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U.S. looks like having a stable GDP raise and drops during 2024, with in regular amplitude.

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The last Article IV Executive Board Consultation was on July 19, 2021. Listed below are items related to United States.

At a Glance

2022 Projected Real GDP (% Change) : 1.6

2022 Projected Consumer Prices (% Change): 8.1

Country Population: 333.005 million

Date of Membership: December 27, 1945

Article IV/Country Report: November 1, 2021

Special Drawing Rights (SDR): 119679.31 million

Quota (SDR): 82994.2 million

Number of Arrangements since membership: 2

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The last Article IV Executive Board Consultation was on July 19, 2021. Listed below are items related to United States.

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The Sahm Rule identifies signals related to the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate (U3) rises by 0.50 percentage points or more relative to its low during the previous 12 months.

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As table shows the unemployment rate did increase a lot but not enough for a recession to happen according Sahm Rule.

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Doesn't seem like we are having a bear market as data shown, but actually growing at a stable pace.