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Success is determinant on when the public switches its focus from domestic to foreign affairs

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War and external conflict is used to rally a populatuon against internal issues and to promote unity.

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As it said in "Divisionary Theory of War" section, it is inconclusive as to whether this theory is universal, and only having a couple examples of when it occurs does not necessarily prove its truthfulness.

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The Gulf War and Sudan Hussein’s foreign policymaking

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This “diversion” only serves as a temporary relief of domestic pressures

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Saddam Hussein waging war upon Kuwait after devastating economic consequences faced after Iranian war

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Matthias Corvinus' rule. He invaded foreign states surrounding him whenever there was strife during his rule.

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When there isn’t any foreign issues the general public focuses on domestic economic and political issues

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Saddam used these tactics to ask his people for more. He took advantage of their unity. Most times, these acts worked in his favor and helped him consolidate, with support, his power in Iraq.

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Economic problems brought social problems in the authoritarian state

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US Presidents in post 9/11 era in terms of availability of of data and frequency of force during Clinton and Bush terms

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Diversionary strategies are usually employed by political leaders of countries facing serious donestic problems.

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Hitler after taking control of Weimar Republic

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Saddam Hussein sought to bring all other Arab states together in a unified acknowledgment of his actions against Kuwait (another Arab state) so that he would remain popular and wouldn’t receive backlash.

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Frederick I and III. Both turned to the city-states or states surrounding them whenever troubles presented themselves. Frederick I was also a fan of crusading to rally support in his populance.

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Can this diversion continually work? Seems like Hussain created a cycle, almost as if he was digging one hole just to get himself out of another

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The diversionary strategy was a gamble just as much as the repression of domestic enemies.

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Saddam Hussein faced a join US and Soviet opposition to the invasion of Kuwait, as well as the UN and resolutions of the Arab League and Gulf Cooperation Council.

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I don’t think that employing an iron fist strategy is any worse than waging war on another country after you just got obliteratednin another war