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Budget & Economy:
- Has recovered a record $24 million in Medicaid fraud in 2017. - Reduced budget via staff reduction and exposing fraud.
Free Trade:
- China systematically abuses the global trade system.
- Higher 25% levies imposed by China on American soybean and pork exports could depress demand for pork produced in Missouri.
Tax Reform:
- Tax plan gives 25%, not 83%, to richest 1%.
- Keep deductions for local taxes & 401(k) contributions.

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Status: Challenger
Party: Republican
About: Raised in Lexington, Missouri, Josh Hawley currently serves as the state’s Attorney General. As Missouri’s top prosecutor, Josh has earned a reputation for taking on the big and the powerful to protect Missouri workers and families. He has battled big government and big business, the special interests, organized crime, and anyone who would threaten the well being of Missourians.

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Status: Incumbent
Party: Democrat
About: In 2006, Claire became the first woman elected to the U.S. Senate from Missouri, winning the seat once held by Harry Truman. Making good on a campaign pledge, Claire waged a successful six-year effort to rein in wasteful wartime contracting practices in Iraq and Afghanistan - modeled on Harry Truman's famous battle against war profiteering. During the final hours of Claire's first Senate term, her signature legislation implementing historic wartime contracting reforms was signed into law.

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Budget & Economy:
- Voted YES on $192B additional anti-recession stimulus spending.
- Voted YES on modifying bankruptcy rules to avoid mortgage foreclosures.
- Voted NO on paying down federal debt by rating programs' effectiveness.
Free Trade:
- Supports fair trade which avoids shipping jobs overseas.
- Voted NO on promoting free trade with Peru.
Tax Reform:
- Voted YES on increasing tax rate for people earning over $1 million.
- Voted NO on repealing the Alternative Minimum Tax.
- Minimum tax rate of 30% for those earning over $1 million.

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After analyzing many sources, polls, and historic outcomes, I believe that Josh Hawley will win the Senate race for Missouri. One main reason is because of the political demographic map of Missouri. As you look at the picture provided, it shows that almost all of Missouri is dominated by Republican representation. This fact let alone gives the Republican candidate a huge advantage over the Democratic candidate. Secondly, Claire McCaskill's foreign trade policy does not benefit the main specialization powerhouses of Missouri. Her votes on the limitation of over seas trade will likely hurt the manufacturing and agriculture industries, ultimately ending in less support for her being in the senate seat. Although I believe Hawley will win the race, the possibility that McCaskill will win still arises. Her votes on increasing the tax rate on the rich might be beneficial for the people of Missouri, as the median income of a Missouri resident is $47,764.

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- Voter turnout in 2016 election averaged 66.56%

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https://joshhawley.com/about/
https://www.mccaskill.senate.gov/about-claire#2000
http://www.ontheissues.org/Senate/Josh_Hawley.htm
http://www.ontheissues.org/Senate/Claire_McCaskill.htm
https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/s_default
https://www.dmv.org/mo-missouri/voter-registration.php
https://www.newsmax.com/fastfeatures/industries-missouri-economy/2015/04/13/id/638163/
https://www.zippia.com/advice/largest-companies-in-missouri/
https://www.bea.gov/system/files/2018-08/qgdpstate0718_2.pdf
https://www.bestplaces.net/economy/state/missouri
https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2018/11/2018-wrap-up-am/

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- Missouri has an unemployment rate of 4.9%. The US average is 5.2%.
- Missouri has seen the job market increase by 3.3% over the last year. Future job growth over the next ten years is predicted to be 41.7%, which is higher than the US average of 38.0%.
- The average income of a Missouri resident is $26,006 a year. The US average is $28,555 a year.
- The Median household income of a Missouri resident is $47,764 a year. The US average is $53,482 a year.
- State's GDP has seen a 2.4% change in 2018
> Mainly due to manufacturing, agriculture, and finance

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- Health, Manufacturing, and Financial jobs are the most over represented
Top 5 Areas of Specialization:
1. Health Care and Social Assistance
2. Retail
3. Advanced Manufacturing
4. Financial and Professional Services
5. Agriculture and Bioscience
Top 5 Most Valuable Companies:
1. Ascension Health Inc (109,000 employees)
2. Emerson (103,50 employees)
3. O’Reilly Auto Parts (74,580 employees)
4. Enterprise Holdings (68,993 employees)
5. Edward Jones (36,000 employees)

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Requirements:
- Be a U.S. citizen.
- Be at least 17 1/2 years old to register, and 18 years old by Election Day.
- Be a resident of Missouri.
How you can register:
- In Missouri, you can register to vote by mail and in person. Just submit a completed Missouri Voter Registration Application to your local county clerk.
- Will receive confirmation within 7 days.
Voter ID:
- When you visit the polling booth on the day of the election, you must present 1 document to prove your identity, such as your:
> Missouri driver's license or      non-driver ID card.
> U.S. passport.
> A copy of your current utility bill, bank statement, or paycheck.

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Senator McCaskill Doesn't Care | Missouri Senate

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Candidates with more financial support generally win

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Candidates with more financial support generally win

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Josh Hawley had massive support and advertising from Donald Trump

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Candidates who had more fundraising but lost 

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Candidates who had more fundraising but lost 