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https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Ne1IQ1syrsw_kJPb7u4hp7rwNgD1zT44kSVxafeq1pM/edit

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Who did the Florida 26th district vote for in 2016 Congressional Election?

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Who did the Florida 26th district vote for in 2016 Congressional Election?

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Florida's 26th Congressional District voted for Carlos Curbelo (Republican) for his 2nd term as Representative. He beat Democrat Joe Garcia and Independent Jose Peixoto. Carlos earned 148,587 votes to clearly win 53% of the vote and took office in Congress that January.

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1. Emily's list                                    $82,174

2. AmeriPAC: The Fund for a Greater America                                        $29,100

3. DE Shaw & Co                            $18,900

4. Insight Venture Partners      $16,200

5. Tao Capital Management     $15,700

6. Alphabet Inc                               $15,294

7. Harvard University                   $15,180

8. Bessemer Venture Partners $13,500

9. J Street                                          $12,400

10. Cleary, Cottlieb et al                  $10,852

*more than listed*
**top ten**

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1. NextEra Energy               $34,200

2. KKR & Co                           $32,900

3. Rock Holdings                 $29,150

4. Leon Medical Centers  $24,300

5. Costa Farms                    $21,000

6. Coca-Cola Co                   $20,700

7. CC Residential                 $19,600

8. Ernst & Young                 $19,500

9. Blackstone Group         $18,900

10. Goldman Sachs             $18,300

*more than listed*
**top ten**

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Overall, the Curbeo campaign spent $4,217,781.26, while the Mucarsel-Powell team spent $3,525,625.50.

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This poll exemplifies how different groups would vote on October 16th. Notice that the Republicans and Democrats are standing by their candidates. More men are going for Curbelo, while more women are going for Powell. More Hispanics are going for Curbelo but, both the Black and White community's in the districts are going for the democratic candidate, Powell. The older age group, 50+ said they would vote for Powell, while the younger age group, <50 would vote for Powell. There are many groups represented in this poll but, the big takeaway is that this is a close race with many voters still undecided. Neither Curbelo or Powell have the majority of the vote.

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This is an ad opposing Debbie Muscarsel-Powell, the democratic candidate for the Florida 26th US representative.The ad was paid for by the National Republican Congressional Committee(NRCC). The NRCC believes that Powell is using money that is supporting inappropriate environmental practices and not lining up with Powell's promises for Florida.

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This is an ad opposing Carlos Cubelo for Florida 26th US representative. The ad is paid for by Not One Penny, an organization against the GOP's tax breaks for the rich and increase for the deserving middle class.

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These endorsements help expand party size and support. The more endorsements the more votes (commonly, obviously based on how legitimate the organizations are).

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American Federation of State County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) Florida

Bullsugar.org

CHC BOLD PAC

Emily's List

End Citizens United

Feminist Majority Political Action Committee

Florida AFL-CIO

Florida NOW PAC-CCE

Latino Victory Project

NARAL Pro-Choice America

National Organization for Women

New Democrat Coalition

Planned Parenthood Action Fund

Poder PAC

Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Florida

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Name Recognition polls elaborate on how well known the candidates running are know in their district. The poll shows that Carlos Cubelo has more name recognition than Powell. However, he has a higher percentage of "recognize unfavorable" than Powell. Powell is not recognized as much as Carlos Cubelo however, she has a lower "recognize unfavorable" percentage.

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Associated Industries of Florida

Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions

ClearPath Action Fund

ConservAmerica

Humane Society Legislative Fund

Republican Main Street Partnership

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Who did the Florida 26th district vote for in 2016 presidential election?

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Who did the Florida 26th district vote for in 2016 presidential election?

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Florida's 26th Congressional District voted for Hillary Clinton (Democratic) by 10-20% in 2016.

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"No Labels" spent $180,000 on direct mail campaigns for several candidates including Curbelo

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The "National Republican Congressional Committee" released an ad accusing Powell and her husband of receiving money from a Ukrainian syndicate.

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The "Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee" spent $405,000 on an ad campaign to oppose Curbelo and support Powell.

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Where is the campaign funding coming from?

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Where is the campaign funding coming from?

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Want to vote in Florida's 26th Congressional District? You must be...

Citizen of the UNITED STATES

Have legal residency in the state of Florida

Have legal residency in the county/district: Monroe/Miami Dade

PRE REGISTRATION: age 16

REGISTRATION + VOTE: age 18

NOT have been convicted for a felony

NOT have been restricted from voting due to mental constrictions issued by a judge

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During their primary races, Debbie and Carlos both won their races by over  a margin of 25% of the vote. Debbie defeated Demetries Grimes while Carlos defeated Souraya Faas on August 28th, 2018. The graph below describes the exact amount of votes each candidate received.

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Major debates between Powell and Curbelo

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Major debates between Powell and Curbelo

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1)Immigration

"Our nation, like any other, has the right and responsibility to secure its borders. We must be able to know who is coming in and out of our country, and we must insist all border traffic be legal.

"To do this effectively, our immigration system must be modernized. We need the capability to track visa holders who overstay, making-up nearly half of the undocumented population in America. Our nation is in need of an expanded guest worker program that will help fill the jobs Americans are not seeking, especially in agriculture. And while we must demand accountability from those who enter our country illegally, we should establish an earned path to legalization for those who have abided by our laws and contributed to our economy, especially those who were brought to the country as minors by their parents. These young people have gown up in this, the country they love, and should be granted an opportunity to become Americans."

- Carlos Curbelo

Curbelo believes we need to tighten borders and limit immigrants.

"As a Hispanic immigrant and first-generation American, Debbie knows firsthand the challenges immigrants face in this country. Just like millions of other families, Debbie’s family came to this country seeking opportunities to better their lives. It is with this compassion that Debbie believes we need to fix our broken immigration system, replacing it with an accountable system that includes an expedited path to citizenship for DREAMers and their families. Bringing eleven million hard-working immigrants out of the shadows and into our system will only strengthen our great nation."

- Debbie Mucarsel Powell

Debbie believes we should open the borders and fix our broken immigration system.

THIS ALIGNS WITH PARTY PLATFORMS

2) Abortion

Curbelo: Pro-life supporter

Powell: Pro-choice supporter

THIS ALIGNS WITH PARTY PLATFORMS

3) Taxes

" I demanded fewer and lower marginal tax rates for all Americans to facilitate job creation and a stronger economic recovery, the closing of special interest loopholes, an increased child tax credit for working families raising dependent children, and an expanded earned income tax credit for those earning low wages."

- Carlos Curbelo

Curbelo believes that tax cuts should be provided for big corporations. However he also believes in tax cuts for middle-class Americans.

THIS ALIGNS WITH THE PARTY PLATFORM.

"As I talk with families in South Florida, what I hear over and over again is that they’re struggling to make ends meet. The cost of living keeps rising, but wages aren’t keeping up. We don’t need more tax breaks for billionaires, or for corporations that ship jobs overseas. We need a tax system that helps small businesses and hard-working people get ahead."

- Debbie Mucarsel Powell

Powell believes that the middle class needs help making ends meet, even if that means lowering taxes. She highly disagrees with lowering taxes for big corporations. THIS ALIGNS WITH THE PARTY PLATFORM.

4) Health Care

"Like everyone in our country, I want a quality health care system at an affordable cost. Unfortunately, the Affordable Care Act hasn’t fulfilled its promise to achieve this. Instead, it has increased the cost of health care for millions of Americans and is threatening our economic stability as health care spending continues to grow. It should come as no surprise that a law written by big insurance companies, big hospitals chains, and others who profit from the health care system; that contains burdensome taxes, raising premiums for all Americans and limiting plan options; a law that considers 30 hours a full workweek, and that cuts funding for Medicare is, at best, deeply flawed."

- Carlos Curbelo

Curbelo: Wants to repeal the 2010 Affordable Care Act. Curbelo previously voted to repeal the act. THIS ALIGNS WITH THE PARTY PLATFORM.

"If you have diabetes, asthma, cancer, or any other pre-existing condition, you deserve affordable, quality healthcare, and you deserve to be protected from insurance companies that would deny you coverage. It’s that simple. No family should have to choose between putting food on the table or filling their children’s prescriptions"

- Debbie Mucarsel Powell

Powell- Does not want to repeal the 2010 Affordable Care Act. Debbie does not want any family to worry about healthcare. Although she does not want to repeal the act, she wants to improve it. THIS ALIGNS WITH THE PARTY PLATFORM.

- Carlos Curbelo

Curbelo believes that tax cuts should be provided for big corporations. However, he also believes in tax cuts for middle-class Americans.

THIS ALIGNS WITH THE PARTY PLATFORM.

"As I talk with families in South Florida, what I hear over and over again is that they’re struggling to make ends meet. The cost of living keeps rising, but wages aren’t keeping up. We don’t need more tax breaks for billionaires, or for corporations that ship jobs overseas. We need a tax system that helps small businesses and hard-working people get ahead."

- Debbie Mucarsel Powell

Powell believes that the middle class needs help making ends meet, even if that means lowering taxes. She highly disagrees with lowering taxes for big corporations. THIS ALIGNS WITH THE PARTY PLATFORM.

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This poll was conducted Tuesday October 16th.The margin for error was (-,+) 5 points. Those interviewed were interviewed at random, via a phone-matched Florida registration list. The results show that Curbelo had the lead by 1 point.

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This was the final results of the 26th district Curbelo vs. Powell  election. This took place in Curbelo won with a percent of 47 and Powell lost with a percent of 44. This is relatively close to the not official poll that was taken before. Curbelo, as expected led with 3% more. This website is also reliable. These are the accurate and true results.

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This is a poll that was used to get a relative sense of where the people of the 26th district were at. It is from a reliable website(The New York Times), but as they say in the subtext, it is a very small sample compared to the amount in the district. So these numbers could increase or decrease by a total of 5 points or so.  From this poll though, we can gather that the people supporting Carlos Curbelo was more than the democratic party Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. You can also see that a whopping 9% (Almost 1/10 of the responders!) were undecided. This could mean that they are not involved and that they just don’t care, but also that they don't identify themselves with either candidates.

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SOUTHWEST MIAMI DADE COUNTY DEMOGRAPHICS

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SOUTHWEST MIAMI DADE COUNTY DEMOGRAPHICS

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Population: 2,751,796 (2017)
Race/Ethnicity
White - 13.2%
Hispanic/Latino - 68.6%
African American - 18.2 %
2 + Races - 1.2 %
Asian - 1.6 %
Alaska Native/American Indian - 0.3 %

Gender

Female 51.4 %
Male 48.6 %

Age

Under 5: 5.8%
Under 18: 20.3%
Over 65: 16%

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Population: 77,013 (2017)
Race/Ethnicity
White - 66.1%
Hispanic/Latino - 24.5%
African American - 6.9%
2 + Races - 1.8%
Asian - 1.4%
Alaska Native/American Indian - 0.5%
Hawaiian/Pacific Islander - 0.1%

Gender

Female 48%
Male 52%

Age

Under 5: 4.6%
Under 18: 15.3%
Over 65: 21.7%

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- Monroe County
- Southwest Miami Dade County

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Carlos Curbelo vs Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

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strong liberal on controversial topics

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named State Director for US Senator George LaMieux

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got his degree in business and started his own media relations firm; ran that for 12 years

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This is Debbie's first time running, having previously been working non-profit to improve the lives of disadvantaged communities

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Incumbent since 2014; running for reelection

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Looking to replace Curbelo in Congress