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THUHA:  The power dynamics between nation-states have always been scrutinised and studied rigorously in International Relations (IR) discipline. Particularly, in the current 21st century, the rise of China attracts significant attention from multiple scholars. Different theories, such as liberalism, classical realism, and structural realism, usher distinct explanations of the situation. However, the most prominent exposition of China’s rise of power is predicated on the structural realism theory. Through the balance of power theory, structural realists believe that international anarchy is unlikely to allow China to rise peacefully. Survival is the ultimate goal of every nation-state throughout the world due to the lack of the highest authority that they could rely on when conflicts happen. The absence of trust and certainty in the states’ interaction leads to the indefinite competition of military racing and alliances forming. The recent rise of China is thus viewed as a threat to the world’s balance of power, especially The U. S’s entrenched hegemony. China is deemed to aim at becoming the most powerful hegemon in Asia, following the footsteps of the U.S in the past. Despite a few political moves such as joining the U.S in combating the global warming issues and playing an essential role in the COP21 agreement in Paris, China’s investment in its own soft and hard forces outweighs other intentionally positive investments. Furthermore, China has belligerently challenged the UNCLOS agreement in submitting nine- bashed line, which indicates their clear intention to gather hard power. Sensing China’s attempt to foster its power internally and externally, the U.S has also started defending and protecting its position through carrying out a range of strategies. They start to support China’s neighbors (such as Taiwan), in order to diminish China’s hard force. The tension between those 2 powerful nations will affect other nation-states as others will need to reform their alliances and strengthen their militaries to avoid being on the wrong side of the battle. The war may not be the end of this conflict as the recent globalisation has successfully created an evenly advanced technology development around the world and the most powerful nations all have access to the deadly weapons available. However, China's rise will cause certain chaos among nation-states as it threatens the global power balance.

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THUHA:  The power dynamics between nation-states have always been scrutinised and studied rigorously in International Relations (IR) discipline. Particularly, in the current 21st century, the rise of China attracts significant attention from multiple scholars. Different theories, such as liberalism, classical realism, and structural realism, usher distinct explanations of the situation. However, the most prominent exposition of China’s rise of power is predicated on the structural realism theory. Through the balance of power theory, structural realists believe that international anarchy is unlikely to allow China to rise peacefully. Survival is the ultimate goal of every nation-state throughout the world due to the lack of the highest authority that they could rely on when conflicts happen. The absence of trust and certainty in the states’ interaction leads to the indefinite competition of military racing and alliances forming. The recent rise of China is thus viewed as a threat to the world’s balance of power, especially The U. S’s entrenched hegemony. China is deemed to aim at becoming the most powerful hegemon in Asia, following the footsteps of the U.S in the past. Despite a few political moves such as joining the U.S in combating the global warming issues and playing an essential role in the COP21 agreement in Paris, China’s investment in its own soft and hard forces outweighs other intentionally positive investments. Furthermore, China has belligerently challenged the UNCLOS agreement in submitting nine- bashed line, which indicates their clear intention to gather hard power. Sensing China’s attempt to foster its power internally and externally, the U.S has also started defending and protecting its position through carrying out a range of strategies. They start to support China’s neighbors (such as Taiwan), in order to diminish China’s hard force. The tension between those 2 powerful nations will affect other nation-states as others will need to reform their alliances and strengthen their militaries to avoid being on the wrong side of the battle. The war may not be the end of this conflict as the recent globalisation has successfully created an evenly advanced technology development around the world and the most powerful nations all have access to the deadly weapons available. However, China's rise will cause certain chaos among nation-states as it threatens the global power balance.

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The rise of China will threaten the current states in power which will encourage them to either compete with them by improving themselves and their allies or trying to take their power away. The most likely event will be the former way where the existing powers and China will attempt to compete without starting a war until either an alliance is formed or there is a war that will bring the end of mankind as a whole. China's rise in power will only fuel the US to also keep up with their development of nuclear technology that may cause the missiles to eventually become strong enough to wipe whole countries out resulting in the destruction of the planet as we know it.

Or they could just be nice and not use them.

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A War with China is inevitable. There are multiple reasons for this conclusion.
Firstly, the great growth Of China's economy, almost becoming the number one economy in the world in the near future. That put a great pressure on countires like the US as it sees itself losing its economic hegomony over the world and mainly Asia.
Secondly, a powerfull China will add more fear to its already feared neighbours. Japan, Singapour, and south korea are all holding the Chinese in deep suspestion, and they are more then willing to join any attemp that aims to contain China's power.

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I think the rise of China will impact the international system greatly. Whether China falls or continues to rise, it would prove to be disastrous for the whole world. The CCP's interests also conflict with that of the neighbouring countries, such as the issue of the South China Sea and the sovereignty of Taiwan.

A lot of the world's manufactured goods are produced in China. If this sector of China's economy falls, a huge recession might result across the world.

However, if China continues to rise as a dominant power, conflict could ensue between the US and China, as Graham Allison states, 12 out 16 cases of when there were a rapid power shift between states in the last 500 years have resulted in war.

I think the most probable outcome could be conflict as a result of Taiwan's sovereignty being compromised. The CCP has already stated that it aims to somehow integrate Taiwan as part of China. As Taiwan is a democratic state, US is obliged to defend Taiwan if a war would occur. I believe it is in the best interests of the US to do so because the fall of Taiwan could mean that other neighbouring states such as Japan and Southeast Asian countries would be susceptible to further conflicts due to China's ambitions. It would also result in trade conflict as the sea areas around Taiwan are an important part of the trade route in East and Southeast Asia.

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The global media and the general view is that China is on the rise and will soon supplant the United States as the sole superpower. However it is far more complicated than this, while China has several advantages aiding in their rise there are also several critical and fundamental issues threatening not only Chinese power but even the future of the state itself.

The advantages currently enjoyed by China is in its massive population greatly overmatching that of the US and her neighbors with the exception of India. A great pool of manpower is great for the economy and the military as more people engage in raising the national productivity and increasing the power of the military through sheer force of manpower.

An issue in the future is the fact that China's population is shrinking. Thanks to the disasterous two child policy which has created a generation of males were a significant portion of which will not be able to find a partner...

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One of the primary concerns regarding the rise of china is it's inability for flexibility and change in the face of a growingly progressive world. Liberalism is growing in dominance in various forms around the world, yet China - with their one-party system under Xi Jinping (who, since an almost unanimous vote a few years ago, now has no term limit on his presidency) - remains staunchly attached to realist theories and the heavy-handed control of the populace they require.
Allthough China has managed to, after many decades of social turmoil, emerge as a global superpower, it continually refuses to transition to a state that has the capacity to care for the individual and their freedoms more than the progress and assertation of international dominance that is commonly summed up as "The rise of China" (see for example, their actions in the south china sea or the annexation of hong-kong)

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Given China's military might, it shouldn't come as a surprise if they exploit their growing strength for nefarious purposes. China's rise has led in more vocal demonstrations of great power ambitions and a more assertive diplomatic posture. When paired with Beijing's military modernisation programme, this has put Asia, as well as the United States, on notice that China's economic might will have geopolitical ramifications. It is thought that there is an immutable human nature of "power-hunger" that leads states, including China, to behave in a specific way. With this being considered, the theory surrounding this topic is that China will continue to take over the majority of imported goods. Their military forces will be extremely modernised while more nuclear weapons of mass destruction are being built. It could also mean that the world of American dominated culture will shift into an Asian one.

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Possibility 1: ignition of gradual change.
If China rises to the status of international superpower, it could bring about the end of American cultural dominance in the world, which has thus far utilised it's full influence to maintain a pseudo-feudalistic Capitilistic international power structure from which they chiefly benefit from. This is not to say that China would bring about anything better themselves, and they won't. The prospect of China rising to international domination from any resulting conflict is incredibly unlikely, as becoming the equal of the United States spells the point of no return for both nations. Tensions would likely rise to military conflict, with the United States believing they would easily win. They won't. Why? Because the populations of both nations are already deceptively unstable. Even if both nations were able to sustain the war effort with propaganda, the people's ire would not remain transfixed solely on 'the other' for long, and the politcal-economic toll of the war itself would create even longer lasting consequences. It could carry political power similar to the fall of Constantinople, but with even more reason for the world to become disenfranchised with the current global super powers.

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Ang: Many political analysts claim that, in the past, whenever there was rapid transition of power of a rising nation that threatened to displace a ruling state – the outcome was a war situation. The current state of relative economic and military power shift that is occurring between the US and China can also lead to military conflict. China is simply copying the powerful games that the US was playing in South America and implementing them in their neighbouring countries.There is big difference in the political systems of China and the rest of the countries involved that can complicate the issues. China is politically hungry for power and prestige in order to prove that its orders and systems are more effective.It is obvious that China intends to dominate Asia and potentially the world. China’s intentions to expand its presence worldwide are visible through expansions of The Belt and Road Initiative, economic influences and investments in Africa and South America, political infiltration in Australian domestic affairs, potential conflict in Taiwan and the South China Sea, affecting Vietnam, the Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia, and Brunei. The number of powerful countries such as India, Japan, and Russia is also concerned about the Chinese dominance in the region as they will be directly affected by the military manpower supremacy that China holds.

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Ang: Many political analysts claim that, in the past, whenever there was rapid transition of power of a rising nation that threatened to displace a ruling state – the outcome was a war situation. The current state of relative economic and military power shift that is occurring between the US and China can also lead to military conflict. China is simply copying the powerful games that the US was playing in South America and implementing them in their neighbouring countries.There is big difference in the political systems of China and the rest of the countries involved that can complicate the issues. China is politically hungry for power and prestige in order to prove that its orders and systems are more effective.It is obvious that China intends to dominate Asia and potentially the world. China’s intentions to expand its presence worldwide are visible through expansions of The Belt and Road Initiative, economic influences and investments in Africa and South America, political infiltration in Australian domestic affairs, potential conflict in Taiwan and the South China Sea, affecting Vietnam, the Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia, and Brunei. The number of powerful countries such as India, Japan, and Russia is also concerned about the Chinese dominance in the region as they will be directly affected by the military manpower supremacy that China holds.

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It it can be seen that China has surpassed the U.S. in terms of it’s economy and military power, and it’s leaders seem to carry a consistent sense of confidence when discussing the country’s rapid rise as the biggest global super power. Along with this, the U.S. has maintained a firm grip on the international system for the past century, allowing time for the world to observe and determine the state’s massive power as the status quo. When viewing this from a realist perspective, the result of this incoming shift of power seems almost obvious- war and chaos. Due to the intense rise in power from China, the already established global superpower - U.S. may view this as a threat, leaving them with no other choice but to use force in an attempt to preserve the state’s position in power. Ultimately, it seems as if this shift will severely disrupt the international system, meaning states will have to fight for survival, or develop a significantly effective way to mediate this inevitable transfer of power. - Eva

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How the rise of China will impact International Politics

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How the rise of China will impact International Politics

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When one considers the historical evidence surrounding the sudden rise in power of a state that threatens the power of the current ruling state it seems inevitable that conflict and catastrophic war will ensue. Therefore it seems increasingly likely that conflict between the U.S and China will occur.

Although there have been some historical instances where one state's rise to prominence did not result in war, these instances consist of a distinct minority.

It is also worth mentioning that what seems to drive this global paranoia is the imperfect information relating to China's intent. When one considers the way in which China governs its citizens domestically, these practices do not seem to align themselves with the values which the U.S have instilled upon the world. It is, therefore, even more unlikely that China will uphold these values, making conflict appear more and more likely.

From a realist's perspective, it is not a question of whether China's rise to power will lead to war, it will is rather a question of how much time is left before conflict happens, and how devastating this conflict will be.

This perspective however does not account for the possibility that social unrest generated from within China by its citizens may create a China that is more willing to uphold the current quo that the U.S has imposed, thus decreasing the chances for war. This also does not recognise the powers that other smaller states posess. - Tom