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Application in the Project Evaluation Process

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Application in the Project Evaluation Process

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Identification and evaluation of risks associated with the project

Quantification and qualification of the identified risks.

Use of measurement techniques and specialized software for risk analysis.

Incorporation of the risk-adjusted discount rate in the calculation of the net present value (NPV) and other profitability indicators of the project.

Prioritization of risks and development of risk mitigation and management strategies.

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Adjusting discount rate based on the level of risk associated

Reflects the uncertainty and potential losses of an investment

Considers the risk premium for taking on higher-risk projects

Helps in evaluating the value and feasibility of investment options

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Risk management software

Project management tools

Financial modeling software

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Decision trees

Monte Carlo simulation

Statistical software

Risk assessment

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Regression analysis

Correlation analysis

Time series analysis

Probabilistic models

Data mining

Predictive analytics

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 Statistical Techniques and Specialized Software

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 Statistical Techniques and Specialized Software

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Risk matrix

Monte Carlo simulation

Expected loss

Value-at-Risk (VaR)

Probability and impact analysis

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Quantitative techniques

Qualitative technique

Scenario analysis

Sensitivity

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Brainstorming

SWOT analysis

Checklists

Historical data

Expert opinions

Surveys

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Government policies

Political instability

Regulatory changes}

Trade disputes

International conflicts

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Natural disasters

Climate change

Epidemics/pandemics

Geopolitical risks

Technological risks

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Inflation

Exchange rates

Market volatility

Consumer trends

Unemployment rates

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External Sources of Risk  (Factors beyond the organization's control)

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External Sources of Risk  (Factors beyond the organization's control)

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Legal risks

Regulatory risks

Data breaches

Non-compliance risks

Ethical risks

Reputation risks

Environmental risks

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Market risks

Credit risks

Liquidity risks

Currency risks

Interest rate risks

Capital risks

Insurance risks

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IT system failures

Process failures

Human errors

Supply chain disruptions

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Internal Sources of Risk (Factors within the organization)

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Internal Sources of Risk (Factors within the organization)