 2018 California District 10 House of Representative election. He is a new candidate that offers a fresh perspective on issues.

We believe this for many reasons, one being the recent polls that were taken as an attempt at predicting the outcome of the election. Two out of the three recent public polls show Josh Harder winning by 2 percent or more, leaving the third to a tie between Jeff Denham and Josh Harder. The residents of District 10 seem to prefer Harder’s stance over Denham. Another reason is that Josh Harder is a Democrat in a diverse Democratic District. In the past, including the 2016 presidential election, District 10 has voted Democratically. Harder is the Democratic candidate and therefore represents District 10’s majority opinion better than Denham. One might argue that the people with less knowledge about the election would be more likely to vote for Denham because he was the previous representative. In addition, Jeff Denham is more well known, and has a stronger political history than Harder. However, being known in politics is not always a good thing. It can lead to dull ideas that have been heard before but never followed up on. Although District 10 has elected Denham for many years, he is up against a new, tough opponent, who shares similar Democratic views with a majority of the district’s occupants.

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Interest Groups Spending the Most Money:

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Interest Groups Spending the Most Money:

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Jeff Denham:
-Berkshire Hathaway-$24,105
-Edison Chouest Offshore-$21,600
-AECOM Global-$20,550
-Marithon Petroleum-$17,500

Josh Harder:
-Alphabet Inc.-$126,454
-Bessemer Venture Partners-$89,750
-University of California-$77,682
-Stanford University-$44,001

Many of the interest groups spending money on the campaigns are both in state and out of state.

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1: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/32z6j63z
In this poll Josh Harder received 50% while Jeff Denim received 45%, with the remaining 5% being undecided. We mostly trust this recourse because the survey was conducted by Berkeley College, and the url uses ".org" . Also the poll was conducted approximately one month ago so it is resent. Although this is a trustworthy site, it does not state the sample size.
2: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ca10-3.html
This poll states that in this survey 47%  of people chose Josh Harder, 45% chose Jeff Denham, and 8% were undecided. We trust this poll because it was taken from the New York Times. It also tells you the demographics of the voters. Lots of different types of people voted, so the results are unlikely to be biased.
3: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/california/10/
(scroll down on the page to "latest polls", it is the third poll shown
This poll shows both candidates tied with 48% of the votes, and 4% undecided. Even though this website doesn't show the voter demographics, it is still trustworthy because it is under "top most recent polls" on multiple websites.

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Josh Harder Campaign Ad
https://www.harderforcongress.com/
(need to scroll down to the video)

Jeff Denham Campaign Ad
https://twitter.com/jeffdenham/status/1032398825355399168

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-average voter age: 34.6 years old
-average gender: 50% male and 50% female
-race: 41 % white, 3% African American, 44% Hispanic and 7% Asian
-population: 758,005 people
-median household income: $60,235
-61% are age 18-64

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Voting results of 2016 Presidential election

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Voting results of 2016 Presidential election

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In the 2016 presidential race, District 10 voted for Hillary even though their house of Representative was a Republican.

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In the last House of Representative election 241,141 people showed up to vote. 124,671 voted for Republican Denham and 116,470 voted for Democratic Eggman.

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-must be a citizen of the United states
-must be a California resident
-must be at least 18 years old
-cannot be in prison or on parole for feloney conviction
-may not be found mentally incompetent by court
-the deadline is October 22nd
-early voting is Oct. 8th to Nov. 5th
-you do not need a voter I.D.
-you may vote online
-you can register by mail

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Republican Jeff Denham recieved 35,000 votes which was 37.8% of the total votes. Democrat Josh Harder received 15,532 votes which was 16.7% of the total votes. These were the two primary winners.